preseason plays.....final week...

A

AR182

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these plays are based strictly on systems...no capping went into them & they are played small...



1*giants -1(130).....

i don't like laying points in preseason so i bought the price down to 1 pt.
people may play ne in this game because they will figure that since ne is 0-3 they will want to avoid a winless preseason. but i don't think they are thinking that because this is what ellis hobbs the ne corner stated..'the season hasn't begun...we're 0-3 in the preseason but 0-0".

i think ne will go through the motions against the giants...& this is a pretty powerful system supporting that....

play against - road teams (ne) - after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread, in august games.

the ats record since 1993 is.....24-1........96%

the su record of the team this system pertains to is......24-1

the average line posted in these games was....team favored by 2.8

the number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18.....72% of all games

over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is.....3-0

over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is....13-1


1*cleve. -1(130)....

chi. also falls into the above system...so i am taking cleve.


good luck.
 
A

AR182

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adding.....

1*atl.+3.5(130)....

taking the dog here because it seems like atl. is playing these preseason games with energy...while balt. still can't settle on who their qb is going to be....

a system supporting this play.....

play against - favorites (balt) - outrushed by their opponents by 40 or more yards/game on the season.

the ats record is.......28-6 since 1993......82.4%

the situation's record this season is....1-0

over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is.....7-0

over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is....18-2


good
 
A

AR182

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addding....

under 35(120) minn/dall...

basically tailing mr c with this play...but i also read that both teams are using their young inexperienced qbs....


good luck
 
A

AR182

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gardenweasel said:
welcome back,brother.....makes my weekend seeing you back in the fold....

:yup
Click to expand...

hey gw....

hope things are well with you....& thanks for the well wishes.


adding...

1*under 36 car/pitt....

think both teams just going to play with minimum risk tonight.

some trends....

pitts. is 10-2 under in all games (preseason) over the last 3 seasons.
the average score was pitt. 14.9, opponent 13.3

pitts. is 8-0 under in home games when playing on a thurs. since 1993.
the average score was pitts.12.9, opponent 11.4

pitts. is 8-1 under in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
the average score was pitts. 14.8,opponent 11.6

pitts. is 10-1 under in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
the average score was pitts. 14.4, opponent 12.3


good luck
 
A

AR182

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adding....

1*wash...ml.....

again i am making a small play on the wash. moneyline...

last week wash. suffered an humiliating loss, it was the biggest blowout of the preseason & because of that i think they will treat this game more seriously than jax.,who won last week. i don't think any coach will want to enter the regular season after such a loss....& after seeing last week's game film, i think wash. will go all out & play pretty emotional...preseason or not.

a system....

play against - any team vs the money line (jax) - after a win by 6 or less points against opponent after a loss by 14 or more points.

the ats record since 1993 is........26-9.......74.3%

the situation's record this season is.....2-0

over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is......8-0

over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is.....18-5


good luck
 
gardenweasel

gardenweasel

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AR182 said:
adding.....

1*atl.+3.5(130)....

taking the dog here because it seems like atl. is playing these preseason games with energy...while balt. still can't settle on who their qb is going to be....

a system supporting this play.....

play against - favorites (balt) - outrushed by their opponents by 40 or more yards/game on the season.

the ats record is.......28-6 since 1993......82.4%

the situation's record this season is....1-0

over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is.....7-0

over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is....18-2


good
Click to expand...

btw..this is my only preseason play of the year....the ravens are thoroughly and completely injured at corner,qb and several other positions....

flacco has looked like a deer in the headlights and troy smith,who`s suffering from a viral/bacterial ?infection may not play....and he won`t hurt anybody very badly throwing the ball....

boller`s out....

all 4 qb`s on the atlanta roster(ryan/redman/harrington/shockley) are probably better than anything the ravens can put on the fielld tonight.....

actually,flacco may be forced to go the distance again....

g.l.
 
A

AR182

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thanks gw...good luck to you also.

balt. needs flacco to come through within a few years...otherwise it will set the franchise back like boller did...
 
gardenweasel

gardenweasel

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AR182 said:
thanks gw...good luck to you also.

balt. needs flacco to come through within a few years...otherwise it will set the franchise back like boller did...
Click to expand...

the ravens won`t break .500 this year....they`ll again struggle to score, despite axing billick....no big play makers aside from an occasiional kick return....and their new back is promising(ray rice,although he`s not really a breakaway back)

receivers and qb play will again be pedestrian...

a franchise on a fast track to the basement...

g.l.
 
gardenweasel

gardenweasel

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10-9 falcs.....good job my man....

the ravens had casey bramlett(WHO THEY SIGNED TODAY), play 3 qtrs at qb.....
and it was a chinese fire drill....

this is a bad football team...horrible on offense....still pretty good on defense,but with little depth anywhere(except maybe rb)........

they`re in trouble...

and the falcs will struggle until ryan gets his sea-legs.....

2 go against clubs,imo...
 
A

AR182

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thanks gw...glad that you play it...

last 2 plays for the preseason.....

1* under 37(130) sd / sf....

play under - road teams against the total (sd) - after playing on monday night football.

the ats record since 1993 is........35-13.......72.9%

the situation's record this season is.....2-1

over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is......10-3


1* under 37(130) oak / seattle.....

oak. is 21-6 under after playing a game at home since 1993.

oak. is 14-3 under off 2 or more consecutive unders since 1993.

oak. is 10-1 under off an upset loss as a favorite since 1993.

oak. is 25-9 under off 1 or more consecutive unders since 1993.


good luck
 
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