Went 3-0 today with Kentucky +3.5, KY/Lville Under 56, & Colorado -11... been very hot hitting about 67% so far... Didn't post Sunday as I typically do better when I don't post & had my baby all day and didn't have time...
Time to examine these Monday games...
Fresno +4 for 3* - Yes, Fresno is TRAVELING a LONG ways from home. Yes, Fresno is from the weak WAC. However, Pat Hill will have his team ready and Rutgers has endured some serious offseason distractions. Schiano is a great coach, but life after Rice won't be easy. Fresno lives for these moments as other than Utah, they probably beat the most BCS conference teams in recent years as they have 12 BCS wins since 2000! Fresno's slogan goes something like "anytime, anywhere, anyplace, anybody." Well they get their wish and have the talent to back up their smack talk. This game smells 24-23 type game either way especially after 2 blowouts on Sunday... a close game is DUE. Would lean Under, but hate totals. I think Fresno will win personally, but rarely play ML's so will take the 4 points and hope they keep this game very close if they lose. Brandstater had 15 TD's 5 INT's last season and doesn't make many mistakes. Teel had 20 TD's, but 13 INT's and is mistake prone. Fresno added St. Louis Rams assistant Nussmeier as Offensive Coordinator & they're very excited about this addition. Fresno should battle Boise for WAC title and has a LOT of talent at RB & WR IMO. Fresno would be the favorite to win the WAC over Boise if they played them in Fresno this year, but the game is @ Boise which everyone knows about the Smurf Turf. Fresno was 4-1 ATS as road dog last season.... road games don't make this team timid. Wish I had grabbed 4.5 on this game earlier, but feel Fresno has a 65%-70% shot at covering the 4 point spread.
After watching the SEC go 8-1 in lined games (including a cover for LSU vs. App. State) this weekend (not counting Arkansas vs. Div I-AA W. Ill or Georgia vs. Div I-AA Ga Southern & don't know the spread). How do you not take Tenneshee on Monday??? SEC & Big 12 appear to be best conferences with SEC being the Usain Bolt after week #1. Big 12 is solid as well, but no SEC... Big 12 is the USA of sprinting right now.
UCLA +7.5 for 3* - One of my good friends was noticing the SEC dominance and asked how do you not UNLOAD on the Vols with UCLA's QB situation??? My friend is a solid player as well. HOWEVER, UCLA has a decent defense returning and getting 2 scores at home is SIGNIFICANT! Who is UCLA's new OC... oh yeah, Norm Chow!!! Craft, was a starting QB at San Diego State in 2006 for 5 games so he's not a cold fish in hot water. Vols bringing a new West Coast attack under a NEW QB & OC in QB Crompton & OC Clawson. Vols looked very slow defensively @ California in last season's opener as well. I think the Under is a solid play, but don't like early season totals other than L'ville/KY Under 56 today. Game seems 20-17 either way so grabbing the points... still win 20-13 Tenn with UCLA +7.5. Hopefully the Bruins OL doesn't get destroyed as this WORRIES me. UCLA has 4 new OL starters. UCLA also plays one of the toughest schedules in the country with @ BYU and vs. Fresno for their remaining non-conference games. I like my chances taking the points. Craft was always decent @ SDSU IMO and won't be making his first ever D-I start like Crompton. Crompton was 7 for 12 for 97 yards with 1 TD & 2 INT's last year. This isn't your NCAA title contender Vols squad, but a 6 to 7 win team expected to win by 2 scores a long way from home, not EASY!
UCLA is 9-0 ATS as 7 plus point dog since 1985! UCLA is 10-0 their last 10 as Underdogs ATS!
GLTA with whichever way you go! After the chalk has dominated this weekend, going with 2 dogs and hoping for a split at worst. Any solid feedback backing the chalk is appreciated as well!!! Please, if I'm really missing something, let me know!
GLTA 17-8 since Friday and 19-9 overall this season (yes, playing too many games, but that is how I like it!)
Time to examine these Monday games...
Fresno +4 for 3* - Yes, Fresno is TRAVELING a LONG ways from home. Yes, Fresno is from the weak WAC. However, Pat Hill will have his team ready and Rutgers has endured some serious offseason distractions. Schiano is a great coach, but life after Rice won't be easy. Fresno lives for these moments as other than Utah, they probably beat the most BCS conference teams in recent years as they have 12 BCS wins since 2000! Fresno's slogan goes something like "anytime, anywhere, anyplace, anybody." Well they get their wish and have the talent to back up their smack talk. This game smells 24-23 type game either way especially after 2 blowouts on Sunday... a close game is DUE. Would lean Under, but hate totals. I think Fresno will win personally, but rarely play ML's so will take the 4 points and hope they keep this game very close if they lose. Brandstater had 15 TD's 5 INT's last season and doesn't make many mistakes. Teel had 20 TD's, but 13 INT's and is mistake prone. Fresno added St. Louis Rams assistant Nussmeier as Offensive Coordinator & they're very excited about this addition. Fresno should battle Boise for WAC title and has a LOT of talent at RB & WR IMO. Fresno would be the favorite to win the WAC over Boise if they played them in Fresno this year, but the game is @ Boise which everyone knows about the Smurf Turf. Fresno was 4-1 ATS as road dog last season.... road games don't make this team timid. Wish I had grabbed 4.5 on this game earlier, but feel Fresno has a 65%-70% shot at covering the 4 point spread.
After watching the SEC go 8-1 in lined games (including a cover for LSU vs. App. State) this weekend (not counting Arkansas vs. Div I-AA W. Ill or Georgia vs. Div I-AA Ga Southern & don't know the spread). How do you not take Tenneshee on Monday??? SEC & Big 12 appear to be best conferences with SEC being the Usain Bolt after week #1. Big 12 is solid as well, but no SEC... Big 12 is the USA of sprinting right now.
UCLA +7.5 for 3* - One of my good friends was noticing the SEC dominance and asked how do you not UNLOAD on the Vols with UCLA's QB situation??? My friend is a solid player as well. HOWEVER, UCLA has a decent defense returning and getting 2 scores at home is SIGNIFICANT! Who is UCLA's new OC... oh yeah, Norm Chow!!! Craft, was a starting QB at San Diego State in 2006 for 5 games so he's not a cold fish in hot water. Vols bringing a new West Coast attack under a NEW QB & OC in QB Crompton & OC Clawson. Vols looked very slow defensively @ California in last season's opener as well. I think the Under is a solid play, but don't like early season totals other than L'ville/KY Under 56 today. Game seems 20-17 either way so grabbing the points... still win 20-13 Tenn with UCLA +7.5. Hopefully the Bruins OL doesn't get destroyed as this WORRIES me. UCLA has 4 new OL starters. UCLA also plays one of the toughest schedules in the country with @ BYU and vs. Fresno for their remaining non-conference games. I like my chances taking the points. Craft was always decent @ SDSU IMO and won't be making his first ever D-I start like Crompton. Crompton was 7 for 12 for 97 yards with 1 TD & 2 INT's last year. This isn't your NCAA title contender Vols squad, but a 6 to 7 win team expected to win by 2 scores a long way from home, not EASY!
UCLA is 9-0 ATS as 7 plus point dog since 1985! UCLA is 10-0 their last 10 as Underdogs ATS!
GLTA with whichever way you go! After the chalk has dominated this weekend, going with 2 dogs and hoping for a split at worst. Any solid feedback backing the chalk is appreciated as well!!! Please, if I'm really missing something, let me know!
GLTA 17-8 since Friday and 19-9 overall this season (yes, playing too many games, but that is how I like it!)
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