Misleading Finals/Box Scores Week 2

Fast Eddie

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Here are some box scores I found from week 2 that may be misleading.

I also didn't double check the schedule last week on a couple games, and I think I learned my lesson.

Last week 3 teams of note had a game before playing a big time rival/opponent the following week. All 3 teams were favorite, and all 3 teams were going to be underdogs this week.

Ohio St -34 L
ND -22 L
SC -10 L

All three could have lost outright and SC did. I also believe all three are better than last week's performance and are worth a look this week.

My point is play against a favorite a week before a big game that they may be underdog in. These are 18-22 yr old kids FOCUS is not always an option. The only play I saw that was similar this week is Arizona St -22 vs UNLV.

Arizona St has Georgia at home next week at night. This may be a spot where UNLV hangs around. Any thoughts are appreciated.

South Carolina 17 at Vanderbilt 24

S.C had 3 more first downs, outgained Vandy by 100 yds and lost the turnover battle. I have to believe this was a classic look ahead to Georgia this week. Look for the gamecocks to play a ton more focused this week.

Texas 42 at UTEP 13

The score itself looks like a no contest, but Texas actually got outgained in this game 412-404. This wasn't exactly a dominant defensive performance by the Longhorns. They also returned a fumble for a touchdown as well. Give UTEP some credit for moving the ball, 11 penalties hurt them as well.

Texas Tech 35 at Nevada 19

Nevada lost the game but won the stat battle. The Wolfpack outgained Texas Tech 488-421 and had 8 more 1st downs. Texas Tech had a punt return for a touchdown to help them as well. Nevada also rushed the ball for 224 yards.

Tulane 6 at Alabama 20

After Alabama looked like world beaters week 1, it's tough to repeat that effort. Tulane outgained Alabama 318-172, had 7 more first downs and controlled the ball almost a full quarter more. Lucky for Alabama the schedule was kind, or they would have got destroyed. Their 2 tochdowns came from a punt return and a blocked punt return. Tulane played great, only time will tell if they reproduce this effort.

South Florida 31 at UCF 24

South Florida dominated a game they hung on to win in overtime. They outgained UCF 504-226, had twice as many first downs, and lost the turnover battle -2. UCF also had a kickoff return for a touchdown. South Florida is still a decent team, don't let this score change that opinion.

Georgia Tech 19 at Boston College 16

This was a nice win for GT, but by no means in convincing fashion by the numbers. They were outgained 252-235, and had 6 less first downs. This is not a formula to consitently win on the road. They may be in for a tough haul at Virginia Tech this week.

Miami OH 6 at Michigan 16

Michigan struggled for the second week in a row offensively. They had less than 300 yards total offense and were 2 for 11 on third down conversions. They go on the road this week, not a great spot for them to get their offense going, they couldn't move the ball at home.

Connecticut 12 at Temple 9

For the second week in a row, Temple had horrible box score numbers and nearly started the season 2-0. UCONN had a 379-298 yard advantage, twice as many first downs, and rushed the ball for 293 yards. Look for UCONN to play well this week against Virginia.

Idaho St 27 at Idaho 42

Idaho only had 22 yds of offense than Idaho St. and had 7 less first downs. They also benefited from a blocked punt for a touchdown, and + 3 in turnovers. Not great against a 1AA opponent, even from their state.

Minnesota 42 at Bowling Green 17

Minnesota did not dominate this game, 5 Bowling Green turnovers sealed the deal. Stats were virtually even, if Bowling Green can protect the ball they are a solid team. Anybody will look good after a +5 turnover ratio.

San Jose St 12 at Nebraska 35

Nebraska was not 23 points better by the numbers. They were outgained 353-315 and had 2 return touchdowns to help. They better play alot sharper in the Big 12.

Texas A&M 28 at New Mexico 22

A&M was outgained 370-236 and had an interception return and still won the game. Not exactly a team I'd like to back on the road the rest of the season. Nice win, just not by the numbers.

Kent St 28 at Iowa St 48

Iowa St was outgained, had 6 less first downs, and won the turnover battle +3. I'm not sure they are 20 points better than Kent st.

Northwestern 24 at Duke 20

Duke had twice as many first downs and outgained NW by almost 150 yards, but still came up on the losing end. I like what they are doing there and they should have value in the next few weeks.
 

Woodson

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This is my FAVORITE POST each week.

Priceless info... The South Florida analysis is backing me off the multi unit Kansas play... Thanks for keeping me grounded.

Woods
 

bbk

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love the writeups the only thing is about Ohio State; they were actually dominated; if not for 5 turnovers by a team that is maybe 4th best in the mac and about to go up against the number one team in the country on the road does not seem worthwhile; with or without wells; ohio state defense is good but USC is better; boekman wont be able to pass the ball AT ALL; you would have to have barry sanders back there to have a chance in this game; good luck this week
 

vivalas

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Watched the OSU game...not sure I would describe it as dominated. They ran a very vanilla offense until near the end of the game where they started throwing intermediate routes...drove right down the field. Defensively they shutdown OU except for their backup running QB. If Sanchez was mobile I would be worried about this game covering for OSU. USC will have a tough time putting up points against the Bucks' defense. This will be a close game that easily stays within 10 points. You could look athe ohio u game and overreact but if you saw the game....it was osu flat on offense and defensively very good again. 7 of OUs points came on a fumble recovery in the endzone.
 

bbk

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I cant see anyone that watched the OSU/OU game thinking OSU is not in big trouble; the whole vanilla offense thing is so stupid; they were losing in the 3rd qtr to a bad team; if it wasnt for 5 turnovers; Ohio wins that game by double digits; yes USC will have problems against OSU tough defense but guess what USC is at home and their defense is better; USC may have 6-8 def 1st rounders; USC will be playing at the 50 the whole game; I just cant see how OSU will move the ball; they didnt move it against Ohio a team that is 4th or 5th in the mac; how are they going to move it against some say one of the best defenses in the past 20 years; and I dont even like USC; their defense is awesome and OSU defense will just get tired because they are going to be going three and out every time; unless wells runs for 250+ to help the OSU offense run than who else do you have to rely on Boekman; he isnt the answer; all I am saying is you have USC at home laying only 10 to an offense that could barely score at home against a really bad team; good luck if you like OSU if I am wrong i am wrong wont be the last
 

bbk

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also Ohio 1st string qb got knocked out of that game early if i am right so who knows what happens if they play with their 1st string qb; its college football; anything can happen; this game reminds me of the Florida/Miami game just played; Miami is going to play it like OSU will; run the ball and try to run clock; while Florida will eventually pull away; except this line is only 10 and carroll will keep the peddle to the metal against sweater vest; it wil be a defensive ran game but in games like that i will always take the team at home with the better offenese and the better defense
 

CWood97

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A word on ND, they were a questionable goal line fumble call away from being down 20-7 in the 4th quarter......to a team that lost to Cal Poly in week one.
 

vivalas

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No I agree USC will win, I think by about 10. OU didn't move the ball on Ohio St. at all not that they should have. I see Sanchez struggling to move it on a very tough OSU secondary as well....I think this ends being a low scoring affair 21-10 type game. I've been wrong before too but like people did with USC-Stanford...too much is being made of 1 game. For the record I'm not a fan of either team and I've been wrong many times as well :)

Regarding ND....tough to tell how bad they are. They turned the ball over twice in the endzone and a total of 4 times in SD st territory. There defense played pretty good cosndiering the dude threw 60 times. Not sure Michigan has looked much better against a decent Utah team and a terrible Miami (Oh) team which like ND if it wasn't for a lucky turnover both of these teams would have lost. ND wont be able to run on Michigan...Michigan wont be able to pass on ND or anybody for that matter. Tough game to call but I'll give ND the benefit of the doubt at home and a little more trust in their passing game compared to a UM team that ranks almost dead last in offense thus far
 
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