Last week was some great football action as LSU/Auburn lived up to the hype and Vanderbilt (SHOW YOUR GOLD!) won on the road in Oxford to crack the Top 25 for the first time in a quarter century.
4-2 last week to improve to 11-2-1 for the year in SEC play. (6-0-1 on sides and 5-2 on totals). My leans were also 4-2 for the week which makes me 4-6 for the year.
Not a great week for match ups in my opinion with the exception of the Alabama/Jawga clash in Athens. Five of the seven games have spreads of 20 points or more. I might look into a few teasers as well.
Let's get to the action...
Alabama at Jawga
Few people outside of Tuscaloosa thought this game would garner national attention before the season started, but after the Tide's 4-0 start and quick ascent up the rankings, this is a MAJOR game for both programs. Is Alabama really back? Are the Dawgs ready to step up and claim a seat in the national championship game? Could this be the first of two meetings this season?
All Jawga has done is win, win, win and the results have been to drop in the polls from #1 to #3. The Dawgs went out west last week and smacked down the defending Pac-10 co-champs 27-10. It doesn't get any easier for Coach Mark Richt as the Crimson Tide comes to town this week with UcheaT, Vanderbilt, LSwho and Florida on the horizon. A home loss would not be good for the Dawgs and their NC hopes.
It's year two of the "process" in T-town and Coach Nick Saban is still preaching patience to his team and the kool-aid drinkers that are the Bama Nation. One of his postgame comments following the Tide's 49-14 win at Arkansas was "...you really don't have to be sick to get better. There's a lot of things we can improve on from this game." As a fan I love hearing that and I would think so do the players. In fact, the normal 24-hour "celebration" rule seemed to be non-existent in the Tide locker room last Saturday. The players were already turning their attention to the Dawgs with several asking if they could just fly to Georgia right now and play the game. They definitely are ready to erase last year's 26-23 OT loss from their memory.
In my opinion, UGA doesn?t have the type of high-octane offense that can come out and put a lot of points on the board even if Bama has a bad defensive day. I certainly don't think the Dawg lines aren?t going to dominate like they did last week against ASU either. Bama is certainly dominant on the offensive and defensive front and should be able to apply pressure to QB Matthew Stafford.
Speaking of QBs, I do like Stafford... he's calm under pressure and is not easily rattled. He's thrown 5 TDs this season and no INTs. He can manage a game as well as any at the college level and his arm strength and size are nothing to sneeze at either. It certainly doesn't hurt that he has freshman A.J. Green to catch everything thrown his way. Green is averaging almost 19 yards per catch and had a TD last week against ASU.
Alabama QB John Parker Wilson is the "x" factor if you will. I truly believe that if the O-Line protects JPW and gives him enough time that Alabama will win this game. That shouldn't be an issue as UGA has only 5.5 combined sacks through four games. TE Nick Walker has been a staple of OC Jim McElwain's new offense and freshman WR Julio Jones is living up to all the hype. If the Dawgs decide to blitz, the Tide should be able to "dink and dunk" the ball for some nice yards after catch. Of course the running game is Bama's bread and butter...
RB Glen Coffee has really stepped up this year for the Tide. Of course it helps when your O-Line averages 307 pounds a man! Coffee averages almost 9 yards a carry and when he needs a breather, say hello to Mark Ingram, Roy Upchurch and Terry Grant. Those three players have combined for 533 yards on 91 carries which compliment Coffee's 404 yards on 47 carries. But something has to give... Because UGA has the 3rd ranked rushing defense in the nation, only giving up 45.8 yards per game.
Seems like I've forgotten someone... oh yeah, the human highlight reel that is Knowshon Moreno. This guy is a STUD! He leads the SEC with 455 rushing yards and is third in the nation with 9 TDs. Again something has to give because Bama ranks 8th nationally against the run only allowing 55 yards per game.
I expect the Tide defense to be very aggressive and physical and look for UGA to throw more on first and second downs to keep Bama honest.
Special teams always seem to have something to say about a game's outcome and I give the nod to Alabama and kick returner Javier Arenas who is averaging 19 yards per punt return and 26 yards per kickoff return. He might break one but should be able to get the Tide good field position.
While there are plenty of offensive weapons, this is the SEC and I think that it will be a slug fest and while the Dawgs will have the early momentum thanks to the blackout and the great Larry Munson's retirement, I think that Alabama is ready to prove that next year is this year. The attitude of this year's team is vastly improved from last year's team and the Tide is improving week by week. This will definitely be a barn burner and I'm guaranteed to suffer a couple of heart attacks and consume a fifth of Crown Royal during just the first half!
The Tide's linemen own a clear advantage on both sides of the football. They also have the defensive blueprint provided by South Carolina, which held the Bulldogs to just 252 yards and 14 points two weeks ago.
On a personal note, I have always liked and respected UGA and am a big fan of Coach Mark Richt. This really is gonna be a great game. Again I don't bet Bama games because I bet with my heart and after doing my research and write-up, it's obvious I think the Tide is going to pull this one out. They may lose, but should cover. It's all about the Crown and Maker's Mark... right Jason? :mj06:
Georgia is 1-5 ATS at home after consecutive away games. :SIB
My prediction is Alabama 21-20
My lean is Alabama +7
4-2 last week to improve to 11-2-1 for the year in SEC play. (6-0-1 on sides and 5-2 on totals). My leans were also 4-2 for the week which makes me 4-6 for the year.
Not a great week for match ups in my opinion with the exception of the Alabama/Jawga clash in Athens. Five of the seven games have spreads of 20 points or more. I might look into a few teasers as well.
Let's get to the action...
Alabama at Jawga
Few people outside of Tuscaloosa thought this game would garner national attention before the season started, but after the Tide's 4-0 start and quick ascent up the rankings, this is a MAJOR game for both programs. Is Alabama really back? Are the Dawgs ready to step up and claim a seat in the national championship game? Could this be the first of two meetings this season?
All Jawga has done is win, win, win and the results have been to drop in the polls from #1 to #3. The Dawgs went out west last week and smacked down the defending Pac-10 co-champs 27-10. It doesn't get any easier for Coach Mark Richt as the Crimson Tide comes to town this week with UcheaT, Vanderbilt, LSwho and Florida on the horizon. A home loss would not be good for the Dawgs and their NC hopes.
It's year two of the "process" in T-town and Coach Nick Saban is still preaching patience to his team and the kool-aid drinkers that are the Bama Nation. One of his postgame comments following the Tide's 49-14 win at Arkansas was "...you really don't have to be sick to get better. There's a lot of things we can improve on from this game." As a fan I love hearing that and I would think so do the players. In fact, the normal 24-hour "celebration" rule seemed to be non-existent in the Tide locker room last Saturday. The players were already turning their attention to the Dawgs with several asking if they could just fly to Georgia right now and play the game. They definitely are ready to erase last year's 26-23 OT loss from their memory.
In my opinion, UGA doesn?t have the type of high-octane offense that can come out and put a lot of points on the board even if Bama has a bad defensive day. I certainly don't think the Dawg lines aren?t going to dominate like they did last week against ASU either. Bama is certainly dominant on the offensive and defensive front and should be able to apply pressure to QB Matthew Stafford.
Speaking of QBs, I do like Stafford... he's calm under pressure and is not easily rattled. He's thrown 5 TDs this season and no INTs. He can manage a game as well as any at the college level and his arm strength and size are nothing to sneeze at either. It certainly doesn't hurt that he has freshman A.J. Green to catch everything thrown his way. Green is averaging almost 19 yards per catch and had a TD last week against ASU.
Alabama QB John Parker Wilson is the "x" factor if you will. I truly believe that if the O-Line protects JPW and gives him enough time that Alabama will win this game. That shouldn't be an issue as UGA has only 5.5 combined sacks through four games. TE Nick Walker has been a staple of OC Jim McElwain's new offense and freshman WR Julio Jones is living up to all the hype. If the Dawgs decide to blitz, the Tide should be able to "dink and dunk" the ball for some nice yards after catch. Of course the running game is Bama's bread and butter...
RB Glen Coffee has really stepped up this year for the Tide. Of course it helps when your O-Line averages 307 pounds a man! Coffee averages almost 9 yards a carry and when he needs a breather, say hello to Mark Ingram, Roy Upchurch and Terry Grant. Those three players have combined for 533 yards on 91 carries which compliment Coffee's 404 yards on 47 carries. But something has to give... Because UGA has the 3rd ranked rushing defense in the nation, only giving up 45.8 yards per game.
Seems like I've forgotten someone... oh yeah, the human highlight reel that is Knowshon Moreno. This guy is a STUD! He leads the SEC with 455 rushing yards and is third in the nation with 9 TDs. Again something has to give because Bama ranks 8th nationally against the run only allowing 55 yards per game.
I expect the Tide defense to be very aggressive and physical and look for UGA to throw more on first and second downs to keep Bama honest.
Special teams always seem to have something to say about a game's outcome and I give the nod to Alabama and kick returner Javier Arenas who is averaging 19 yards per punt return and 26 yards per kickoff return. He might break one but should be able to get the Tide good field position.
While there are plenty of offensive weapons, this is the SEC and I think that it will be a slug fest and while the Dawgs will have the early momentum thanks to the blackout and the great Larry Munson's retirement, I think that Alabama is ready to prove that next year is this year. The attitude of this year's team is vastly improved from last year's team and the Tide is improving week by week. This will definitely be a barn burner and I'm guaranteed to suffer a couple of heart attacks and consume a fifth of Crown Royal during just the first half!
The Tide's linemen own a clear advantage on both sides of the football. They also have the defensive blueprint provided by South Carolina, which held the Bulldogs to just 252 yards and 14 points two weeks ago.
On a personal note, I have always liked and respected UGA and am a big fan of Coach Mark Richt. This really is gonna be a great game. Again I don't bet Bama games because I bet with my heart and after doing my research and write-up, it's obvious I think the Tide is going to pull this one out. They may lose, but should cover. It's all about the Crown and Maker's Mark... right Jason? :mj06:
Georgia is 1-5 ATS at home after consecutive away games. :SIB
My prediction is Alabama 21-20
My lean is Alabama +7
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