Game #1
Gallardo@Hamels
Phillies 57%(-197)-10 brewers 43(+184)+7
over8.5 53%(-115)-1
Hamels struggled some (5 earnies over 7) in an April match at Miller but did fan 11 batters. A second meeting took place Sept.13th, in Philly, where Cole had a quality start and got the W in a 7-3 win. Fielder (2HR), Hardy, Kendall and Weeks all had multiple hits over the 2 encounters while Braun went 1-for-6 with a K and a BB. Braun is .300 with an HR in 10 plates vs while only Hardy, before '08 with Fielder, had any real success against Cole career-wise. 9 of his last 10 starts have been quality starts (he went 5-3, Phillies 5-5) and he sports a 2.99 era at home despite only being 7-7 in Philly. Long-ball a problem earlier in the season but he's only given up 5 over his last 10 starts. In 11 day starts this season, all of his numbers (era,whip,BAA) are a little inflated; this has been a consistent trend for Hamels for several seasons now--for his career he is 28-16 with a 3.01 at night and 10-7 with a 4.43 during the day (BAA .219 at night, .264 day). Phillies come into the playoffs with the best bullpen out there, IMO.
Gallardo faced the Phillies once last season at home Aug.3rd and got the W in a 2-1 victory over Kendrick. He walked one while fanning 7; run came on a Burrell homer. Feliz has also homered off of Gallardo in 5 trips (2-for-5). Iguchi and Rollins also had hits while Dobbs, Howard and Werth were hitless. No meeting vs Utley. He had no decisions in 2 road starts this year with a 2.77 era. Last year--his first--his era was much higher on the road (4.58 vs 2.77) and so was his BAA (.276 vs .211). This will be his first appearance in Philly; he had inflated numbers @Coors (another hitter's park) but shut down Houston at Minute Maid. His own club plays in a hitter's park and his numbers are solid there. Nice 1.88 era during his 4 appearances overall this season but only 1 came since his return, a solid 4 innings but against Pitt and, again, only 4 innings. Brewers bullpen has been much better over the past few months than earlier in the year.
I like the move to Gallardo for game #1. Maybe few options, but he can dominate if he's on, which he usually is (though maybe not always on the road). Might squeeze 6 innings from him--7 if a miracle occurs. Brewers much better against lefties than righties though recent hitting certainly favours the Phils for sure. I might be interested in under5 for the first 5 but I can't get it yet. I'm gonna give Gallardo a go.
G#1 brewers +184 0.54/1
GL
Gallardo@Hamels
Phillies 57%(-197)-10 brewers 43(+184)+7
over8.5 53%(-115)-1
Hamels struggled some (5 earnies over 7) in an April match at Miller but did fan 11 batters. A second meeting took place Sept.13th, in Philly, where Cole had a quality start and got the W in a 7-3 win. Fielder (2HR), Hardy, Kendall and Weeks all had multiple hits over the 2 encounters while Braun went 1-for-6 with a K and a BB. Braun is .300 with an HR in 10 plates vs while only Hardy, before '08 with Fielder, had any real success against Cole career-wise. 9 of his last 10 starts have been quality starts (he went 5-3, Phillies 5-5) and he sports a 2.99 era at home despite only being 7-7 in Philly. Long-ball a problem earlier in the season but he's only given up 5 over his last 10 starts. In 11 day starts this season, all of his numbers (era,whip,BAA) are a little inflated; this has been a consistent trend for Hamels for several seasons now--for his career he is 28-16 with a 3.01 at night and 10-7 with a 4.43 during the day (BAA .219 at night, .264 day). Phillies come into the playoffs with the best bullpen out there, IMO.
Gallardo faced the Phillies once last season at home Aug.3rd and got the W in a 2-1 victory over Kendrick. He walked one while fanning 7; run came on a Burrell homer. Feliz has also homered off of Gallardo in 5 trips (2-for-5). Iguchi and Rollins also had hits while Dobbs, Howard and Werth were hitless. No meeting vs Utley. He had no decisions in 2 road starts this year with a 2.77 era. Last year--his first--his era was much higher on the road (4.58 vs 2.77) and so was his BAA (.276 vs .211). This will be his first appearance in Philly; he had inflated numbers @Coors (another hitter's park) but shut down Houston at Minute Maid. His own club plays in a hitter's park and his numbers are solid there. Nice 1.88 era during his 4 appearances overall this season but only 1 came since his return, a solid 4 innings but against Pitt and, again, only 4 innings. Brewers bullpen has been much better over the past few months than earlier in the year.
I like the move to Gallardo for game #1. Maybe few options, but he can dominate if he's on, which he usually is (though maybe not always on the road). Might squeeze 6 innings from him--7 if a miracle occurs. Brewers much better against lefties than righties though recent hitting certainly favours the Phils for sure. I might be interested in under5 for the first 5 but I can't get it yet. I'm gonna give Gallardo a go.
G#1 brewers +184 0.54/1
GL
