My thought/input: wait until the last 5/10 min before kickoff and look at the money/point adjustments, and if there are not any, see what
the %'s are on where the bets are going. If they are 60+% one way go the other. If a line jumps, (like the over did on Tues night from 51.5 to 54 in the last hour), do the opposite of the move.
And remember Dogs are 14-3 ATS on weeknight games in the last 3 weeks and 1 day. (Note: Faves are 3-2 in the last 5 games though.... :scared )
Chances are, like Dest. D stated, the favorite W.F. ranked at home is only giving 2.5 is BEGGING for money (and chances are they will get it); Bets on Clemson to cover and/or win S.U.
With 3 of the 5 faves covering on Thurs, Fri, and the game on Monday does point towards the law of averages catching up, BUT this game sure looks like the books want money on WF knowing they wont cover IMO.
No bet from me as of yet. Will wait as usual to see how the line moves and where the 'public' money is going. (Look at that Viking game and the under on the Troy game as examples....)