Week 7 Picks, YTD: 24-23-3, +0.7 Units

C

Carl Spackler

Guest
Florida Atlantic +4 over Troy - I like the home dog, and I still believe we are getting great value on FAU due to some very tough games and conditions early on in the fall.

Michigan State -1.5 over Northwestern
- Not sure why this is going down and i know I have just hammered on Sparty in this forum in the past....and by in the past I mean quite recently. No doubt that Michigan State is going to screw up and lose to someone they shouldn't lose to, but I just don't think that Ryan Field is the place it is going to happen.

Oklahoma -7 over Texas
- you will most likely get this at 6 or 6.5 later on but I don't think it will matter. This rivalry game has not been decided by 7 or less since 1997 so I don't look at the points as a big deal. Oklahoma's offense is the real deal and I don't think the points are a big deal here. Don't get me wrong...Oklahoma will get beat by someone they shouldn't get beaten by, and they will obviously get destroyed in a bowl game (please reference this post in the first few hours of 2009), but I just don't see it happening this week.

Eastern Michigan -1 over Army
- I should have grabbed it earlier but it won't matter. BG Falcon hit last week's game with EMU and made a good point...they aren' that awful. Don't let an Army win fool you..they are bad.

Western Michigan +1.5 over Buffalo
- The real Western showed up last weekend but we still are getting some value. Buffalo is obviously improved but they won't stop Western.

Arkansas +19 over Auburn -
Arkansas is awful, but if I understand this betting thing correctly, Auburn would actually need to score 19 points in order to over this spread.

Penn State -5 over Wisconsin - Wisky is bad. I don't care if they are playing this at noon, 8:00 or in the middle of the night, Penn State is going to destroy this team.

I am guessing there will be some very nice totals tomorrow, so I should have more very soon...
 

MoeshY-13-

Registered User
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Oct 22, 2006
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Gl this week CS! Like you Penn St. and Arky plays but will probably be on the other side for the Buffalo game. I think Penn St. will win this one by 2 td's. Wisky is down right now after the loss to Ohio St and they are not gonna catch any breaks this week going against Paterno's boys (even though I don't like the fact that Joe Pa might not be on the sideline again). And I def. agree with you on the Auburn game, they are probably one of my least favorite teams to bet on. Everytime I bet on them they lose and when I bet against them they cover. They definitley still have a lot to work on with their new spread offense and I haven't seen anything from them besdies some D that has impressed me one bit. And Arky can't continue to get spanked every week right? I'll take a DD Sec dog against Auburn in a heartbeat.
Gl this week!
MoeshY-13-
 
C

Carl Spackler

Guest
A few totals have moved so I am not going to post them, even though the numbers are still good, i.e. Michigan under, Indiana over, and Ohio State over. However, there are some more good plays out there.

Minnesota/Illinois over 56.5
- I didn't expect this to be anything under 60 and was actually counting on something like 62 or 63. Illinois will put up plenty of points and look for the Gophers to tack on a few at the end to help out.

Indiana over 20 (team total)
- This has come up a point but this is still a good number to grab. I really believe that Indiana can win this game and believe that even if they don't it will be a high scoring game.
 
C

Carl Spackler

Guest
Adding...

Michigan State/Northwestern over 47 - I forgot about this one earlier. I think Sparty will score by sheer strength and The Mildcats will spread it out.

Wheel these teams for three separate teasers:

Michigan -8.5 over Toledo
Central Michigan -1 over Temple
Florida -.5 over LSU
 
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