I had my first losing week yesterday since week #2of the season. 
I guess I was overdue! :shrug:
For Tonight:
Playing this Very Small 1/2 unit.
New England Patriots -3
Over Denver
The Broncos rank 30th in total yards allowed and last in passing yards allowed 255.5 YPG, and have just two interceptions to their credit?plus the Broncos are also poor against the run?so?look for the Patriots to both run and pass the ball with success tonight?granted this isn?t the same Pats team that dominated the league last year but the Broncos have a history of starting out fast and fading in the months of October and November...plus?the Broncos running game is nowhere near its past levels plus Cutler's top four WRs Brandon Marshall, Eddie Royal, Brandon Stokely and TE Tony Scheffler are banged up with Scheffler and Stokely being listed as OUT for tonight?s contest...even though most of the Monday Night games have gone Over the Total this one could fall under the number?Trends?Bill Belichick is just 2-9 in his career against the Broncos (regular season and playoffs)?but?the Pats are 54-12 SU at home, including postseason play?Bottom Line - Cutler just doesn?t have enough weapons at his disposal to pull this one
out tonight.
New England 23 Denver 17
EEEEEZZZZZ WINNER!
Trends:
Broncos are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 150 rush yds.
Broncos are 7-22-1 ATS in their last 30 games overall.
Broncos are 3-11 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Broncos are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing 350 total yds
Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Broncos are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC.
Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in October.
Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 250 pass yds
roncos are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home
Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points
Patriots are 15-4-1 ATS in their last 20 games following a S.U. loss.
Patriots are 18-5-1 ATS in their last 24 games in October.
Patriots are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Patriots are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU loss of more than 14
pts
Patriots are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Patriots are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Patriots are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC.
Patriots are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 350 tot
yards
Patriots are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games on field turf.
Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road
record.
Patriots are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Lean Only:
Pats/Broncos UNDER the 48.5
Wins by a hair!
Under is 7-1-1 in Patriots last 9 vs. AFC.
Under is 6-1-1 in Patriots last 8 home games.
Under is 5-1-1 in Patriots last 7 games on field turf.
Over is 5-1 in Patriots last 6 games in October.
Under is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards
in their previous game.
Under is 4-1-1 in Patriots last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 10-2-1 in Broncos last 13 games after allowing more than 350 total yards
in their previous game.
Over is 10-2-1 in Broncos last 13 games following a S.U. loss.
Over is 12-3 in Broncos last 15 vs. AFC.
Broncos are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings in New England.
Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New England.
I guess I was overdue! :shrug:
For Tonight:
Playing this Very Small 1/2 unit.
New England Patriots -3
Over Denver
The Broncos rank 30th in total yards allowed and last in passing yards allowed 255.5 YPG, and have just two interceptions to their credit?plus the Broncos are also poor against the run?so?look for the Patriots to both run and pass the ball with success tonight?granted this isn?t the same Pats team that dominated the league last year but the Broncos have a history of starting out fast and fading in the months of October and November...plus?the Broncos running game is nowhere near its past levels plus Cutler's top four WRs Brandon Marshall, Eddie Royal, Brandon Stokely and TE Tony Scheffler are banged up with Scheffler and Stokely being listed as OUT for tonight?s contest...even though most of the Monday Night games have gone Over the Total this one could fall under the number?Trends?Bill Belichick is just 2-9 in his career against the Broncos (regular season and playoffs)?but?the Pats are 54-12 SU at home, including postseason play?Bottom Line - Cutler just doesn?t have enough weapons at his disposal to pull this one
out tonight.
New England 23 Denver 17
EEEEEZZZZZ WINNER!
Trends:
Broncos are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 150 rush yds.
Broncos are 7-22-1 ATS in their last 30 games overall.
Broncos are 3-11 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Broncos are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing 350 total yds
Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Broncos are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC.
Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in October.
Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 250 pass yds
roncos are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home
Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points
Patriots are 15-4-1 ATS in their last 20 games following a S.U. loss.
Patriots are 18-5-1 ATS in their last 24 games in October.
Patriots are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Patriots are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU loss of more than 14
pts
Patriots are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Patriots are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Patriots are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC.
Patriots are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 350 tot
yards
Patriots are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games on field turf.
Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road
record.
Patriots are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Lean Only:
Pats/Broncos UNDER the 48.5
Wins by a hair!
Under is 7-1-1 in Patriots last 9 vs. AFC.
Under is 6-1-1 in Patriots last 8 home games.
Under is 5-1-1 in Patriots last 7 games on field turf.
Over is 5-1 in Patriots last 6 games in October.
Under is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards
in their previous game.
Under is 4-1-1 in Patriots last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 10-2-1 in Broncos last 13 games after allowing more than 350 total yards
in their previous game.
Over is 10-2-1 in Broncos last 13 games following a S.U. loss.
Over is 12-3 in Broncos last 15 vs. AFC.
Broncos are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings in New England.
Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New England.
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