7-1 last week, gives a 34-19 (+ 13.37) :00hour
Washington @ Detroit over 43 (2.00)
League: 15-3-1 over (Av. total 41.9...av. score 51.0) away 7+ fav off a SU win but ats loss as home 7+ fav, with <30 mins TOP. [Wash]
7-0 (Av. score 59.6!!) if opp last won ats.
Well, this Detroit D really sucks! Last in just about all major categories, and have given up 28 or more to everyone except Minni...who still gained nearly 400 yards!
Washington have had a couple of down weeks, but gained over 350 yards in both...3 TO's v. a similarly bad D (SL) hurt scoring badly.
Lions (Orlovski) actually showed something last week, scored 18 second half points and actually looked like moving the ball.
Should see some points both ways.
Pittsburgh v. NYG over 42 (1.97)
League: 16-4 over (Av. total 43.2...av. score 51.8) home, non-Div fav, off a 14+ ats win as away 7+ fav. [Pits]
(inc. NYG v. Cinci this year)
10-0 (Av. score 55.2!) if they held opp to <180 yards passing!
Surprising, but Pittsburgh score at home! Just 2 home games this year they've hit 38 and 23...av'd over 28 ppg last year...32 if we take out the 3-0 v. Miami in a blizzard!
Giants 2nd in total offense @ 395 ypg...
...Wow!...now I look, the Steelers are an incredible 21-4-2 over at home since 2004!! :scared
er, over? :0corn
Seattle +5 (2.00)
League: 3-13-1 (1-15-1 this no!...av. LOSS 2.7) any fav off an ats loss as a 10+ dog, with <50 yards rushing. [SF]
0-11-1 (Av. LOSS 7.5!) if they had 2 or more TO's.
...Story of the 9ers year so far really...2 wins with 1 total TO...17 in the rest!
Have held just 1 team under 23 points so far, should they really be favoured by 5 here?
Yeah, beat Seattle up there, but Gore was held in check (20/61), and forget Seattle's QB worries, 'cause Hasselbeck was terrible on that day going 18/36 189 and 2 picks.
Sure, Seattle arre a disaster atm, but SF aren't much (more than a FG maybe?!) better! kurby
NE -7 (1.91)
League: 0-31 SU! (11-20 ats ...Av. loss 15.7) as a 7+ dog off a SU win as home 7+ dog. [SL]
(Cleveland @ Washington last week)
1-10-1 this no. if they had <160 yards passing.
(Also 0-12 under, team av's 7.6 ppg!)
But, I prefer the team here rather than the total, a NE are scoring well and are in a 13-3 ats spot themselves. (With an av. team score over over 30)
Just can't read anything into the last 2 Rams games...dominated by Washington (8-22 FD's, over 150 more yards), but Redskins couldn't score enough to put them away...and 3 TO's, one of whch went the other way for 7.
Another +3 TO game last week when Brad Johnson had 3 picks in his first start for 15 years or so...
...they just won't get those breaks against NE.
And, the Pats showed last week what they can do against a poor rush D.
250+ on the ground, and no reason why things will be any different this week against a SL team giving up 161 @ 5.0. (Denver allow 154 @ 5.4)
SL not epected to scre much at all, giving up big chunks on the ground and Cassel playing with no pressure...
...should be a big Pats win.
Philli -7.5 (1.92)
League: 9-0 (Av. win 26.0!!) home, non Div 7+ fav, total 42+ off a BYE with a non-Div game ahead. [Phil]
(NYG v. Seattle this year, 44-6)
(also 9-0 over this no...teams av. 42.4 ppg!!)
Big favs, with high totals do have a good history of scoring well off a BYE...and with no look ahead game, seems they go even better!
Atlanta have played 3 games on the road so far...lost 2 (scored 9 in both) against 2 top 10 defenses.
(Won @ GB with over 170 yards rushing)...
...but again, Philli 7th overall in total D, and giving up just 3.5 ypr, so I suspect the Falcons wil struggle to score again.
Good Luck all
Washington @ Detroit over 43 (2.00)
League: 15-3-1 over (Av. total 41.9...av. score 51.0) away 7+ fav off a SU win but ats loss as home 7+ fav, with <30 mins TOP. [Wash]
7-0 (Av. score 59.6!!) if opp last won ats.
Well, this Detroit D really sucks! Last in just about all major categories, and have given up 28 or more to everyone except Minni...who still gained nearly 400 yards!
Washington have had a couple of down weeks, but gained over 350 yards in both...3 TO's v. a similarly bad D (SL) hurt scoring badly.
Lions (Orlovski) actually showed something last week, scored 18 second half points and actually looked like moving the ball.
Should see some points both ways.
Pittsburgh v. NYG over 42 (1.97)
League: 16-4 over (Av. total 43.2...av. score 51.8) home, non-Div fav, off a 14+ ats win as away 7+ fav. [Pits]
(inc. NYG v. Cinci this year)
10-0 (Av. score 55.2!) if they held opp to <180 yards passing!
Surprising, but Pittsburgh score at home! Just 2 home games this year they've hit 38 and 23...av'd over 28 ppg last year...32 if we take out the 3-0 v. Miami in a blizzard!
Giants 2nd in total offense @ 395 ypg...
...Wow!...now I look, the Steelers are an incredible 21-4-2 over at home since 2004!! :scared
er, over? :0corn
Seattle +5 (2.00)
League: 3-13-1 (1-15-1 this no!...av. LOSS 2.7) any fav off an ats loss as a 10+ dog, with <50 yards rushing. [SF]
0-11-1 (Av. LOSS 7.5!) if they had 2 or more TO's.
...Story of the 9ers year so far really...2 wins with 1 total TO...17 in the rest!
Have held just 1 team under 23 points so far, should they really be favoured by 5 here?
Yeah, beat Seattle up there, but Gore was held in check (20/61), and forget Seattle's QB worries, 'cause Hasselbeck was terrible on that day going 18/36 189 and 2 picks.
Sure, Seattle arre a disaster atm, but SF aren't much (more than a FG maybe?!) better! kurby
NE -7 (1.91)
League: 0-31 SU! (11-20 ats ...Av. loss 15.7) as a 7+ dog off a SU win as home 7+ dog. [SL]
(Cleveland @ Washington last week)
1-10-1 this no. if they had <160 yards passing.
(Also 0-12 under, team av's 7.6 ppg!)
But, I prefer the team here rather than the total, a NE are scoring well and are in a 13-3 ats spot themselves. (With an av. team score over over 30)
Just can't read anything into the last 2 Rams games...dominated by Washington (8-22 FD's, over 150 more yards), but Redskins couldn't score enough to put them away...and 3 TO's, one of whch went the other way for 7.
Another +3 TO game last week when Brad Johnson had 3 picks in his first start for 15 years or so...
...they just won't get those breaks against NE.
And, the Pats showed last week what they can do against a poor rush D.
250+ on the ground, and no reason why things will be any different this week against a SL team giving up 161 @ 5.0. (Denver allow 154 @ 5.4)
SL not epected to scre much at all, giving up big chunks on the ground and Cassel playing with no pressure...
...should be a big Pats win.
Philli -7.5 (1.92)
League: 9-0 (Av. win 26.0!!) home, non Div 7+ fav, total 42+ off a BYE with a non-Div game ahead. [Phil]
(NYG v. Seattle this year, 44-6)
(also 9-0 over this no...teams av. 42.4 ppg!!)
Big favs, with high totals do have a good history of scoring well off a BYE...and with no look ahead game, seems they go even better!
Atlanta have played 3 games on the road so far...lost 2 (scored 9 in both) against 2 top 10 defenses.
(Won @ GB with over 170 yards rushing)...
...but again, Philli 7th overall in total D, and giving up just 3.5 ypr, so I suspect the Falcons wil struggle to score again.
Good Luck all
