nfl plays week #9....

[AR182]

12-10

i came across this in my travels around the net & thought that some might find it interesting....it concerns how teams have done either facing a bye the next week or coming back from a bye...

OVER 39.5 & JACKSONVILLE -7.5 at Cincinnati
Reason...Cincinnati?s opponent in the post-bye week game is on a 6-1 SU & ATS run and the OVER shares the same record in the L7.

DENVER -3 vs. Miami
Reason...The Broncos have been consistently strong coming out of the open date, going 15-3 SU & 14-3-1 ATS since '92. I also think this is a strong situational play, with Denver getting embarrassed last time out on MNF and the Fins blowing their fish load against the Bills last week.

CLEVELAND -1.5 vs. Baltimore
Reason...The Ravens have lost five of their last six, both SU & ATS before the open date after winning their previous five. Also, play UNDER 36.5 . Reason...The UNDER is on a run 5-1 in Baltimore?s L6 pre-bye week games.

TAMPA BAY -8 at Kansas City
Reason...Since arriving in Tampa in 2002, John Gruden?s Buccaneers team has not lost a pre-bye week game, going 6-0 SU & ATS.

OVER 47 - Houston at Minnesota
Reason...Totals have been the wager of choice for savvy bettors in pre- & post bye week Minnesota games. Since '98, the OVER is 17-5 in those contests.

DALLAS + 9 at NY Giants
Reason...The Cowboys own the league?s best straight up mark overall in pre-week games at 14-4 and are second with a 13-5 ATS mark. In the last 10 years, they are 9-1 ATS. If you are playing this, I'd hold off until kick off, as this number may get to 10 by then.

 

[Blackman]

Nice work on Saturday, keep it rolling. Booked Denver and Cleveland as well.

Good luck.

 

[Vicc Inzagio]

BOL this week AR... tailing u with the Hou/Minn total :toast:


vicc

 

[AR182]

BOL this week AR... tailing u with the Hou/Minn total :toast:


vicc

thanks guys...

vicc those aren't my plays..it's records of teams that are either having a bye next week or coming back from a bye....

 

[Vicc Inzagio]

thanks guys...

vicc those aren't my plays..it's records of teams that are either having a bye next week or coming back from a bye....

well, i hope u like it any way lol, 'cause allready playing it.......


vicc

 

[T OFF]

CLEVELAND -1.5 vs. Baltimore
Reason...The Ravens have lost five of their last six, both SU & ATS before the open date after winning their previous five. Also, play UNDER 36.5 . Reason...The UNDER is on a run 5-1 in Baltimore?s L6 pre-bye week games.


AR BALT IS NOT ON BYE THEY ARE PLAYING HOUSTON NEXT WEEK BECAUSE OF IKE!

ALWAYS LOOK AT YOUR POST IN CFB & NFL

GOOD LUCK WITH YOUR PLAYS BUD. :SIB

 

[bleedingpurple]

Good Luck

 

[trolln4walii]

GL this week AR. Nice job with the college kids yesterday. Hope it carries over to the big boys today. Have the Brownies and Giants on my card this afternoon. Have a good one :toast:

 

[FirstnGoal]

Good Luck AR!

 

[rubiconed]

:director: Nice Saturday !!! :toast:
GL Today AR !!!

 

[AR182]

thanks guys..appreciate it...


have 1 play for the early games....


jets+6(120)....

got this earlier in the week when the line was 5.5....but i think this is still a good play at anything over 4.....

this is a divisional rivalry game, which means imo that it will be played pretty conservatively by the coaches....& i think this game will be decided by a field goal either way.

the dog is 19-9 ats in this series since 1993....

the jets are 7-2 ats in their last 9 divisional road games....& 5-0 ats as divisonal road dogs since 2006....

buffalo is 2-19 ats after playing miami since 1997..including 1-7 ats in their last 8...


good luck

 

[BadAngel]

Good info AR. GL whatever you play Sun.

 

[kneifl]

Solid Card Al -

Good luck,

kneifl

 

[gardenweasel]

very much liking cleve/denver and the jets today(despite fav-re)....

g.l. compadre..

 

[DeadPrez]

gl AR

 

[AR182]

thanks guys...

adding....

oak.+3.5(135)....

small play just to watch something..think this will also be a field goal game either way...

atl. is a much improved team but in their 4 road games, they've been outscored by a 24.7 to 14.7 margin, while being outgained by an average of 388 total yards to 301......they're coming off a hard-fought physical loss vs. the phil. and are now flying across the country to play their second consecutive road game....

like atl., oak. is a young team & like atl.,oak. has looked worse on the road than at home.....like the falcons, oak. is 1-3 on the road.....& road trips are often difficult for the raiders though, as they had to cross time zones for all four of those games......they've actually been quite good at home though. & imo their 3 home games all came against teams which are better than the falcons, imo......at home the oak. qb is completing 60% of his passes with an average of 220 ypg through the air....


good luck

 

[AR182]

what a disgusting performance by the raiders...they ought to be ashamed of themselves...

adding...

indy-6(120)..

this is another small play....

indy is getting healthier as 2 of their starters on the off. line & their safety bob sanders, who is probably the 2nd most important player on the colts, are expected back for this game

a close look at ne reveals a team that is 5-3 but has wins over kc, the jets, sf, denver (minus cutler), and last week a nail biter at home against the rams.....the combined record of the teams that ne has beaten is 13-23...

defending super bowl losers are 25-50-2 ats (33.3%) on the road against non-division opponent who is seeking revenge...


good luck