Wk. 10.

[MrChristo]

Well, 3-8 last week... :sadwave:

40-32-2 (+5.48) it is then...

Buffalo @ NE under 41.5 (1.91

League: 1-11-1 under (Av. total 39.8...av. score 28.0!) away 3+ dog off a 10+ ats loss as home 3+ fav, with at least 2+ TO's and <50 yards rushing. [Buff]
0-7 (Av. score 25.6) if next game is back home.

Buffalo have played some pretty terrible defensive teams so far...SD, Seattle, Jax, Oakland, SL...all in the bottom 10 for total D...and they still only av. 22 ppg.
NE are 14th overall total D, and 8th best @ points allowed, and have had an amazing hold on the Buffalo scoring, allowing no more than 17 @ 9.5 in their last 9 meetings!
NE have had problems of their own, topping 19 just 3 times...to the 28th, 29th and 32nd ranked for points allowed!! (SF, SL and Denver).

Jets v. SL under 44.5 (1.91)

League: 10-23 under (Av. total 43.8...av. score 42.9) non-Div 7+ fav, total 40+, off a 10+ ats win as any dog. [Jets]
(0-2 so far in 2008)
0-8 (Av. score 36.0) if they had <30 mins TOP. (Phil 17-7 Mia @ 40, 2007)

Jets are a bit under-rated defensively I think...certainly on the ground, where they allow just 3.1 ypc! Can't see SL getting much going here at all.
They av. just 15 ppg as it is...12.8 on the road even!...and have topped 20 just once.
Just 3 Jets games have gone over this number, and last week's score was exagerated by a pick 6 each way.
Jets have gone over 30 just one time all season too, so this total looks a few points too high.

Seattle @ Miami under 44 (1.91)

League: 4-14 under (Av. total 44.3...av. score 38.2) 7+ dog, total 42.5+, off a 14+ ats loss as home 3+ dog. [SL]

Oh man, did I get suckered in to the 'Hawks performance @ San Fran...
Well, take out the 3 games they've played against the 30th and 31st ranked scoring D (SL and SF...only Detroit are worse), and they haven't topped 17, and av. just 10 ppg!
Miami still doesn't strike a lot of fear offensively (to me anyway!)...have topped 28 just once...the game I continue not to count!
So, as bad as Seattle have been defensively, a 28-14 game still stays under.

Philli -3 (2.01)

League: 2-10-1 (0-11-2 this no...av. loss 14.3!) any Div dog, total 40.5+, off a 10+ ats win as a 7+ fav. [NYG]

Tough to keep going agaisnt these Giants...but now I think they are just a bit too 'popular' after the last few games.
Have been on the positive side of 8 turnvers in the past 2 weeks! ...3 the week before v. SF...
...Philli are +6 on the season, and McNabb has thrown just 4 picks, so they are unlikely to benefit too much in this one.
Crunch game for the Eagles, historically tough spot for NY...hopefuly they cover the FG. :SIB

'Zona -9.5 (2.03)

League: 2-11-1 (1-13 ths no...Av. loss 17.7) away 7+ dog, off a BYE, total 40.5+ if opp last scored 28+ [SF]
(inc. Atl @ Philli this season)
0-6 (Av. loss 22.5) if opp were 14+ up at HT.
(Oak 14-28 SD @ +10, 2007)

Don't people realise how bad SF are? 0-5 last 5 with an av. loss of 2 TD's.
Cards playing just their 4th home game of the season!...beat Miami by 21, Buff by 24, and a Romo lead Dallas by 6 (in OT).
Won the first meeting @ SF by 10, with a 14 minutes TOP advantage!!
I just don't see them staying within 2 TD's here either. :shrug:

Hoping for Caro/Oak to drop to 37...

Good Luck all

 

[MrChristo]

Chicago v. Tenn under 38.5 (1.91)

Some bad weather forecast for the windy city...snow showers and wind @ 20+ mph...
...but either way, this has the makings of a slog-fest.
Titans rely a lot on their ground game (Collins is having a great year, but throwing for less than 6 ypp)...and they've only played 2 teams so far in the top 22 for rushing yards allowed!
Scored just 13 on the top ranked Ravens...somehow scored 30 v. Minni, despite just 34/76 on the ground and 199 passing! Madness.
Chicago allow just 82 ypg @ 3.5 and should be able to hold Tenn in check.
Titans are no. 1 in scoring D, allowing just 12.9 ppg!...tough team to score on at the best of times, but Grossman threw for just 3.1 ypp last week against a horrible Detroit D.

 

[MrChristo]

Carolina @ Oakland OVER 37 (1.91)

League: 10-2 over (Av. total 40.2...av. score 50.6!!) home 7+ dog off a 14+ ats loss as home 3+ dog. [Oak]
(inc. Cleveland v. Cinci last year)
5-0 (Av. score 54.6!!) if they had <150 yards passing.
[4-1 if they were shut out last week even.]

1. This Oakland defense is horrible. Atlanta had 24 points with 6:30 left in the first half!! If Oakland had have shown anything at all they would have kept it up. They've given up 24+ in 6 of 8.
2. History suggests that one team cannot possibbly be that bad two weeks in a row!!
Carolina have played just 3 games away from home so far...and given up some big points.
24 (SD), 20 @ Minni and 27 @ TB...neither of the last 2 are exactly big scorers themselves.

Good value after last week's total disaster I reckon at this number. kurby

 

[baby johnson]

gl mr c, with ya on most

letz get em kurby kurby

 

[Hooks]

Liken Philly myself Chris, let's get em mate.

 

[el JB]

love Zona and phil

love Zona and phil

also the over /unders
and agree on most
seems like it's easy .......or is it?
BOL to US anyway

 

[USCMD]

Really love the Arz, Phl plays. Totals, who knows? Sea and Chi unders sound right.

On NE/Buf and Jets/SL I'd either go over or pass.

BOL, my friend.

 

[c20916]

Bears D way overrated, they are not that good. Teams can pass on the bears, I know it's not Tenn strong suit, but it's not TB's either and Griese had a career day against the bears.

 

[johnnyb.]

enjoy looking over your selections... was wondering where the stats were for the UNDER in chic/tenne game?
i probably won't see your answer, going to the charger game. good luck this weekend!

 

[60 SEC ASSASSIN]

gl with the plays my "under" cover bruddah :SIB