WK 14 play against atlanta trend

[axp59]

for week 14

0-9 ATS after back to back wins and covers
0-2 in 2008

trend is covering by 12

Playing a Saints team out for revenge at home doesn't help.

SU: 1-8-0 (-10.6)
ATS: 0-9-0 (-12.3) avg line: -1.8
O/U: 4-5-0 (2.7) avg total: 44.1

Rushes Rush Yds Passes Completions Passing Yds TrnOvrs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final
Team: 26.9 120.4 34.4 19.6 215.0 2.1 2.2 9.1 0.8 6.0 18.1
Opp: 29.2 135.7 30.2 19.9 233.4 1.1 8.1 5.9 7.6 7.1 28.7

Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot
Sunday 12 2004 Falcons Saints home 7-0 10-6 0-8 7-7 24-21 -9' +46 3 -6' -1 -3.8 2.8 W L U 0
Sunday 5 2005 Falcons Patriots home 0-14 13-0 0-14 15-3 28-31 +1' +41' -3 -1' +17' 8.0 9.5 L L O 0
Sunday 10 2005 Falcons Packers home 0-14 14-3 0-6 11-10 25-33 -9 +41' -8 -17 +16' -0.2 16.8 L L O 0
Monday 3 2006 Falcons Saints away 3-14 0-6 0-3 0-0 3-23 -4 +43' -20 -24 -17' -20.8 3.2 L L U 0
Sunday 9 2006 Falcons Lions away 7-10 7-7 0-3 0-10 14-30 -5 +47' -16 -21 -3' -12.2 8.8 L L U 0
Saturday 15 2006 Falcons Cowboys home 0-7 21-14 7-10 0-7 28-38 +4 +44' -10 -6 +21' 7.8 13.8 L L O 0
Sunday 11 2007 Falcons Buccaneers home 0-7 0-7 0-10 7-7 7-31 +3 +35' -24 -21 +2' -9.2 11.8 L L O 0
Sunday 8 2008 Falcons Eagles away 0-0 7-10 0-7 7-10 14-27 +9 +45 -13 -4 -4 -4.0 0.0 L L U 0
Sunday 11 2008 Falcons Broncos home 3-7 10-0 0-7 7-10 20-24 -6 +51' -4 -10 -7' -8.8 1.2 L L U 0

 

[axp59]

Capped this game with NO having a 3.5 home adv and ATL with -3.5 road disadv

my numbers showing a -2 line for NO and vegas at -3

I have to overcome that point diff with other factors like the trend and emotion.

Played NO -3 (-120)

 

[baby johnson]

same thoughts for me