NFL Week 14...Keeping it HOT!! $$$$

[FirstnGoal]

I'm coming off of another profitable week despite not liking the card.


:00hour



:00hour



For this week, one play for now involving tonights game.


Medium Size 2 unit Play:

3 game 10 point teaser
San Diego Chargers +0.5
Over Raiders
Tennessee Titans -3.5
over Browns
New England Patriots +5.5
Over Seahawks

Chargers +0.5?Any slim chance the Chargers have at making the playoffs starts tonight with a must win at home versus the Raiders?the Bolts have won the last 10 games SU between these two with the average margin of victory being 14.9 points?plus?the Chargers are 16-5-1 in their last 22 versus the AFC and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home tilts?the Raiders are just 1-10 ATS in their last 11 meetings with the Chargers and the Favorite (San Diego) is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings?all in all?the Raiders defense is better than most people think?but their offense is simply lousy with JaMarcus Russell at QB?with that stated?just a hunch on my part that this one will be a bit closer than the last 10 meetings?but..with the same results as the Chargers keep their slim playoff hopes alive at home tonight in prime time.
San Diego 23 Oakland 16

Titans -3.5?The Titans have had a few extra days to rest for this game coming off of their Thanksgiving day beat-down of the Lions?they can probably rest their starters at halftime of this one as they face a Browns team coming off of a super home effort in their loss to the Colts but a team that is forced to start their 3rd string QB in Ken Dorsey on the road this week?Tennessee is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 versus the AFC and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall?the Titans will likely cover the larger spread, let alone the super-small 3.5 in this tease.
Tennessee 27 Cleveland 13

Patriots +5.5? The Patriots face a Seahawks team that?s not only banged up but is a mere shadow of the playoff teams that head coach Mike Holmgren has had during his tenure in Seattle?Seahawks QB Matt Hasselback was limited in practice once again on Wednesday with a stiff back but will likely play hurt once again this week?the Seahawks are 6-1-2 ATS in their last 9 at home versus teams with a winning record but face a Patriots team that?s 4-0 ATS off of a SU loss this season, 4-0 ATS off of a double digit loss at home?and 5-0 ATS following a ATS loss?.the Patriots rebound once again this week as the Seahawks will have no answer for Randy Moss and the Patriots passing game on Sunday.
New England 30 Seattle 20

EEEEZZZZ WINNER!!!

 

[FirstnGoal]

Overall 2008 Recap

Record:

23-17-4

Breakdown:

Teasers:
13-10-3

Sides:
10-7-1

Big 3 unit plays:
1-1

Medium 2 unit plays:
8-3

Small 1 unit plays:
8-7-1

Very Small 1/2 unit plays:
6-4-1

Very Very Small 1/4 Unit plays:
0-1

Total = +8.58 units @ $3000 a unit = +$25,740

Leans:
12-5-1

 

[el JB]

breakdown on your results

breakdown on your results

Overall 2008 Recap

Record:

23-17-4

Breakdown:

Teasers:
13-10-3

Sides:
10-7-1

Big 3 unit plays:
1-1

Medium 2 unit plays:
8-3

Small 1 unit plays:
8-7-1

Very Small 1/2 unit plays:
6-4-1

Very Very Small 1/4 Unit plays:
0-1

Total = +8.58 units @ $3000 a unit = +$25,740

Leans:
12-5-1

you should stick to medum size plays and to leans:mj07: J/K great effort and keep em coming

 

[FirstnGoal]

you should stick to medum size plays and to leans:mj07: J/K great effort and keep em coming

You're right...my medium size plays have been my bread winners this year. :00hour

I should have been playing my leans all season long!
:shrug:

:toast:

 

[FirstnGoal]

Adding this Small 1 Unit Play:

3 game 10 point teaser
Arizona Cardinals -4 over Rams
Miami Dolphins +11 over Bills
Dallas Cowboys +13 over Steelers

Cowboys +13?Dallas enters this game with some added confidence having won three games in a row and they?ve had a few extra days to rest and prepare for this matchup coming off of their Thanksgiving beating of the Seahawks?this week they catch a Steelers team in a sandwich game coming off of a meeting with the Pats last week and a matchup with their hated rival the Ravens next week?the weather will be cold in Pittsburgh but the Cowboys will lay it all on the line to keep their playoffs hopes alive?Dallas is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, while the Steelers are just 2-6 ATS following an ATS win?this one will be decided in the fourth quarter.
Pittsburgh 23 Dallas 20

Dolphins +11?This is a battle between 2 teams headed in the opposite direction since the Fins have won 5 of their last 6 SU while the Bills have dropped 5 of their last 6 SU?Miami won the earlier matchup 25-16 in Miami and will catch a break this week since this game will be played inside a dome in Toronto?J.P. Losman will start for the Bills this week replacing the injured Trent Edwards?the Bills are 0-5 SU versus teams that run a 3-4 defensive scheme this season.
Buffalo 24 Miami 23

Cardinals -4?The Cardinals have dropped 2 straight games to quality teams like the Giants and Eagles but face a Rams team this week that has dropped 6 in a row and have lost their last 3 road games within the division by an average of 24 pts per game and are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 meetings with the Cards?the Ram are also just 2-8ATS in their last 10 versus the NFC and 4-12 ATS against teams with a winning record?the Cardinals aerial attack should be able to click on all cylinders on Sunday.
Arizona 34 St. Louis 20

EEEEZZZZ WINNER!!!!

 

[FirstnGoal]

Leans:

Pittsburgh Steelers -3 over Dallas
I've got the Cowboys +13 locked in a 3 team tease but picked the Steelers to win a close one 23-20...now that 'Boys HB Marion Barber is OUT I can see the Steelers winning this one by 7-10 pts...I might make this a small play later today but will stick with it as a lean for now.


WINNER!!!

 

[FirstnGoal]

Added this 1/4 unit Play: :shrug:

4 game 12 point teaser:

Wager Type: Football-12pts Teaser (4 team) ties push
Wager Status: Pending

Item #1
Wager Type: Spread
Outcome: Pending
Sport / Period: NFL Football / Game
Line:
Detroit Lions +22 12/7/2008 1:00:01 PM - (EST)


Item #2
Wager Type: Spread
Outcome: Pending
Sport / Period: NFL Football / Game
Line:
Washington Redskins +17 12/7/2008 8:15:01 PM - (EST)
* Game Notes:
(TM CH) (NBC)

Item #3
Wager Type: Spread
Outcome: Pending
Sport / Period: NFL Football / Game
Line:
Atlanta Falcons +15 12/7/2008 1:00:01 PM - (EST)


Item #4
Wager Type: Spread
Outcome: Pending
Sport / Period: NFL Football / Game
Line:
San Francisco 49ers +16 12/7/2008 4:05:01 PM - (EST)

WINNER!!!

 

[FirstnGoal]

HOT...HOT...HOT!!!


:bigun:


:00x22

 

[thadchr]

Well done man. :00x15 You're one of the very few I've seen come out a winner today.


:s1:

 

[motley plays]

FUCKIN MOTLEY

 

[FirstnGoal]

Well done man. :00x15 You're one of the very few I've seen come out a winner today.


:s1:

:toast:

 

[FirstnGoal]

4-0 overall Sunday including my Lean!


Looking the Monday Nighter over and will post later this morning.

 

[FirstnGoal]

For tonight...I'm leaning toward the Bucs plus the points but I'm taking the $$$ and running kurby because this game is too tough to make a play on it....The Buccaneers easily beat the Panthers 27-3 at home earlier in the year and have won 2 of the last 3 SU between the two clubs...but the Panthers need this one more and are playing at home tonight.

Trends:

The Underdog is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

Buccaneers are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Buccaneers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. NFC South.
Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Panthers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in December.
Panthers are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games on grass.
Panthers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 home games.
Panthers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.

 

[FirstnGoal]

Making it official!

Lean Only:

Tampa Bay +3.5
Better Qb, better coach and better special teams...plus the line has moved up to more than a FG.