20-20....
since i have been in a 2 week slump, i have been laying low this week.....this is my only play of the week....
carolina...ml (170).......
eventhough tb has won 4 straight, their offense hasn't been playing well & managed only 15 & 11 first downs over the last 2 weeks....in addition they have played 3 teams on the road this year that had a winning % of greater than .500 & lost all 3 games.....on the other hand, the carolina offense looks like they have hit their stride over the last 3 games & are 6-0 at home this year.......
some trends....
carolina is 9-1 against the money line in games played on a grass field this season......
tampa bay is 1-10 against the money line in road games off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite since 1992......
tb is 3-26 against the money line in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging >=5.65 yards/play since 1992....
a system.....
play on - home favorites vs. the money line (carolina) - good team - outscoring opponents by 4 or more points/game, after scoring and allowing 30 pts or more last game.
the situation's record is 28-1 over the last 10 seasons......96.6%......
the average money line posted in these games was: team favored with a money line of.....-170
the average score in these games was......team 27, opponent 16.1.......
the situation's record this season is 2-0.......
over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is 15-0.......
also including n.o.'s win over atlanta, the nfc south division is 23-2 su & 17-6-2 ats at home this year.......
i'll take the home team.......
good luck
since i have been in a 2 week slump, i have been laying low this week.....this is my only play of the week....
carolina...ml (170).......
eventhough tb has won 4 straight, their offense hasn't been playing well & managed only 15 & 11 first downs over the last 2 weeks....in addition they have played 3 teams on the road this year that had a winning % of greater than .500 & lost all 3 games.....on the other hand, the carolina offense looks like they have hit their stride over the last 3 games & are 6-0 at home this year.......
some trends....
carolina is 9-1 against the money line in games played on a grass field this season......
tampa bay is 1-10 against the money line in road games off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite since 1992......
tb is 3-26 against the money line in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging >=5.65 yards/play since 1992....
a system.....
play on - home favorites vs. the money line (carolina) - good team - outscoring opponents by 4 or more points/game, after scoring and allowing 30 pts or more last game.
the situation's record is 28-1 over the last 10 seasons......96.6%......
the average money line posted in these games was: team favored with a money line of.....-170
the average score in these games was......team 27, opponent 16.1.......
the situation's record this season is 2-0.......
over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is 15-0.......
also including n.o.'s win over atlanta, the nfc south division is 23-2 su & 17-6-2 ats at home this year.......
i'll take the home team.......
good luck
Let's bust out of this funk with a big winner tonight :mj06:
