1 versus 16, 2 vs. 15, 3 vs. 14
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92-0 - The all-time record of top seeds against No. 16 seeds in the first round.
88-4 - The record of No. 2s against No. 15 seeds in the first round.(Richmond, 1991, Santa Clara, 1993, Coppin State, 1997, Hampton, 2001).
77-15 - The record of No. 3 teams against No. 14s in the first round.
88-4 - The record of No. 2s against No. 15 seeds in the first round.(Richmond, 1991, Santa Clara, 1993, Coppin State, 1997, Hampton, 2001).
77-15 - The record of No. 3 teams against No. 14s in the first round.
just found this info, it is from 1998-2005 for NCAA Basketball Tournament:
Recent NCAA tournament ATS trends:
- Favorites are just 231-264-8 ATS (46.7%) since ?98 in the NCAA?s.
- Double-digit favorites are 70-79-2 ATS, but were just 5-12 ATS last year.
- Favorites of 3 points or less are just 61-64 SU & 54-71-1 ATS (43.2%) in that span!
Seed Records
The following are the ATS records by seed. Keep in mind that a handful of times, a #1 seed played another #1 seed, or a #2 played a #2, etc. For those who?ve saved past article, you?ll see that the differences in the top and bottom seed performance marks have generally tightened up. In 2005, a unique trend emerged as the #15 & #16 seeds compiled an impressive 7-1 ATS mark despite not winning any of those games.
Seed ATS Record
#1: 63-64-3 (50%)
#2: 41-58-1 (41%)
#3: 51-43 (54%)
#4: 30-42-1 (42%)
#5: 37-34-2 (52%)
#6: 40-33-2 (55%)
#7: 26-30 (46%)
#8: 32-26 (55%)
#9: 24-26 (48%)
#10: 33-26-1 (56%)
#11: 20-23-2 (47%)
#12: 27-22 (55%)
#13: 21-18-2 (54%)
#14: 14-21 (40%)
#15: 20-13 (61%)
#16: 16-18 (47%)
First Round
In looking at the last eight years of first round action, the favorite/underdog results are close to the 50/50 mark at 49%. The lower seeds have put up some impressive numbers over the last three years, covering 55 of the 96 games, or 56%. The most significant trends that have formed in the first round seem to center around the seeded matchups. For instance, the #5 vs #12 matchup has long been regarded as the potential upset, but in truth, the #9 & #10 seeds have been the best underdog of late, splitting their head to head games overall since ?97. Also, the UNDER holds sizable edges in five of the 8 seeded matchups. Take a look at the stats for all of the matchups:
Seed Matchup Results
#1 vs. #16: The #1 seed is 32-0 SU & 17-15 ATS. 16 of 28 totaled games went UNDER.
#2 vs. #15: #2 seeds are 31-1 SU but just 12-20 ATS. 18 of 28 totaled games went UNDER.
#3 vs. #14: This matchup has been owned by the #3 seed, 29-3 SU & 18-14 ATS. OVER/UNDER is 11/17.
#4 vs. #13: The #4 seed is 25-7 SU & 15-16-1 ATS vs the #13. The OVER/UNDER ratio is 15/13.
#5 vs. #12: 5th seeds are 20-12 SU & but 14-17 ATS vs the #12?s. The OVER is 18-10 in the series.
#6 vs. #11: #6 seeds have done fairly well, going 23-9 SU & 17-15 ATS. 17 of the 27 games went UNDER.
#7 vs. #10: As mentioned earlier, the #10 seed is 16-16 SU & ATS in this matchup. The UNDER is 17-9-2.
#8 vs. #9: Another close series, even at 16-16 SU w/ a 17-15 ATS #9 edge. O/U ratio is 15/13.
Recent NCAA tournament ATS trends:
- Favorites are just 231-264-8 ATS (46.7%) since ?98 in the NCAA?s.
- Double-digit favorites are 70-79-2 ATS, but were just 5-12 ATS last year.
- Favorites of 3 points or less are just 61-64 SU & 54-71-1 ATS (43.2%) in that span!
Seed Records
The following are the ATS records by seed. Keep in mind that a handful of times, a #1 seed played another #1 seed, or a #2 played a #2, etc. For those who?ve saved past article, you?ll see that the differences in the top and bottom seed performance marks have generally tightened up. In 2005, a unique trend emerged as the #15 & #16 seeds compiled an impressive 7-1 ATS mark despite not winning any of those games.
Seed ATS Record
#1: 63-64-3 (50%)
#2: 41-58-1 (41%)
#3: 51-43 (54%)
#4: 30-42-1 (42%)
#5: 37-34-2 (52%)
#6: 40-33-2 (55%)
#7: 26-30 (46%)
#8: 32-26 (55%)
#9: 24-26 (48%)
#10: 33-26-1 (56%)
#11: 20-23-2 (47%)
#12: 27-22 (55%)
#13: 21-18-2 (54%)
#14: 14-21 (40%)
#15: 20-13 (61%)
#16: 16-18 (47%)
First Round
In looking at the last eight years of first round action, the favorite/underdog results are close to the 50/50 mark at 49%. The lower seeds have put up some impressive numbers over the last three years, covering 55 of the 96 games, or 56%. The most significant trends that have formed in the first round seem to center around the seeded matchups. For instance, the #5 vs #12 matchup has long been regarded as the potential upset, but in truth, the #9 & #10 seeds have been the best underdog of late, splitting their head to head games overall since ?97. Also, the UNDER holds sizable edges in five of the 8 seeded matchups. Take a look at the stats for all of the matchups:
Seed Matchup Results
#1 vs. #16: The #1 seed is 32-0 SU & 17-15 ATS. 16 of 28 totaled games went UNDER.
#2 vs. #15: #2 seeds are 31-1 SU but just 12-20 ATS. 18 of 28 totaled games went UNDER.
#3 vs. #14: This matchup has been owned by the #3 seed, 29-3 SU & 18-14 ATS. OVER/UNDER is 11/17.
#4 vs. #13: The #4 seed is 25-7 SU & 15-16-1 ATS vs the #13. The OVER/UNDER ratio is 15/13.
#5 vs. #12: 5th seeds are 20-12 SU & but 14-17 ATS vs the #12?s. The OVER is 18-10 in the series.
#6 vs. #11: #6 seeds have done fairly well, going 23-9 SU & 17-15 ATS. 17 of the 27 games went UNDER.
#7 vs. #10: As mentioned earlier, the #10 seed is 16-16 SU & ATS in this matchup. The UNDER is 17-9-2.
#8 vs. #9: Another close series, even at 16-16 SU w/ a 17-15 ATS #9 edge. O/U ratio is 15/13.
2000 - 2006 results: SU, ATS, Average Score...
2000 - 2006 results: SU, ATS, Average Score...
Hope this helps!!!
Number 1 Seed vs. Number 16 Seed
A number 16 seed has never beaten a number 1 seed. That means that numbers 1 seeds are 88-0 straight up for the period 1985-2006. Number 1 seeds have a much better than average chance of making it to the Final Four. Over the same 22-year period, 1985-2006, 13 out of 22 tournament winners have been number one seeds. These numbers should erase any doubt that a number 1 seed, any number 1, has an excellent chance of winning the title.
2000-2006 Results:
SU: 28-0
ATS: 12-15-1
Average Score: 81-56 (2255-1581/28)
Number 2 Seed vs. Number 15 Seed
Number 15 seeds have had a rough go of it in the NCAA Tournament with a 4-84 record against the number 2 seeds. We are still waiting for a number 15 seed to make the Final Four. Number 2 seeds have a very good chance of making the Final Four. During the period 1985-2006 three number 2 seeds have won the national championship.
2000-2006 Results:
SU: 26-2
ATS: 9-19-0
Average Score: 74-60 (2070-1670/28)
Number 3 Seed vs. Number 14 Seed
Number 3 seeds don't win a lot of games against number 14 seeds, but it does happen. In fact, there used to be a yearly upset of a number 3 seed by a 14 seeds but the last several years have been devoid of any of these upsets. There has never been a number 14 seed in the Final Four. Number 3 seeds have a good chance of making it to the Final Four. Number 3 seeds even have a chance to win the championship as three teams have done it since 1985.
2000-2006 Results:
SU: 26-2
ATS: 13-14-1
Average Score: 73-62 (2031-1723/28)
Number 4 Seed vs. Number 13 Seed
Number 13 seeds have not fared well against number 4 seeds over the years, going 18-70 since 1985. A number 13 seed has never made the Final Four. Number 4 seeds have a fair chance of making it to the Final Four. Only one number 4 seed has ever won the national championship.
2000-2006 Results:
SU: 22-6
ATS: 13-15-0
Average Score: 76-68 (2131-1900/28)
Number 5 Seed vs. Number 12 Seed
Number 5 seeds have dominated number 12 seeds by a margin of 61-27. So far, no number 12 seeds have made the Final Four. Number 5 seeds have a so-so chance of making it to the Final Four. Over the period 1985-2006, no number 5 seeds have won the tournament, although two number 5 seeds have made the championship game. Oddly enough, number 12 seeds have a better record against number against number 5 seeds, than do number 11 seeds against number 6 seeds.
2000-2006 Results:
SU: 17-11
ATS: 12-15-1
Average Score: 73-69 (2041-1939/28)
Number 6 Seed vs. Number 11 Seed
Number 6 seeds have dominated number 11 seeds by a margin of 61-27. Only two number 11 seed has made it to the Final Four. Number 6 seeds have a marginal chance of making it to the Final Four. Over the period 1985-2006, only one winner has been a number 6 seed.
2000-2006 Results:
SU: 20-8
ATS: 16-12-0
Average Score: 69-66 (1935-1845/28)
Number 7 Seed vs. Number 10 Seed
Number 7 seeds hold a 53-35 advantage over number 10 seeds over the period 1985-2006. Neither a number 7 seed nor a number 10 seed has ever made the Final Four.
2000-2006 Results:
SU: 17-11
ATS: 17-11-0
Average Score: 70-66 (1948-1844/28)
Number 8 Seed vs. Number 9 Seed
Believe it or not ? actually it's not that hard to believe - number 9 seeds have the advantage, 47-41, against the number 8 seeds. Despite their advantage over the number 8 seeds, a number 9 seed is yet to make it to a Final Four. Number 8 seeds have a slim chance of making it to a Final Four. The only number 8 seed to every win the NCAA Tournament was the 1985 Villanova Wildcats.
2000-2006 Results:
SU: 15-13
ATS: 14-13-1
Average Score: 72-70 (2011-1972/28)
2000 - 2006 results: SU, ATS, Average Score...
Hope this helps!!!
Number 1 Seed vs. Number 16 Seed
A number 16 seed has never beaten a number 1 seed. That means that numbers 1 seeds are 88-0 straight up for the period 1985-2006. Number 1 seeds have a much better than average chance of making it to the Final Four. Over the same 22-year period, 1985-2006, 13 out of 22 tournament winners have been number one seeds. These numbers should erase any doubt that a number 1 seed, any number 1, has an excellent chance of winning the title.
2000-2006 Results:
SU: 28-0
ATS: 12-15-1
Average Score: 81-56 (2255-1581/28)
Number 2 Seed vs. Number 15 Seed
Number 15 seeds have had a rough go of it in the NCAA Tournament with a 4-84 record against the number 2 seeds. We are still waiting for a number 15 seed to make the Final Four. Number 2 seeds have a very good chance of making the Final Four. During the period 1985-2006 three number 2 seeds have won the national championship.
2000-2006 Results:
SU: 26-2
ATS: 9-19-0
Average Score: 74-60 (2070-1670/28)
Number 3 Seed vs. Number 14 Seed
Number 3 seeds don't win a lot of games against number 14 seeds, but it does happen. In fact, there used to be a yearly upset of a number 3 seed by a 14 seeds but the last several years have been devoid of any of these upsets. There has never been a number 14 seed in the Final Four. Number 3 seeds have a good chance of making it to the Final Four. Number 3 seeds even have a chance to win the championship as three teams have done it since 1985.
2000-2006 Results:
SU: 26-2
ATS: 13-14-1
Average Score: 73-62 (2031-1723/28)
Number 4 Seed vs. Number 13 Seed
Number 13 seeds have not fared well against number 4 seeds over the years, going 18-70 since 1985. A number 13 seed has never made the Final Four. Number 4 seeds have a fair chance of making it to the Final Four. Only one number 4 seed has ever won the national championship.
2000-2006 Results:
SU: 22-6
ATS: 13-15-0
Average Score: 76-68 (2131-1900/28)
Number 5 Seed vs. Number 12 Seed
Number 5 seeds have dominated number 12 seeds by a margin of 61-27. So far, no number 12 seeds have made the Final Four. Number 5 seeds have a so-so chance of making it to the Final Four. Over the period 1985-2006, no number 5 seeds have won the tournament, although two number 5 seeds have made the championship game. Oddly enough, number 12 seeds have a better record against number against number 5 seeds, than do number 11 seeds against number 6 seeds.
2000-2006 Results:
SU: 17-11
ATS: 12-15-1
Average Score: 73-69 (2041-1939/28)
Number 6 Seed vs. Number 11 Seed
Number 6 seeds have dominated number 11 seeds by a margin of 61-27. Only two number 11 seed has made it to the Final Four. Number 6 seeds have a marginal chance of making it to the Final Four. Over the period 1985-2006, only one winner has been a number 6 seed.
2000-2006 Results:
SU: 20-8
ATS: 16-12-0
Average Score: 69-66 (1935-1845/28)
Number 7 Seed vs. Number 10 Seed
Number 7 seeds hold a 53-35 advantage over number 10 seeds over the period 1985-2006. Neither a number 7 seed nor a number 10 seed has ever made the Final Four.
2000-2006 Results:
SU: 17-11
ATS: 17-11-0
Average Score: 70-66 (1948-1844/28)
Number 8 Seed vs. Number 9 Seed
Believe it or not ? actually it's not that hard to believe - number 9 seeds have the advantage, 47-41, against the number 8 seeds. Despite their advantage over the number 8 seeds, a number 9 seed is yet to make it to a Final Four. Number 8 seeds have a slim chance of making it to a Final Four. The only number 8 seed to every win the NCAA Tournament was the 1985 Villanova Wildcats.
2000-2006 Results:
SU: 15-13
ATS: 14-13-1
Average Score: 72-70 (2011-1972/28)
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