NBA SUN 032809 early thoughts - value hunting (NO PICKS INSIDE)

clkclass

clkclass

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Mar 18, 2009
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AX where can i find some stats on da Celts totals without KG? THANKS!!!!!!!!
 
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mpnyc76

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believe me i am the ultimate preacher of that - i was just answering the question. I hate early celebrations - this one ill be tight - i should've kept my mouth shut though - you are right
 
Ools

Ools

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Cavs may be legit contenders if they can play this type D ..... consistently
 
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barts185

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Crockie said:
very nice :toast: Perhaps the total will rise like Phoenix-Golden State some days ago. Perhaps the public likes the over?

Only the stats makes me a little confuse :violin:

Over is 5-0 in Suns last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
Over is 4-0 in Suns last 4 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5.
Over is 4-1 in Suns last 5 vs. NBA Pacific.
Over is 4-1 in Suns last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
Over is 4-1 in Suns last 5 road games.
Over is 4-0 in Kings last 4 games as a home underdog.
Over is 4-0 in Kings last 4 games as a home underdog of 5.0-10.5.
Over is 5-1 in Kings last 6 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5.
Over is 4-1 in Kings last 5 Sunday games.
Under is 4-1 in Kings last 5 vs. Western Conference.
Click to expand...

I know I'm chiming in very late here, but it would help a lot with stats like this if you were able to include the average score.

I understand if it's not possible.

If a team is 29-0 over but the average line is 220, and today's line is 238, makes a big difference.

I realize it still goes towards whether or not linesmakers are setting things correctly for a team.

This is one of the biggest issues I have with some sites that sell angles - they don't include MOV, or they ignore it when saying that a team is 10-0 ATS but the avg. MOV is 3 and today's line is 12 (making that up as an example).

Good Luck,
Bart
 
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oracleman

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Mar 24, 2001
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Axp .. which total you like today? Thanks.

Axp .. which total you like today? Thanks.

nt
 
grindstone

grindstone

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Hey AX back from Virginia had a great time. Hope all is well I will be back with my % public #'s, can I help out in any way?? This Phx line is note looking right will look into it

:) :Yep: dance1
 
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Crockie

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Mar 22, 2009
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barts185 said:
I know I'm chiming in very late here, but it would help a lot with stats like this if you were able to include the average score.

I understand if it's not possible.

If a team is 29-0 over but the average line is 220, and today's line is 238, makes a big difference.

I realize it still goes towards whether or not linesmakers are setting things correctly for a team.

This is one of the biggest issues I have with some sites that sell angles - they don't include MOV, or they ignore it when saying that a team is 10-0 ATS but the avg. MOV is 3 and today's line is 12 (making that up as an example).

Good Luck,
Bart
Click to expand...

yes that's right. but the total is always set to the points of both teams. so i think these stats say something.

here are more stats i found:

Last 5 games with no rest.

at Portland 109-129
at Golden State 154-130
at Miami 129-134
vs Toronto 133-113
at LA Clippers 142-119

Combined Avg Score: 258.4 ppg

Suns are facing the 29th worst defensive team in the league.

Sacramento has allowed 110.5 ppg in their last six home games in regulation. To allow that average translate to about at least 125 points for Suns.

 
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Crockie

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Mar 22, 2009
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under looks VERY good. was my biggest play today. lost with dallas +9 but it was "only" a small play....
 
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mpnyc76

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let me know when it is safe - don't want to get hit with a thunderbolt or worse, a moose.
:s5: :00x29
 
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