Stick with what's hot and not with what's not

Theboundbook

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A very simple thought, but it is EXTREMELY profitable to follow this logic.... Raymond used to put up which teams were hot, how much they made last 10, etc... Those charts were GREAT INDICATORS to who would win before they even got on the field...

FLA, TOR, SEA (xcept for tonight) were all teams that continued the slaughter.... WAS AND HOU may be changing things around, but I would still bet against em most days.... (Didnt bet against them on THURS. thank God. Just pushed on the over with Was and left Pitt alone because it was a coin flip.....) My system told me to take Was. but I couldnt because they had yet to win... And until a team can prove they can, I dont throw money at any team that is "due". If you do do that, you will pay "DUES" for a long time....

Just wanted to throw this out there and remind myself and others on how important streaks are in making money with baseball year in and year out....

Feel free to add any thoughts or easy system stuff you believe would help me or us here on the board... Good luck to everyone and wish you all the best!
 

MonkeyPants

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Avoid betting on favorites that play on the road against division rivals.

For Friday, this would mean take WASH +115 (over Florida) and SF +125 (over Arizona).
 

Theboundbook

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Avoid betting on favorites that play on the road against division rivals.

For Friday, this would mean take WASH +115 (over Florida) and SF +125 (over Arizona).

eeek. Tough for me to bet on two losing streakers.... and against my FLA team.... (FLA and Tex are my picks to surprise everyone this year in playoffs and beyond! :scared )

How is your system above doing?
 

jer-z jock

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Isolated Games

Just a quick easy one..when a game is singled out or isolated (first game of the day or last) the dog gets the win more often then not, betting this style alone would make a good profit. Usually u see alot of +170 pitchers and winning a few +200 along with that makes it easy to swallow 2-3 losers back to back at times if it goes that way
 

Theboundbook

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Isolated Games

Just a quick easy one..when a game is singled out or isolated (first game of the day or last) the dog gets the win more often then not, betting this style alone would make a good profit. Usually u see alot of +170 pitchers and winning a few +200 along with that makes it easy to swallow 2-3 losers back to back at times if it goes that way
Do you have last years stats on this, or maybe yours from last year, or if possible this year... I am looking to make a "Super System" this season to maximize profits and minimize losses on losing streaks which unfortunately do and always will happen.... In this "Super System" I will be adding bits and pieces of your guys' system's, thoughts, to what is working with mine and hopefully making a chitload more than I already am....
 

jer-z jock

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Do you have last years stats on this, or maybe yours from last year, or if possible this year... I am looking to make a "Super System" this season to maximize profits and minimize losses on losing streaks which unfortunately do and always will happen.... In this "Super System" I will be adding bits and pieces of your guys' system's, thoughts, to what is working with mine and hopefully making a chitload more than I already am....

Unfortunately I dont have results, I included the ISOLATED GAMES link because in that thread theres a few good links to research the results if 1 chooses, I KNOW ITS MAKING MORE THEN LOSING how much good question, a buddy and myself talked about this lastyear and so far this year, he asked me not to mention it for his OWN REASONS but Im no witch doctor so I dont beleive me typing this will change the outcome....Id like to know the exact results myself..maybe Ill look into it, but thats gonna be a shitload of research to find the DOG THE GAMETIME (ISOLATED OR NOT) AND THE WINNER:eek: :( Well, lets make a point to keep it tracked from here on out:SIB
 

Theboundbook

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Unfortunately I dont have results, I included the ISOLATED GAMES link because in that thread theres a few good links to research the results if 1 chooses, I KNOW ITS MAKING MORE THEN LOSING how much good question, a buddy and myself talked about this lastyear and so far this year, he asked me not to mention it for his OWN REASONS but Im no witch doctor so I dont beleive me typing this will change the outcome....Id like to know the exact results myself..maybe Ill look into it, but thats gonna be a shitload of research to find the DOG THE GAMETIME (ISOLATED OR NOT) AND THE WINNER:eek: :( Well, lets make a point to keep it tracked from here on out:SIB


Sounds good. Dont make it so much work that you hate what you are doing... You get to that point, and the losing will be sure to go with it... I am speaking from experience... Make sure you ALWAYS enjoy the capping/studying. You seem to win more often; or if you do lose, its a game you can say to yourself, well, that's baseball and it was a fluke I lost.... ;) :D ;)
 

LordofBalls

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agree with you original statement...

if they're hot teams , then stay with em...

if they're frigid... stay away for a few series...

and even the worst tms win 60 or more games...

and the best teams still lose about 60...


Best o' Luck!

LoB :SIB
 

kirbjones

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Hey bound i Found this in another Fourm But gives good info on whos hot and whos cold



Friday, April 17

Hot Pitchers
-- Zambrano is 1-0, 3.00 in his first two '09 starts.
-- Jurrjens is 2-0, 3.27 in his first two starts. Pirates are 2-0 in Maholm starts this season (1-0, 1.98).
-- Young is 2-0, 2.07 in two starts this season.
-- Bush is 1-0, 3.80 in his last four starts.
-- Haren has 2.07 RA in two starts, but Arizona scored total of one run in the two games and lost both.

-- Reyes is 3-1, 2.45 in his last seven starts.
-- Guthrie is 2-0, 2.25 so far this season.
-- Colon tossed six shutout innings in his '09 debut for the White Sox; he is 5-2, 4.60 in his last eight starts. Rays are 16-5 in Shields' last 21 home starts.
-- Meche is 0-0, 3.21 in his first two '09 starts.
-- Mariners won both Hernandez starts, scoring 14 runs (1-0, 4.15).

Cold Pitchers
-- Walters is making big league debut here; he is 10-4 in 24 AAA starts.
-- Nolasco is 1-1, 7.36 in his first two '09 starts. Lannan is 0-2, 9.00 in his two starts this season.
-- Hamels gave up seven runs in 3.2 IP at Coors Field in his '09 debut.
-- LHernandez has 6.23 RA in his last six starts.
-- Oswalt is 0-2, 6.23 in his first two starts. Cueto is 1-5, 5.03 in his last eight starts.
-- de la Rosa has a 6.18 RA in his last five starts. Wolf is 1-1, 3.65 in his first two starts.
-- Sanchez is 0-3, 13.89 in his last three starts.

-- Chamberlain is 1-1, 5.40 in his last three starts.
-- Outman is 1-2, 4.91 in five major league starts. Purcey is 0-1, 6.17 in his two starts this season.
-- Penny has a 7.78 RA in his last four starts.
-- Harrison has a 7.98 RA in his last three starts.
-- Moseley has a 5.46 RA in his last six starts. Blackburn is 0-1, 6.55 in his first two '09 starts.
-- Verlander has an 11.42 RA in his first two '09 starts.

Hot Teams
-- Cardinals won seven of their last eight games.
-- Marlins won eight of their first nine games.
-- San Diego won six of its last seven games. Phillies won three of their last four games.
-- Cincinnati won three of its last four games. Astros won their last two games, 4-1/6-3.
-- Dodgers won last five games by combined score of 37-10.

-- Cleveland is 3-2 in last five games after an 0-5 start.
-- Toronto won eight of its first eleven games.
-- Orioles won six of first nine games, are 3-0 in series openers.
-- White Sox won four of their last five games.
-- Royals won three of their last four games.
-- Mariners won six of their last seven games. Detroit won four of its last five games.

Cold Teams
-- Cubs lost their last two games, 5-2/7-4.
-- Nationals snapped their seven-game losing streak last night.
-- Braves lost last three games, allowing 21 runs. Pirates lost three of their last four games.
-- Brewers lost four of their last five games. Mets lost five of last seven.
-- Rockies lost three of their last four games.
-- Arizona lost six of its last eight games. Giants lost their last six games in a row, outscored by total of 42-14.

-- Oakland lost four of its last six games.
-- Red Sox lost six of their last eight games.
-- Rays lost five of their last seven games.
-- Rangers lost five of their last six games.
-- Angels are 0-3 this season in game following a win. Twins lost five of their last six games.

Totals
-- Last three St Louis games all went over the total.
-- Three of last four Florida games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Pittsburgh games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 5-0-1 in Philadelphia's last six games.
-- Four of last five Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Six of Reds' last seven games went over the total. Last four Houston games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Dodger games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Arizona games went over the total.

-- Eight of ten Cleveland games went over the total.
-- Seven of last eight Oakland games went over the total.
-- Seven of nine Baltimore games went over the total.
-- Seven of nine White Sox games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of nine Kansas City games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Detroit games.
 

Missy

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I totally agree with you bound just be willing to adjust to different teams and streaks every team will go through a bad streak and good being able to change is the key.After 2 Straight losses no matter how hot a team has Been I get off them and the same for winning.
 

jer-z jock

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Isolated Games

Just a quick easy one..when a game is singled out or isolated (first game of the day or last) the dog gets the win more often then not, betting this style alone would make a good profit. Usually u see alot of +170 pitchers and winning a few +200 along with that makes it easy to swallow 2-3 losers back to back at times if it goes that way

Almost forgot about this thread:nono:

(sorry late-but for tracking only)

4/17- 1st game of the day
Cleveland +170 vs Yanks 1:00 EST L

YTD 0-1 (-$100)
 
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Theboundbook

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Hey bound i Found this in another Fourm But gives good info on whos hot and whos cold



Friday, April 17

Hot Pitchers
-- Zambrano is 1-0, 3.00 in his first two '09 starts.
-- Jurrjens is 2-0, 3.27 in his first two starts. Pirates are 2-0 in Maholm starts this season (1-0, 1.98).
-- Young is 2-0, 2.07 in two starts this season.
-- Bush is 1-0, 3.80 in his last four starts.
-- Haren has 2.07 RA in two starts, but Arizona scored total of one run in the two games and lost both.

-- Reyes is 3-1, 2.45 in his last seven starts.
-- Guthrie is 2-0, 2.25 so far this season.
-- Colon tossed six shutout innings in his '09 debut for the White Sox; he is 5-2, 4.60 in his last eight starts. Rays are 16-5 in Shields' last 21 home starts.
-- Meche is 0-0, 3.21 in his first two '09 starts.
-- Mariners won both Hernandez starts, scoring 14 runs (1-0, 4.15).

Cold Pitchers
-- Walters is making big league debut here; he is 10-4 in 24 AAA starts.
-- Nolasco is 1-1, 7.36 in his first two '09 starts. Lannan is 0-2, 9.00 in his two starts this season.
-- Hamels gave up seven runs in 3.2 IP at Coors Field in his '09 debut.
-- LHernandez has 6.23 RA in his last six starts.
-- Oswalt is 0-2, 6.23 in his first two starts. Cueto is 1-5, 5.03 in his last eight starts.
-- de la Rosa has a 6.18 RA in his last five starts. Wolf is 1-1, 3.65 in his first two starts.
-- Sanchez is 0-3, 13.89 in his last three starts.

-- Chamberlain is 1-1, 5.40 in his last three starts.
-- Outman is 1-2, 4.91 in five major league starts. Purcey is 0-1, 6.17 in his two starts this season.
-- Penny has a 7.78 RA in his last four starts.
-- Harrison has a 7.98 RA in his last three starts.
-- Moseley has a 5.46 RA in his last six starts. Blackburn is 0-1, 6.55 in his first two '09 starts.
-- Verlander has an 11.42 RA in his first two '09 starts.

Hot Teams
-- Cardinals won seven of their last eight games.
-- Marlins won eight of their first nine games.
-- San Diego won six of its last seven games. Phillies won three of their last four games.
-- Cincinnati won three of its last four games. Astros won their last two games, 4-1/6-3.
-- Dodgers won last five games by combined score of 37-10.

-- Cleveland is 3-2 in last five games after an 0-5 start.
-- Toronto won eight of its first eleven games.
-- Orioles won six of first nine games, are 3-0 in series openers.
-- White Sox won four of their last five games.
-- Royals won three of their last four games.
-- Mariners won six of their last seven games. Detroit won four of its last five games.

Cold Teams
-- Cubs lost their last two games, 5-2/7-4.
-- Nationals snapped their seven-game losing streak last night.
-- Braves lost last three games, allowing 21 runs. Pirates lost three of their last four games.
-- Brewers lost four of their last five games. Mets lost five of last seven.
-- Rockies lost three of their last four games.
-- Arizona lost six of its last eight games. Giants lost their last six games in a row, outscored by total of 42-14.

-- Oakland lost four of its last six games.
-- Red Sox lost six of their last eight games.
-- Rays lost five of their last seven games.
-- Rangers lost five of their last six games.
-- Angels are 0-3 this season in game following a win. Twins lost five of their last six games.

Totals
-- Last three St Louis games all went over the total.
-- Three of last four Florida games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Pittsburgh games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 5-0-1 in Philadelphia's last six games.
-- Four of last five Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Six of Reds' last seven games went over the total. Last four Houston games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Dodger games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Arizona games went over the total.

-- Eight of ten Cleveland games went over the total.
-- Seven of last eight Oakland games went over the total.
-- Seven of nine Baltimore games went over the total.
-- Seven of nine White Sox games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of nine Kansas City games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Detroit games.

Hey if you would, post this Sunday night with updated chit, so I can be "in tune" with what happened Sat and Sunday and get right back in the hunt for 100k season on Monday? It would really help me big time and save me alotta backtracing through games...
 

jer-z jock

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4/20

4/20

Isolated Game:

Orioles +2?? vs BoSox 11Am EST (make up game)

woke up late..missed start of game and not sure of the ML but I know its 200+
 

jer-z jock

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4/20

4/20

Isolated Game:

Orioles +2?? vs BoSox 11Am EST (make up game)

woke up late..missed start of game and not sure of the ML but I know its 200+
 

lpbc

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isolated games

isolated games

Go to ScoresAndOdds.com They list the games by time and the results. There is a calendar on the right, just pick the day you want. I glanced at it real quickly, it is a 50/50 prop. at best
 
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