NBA TUE 042109 early thoughts - value hunting (Playoffs)

[axp59]

The way POR looked in gm1, they would be a perfect candidate to fade SU. I'm not sure how I feel about the 6 DAL is getting. Do I think POR will win by 2 possessions? Two possessions is a close game in the last of 4Q. If it's this close, I think it comes down to experience. If I play HOU, I may break up my 1U with a fraction on the ML.

 

[CoFred]

Ax...FWIW our friend IWM is on Houston +5.5, O183, and the Lakers -11.5. I see you both like Houston.

 

[axp59]

Thanks pal...He or she is a solid capper.

 

[Ools]

2hf det/clev -- line on o/u is 89 -- 13 pt bump from 1st half -- det will probably put up a little fight here, physical it up, some extra fouls - smells over

 

[Eagle123]

Hi Ax, I have bet on Det under 178 today.

 

[Eagle123]

Total is 176, win by 12 points.

Close call Ax, but we won:mj06: :mj06:

 

[axp59]

Total is 176, win by 12 points.

Close call Ax, but we won:mj06: :mj06:

Another good night Eagle...5-1 and liking it :toast:

 

[BIGWave]

Another good night Eagle...5-1 and liking it :toast:

Ax,

Are you not posting actual plays anymore???? :shrug:

 

[axp59]

Ax,

Are you not posting actual plays anymore???? :shrug:

Dave,
I posted the CLE play. I had this guy :00hour next to CLE and next to DET. Maybe I was being 'too cute' with the emoticons :shrug: I was trying to say DET is confused and CLE is celebrating.

the 2 plays I didn't post tonight are still live.

got that split unit play on HOU+ and a fraction on HOU ML
plus
the crazy +134 parlay CLE/LAL ML and UTA/LAL over.

 

[easterntimezone]

Another good night Eagle...5-1 and liking it :toast:

Nice one, Ax - :00hour

That Cleveland bench still is woefully suspect - prone to blowing large leads during the regular season, nothing's improved since then which spells more work for the starters and added tension on Mike Brown's furrowed brow.

Personally hoping that the Houston +6 remains intact by the close of the game to finish off 2-0 for the day :mj09:

 

[axp59]

Personally hoping that the Houston +6 remains intact by the close of the game to finish off 2-0 for the day :mj09:

I'm with you ETZ. HOU can do this SU!

 

[easterntimezone]

I'm with you ETZ. HOU can do this SU!

Sorry about the Houston ML, Ax - glad the spread covered for you though.

What will the Trail Blazers do in Houston w/o the added boost of the Rose Garden behind them in combination w/ their aversion to wins on the road?

 

[axp59]

not a bad night...now the lakers need to win.

POR is in big trouble.

 

[axp59]

ok, so it looks like we have 2 SU winners tonight. I was also thinking about playing the UTA/LAL over.

single play on UTA/LAL -110/100
parlay with CLE, LAL SU +134/100

value? if either CLE or LAL lose, it's already a bad card since the predictablilty factor is already out the window. has anyone capped either of these 2 teams losing tonight's game? If I were to bet either of these games against a coworker who doesn't know anything about spreads, which team would I pick? why not throw 'em in with the over and get the 34 cents.

just a thought. my play tonight will be on DET/CLE side but still reading.

hmm wasn't such a crazy idea afterall. :mj07:

 

[BIGWave]

Dave,
I posted the CLE play. I had this guy :00hour next to CLE and next to DET. Maybe I was being 'too cute' with the emoticons :shrug: I was trying to say DET is confused and CLE is celebrating.

the 2 plays I didn't post tonight are still live.

got that split unit play on HOU+ and a fraction on HOU ML
plus
the crazy +134 parlay CLE/LAL ML and UTA/LAL over.

Nice ones......................even though CLEV attempted to give it away at the end.......

Not so crazy on the parlay at all!!!!