Midweek College Ball

[Mr. Poon]

Updated Record: 44-33 for +36.4 units

One play today:

Louisville -120 (vs. Ohio St.) for 3 units ? These two teams are pretty even offensively, though I would give a slight edge to Ville. Regarding pitching, the edge for a mid-week game is very heavy towards Louisville. Even though starters haven?t been named for either squad, considering the likely candidates to start and the bullpen, Louisville bests Ohio State in both areas. Outside of Ohio State?s ace Alex Wimmers (who threw a no-hitter this past weekend) and their closer Jake Hale, their pitching is a weak link of their team. The team?s ERA excluding those two is 6.49 and opponents have hit .309 off of them. Since beginning conference play, the Buckeye?s are 3-3 in mid-week contests and that is mostly against average to bad competition. I believe the weak record in those games against meager competition speaks to the issue with their pitching. Louisville is much better than any of those squads that they faced. Now OSU did throw Wimmers in a mid-week game earlier this season (vs. Miami), however that was still on 5 days of rest. He threw 133 pitches in that no-hitter on Saturday so he won?t be seen in tonight?s game.

Was tempted with Elon +240 as they have a pretty explosive offense (averaging over 10 runs a game and 2 HR's/game). However UNC is fully rested not playing this past weekend, so I'm steering clear of that one.

GL guys.

 

[Mr. Poon]

Louisville blasts Ohio State 21-5. It wasn't even that close if you can say that. They were up 21-0 before giving up the 5 spot in the top of the 9th.

Updated record: 45-33 for +39.4 units

 

[composite]

who offers college baseball lines?

 

[Mr. Poon]

TheGreek and BetUS do now that I know of. I've seen them at 5dimes in the past too I believe. As it gets into the postseason, from Regionals (last weekend of May) to the College World Series (starts 2nd weekend in June), more sportsbooks will post them.

 

[Mr. Poon]

one early play:

Louisville -150 (vs. Ohio St.) for 1 unit - this is a Noon est game. The pitching edge I wrote about yesterday will still be there for this game. The Cardinal bats being red hot doesn't hurt either.

I will likely have a play on Kansas later, but looking into a couple of things first.

GL guys.

 

[Mr. Poon]

The Ville is off to a good start leading 7-1 in the top of the 5th (the game was delayed a couple hours due to rain). One more play:

Kansas -150 (@ Wichita St.) for 3 units ? Quite a bit to like about the #23 Jayhawks in this matchup. First Wichita State played a 13 inning affair last night at home against Oral Roberts and lost 7-6. The Shocker?s bullpen isn?t bad, but is not as good as Kansas? in my mind. So also considering they were used for 10 1/3 innings last night, that isn?t good for them. (Kansas didn?t have a game yesterday.) Offensively Kansas has a distinct edge even though they are far from an overpowering offensive team. Wichita St. is only batting .273 as a team and scoring 5.4 runs per game. Kansas has a .301 team avg. and has put up 7.3 runs per game against a much tougher schedule. The last bit is starting pitching which also goes Kansas? way. Wichita St. sends Freshman Brian Flynn to the mound. Flynn is the Shocker?s typical mid-week starter, but has faced some tough competition as many of Wichita St.?s midweek games are against Big XII clubs, including a loss back in March to Kansas. Due to this tougher competition, Flynn?s stats aren?t great as he has a 5.93 ERA; 1.46 WHIP; and a .256 opponents avg. Kansas will counter with a Freshman in Lee Ridenhauer. Ridenhauer has a bit better statistics in 4.10 ERA; 1.34 WHIP; and a .273 opponents avg. The ironic thing is that Ridenhauer has been in the Jayhawks? weekend rotation since conference play started, so both starters #?s are against very similar competition. The reason Ridenhauer is going tonight is because he was blasted on Sunday not making it out of the first inning against Oklahoma. The Sooners are a very good offensive club though and he?s pitched well in his outings prior to that. He likely won?t go many innings tonight, but that is where the bullpen will come into play.

GL guys.

 

[Cie]

Good stuff, poon. I look forward to your insight in the postseason. That's when my books will offer lines.

GL on these:toast:

 

[Mr. Poon]

Cie - thanks. I'll actually be out of the country for the final weekend of conference tournaments through the weekend of the Regionals. In my past experience, Regionals are the hardest weekend of the postseason to wager as solid pitching matchups aren't always available. Some teams hold back their #1 pitcher from the opening game to face a higher seed and other crazy things like coaches bring back aces on two days rest that make it a bit tough to judge. Plus the lines are so pricey on the fav's you have to be completely sure, or find a good dog to to roll with.

I'll be back in the swing by the Super Regionals though. I've had much more success for those in years past as they are basically like a standard weekend series.

 

[Mr. Poon]

Louisville won the early game by the way 12-7 in a slugfest. Kind of an odd stat, but Ohio State belted 5 HR's to Louisville's 1 HR. If you were a coach and told before the game your team was going to hit 5 long-balls while the other club only 1, you would think you would be pretty happy.

 

[hawkeye]

Poontang-I follow all your plays and of course I a up $$-thanks-you know yo:00hour ur shit!

 

[Mr. Poon]

hawkeye - thanks for the kind words. Just consider it repayment for your solid college b-ball under plays I follow.

This has been the first year that I've posted plays during the regular season and I'm glad it is helping some others out.

 

[Mr. Poon]

Kansas wins 8-3.

Updated Record: 47-33 for +43.4 units.

See you guys on Friday.