NBA THU 050709 early thoughts - value hunting (Playoffs)

JBrilman

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Mar 18, 2009
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KB and everyone...this is NO LOCK. I'm guessing just like everyone else.

I must address something. For the $1000 players, my plays in the regular season and playoff brought in almost $50,000 this year. The $100 player, about $5k and even the $10 player cashed in about $500.
If you live in the city, give a panhandler $5. Don't give change or 1 dollar, make it worth something. Or, go out and buy your kid(s) a toy. Get rid of the negative vibes from yesterday. Get on karma's good side. Pass on your appreciation and thanks by making someone else's day. If you really want to show your thanks and appreciation...give to the Fallen Heroes Fund for our wounded vets.


VERY TRUE and GLAD YOU SAID IT!!


I don't follow all your plays and usually have a few of my own so I am definitely not up as much as I should be but I am profitable. Tuesday night we couldn't get a sitter to go out for Cinco De Mayo and my wife was pretty bummed as she knew we had a GREAT night betting, so I got tickets to see Dave Matthews Friday night, hoping that is a nice substitute. Always feels good to do something that brings a smile to someone else's face.

I realize that was not a donation but I wanted to share.

I am a housing counselor and run a non profit agency that doesn't charge homeowners to help them stay out of foreclosure so I am doing my good deeds all day!! If you know of people in Nevada who can use my help

www housinghelpfornevada org


KARMA IS A MUST (especially to us sports bettors LOL)
 

mpnyc76

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Mar 24, 2009
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Ax - i was having a bad day at work - hope there are no hard feelings. I'm on Cavs and under tonight.
 

grindstone

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Mar 18, 2009
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KB and everyone...this is NO LOCK. I'm guessing just like everyone else.

I must address something. For the $1000 players, my plays in the regular season and playoff brought in almost $50,000 this year. The $100 player, about $5k and even the $10 player cashed in about $500.
If you live in the city, give a panhandler $5. Don't give change or 1 dollar, make it worth something. Or, go out and buy your kid(s) a toy. Get rid of the negative vibes from yesterday. Get on karma's good side. Pass on your appreciation and thanks by making someone else's day. If you really want to show your thanks and appreciation...give to the Fallen Heroes Fund for our wounded vets.

This is what I'm talking about AX. You are a class act Sir. Well said. Hats off to you Sir

GL with your plays :Yep:
 

Slicer

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Mar 18, 2009
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North Carolina
Accuscore:

Cavs 17.5 and 176.5

Accuscore Sides: 20-29-2
Accuscore Totals: 33-18-1

Trendworthy notes:

+4.0 on the favorite is 3-12
Under of 1.0 or less is 19-18, this improves to 30-16-1 if the Under reaches the 1.1-2.0 realm. Hoping for that extra 1/2 point by close.

Already cashed my MLB winner today, going to the icewell tonight with Detroit, Chicago and Salami Over 10.5.

HOW BOUT MY CANES!!!:00hour
 

ninosaturnino

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Oct 14, 2008
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KB and everyone...this is NO LOCK. I'm guessing just like everyone else.

I must address something. For the $1000 players, my plays in the regular season and playoff brought in almost $50,000 this year. The $100 player, about $5k and even the $10 player cashed in about $500.
If you live in the city, give a panhandler $5. Don't give change or 1 dollar, make it worth something. Or, go out and buy your kid(s) a toy. Get rid of the negative vibes from yesterday. Get on karma's good side. Pass on your appreciation and thanks by making someone else's day. If you really want to show your thanks and appreciation...give to the Fallen Heroes Fund for our wounded vets.

my hats off to you sir....and is a big hat.:)
 

JBrilman

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Mar 18, 2009
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Some thoughts on this game.

There is no way to account for game speed offense. You can practice until you fall down and you still cant simulate the intensity. With all the time off that showed in the Cavs first half as they were late to close out on Bibby several times and let Smith hit a variety of jumpers. Essentially keeping Atlanta in the game. I POUNDED the 2nd half of that game knowing Atlanta wouldn't get that same kind of production in the 2nd half.

The 2nd half they made their adjustments and we saw the result 50-28, including an 11 point 4th quarter by the Hawks.

I look for the Cleavland Lebron's to pick up right where they left off. They are the #1 defensive team and even better at home.

My 2 cents on the UNDER
 
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omega

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Mar 23, 2009
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WELL SAID AX

CLASSY GUY WHO APPRECIATE WHAT OTHERS
DOSENT HAVE

THANKS FOR MAKING US A BETTER PERSON

MAY THE GOOD KARMA BE WITH U AND FAMILY
AND EVERYONE ELSE TOO

BOLTA
 

axp59

Jarhead
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Oct 8, 2008
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Taxachusetts
my plays

NBA [716] CLE GM2 -13-110

this one pays +102
NBA [716] TOTAL u180?-110 (ATL GM2 vrs CLE GM2)/[716] CLE GM2 -1700

back late night or tomorrow
BOLTA
 

ari

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May 6, 2009
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first post - but thanks for the winners Ax et al - I appreciate the insight of these treads. Does anyone see any value in Cavs Over 24.5 1Q? I just can't see them putting up less than 25.
 

Griffin8s

Devil Dog
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Mar 18, 2009
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Ohio
Some thoughts on this game.

There is no way to account for game speed offense. You can practice until you fall down and you still cant simulate the intensity. WIll all the time off that showed in the Cavs first half as they were late to close out on Bibby several times and let Smith hit a variety of jumpers. Essentially keeping Atlanta in the game. I POUNDED the 2nd half of that game knowing Atlanta wouldnt get that same kind of production in the 2nd half.

The 2nd half they made their adjustments and we saw the result 50-28, including an 11 point 4th quarter by the Hawks.

I look for the Cleavland Lebron's to pick up right where they left off. They are the #1 defensive team and even better at home.

My 2 cents on the UNDER

HOMER ALERT!

How can we not be all over this UNDER tonight. Cavs were maybe a little to amped for the first game with the MVP and the week of waiting to play. I say they will slow down a bit and pick up that defense to another level. My take on the score tonight is 90-74. Everyone in the Cleveland area is talking sweep again and also keeping the home record going with only 2 loses this year. Ax said it the other night they are on a mission! GL to us tonight. Ready for another big one!:00hour
 

JBrilman

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Forum Member
Mar 18, 2009
648
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Las Vegas
my plays

NBA [716] CLE GM2 -13-110

this one pays +102
NBA [716] TOTAL u180?-110 (ATL GM2 vrs CLE GM2)/[716] CLE GM2 -1700

back late night or tomorrow
BOLTA

I bet my parlay WAY to early....my under is 178. I still think its safe and might buy more...
 

joe_shmoe

Dictator
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Mar 18, 2009
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I figured the total would move up... but 4 pts? Are you kidding me? I have a couple of small plays on the 1H over and won't be touching the FG total at all.
 

JBrilman

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Mar 18, 2009
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Las Vegas
I figured the total would move up... but 4 pts? Are you kidding me? I have a couple of small plays on the 1H over and won't be touching the FG total at all.

You called it and figured I would be giving up a little betting at 930am but not 3 points...


NO WILLIAMS OR HORFORD TONIGHT FELLAS!

CAVS ROLL AND THE UNDER LOOKS EVEN BETTER NOW!
 

joe_shmoe

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Mar 18, 2009
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You called it and figured I would be giving up a little betting at 930am but not 3 points...


NO WILLIAMS OR HORFORD TONIGHT FELLAS!

CAVS ROLL AND THE UNDER LOOKS EVEN BETTER NOW!

I actually think that horford and williams being out helps the over, not the under.

Again, that's just my opinion but that's what I'm seeing. GLTA.
 

joe_shmoe

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Mar 18, 2009
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8 times out of 10, I would play the under in a situation like the one that we are seeing... but my 2H play in on the over.

I guess I'm putting my neck on the chopping block since the total went from 91 down to 89.5 at my book.
 

Eagle123

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Mar 18, 2009
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Little scary in the last few minutes.

But again we made it Ax:mj06: :mj06:
 
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