MLB FRI 050809 early thoughts - value hunting

[axp59]

Since this is suppose to be a value thread, here are today's value numbers according to my book's numbers last night and using ACCU win prob %.

the first $ amt is the team's value with current ML
the second $ is the diff between the two teams and what I refer to as TRUE value
the third $ in the average of the first 2 $

Play
PHI PHILLIES , Pitcher: C HAMELS-L
$125.26 $144.56 $134.91
Play
NY METS , Pitcher: J NIESE-L
$133.30 $120.08 $126.69
Play
CIN REDS , Pitcher: J CUETO-R
$112.55 $105.86 $109.21
Play
MIL BREWERS , Pitcher: D BUSH-R
$114.77 $124.04 $119.41
Play
HOU ASTROS , Pitcher: W RODRIGUEZ-L
$122.17 $129.98 $126.08
Play
COL ROCKIES , Pitcher: J HAMMEL-R
$109.86 $8.96 $59.41
Play
ARI D'BACKS , Pitcher: Y PETIT-R
$113.57 $132.14 $122.86
Play
LA DODGERS , Pitcher: BILLINGSLEY-R
$129.10 $150.53 $139.82
Play
NY YANKEES , Pitcher: C SABATHIA-L
$123.14 $119.90 $121.52
Play
TAM RAYS , Pitcher: J SHIELDS-R
$107.23 $4.64 $55.94
Play
CLE INDIANS , Pitcher: C LEE-L
$111.76 $129.44 $120.60
Play
MIN TWINS , Pitcher: S BAKER-R
$129.67 $137.18 $133.42
Play
CHI W SOX , Pitcher: J CONTRERAS-R
$111.23 $125.12 $118.18
Play
LA ANGELS , Pitcher: M PALMER-R
$107.06 $3.76 $55.41
Play
TOR B-JAYS , Pitcher: S RICHMOND-R
$107.67 $6.52 $57.09

 

[sharktank]

Warning for Reds play. No Votto or heating up Phillips Cueto terrible #s vs Cards and Piniero has great junk which will probably keep the young overly aggresive Red bats searching for fastballs. Maybe an under play even at Great America

 

[sharktank]

Brad Penny bb to k ratio bad high whip and era. Shields 6 hour horrible at fenway maybe an over? Cliff Lee vs Verlander. Verlander great in last 3 starts changed release point since first of season but has thrown 200+inn in last 2 starts. Lee has pitched better lately maybe an under play. White Sox Rangers , Rangers don't take walks on the road. Contreras hasn't pitched great but velocity is up to 92 94. Like Sox with the value. Angels vs Royals, looks odd Royals fav but Palmer is just there to eat innings. Meche is leaking lately fatigue? Looking at #s right now uh no play.

 

[Slicer]

Thanks alot Slice you have been on fire with the NHL any plays tonight??

I post nightly in the NHL forums at "the other place", wish I had seen this earlier but I had pitt/wash Over 5.5 and the Canes ML tonight

 

[grindstone]

I post nightly in the NHL forums at "the other place", wish I had seen this earlier but I had pitt/wash Over 5.5 and the Canes ML tonight

Thanks Slice good luck to you Sir. Hoping for your Canes to move on as the bruins kicked my Montreal Canadiens out.

 

[grindstone]

I post nightly in the NHL forums at "the other place", wish I had seen this earlier but I had pitt/wash Over 5.5 and the Canes ML tonight

Hey Slice was in the Cape Hateras,NC last year at this time . Nice place brother.Hey Slice are you SlicerDicer on the other Site? I've asked you to be a friend

 

[grindstone]

I post nightly in the NHL forums at "the other place", wish I had seen this earlier but I had pitt/wash Over 5.5 and the Canes ML tonight

Perfect night Slice 2-0


Congrats :00hour