NBA TUES 051209 early thoughts - value hunting (Playoffs)
- Thread starter Ools
- Start date
i am going with celtics -2 it is short line and boston are well capable win tonight. over here.
and houston +12. they are tough team and even without ming may well cause serious problems to lakers they seem to be mentally strong. another over.
and houston +12. they are tough team and even without ming may well cause serious problems to lakers they seem to be mentally strong. another over.
- Mar 18, 2009
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Pick your poison I suppose:
Houston
Against The Spread Performance After a Win
After 10-19 Point Win
Overall O H A <2 DR
HOU 11-13-1 3-5-1 8-8-0 9-12-1
LAL
Against The Spread Performance After a Loss
After 10-19 Point Loss
Overall O H A <2 DR
LAL 1-6-0 0-2-0 1-4-0 1-5-0
Personally I lean strongly to Orlando and weakly to Houston.
Scalabrine missed the morning shootaround due to illness. Not sure if he'll play.
Perkins refused to have an MRI, saying he'll play though the pain. My question is - how well, or will one good shot take him out of the game, which would be a big loss at this point for Boston.
Good Luck,
Bart
Scalabrine missed the morning shootaround due to illness. Not sure if he'll play.
Perkins refused to have an MRI, saying he'll play though the pain. My question is - how well, or will one good shot take him out of the game, which would be a big loss at this point for Boston.
Good Luck,
Bart
As I posted in another thread
I like Houston in this spot for some reason. I can't see them wining the game but to get +12 or maybe better by game time when that LA money comes in. Houston knows if they lose this game things could end quickly and I think we will see a all out effort here. As for the other game I just don't know been back and forth all day which is not a good sign for me.
GL today guys! Lets cash on everything and make Ax mad he took the day off.:mj07:
I like Houston in this spot for some reason. I can't see them wining the game but to get +12 or maybe better by game time when that LA money comes in. Houston knows if they lose this game things could end quickly and I think we will see a all out effort here. As for the other game I just don't know been back and forth all day which is not a good sign for me.
GL today guys! Lets cash on everything and make Ax mad he took the day off.:mj07:
Hopefully you guys stick to this thread. No need for 3.
I am not expert at all but sure seems like they are asking for Celtics and Rockets money.
I am not expert at all but sure seems like they are asking for Celtics and Rockets money.
Anyone got the numbers as to where the bets are going as of now. Lines seem to be holdy pretty steady. I would assume more money coming in on the C's.
If there is a game in which the Lak blowout Houston this must be it, coming home from being embarassed with home-court momentum and all....But Houston is a resiliant team so I will stay out of this one on the side bet, unless 2H presents some value.
But I kinda lean on the under. I don't see Houston can repeat the offensive success they had in game 4 at home. Can we count on Aaron and Battier to score in the 20's and 30's again? Probably not.
But I kinda lean on the under. I don't see Houston can repeat the offensive success they had in game 4 at home. Can we count on Aaron and Battier to score in the 20's and 30's again? Probably not.
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Locked in on two totals.
#1 Under 96.5 ORL/BOS 1H.
In the last 10 meetings between these teams, they have scored more than 96 just once - game 2 of the current series. Hopefully the defensive intensity of both teams stays up and they limit the amount of open 3's they each get.
#2 Over 198.5 in LOS/HOUS game.
In each of the 3 Lakers playoff losses, the total has gone under. In their 6 playoff wins, the over is 4-2. I don't know if the Lakers are going to cover or not, but I think the odds of them winning the game are in the 80-85% range.
From what I have seen, the Lakers need to push the ball in order to beat these Rockets. They can't get lulled into the halfcourt game and I think they will look for opportunities to score quickly like they did in game 3.
I'm leaning ORL +2 but waiting to see if I can get a better line. Lastly, I'm already locked in on the Denver -8.5. I figure I can buy back if I need to. The Nuggets beat up Dallas the last two times in Denver and I don't see why they don't do it again.
#1 Under 96.5 ORL/BOS 1H.
In the last 10 meetings between these teams, they have scored more than 96 just once - game 2 of the current series. Hopefully the defensive intensity of both teams stays up and they limit the amount of open 3's they each get.
#2 Over 198.5 in LOS/HOUS game.
In each of the 3 Lakers playoff losses, the total has gone under. In their 6 playoff wins, the over is 4-2. I don't know if the Lakers are going to cover or not, but I think the odds of them winning the game are in the 80-85% range.
From what I have seen, the Lakers need to push the ball in order to beat these Rockets. They can't get lulled into the halfcourt game and I think they will look for opportunities to score quickly like they did in game 3.
I'm leaning ORL +2 but waiting to see if I can get a better line. Lastly, I'm already locked in on the Denver -8.5. I figure I can buy back if I need to. The Nuggets beat up Dallas the last two times in Denver and I don't see why they don't do it again.
- Mar 18, 2009
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Joe - but does this Rocket team that is left want 1/2 court game? I didn't see much of the last game, but I thought I heard they were "quick". Does anyone have the Houston fastbreak points for the series by game?
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I agree with you - the Rockets aren't going to be looking to play a halfcourt post up game. What they do is spread the floor and let Brooks wreak havoc. I think Battier, Artest and Brooks are going to launch their share of 3's tonight.
I'm in LA and listen to my share of sports radio. I'm fairly certain the Lakers are going to stop doubling everyone like they did last game. i'm also fairly certain that they are going to look to push the ball and attack the rim.
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agree with that analysis exactly - no need to double anyone on that roster. LA has to attack rim with no one close to a shotblocker around.
