Cleveland and Denver will finally have opposition

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Cleveland and Denver will finally have opposition


The Cleveland Cavaliers have had more off days than an Ohio congressman, during the postseason, playing eight games in the past 30 days. The second seeded Denver Nuggets are 8-2 in the playoffs and will be in Conference Finals for the first time since 1985. Presently, they are second all-time in postseason scoring differential at +15.6 points per game, to the NBA champion Milwaukee Bucks of 1971 and could have never guessed it would be them waiting to find out whom they will play. The Los Angeles Lakers and Boston Celtics are the home favorites; can they deliver and match up with anxious opponents?

Houston at L.A. Lakers 3:30E ABC

Before the series began, I did run across a few different guys from the various major sports websites that had this series going seven games. Of course, everyone one of them expected Yao Ming to play in all seven contests, not the 42.1 percent he will credited with. So what?s the deal for Game 7?

In the history of the NBA playoffs, if ever one series showed what determination and desire could do against an obviously more talented team, this one fits the bill. Even Houston knows it. ?We?re not talented enough to play with this (Lakers) team,? Shane Battier said.

He?s right, but there is one huge difference, you slug the Lakers in the mouth, maybe they throw a punch back and maybe they don?t. This has to be Rockets coach Rick Adelman?s strategy. ALL of the pressure is on the Lakers, who have lost two or three more games in this series than the majority of people would have believed.

Houston has to continue to run screens that leave Aaron Brooks wide open, pound the ball into Luis Scola until the Los Angeles has any answer and keep fingers crossed Ron Artest and Battier can keep making shots. Houston might be 6-1-1 ATS playing with two days rest, but the smartest thing they can do is play a game that mentally tests how much the Lakers REALLY want to get into 94-feet of physical, tough-minded basketball.

Phil Jackson has received criticism for three non-efforts by his team in this series and while it is the coach?s responsibility to have his team prepared, these are professional basketball players, who are handsomely paid give effort, especially when the stakes are at their highest. In every championship Jackson has produced, he?s always had that second guy, who was almost as feared as the leader of the team, Michael and Scottie, Shaq and Kobe. Now its Kobe and ____ (If you think of someone, please fill in).

Who among you doesn?t expect Los Angeles to play better today? The oddsmakers at Sportsbook.com still do, making them 12.5-point favorites with total of 194. The Lakers have covered their last four losses and have had plenty of team to soul search (7-2 ATS, with two days off). Maybe each Laker fills up bathtub with water and looks into it and asks them self is this reflection of a champion?

The Lakers need 10 players with the mindset of doing their individual jobs, nothing more, nothing less. Coach Jackson has to strongly suggest to each player to stay within capabilities, not force the action, stay within the team concept and fight for rebounds and outwork Houston for loose balls.

The Rockets 2-10 ATS off an upset win as an underdog this season, showing their vulnerability, it?s just how bad do the Lakers want it compared to Houston?

Orlando at Boston 8:00E TNT

Nobody should be shocked this game is being played, it is just how we got here is the madness. Each team has won and covered a trio of tilts, with the Under leading 4-2 in the series. Boston is a three-point favorite, with 185.5-point total.

Orlando wins if Dwight Howard brings same mindset from Game 6 and savagely controls the glass and stays aggressive in wanting the ball. (A few more made free throws only enhances value) The Magic convert 37.4 percent of shots behind the arc, they have to be in the 30?s for Game 7 to have a shot on the road, not 6 for 26 like last contest. Bench J.J. Redick already, he offers little as player unless he makes shots and he?s been given ample time to show he can against Boston. Get Courtney Lee back in starting lineup, even if he has to wear mask of the Joker. Run offense to get Hedo Turkoglu or Rashard Lewis to their favorite spots on the floor and let them chuck it up. Orlando is 15-5 ATS as a road underdog of three points or less and knows they can win; they just have to believe it, when it counts most.

Boston wins if Orlando continues to let Rajon Rondo run free. Rondo picked off 16 rebounds for the Celtics and helped keep them in the game until the very end. Coach Doc Rivers must convince Rondo, a slick Bob Cousy pass from yesteryear is not his best option and instead make the right safe pass to assist team. Find a way to isolate Ray Allen for a couple of 12-15 foot wide open looks early, to build quick confidence and possibly the vet gives you 25-30 points in a game the C?s need most. Keep Paul Pierce away from Ray Allen by 20 feet or more on offense, this frees up both players to help offense. Kendrick Perkins and Glen Davis have to be wiser with Howard. Make him start offense two feet further away from basket and Howard instigates contact, absorb and let his limited offensive moves find some other way to tickle the twine.
The Celtics are 12-4 ATS after playing a game as a road underdog and are 22-9 ATS after scoring 75 points or less. Like most any boxing champ, the only way Boston does down is by knockout, not by hanging with them for 45 minutes, particularly on the road and hope you can close them out. It means too much to this team to not fight every step of the way.

This is Orlando?s chance to show the new guard is taking over the East, Cleveland?s established them self and the Magic could go right with them. Orlando?s 11-2 ATS in road games after allowing 80 points or less, do they trust themselves enough to complete the task and travel to Northern Ohio?
 

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Game 7: Rockets at Lakers

Game 7: Rockets at Lakers

Game 7: Rockets at Lakers

Game 7 is without a doubt one of the best phrases in the English language. Game 7?s in sports mean that two teams have battled to a stalemate in six games, and it moves to a winner-takes-all format for one glorious contest. It doesn?t matter if it?s Major League Baseball, the NHL postseason or the NBA Playoffs, Game 7?s are right up there with free beer.


Houston and Los Angeles collide in an unlikely Game 7 that many experts predicted the Lakers would storm through en route to the Western Conference Finals. Los Angeles opened as a $1200 ?chalk? (bet $1200 to win $100) to eliminate Houston, the decided $800 underdog (bet $100 to win $800). Some gamblers out there are anxiously clutching their tickets right now since the opening line was shifted slightly to list the Lakers as a $1100 favorite, and the Rockets as a $700 ?dog.

Los Angeles is still a huge ?chalk? concerning the future odds of winning the NBA Championship, but the Lakers are no longer the overall favorite. Coach Phil Jackson?s team opened as the 5/2 ?chalk? to win the title this year, but is now entertaining 3/5 odds. The Cleveland Cavaliers are the new favorites to win it all with odds of ?. Houston remains the longest shot remaining, opening at a modest 15/1 before its current 50/1. The next closest team concerning future odds of winning the NBA Championship this year is the Orlando Magic, who are 10/1.

Caesars Palace installed Los Angeles as a 13-point home ?chalk? over Houston, with the total set at 194 ?. The total has remained unchanged since opening, while the line started at 12 ?. ABC Sports will provide coverage of Sunday?s Game 7 from Staples Center beginning at 3:30 p.m. ET.

Houston (60-34 straight up, 46-47 against the spread) forced an unlikely Game 7 by beating Los Angeles (72-21 SU, 48-45 ATS) Thursday as a nine-point home underdog, 95-80. The combined 175 points never seriously threatened the 198-point closing total, helping the ?under? cash the third consecutive contest in this series. The Lakers are 0-4 this postseason when scoring under 100 points.

The Rockets opened the game with a 17-1 run, and finished the last 9:36 of the contest by outscoring the Lakers, 19-11. Houston is now 2-1 SU this series without center Yao Ming, and is a surprising 5-1 versus Los Angeles without its Chinese center.

The Rockets were outrebounded by the Lakers, 45-39, but prevailed by shooting 51 percent (36-of-71) from the field and 39 percent (7-of-18) from behind the arc. Point guard Aaron Brooks paced the offense with 26 points on 8-of-13 shooting, while Luis Scola added 24 and 12 rebounds. Carl Landry was also a force off the bench with 15 and 9.

Los Angeles shot just 36 percent (30-of-84) from the field, and 22 percent (5-of-23) from 3-point land. Kobe Bryant led the charge with 32 points on 11-of-27 shooting, but Pau Gasol (14 and 11 rebounds) and Jordan Farmar (13 off the bench) were the only other Lakers to reach double digits in scoring.

Houston is 22-25 SU and 23-24 ATS on the road this season, with the ?over? going 24-21. The Rockets have been dropping their road endeavors by an average score of 98-97. Houston dropped Game 5 at Staples Center by 40 points, 118-78, and lost Game 2 as a 10-point ?dog, 111-98. The Rockets did surprise the Lakers in Game 1 as a nine-point ?dog, 100-92.

Houston has gone 5-3 in Game 7?s during its postseason history, knocking off the Phoenix Suns in a Game 7 road game in 1995 en route to its second straight NBA Championship. The Rockets? last Game 7 was a 40-point loss to Dallas in the 2005 NBA Playoffs in a first-round series.

Los Angeles sports a 41-6 SU and 23-24 ATS home ledger, with the ?over? going 24-22. The Lakers have been winning their games at Staples Center by an average score of 108-98. Los Angeles owns a 12-1 SU record in Game 7 home games, and is 30-4 SU in a seven-game series when owning a 3-2 series lead.

What makes Houston?s postseason charge even more impressive it that the fifth-seeded Rockets are without their two best players. Center Yao Ming (ankle) and guard Tracy McGrady (knee) are ?out? for the rest of the year. The Western Conference top-seeded Lakers are reporting no players as ?questionable? or ?doubtful? for Sunday?s finale.
 

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Orlando at Boston, Game 7

Orlando at Boston, Game 7

Orlando at Boston, Game 7


We?ve certainly been here before ? a Game 7 in the NBA Playoffs at Boston. In fact, the Celtics have hosted 20 Game 7?s, winning 17 times, including twice in last year?s playoffs and once already this season.

This time around, Orlando will try to emerge from Beantown with a victory to advance to the Eastern Conference finals. As of early Saturday night, most sports books were listing Boston (69-26 straight up, 49-45-1 against the spread) as a 2 ?-point favorite with a total of 186. Bettors can take the Magic on the money line for a plus-125 payout (risk $100 to win $125).

The defending champs had an excellent chance to close out Orlando in Game 6, but they could muster just 13 points in the final stanza. The Magic countered with 22 in the decisive fourth quarter to capture an 83-75 win as a seven-point home favorite.

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After Boston?s Rajon Rondo made a floater in the lane to knot the score at 75-75 at the 3:50 mark, the Celtics didn?t score again. When Orlando?s Rashard Lewis made a pair of free throws for an 83-75 advantage with 49 seconds left, it marked the first time in the game that the Magic were ahead of the number. That?s all they needed, though, to hook up their backers with an extremely fortunate cover (as bad luck would have it, I was on the Celtics as underdogs).

The pedestrian 158 combined points obviously fell ?under? the 190 ?-point total. For the series, the ?under? is 4-2 after cashing in the last three outings.

Dwight Howard paced the winners in Game 6 with 23 points, 22 rebounds and three blocked shots. Lewis added 20 points and six boards, while Rafer Alston and Mickael Pietrus added 11 points apiece.

In the losing effort, Rondo had 19 points, 16 rebounds, six assists and four steals. Paul Pierce finished with 17 points, nine boards and five assists.

Orlando (66-28 SU, 54-39-1 ATS) has been excellent on the road this year, compiling a 30-17 SU record and a 28-18-1 ATS mark. With that said, the Magic are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine road assignments.

Stan Van Gundy?s team won Game 1 in Boston by a 95-90 count as a 1 ?-point underdog. The Celtics bounced back to win Game 2 by a 112-94 score. In Game 5, Orlando was seemingly in control all night, leading by as many as 14 in the fourth quarter before falling apart.

For the first time in these playoffs, Stephon Marbury had a positive impact in Game 5, scoring all 12 of his points in the final stanza. When Ray Allen came off a screen and buried a triple from the right wing with 1:20 remaining, the C?s had their first lead since midway through the first quarter. They held on for a 92-88 decision as two-point home favorites.

In the aftermath of the Game 5 loss, Howard ripped Van Gundy for his substitution patterns and for the fact that he had only three touches in the fourth quarter. The Game 6 victory has removed that storyline from the forefront, but you wonder if an Orlando loss could lead to a pink slip for Van Gundy.

The ?over? has been a lucrative money maker in Boston home games this season, cashing tickets at a 31-16-1 clip. The ?under? is 54-40 overall for Orlando. However, when the Magic hit the road, the ?under? hasn?t been as prevalent, hitting at just a 24-23 pace.

Tip-off is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. Eastern on TNT.

**B.E.?s Bonus Nuggets**

--In 13 postseason games, Rondo is nearly averaging a triple-double. He?s averaging 17.4 points, 10.0 rebounds and 9.8 assists per game. Rondo is also collecting 2.5 steals per contest. His assists-to-turnovers ratio is 127/37.

--Orlando?s J.J. Redick went 0-for-7 from the floor in Game 6. He is shooting at a 32.1 percent clip from the field in 10 playoff games this season.

--Orlando has split a pair of Game 7?s in franchise history. The Magic lost their only Game 7 on the road at Detroit in the first round of the 2003 playoffs.

--Boston has won 20 of its 25 Game 7?s in franchise history.


Archie Bunker: Guns vs Pushed out of Windows

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GzFWRPiNXOI
 

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Orlando @ Boston

Orlando @ Boston

Orlando @ Boston
Sunday May 17
8:00 PM EDT

Boston -1.0, Total 94.0





RECORD ANALYSIS:
Straight Up Against The Spread
Orlando Home Away Total Home Away Total
Year to Date 4 - 2 3 - 3 7 - 5 3 - 3 2 - 4 5 - 7
Last 10 Games 3 - 1 3 - 3 6 - 4 3 - 1 2 - 4 5 - 5
Straight Up Against The Spread
Boston Home Away Total Home Away Total
Year to Date 5 - 2 2 - 4 7 - 6 3 - 4 3 - 2 6 - 6
Last 10 Games 4 - 1 1 - 4 5 - 5 3 - 2 2 - 2 5 - 4

PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Date Matchup Line Total ATS Result
05/14/09 Boston 75 @ Orlando 83 ORL -6.5 190.0 ORL/U
05/12/09 Orlando 88 @ Boston 92 BOS -2.0 192.5 BOS/U
05/10/09 Boston 95 @ Orlando 94 ORL -5.0 195.5 BOS/U
05/08/09 Boston 96 @ Orlando 117 ORL -4.5 189.0 ORL/O
05/06/09 Orlando 94 @ Boston 112 BOS -4.0 189.5 BOS/O
05/04/09 Orlando 95 @ Boston 90 BOS -2.0 188.5 ORL/U
03/25/09 Boston 82 @ Orlando 84 ORL -3.5 189.0 BOS/U
03/08/09 Orlando 86 @ Boston 79 BOS -2.0 196.5 ORL/U
01/22/09 Boston 90 @ Orlando 80 ORL -5.0 192.0 BOS/U
12/01/08 Orlando 88 @ Boston 107 BOS -8.5 189.0 BOS/O


Orlando Last 10 Games
Date Matchup Line Total ATS Result
05/14/09 BOS 75 @ ORL 83 -6.5 190.0 W/U
05/12/09 ORL 88 @ BOS 92 +2 192.5 L/U
05/10/09 BOS 95 @ORL 94 -5.0 195.5 L/U
05/08/09 BOS 96 @ ORL 117 -4.5 189.0 W/O
05/06/09 ORL 94 @ BOS 112 +4 189.5 L/O
05/04/09 ORL 95 @BOS 90 +2 188.5 W/U
04/30/09 ORL 114 @PHI 89 +6 186.0 W/O
04/28/09 PHI 78 @ ORL 91 -8.5 188.5 W/U
04/26/09 ORL 84 @PHI 81 -5.0 191.5 L/U
04/24/09 ORL 94 @ PHI 96 -3.5 192.0 L/U


Orlando Last 5 Home Games
Date Matchup Line Total ATS Result
05/14/09 BOS 75 @ ORL 83 -6.5 190.0 W/U
05/10/09 BOS 95 @ ORL 94 -5.0 195.5 L/U
05/08/09 BOS 96 @ ORL 117 -4.5 189.0 W/O
04/28/09 PHI 78 @ ORL 91 -8.5 188.5 W/U
04/26/09 ORL 84 @ PHI 81 -5.0 191.5 L/U


Boston Last 10 Games
Date Matchup Line Total ATS Result
05/14/09 BOS 75 @ ORL 83 +6.5 190.0 L/U
05/12/09 ORL 88 @ BOS 92 -2.0 192.5 W/U
05/10/09 BOS 95 @ORL 94 +5 195.5 W/U
05/08/09 BOS 96 @ ORL 117 +4.5 189.0 L/O
05/06/09 ORL 94 @ BOS 112 -4.0 189.5 W/O
05/04/09 ORL 95 @BOS 90 -2.0 188.5 L/U
05/02/09 CHI 99 @ BOS 109 -5.5 196.0 W/O
04/30/09 BOS 127 @ CHI 128 +3 195.5 W/O
04/28/09 CHI 104 @ BOS 106 -7.5 198.0 L/O
04/26/09 BOS 118 @ CHI 121 +3 202.5 P/O


Boston Last 5 Home Games
Date Matchup Line Total ATS Result
05/12/09 ORL 88 @ BOS 92 -2.0 192.5 W/U
05/06/09 ORL 94 @ BOS 112 -4.0 189.5 W/O
05/04/09 ORL 95 @ BOS 90 -2.0 188.5 L/U
05/02/09 CHI 99 @ BOS 109 -5.5 196.0 W/O
04/28/09 CHI 104 @ BOS 106 -7.5 198.0 L/O


Over / Under
Overall Home Away
Orlando 6-14 3-7 3-7
Boston 14-6 10-2 4-4
 

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Houston @ Los Angeles

Houston @ Los Angeles

Houston @ Los Angeles
Sunday May 17
3:30 PM EDT

Los Angeles -13.0, Total 196.0





RECORD ANALYSIS:
Straight Up Against The Spread
Houston Home Away Total Home Away Total
Year to Date 5 - 1 2 - 4 7 - 5 3 - 3 3 - 3 6 - 6
Last 10 Games 5 - 1 1 - 3 6 - 4 3 - 3 1 - 3 4 - 6
Straight Up Against The Spread
Los Angeles Home Away Total Home Away Total
Year to Date 5 - 1 2 - 3 7 - 4 3 - 3 2 - 3 5 - 6
Last 10 Games 4 - 1 2 - 3 6 - 4 2 - 3 2 - 3 4 - 6

PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Date Matchup Line Total ATS Result
05/14/09 Los Angeles 80 @ Houston 95 LAL -9.5 197.5 HOU/U
05/12/09 Houston 78 @ Los Angeles 118 LAL -12.5 200.0 LAL/U
05/10/09 Los Angeles 87 @ Houston 99 LAL -12 197.5 HOU/U
05/08/09 Los Angeles 108 @ Houston 94 LAL -2 193.0 LAL/O
05/06/09 Houston 98 @ Los Angeles 111 LAL -10.0 194.0 LAL/O
05/04/09 Houston 100 @ Los Angeles 92 LAL -9.5 193.5 HOU/U
04/03/09 Houston 81 @ Los Angeles 93 LAL -6.0 196.0 LAL/U
03/11/09 Los Angeles 102 @ Houston 96 HOU -3.5 201.0 LAL/U
01/13/09 Los Angeles 105 @ Houston 100 LAL -4 194.5 LAL/O
11/09/08 Houston 82 @ Los Angeles 111 LAL -7.0 192.5 LAL/O


Houston Last 10 Games
Date Matchup Line Total ATS Result
05/14/09 LAL 80 @ HOU 95 +9.5 197.5 W/U
05/12/09 HOU 78 @ LAL 118 +12.5 200.0 L/U
05/10/09 LAL 87 @ HOU 99 +12 197.5 W/U
05/08/09 LAL 108 @HOU 94 +2 193.0 L/O
05/06/09 HOU 98 @ LAL 111 +10 194.0 L/O
05/04/09 HOU 100 @LAL 92 +9.5 193.5 W/U
04/30/09 POR 76 @ HOU 92 -5.5 179.5 W/U
04/28/09 HOU 77 @ POR 88 +5.5 183.0 L/U
04/26/09 POR 88 @ HOU 89 -5.0 182.0 L/U
04/24/09 POR 83 @ HOU 86 -6.5 184.5 L/U


Houston Last 5 Home Games
Date Matchup Line Total ATS Result
05/14/09 LAL 80 @ HOU 95 +9.5 197.5 W/U
05/10/09 LAL 87 @ HOU 99 +12 197.5 W/U
05/08/09 LAL 108 @ HOU 94 +2 193.0 L/O
04/30/09 POR 76 @ HOU 92 -5.5 179.5 W/U
04/26/09 POR 88 @ HOU 89 -5.0 182.0 L/U
04/21/09 HOU 103 @ POR 107 +6.5 184.0 W/U


Los Angeles Last 10 Games
Date Matchup Line Total ATS Result
05/14/09 LAL 80 @ HOU 95 -9.5 197.5 L/U
05/12/09 HOU 78 @ LAL 118 -12.5 200.0 W/U
05/10/09 LAL 87 @ HOU 99 -12.0 197.5 L/U
05/08/09 LAL 108 @HOU 94 -2.0 193.0 W/O
05/06/09 HOU 98 @ LAL 111 -10.0 194.0 W/O
05/04/09 HOU 100 @LAL 92 -9.5 193.5 L/U
04/27/09 UTH 96 @ LAL 107 -12.0 212.5 L/U
04/25/09 LAL 108 @UTH 94 -5.5 209.5 W/U
04/23/09 LAL 86 @ UTH 88 -2.5 214.0 L/U
04/21/09 UTH 109 @ LAL 119 -11.5 212.0 L/O


Los Angeles Last 5 Home Games
Date Matchup Line Total ATS Result
05/12/09 HOU 78 @ LAL 118 -12.5 200.0 W/U
05/06/09 HOU 98 @ LAL 111 -10.0 194.0 W/O
05/04/09 HOU 100 @ LAL 92 -9.5 193.5 L/U
04/27/09 UTH 96 @ LAL 107 -12.0 212.5 L/U
04/21/09 UTH 109 @ LAL 119 -11.5 212.0 L/O


Over / Under
Overall Home Away
Houston 8-12 2-7 6-5
Los Angeles 8-12 5-6 3-6
 
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