Trend sheet 5.20

[cisco]

Hot Pitchers
-- Lannan is 2-0, 3.57 in his last three starts.
-- Davis has a 3.09 RA in his last four starts.
-- Vazquez is 1-0, 2.45 in his last two starts.
-- Rodriguez is 4-0, 1.80 in his last six starts. Gallardo is 3-0, 2.06 in his last six outings; he got rained out in second inning of his last start.
-- Weaver is 1-0, 3.60 in two starts for the Dodgers. Hernandez is 2-0, 4.15 in his last three starts.

-- Harrison is 4-0, 1.80 in his last four starts. Verlander is 3-0, 0.92 in his last four starts.
-- Toronto is 3-0 when Cecil starts (2-0, 2.25).
-- Liriano is 2-0, 3.60 in his last four starts.


Cold Pitchers
-- Pirates lost last four Maholm starts (0-1, 5.11).
-- Harang is 1-2, 5.68 in his last four starts. Moyer is 0-2, 13.87 in his last three outings.
-- de la Rosa has a 3.08 RA in his last six starts.
-- Augenstein lost 10-3 to Reds in first big league start (five runs/6.1 IP). Volstad is 0-3, 5.50 in his last three starts. Penn is making first start in 2009-- he has career mark of 4-6, 8.48 in 14 career big league starts.
-- Dempster is 1-2, 5.64 in his five road starts. Carpenter comes off DL to start; he was 1-0, 0.90 in his first two '09 starts.
-- Sanchez is 0-2, 7.98 in his last three starts. Gaudin is 0-3, 4.91 on four starts for San Diego, all on the road.

-- Guthrie is 1-3, 7.01 in his last six starts. Hughes is 0-2, 12.66 in his last three starts.
-- Penny is 1-1, 7.17 in his last four starts.
-- Oakland is 0-6 in Anderson starts (0-4, 8.33). Kazmir is 1-2, 11.57 in his last four starts.
-- Carmona is 1-2, 5.17 in his last five starts. Meche is 1-4, 7.33 in his last five outings.
-- Danks is 0-3, 8.84 in his last four starts.
-- Santana allowed three runs in five IP in his first '09 start, vs Boston. Jakubauskus is 1-4, 7.76 in six starts this season.

Hot Teams
-- Pirates won their last four games, scoring 38 runs.
-- Phillies won ten of their last twelve road games.
-- Brewers won seven in row and ten of last twelve games.
-- Cubs won five of their last seven games.
-- San Diego won its last five home games.
-- Dodgers won five of their last six games.


-- Rangers won seven of their last eight games. Detroit won its last four games, scoring 38 runs.
-- Bronx Bombers won their last seven games. .
-- Toronto won four of its last five games. Red Sox are 13-2 in last 15 games at Fenway.
-- Rays won five of their last seven home games.
-- Angels won their last two games, scoring sixteen runs.


Cold Teams
-- Nationals lost nine of their last ten games.
-- Cincinnati lost its last four games, scoring eleven runs.
-- Florida lost nine of its last ten home games.
-- Braves lost eleven of their last fifteen home games. Colorado is 5-11 in its last sixteen road games.
-- Cardinals lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Giants lost five of their last six games.
-- Mets lost their last three games, scoring total of five runs.

-- Orioles lost 12 of their last 15 road games.
-- A's lost eleven of their last fourteen road games.
-- Indians lost their last four games, allowing 30 runs. Royals are 3-7 in their last ten games.
-- Twins lost their last eight road games. White Sox lost five of their last six games overall.
-- Mariners lost eleven of their last fourteen games.


Totals
-- Over is 9-3 in Pirates' last twelve road games.
-- Five of last six Cincinnati home games went over the total.
-- Five of last six de la Rosa starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 10-1-3 in Arizona road games.
-- Six of last eight Milwaukee road games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-2 in Dempster's last seven starts.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Sanchez starts.
-- Over is 9-3-1 in Mets' last thirteen games.

-- Three of last four Verlander starts stayed under the total.
-- Last three Penny starts stayed under the total.
-- Over is 12-5-1 in Baltimore road games.
-- Six of last eight Oakland road games went over the total.
-- Over is 13-1 in Cleveland's last fourteen road games.
-- Under is 9-1-1 in Minnesota's last eleven road games.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Jakubauskus starts.

Umpires
-- Pitt-Wsh-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Rapuano games.
-- Phil-Cin-- Last seven Johnson games went over the total.
-- Colo-Atl-- Four of last five Tschida games went over the total.
-- Az-Fla-- Three of last four Guccione games stayed under the total. Home team won last three Tichenor games.
-- Mil-Hst-- Favorite won seven of eight Cooper games.
-- Chi-StL-- Under is 5-0-1 in last six Gorman games.
-- SF-SD-- Three of last four O'Nora games stayed under the total.
-- NY-LA-- Over is 5-2-1 in Meals games this season.

-- Tex-Det-- Last four Barry games stayed under the total.
-- Balt-NY-- Three of last four Dreckman games went over the total.
-- Tor-Bos-- Last four Foster games stayed under the total.
-- A's-TB-- Not enough data to evaluate umpire Marquez.
-- Clev-KC-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Cousins games.
-- Min-Chi-- Six of last seven Wegner games went over the total.
-- LA-Sea-- Three of last four Wendelstedt games went over the total.

 

[cisco]

ARIZONA vs. FLORIDA
Arizona is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Florida
Arizona is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games
Florida is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Arizona
Florida is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games

BALTIMORE vs. NY YANKEES
Baltimore is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Baltimore is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games on the road
NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Baltimore
NY Yankees are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore

PITTSBURGH vs. WASHINGTON
Pittsburgh is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Washington
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh

TEXAS vs. DETROIT
Texas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Texas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

OAKLAND vs. TAMPA BAY
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Oakland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Oakland
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

COLORADO vs. ATLANTA
Colorado is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Colorado is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Atlanta is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home

PHILADELPHIA vs. CINCINNATI
Philadelphia is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia

TORONTO vs. BOSTON
Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Boston is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home

MILWAUKEE vs. HOUSTON
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Houston is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee

CLEVELAND vs. KANSAS CITY
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Kansas City is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Cleveland
Kansas City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland

MINNESOTA vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
Minnesota is 1-9 SU in their last 10 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games
Chi White Sox are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games at home

CHI CUBS vs. ST. LOUIS
Chi Cubs are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games
St. Louis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
St. Louis is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home

ARIZONA vs. FLORIDA
Arizona is 4-10-1 SU in its last 15 games
Arizona is 3-5-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Florida is 16-7-1 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Arizona
Florida is 1-6-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

SAN FRANCISCO vs. SAN DIEGO
San Francisco is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing San Diego
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Diego
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

LA ANGELS vs. SEATTLE
LA Angels are 11-5 SU in their last 16 games
LA Angels are 18-7 SU in their last 25 games when playing Seattle
Seattle is 3-10 SU in their last 13 games when playing at home against LA Angels
Seattle is 7-18 SU in their last 25 games when playing LA Angels

NY METS vs. LA DODGERS
NY Mets are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
NY Mets are 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
LA Dodgers are 16-3 SU in their last 19 games at home
LA Dodgers are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games

 

[cisco]

For Wednesday this is what the MLB card will bring in terms of late night matchups.

L.A. Angels at Seattle ? 10:10 p.m. EST

Right out of the gate, books have opened the home town Mariners as a $1.30 underdog. A total of nine runs has also been attached to this matchup. Seattle began the season going 7-2 in its first nine games only to have taken five wins out of 17 games during May. It?s been a quick trip to the dry cleaners for backers.

Now sitting at -3.06 units on the season, the M?s find themselves battling problems on both the offensive and defensive fronts. The big bang came when manager Don Wakamatsu announced that closer Brandon Morrow would no longer be the closer, at least for the time being. Morrow has blown two save attempts in the last three outings while giving up four hits and two runs in a 10-6 loss against the Angels on Monday, only compounding the difficulties.

At least gamblers can attest that a 5-2-1 record on the ?under? in the last eight is worth getting out of the chair to make the trip to the window. Guess when you?re only scoring 3.8 runs per game (during the eight game stretch) the ?under? is not such a tough task to accomplish.

Seattle will give it a whirl with starting slinger, Chris Jakubauskas (2-4, 7.13). The six-foot plus pitcher has been giving up a world of runs since making his first start. In the last three appearances, Jakubauskas has surrendered 16 earned runs. His last start against L.A. was on Apr. 16 for which the starter threw 5.1 innings, giving up five hits and two runs in a 5-1 loss.

The Angels have seen more winning streaks then losing slides this season but that?s not to say that a 1-3 performance check in the last four is cash money. At least when installed as the favorite in the last nine games, the Halos are 7-2. That translates into a disparaging 5-9 record in the last 14 games when set as the ?dog.

But with righty, Ervin Santana (0-0, 5.40 ERA) on the mound, L.A. doesn?t have to worry about fighting off the odds as the underdog. Santana made ?09 debut against Boston last Thursday, allowing three runs off seven hits. Remember that Santana dealt with elbow pain in the beginning of the year. But if there?s good news it?s that the Angels? starter was 2-0 with a 1.72 ERA last season in Safeco Field.

Already this season, the Mariners hold a 4-3 edge in head-to-head games. The ?over? is 4-2 in the last six meetings.

N.Y. Mets at L.A. Dodgers ? 10:10 p.m. EST

Sportsbook.com has opened the Dodgers as $1.40 home favorites as a total of 9 ?-runs is the consensus among most books.

The Mets haven?t played horribly per se, but the season hasn?t necessarily gone as planned. Without delving into every single piece of this corky puzzle let?s begin by stating that New York has been a totals machine, chalking up a 9-3 record on the ?over? in the last 12. Of course to understand the future we must look into the past and that?s where we see numbers that are tough to gage. For instance, New York has surrendered a consistent 4.5 runs per game in the last 24 and have crossed home plate for over five runs in the same stint. But 14 of those games have seen the Mets defense allow four or more runs and eight games surrendering six or more runs. So to say that the pitching game has been spot on would be highly inaccurate.

And that leads us to veteran Livan Hernandez (3-1, 5.59) starting off the night for the Mets. Hernandez hasn?t necessarily been unstoppable but as a totals player, a 5-2 record on the ?over? has been consistent. This has been possible thanks to books averaging a set total of just over nine runs. The end result has been games averaging a combined total of 12.1 runs per game.

The Dodgers, who have been on somewhat of a hot streak by wrangling up five of the last six games, will send out starter Eric Stults (4-1, 3.82). The southpaw has given up over three runs just once this season and his offense has been able to produce 8.3 runs per game in his four victories. In his last start on Friday, Stults only survived five innings, allowing three earned runs on five hits. His career versus the Mets has been shallow, appearing in just three starts and working for a 1-1 record with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP.

The Dodgers have a strangle hold in home games, going 41-14 in their last 55 home games. The Mets were able to get the leg up on L.A. last season as a 4-1 record in their last five meetings indicates.

Extra Innings

-- The final late night contest (for us East Coast folks) will involve a contest between San Francisco and San Diego at 10:05 p.m. EST. Most books have opened the Padres as $1.30 home favorites. A total of eight runs is currently being listed on the board.

-- The Padres have listed Chad Gaudin (0-3, 4.91) as their starting pitcher. So far winless on the season, Gaudin is coming off an awkward loss in Chicago for which the righty surrendered just one hit but four runs and seven base on balls. Gaudin has walked at least three batters in every start this season. But this shouldn?t come as a surprise as the six-year vet was clocked in giving up 100 walks in 34 starts back in 2007 (almost three walks per game).

-- The Giants will counter by sending out Jonathan Sanchez (1-3, 5.06) into battle. Sanchez has been ruffed up in his last three starts, accounting for 13 earned runs allowed. And issuing 15 walks in the same three starts hasn?t been advantageous for the three-year left-hander.

-- The split stats aren?t too difficult to map in San Diego?s dugout as the bats have struggled in the first quarter of the season. This is a team who?s swinging wildly, making contact for just a .236 BA. Against southpaw pitchers, that BA number dips to .222, with just a .294 on base percentage.

-- In the first three games of the season between each other, the Pads were able to sweep their intrastate rival, outscoring the Giants, 19-7. Even as $1.07 ?dogs versus Tim Lincecum (who?s coming off a 10 hit, five run pounding against the Mets), San Diego was able to pull in six runs.

-- San Fran is still 11-5 in its last 16 head-to-head meetings with the ?over? at 8-1 in the last nine meetings.

 

[cisco]

NATIONAL LEAGUE

Chicago Cubs (21-16) at St. Louis (22-17)

Cardinals ace Chris Carpenter (1-0, 0.00) is set to return to a big-league mound for the first time in more than a month when he pitches against Ryan Dempster (3-2, 4.65) and the Cubs in the middle game of a three-game set at Busch Stadium.

St. Louis snapped a three-game slide with Tuesday?s 3-0 victory over Chicago. Despite yesterday?s triumph, the Cardinals remain on slides of 5-10 overall, 3-6 at home, 3-8 against right-handed starters, 2-7 against winning teams and 2-5 versus N.L. Central rivals. The only positives for Tony LaRussa?s squad: It is 4-1 in its last five Wednesday outings and 19-7 in its last 26 as a home chalk.

Even though they came up short on Tuesday, the Cubs are still 11-5 in their last 16 games, yet they?ve split six games on the highway during this stretch. They?re also 5-2 in their last seven against right-handed starters, but they?ve lost seven of their last eight as an underdog.

This is the third series of the year between these hated rivals, with St. Louis now holding a slim 4-3 lead.

Carpenter was pulled from his most recent start on April 14 at Arizona after three scoreless innings because of a pulled ribcage muscle that landed the oft-injured right-hander on the disabled list. He?s allowed just one unearned run and five hits with two walks and nine strikeouts in 10 innings of work, including a 2-1 home victory over the Pirates in his 2009 debut on April 9.

Although Carpenter hasn?t pitched much in the last 18 months because of injuries, the Cardinals still sport several positive streaks with the former Cy Young winner on the mound, including 75-29 overall, 40-13 at home, 52-21 as a favorite and 36-15 against division foes. In 14 career starts against Chicago, Carpenter is 7-3 with a 3.08 ERA, and St. Louis is 4-1 in his last five home outings versus the Cubs.

Dempster is coming off Thursday?s 11-3 home victory over the Padres, as he yielded just two runs and three hits in seven innings. However, the veteran right-hander has struggled on the road this year, going 1-2 with a 5.34 ERA in five outings. In fact, Chicago has lost six of Dempster?s last seven road starts and seven of his last eight when he?s an underdog.

Dempster has faced the Cardinals twice already this season, getting a no-decision in both games as he gave up a total of seven runs in 12 innings (5.25 ERA), with the Cubs winning 7-5 at home and losing 4-3 on the road. Dempster is 6-5 with a 4.71 ERA and 15 saves in 39 lifetime appearances (13 starts) against St. Louis.

The over is 5-2 in Dempster?s last seven starts overall, 4-1 in his last five on Wednesday, 4-1 in Carpenter?s last five overall and 5-1 in Carpenter?s last six Wednesday affairs. However, with Carpenter pitching, the under is on streaks of 35-17-1 at home and 4-1 when facing Chicago in St. Louis.

The over is 4-1-1 in the season series so far, but the under is still 5-1-1 in the last seven battles at Busch Stadium. For Chicago, the over is on streaks of 6-2-1 on the road, 5-2 against right-handed starters and 11-5-1 as a road underdog. ... Conversely, the Cardinals carry ?under? trends of 4-2 overall (all against the N.L. Central) and 7-2-1 on Wednesday.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Toronto (27-15) at Boston (22-17)

Blue Jays rookie Brett Cecil (2-0, 1.80) goes for his third straight victory when the southpaw makes his first ever appearance on the Fenway Park mound, while the Red Sox will counter with Brad Penny (3-1, 6.69).

Boston eked out a 2-1 victory over Toronto last night in the first of several meetings between these A.L. East foes. The Jays had a four-game winning streak snapped with that result, yet they?ve still surrendered three runs or fewer in eight of their last nine games, including the last six in a row. Cito Gaston?s crew is on solid surges of 12-6 overall, 4-1 against right-handed starters and 16-6 in the second game of a series. However, the Rays are just 5-7 in their last 12 road games and 1-5 in their last six as an underdog.

Boston has dropped four of five ? The Red Sox offense has been pedestrian of late, producing four runs or fewer in seven of the last eight games, and they?ve gone nine straight contests without tallying more than five runs. Still, Boston carries positive trends of 78-33 at home, 17-7 as a favorite, 8-2 against southpaw starters, 38-18 at home against lefties and 5-1 in divisional contests.

Boston is 5-1 in the last six clashes with Toronto.

Cecil, who was called up at the beginning of this month, has surrendered a total of five runs (four earned) in his first three big-league starts, walking four and whiffing 15 in 20 innings. He did give up a season-high three runs ? including his first two home runs ? in six innings in his most recent start against the White Sox on Friday, but still earned a 6-3 home win. In the left-hander?s lone road start, he scattered five hits and two walks over eight scoreless innings en route to a 5-0 victory at Oakland on May 10.

Penny has been idle since Thursday when he gave up four runs in 6 1/3 innings at the Angels, getting a no-decision as Boston eventually lost 5-4 in 12 innings, dropping to 1-3 in Penny?s last four starts. The veteran right-hander, in his first season with the Red Sox, is 2-0 in three starts at Fenway Park despite a bloated 7.63 ERA, with Boston winning all three games.

Penny pitched against Toronto twice in interleague play with the Dodgers back in 2007, allowing one earned run in each start while totaling 14 2/3 innings (1.23 ERA). He?s faced the Jays four times, but in the last three he?s 2-0 with a 1.33 ERA.

Toronto is on ?over? stretches of 10-5 as an underdog, 14-7 on the road and 5-0 on Wednesday. Boston is 6-1-1 ?under? in its last eight overall, but otherwise the Sox are riding ?over? streaks of 7-4-1 at home, 17-7-2 as a chalk, 11-4 versus southpaw starters, 17-5 on Wednesday and 2-0-1 with Penny pitching at Fenway.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE

 

[harlytiger]

WOW

Thanks for all the info my percentage of winners has risen 10 percent due to the more info.....

 

[cisco]

Good to hear that harlytiger. Thats why I put it up here. Helping to beat the man!


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