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Interleague Action - Round 1
By Kevin Rogers

It's Back

Interleague Play is like eating an entire birthday cake. It seems like a good idea when you start, but then you get sick of it near the end. This Friday begins the 13th installment of your favorite cake, as 28 teams go through the first round of interleague action, with the Cubs and Padres being the lone National League teams that won't participate against their American League counterparts.

The first weekend is usually "rivalry weekend," even though matchups like Colorado at Detroit and Toronto at Atlanta don't exude bitterness. The battles of Ohio, Florida, Missouri, Texas, the Beltway, and the Freeway all take center-stage, along with the premiere showdown of the weekend, as the Mets take on the Red Sox at Fenway Park.

Mets at Red Sox

By far the most exciting pitching matchup of this interleague weekend will take place Friday night at Fenway Park, when Johan Santana takes the hill against Daisuke Matsuzaka. This will be only the third start of the season for Dice-K, who has spent the last six weeks on the disabled list with a right shoulder strain. The Mets, meanwhile, are only 1-3 in Santana's interleague starts, but Santana's teams (Mets and Twins) are 15-4 in his career in IL action. The Mets will see right-handed pitching the entire weekend, as Josh Beckett is slated to pitch Saturday and knuckleballer Tim Wakefield will go on Sunday. The Red Sox are 9-3 when Beckett starts in IL play, but two of those losses have come at home as substantial favorites against Colorado in 2007 (-235) and Arizona in 2008 (-175). The Sox swept the Mets at home the last time these two teams met in 2006.

Phillies at Yankees

The Yankees are starting to heat up, after pulling off a four-game sweep of the Twins at home over the weekend. The Phillies have quietly risen from an early-season slumber, putting together the best road record in baseball. Brett Myers will start Friday night against A.J. Burnett, while Saturday's matchup will pit J.A. Happ against Andy Pettitte. The Sunday matinee battle has veterans Jamie Moyer and CC Sabathia on the hill. The Phillies are just 2-7 in Myers' last nine interleague games. Burnett and Pettitte each have had success in interleague action, with the Blue Jays going 6-2 in Burnett's IL starts, while the Yankees are 10-5 in Pettitte's last 15 IL outings. Sunday will be Sabathia's first look at the Phillies since the Game 2 loss of the NLDS last season, when CC had his shortest outing as a member of the Brewers, lasting 3.2 innings, allowing five earned runs in six hits.

L.A. Angels at L.A. Dodgers

The Freeway Series will try to find some offense, after the final two games last year were decided by 1-0 scores. The game everyone remembers (especially if you backed the Angels), was the Saturday night affair at Chavez Ravine in which Jered Weaver pitched eight hitless innings, but did not receive credit for a no-hitter, while losing the game to the Dodgers, 1-0. Weaver will get his second shot at the Manny-less Dodgers Friday night at Dodger Stadium against lefty Clayton Kershaw. The Halos will send ace John Lackey to the mound Saturday after the righty picked up his first victory of the season Monday night at Seattle. Lackey has been fantastic in IL play, as the Angels are 16-4 in his starts, while going 'under' the total in 14 of 20 games (including three pushes). Dodgers ace Chad Billingsley toes the rubber Sunday afternoon against the surprising Matt Palmer. The 30-year righty has started in five victories for the Halos, including wins over the Red Sox, Yankees, and Tigers.

Milwaukee at Minnesota

Old AL rivals meet up at the Metrodome, where the Twins have owned the Brewers over the years. Minnesota is 10-5 the last 15 meetings in this series, including a 6-3 mark the last nine at the Homerdome. The Twins captured four of the six meetings in '08, including two dominating starts by Friday's scheduled starter Kevin Slowey. The Minnesota right-hander is 11-1 in his last 14 starts at home, while shutting down the Brewers twice last season, allowing two earned runs in 17 IP. Sunday night's game will be televised nationally on ESPN, with Dave Bush and Scott Baker squaring off. Baker has hit the 'over' in 11 of his last 14 home starts, while the Brewers have won six of Bush's last nine interleague starts.

What Else to Look For:

The seven games below all include intriguing pitching matchups. Cliff Lee has pitched better recently, but in six career meetings against the Reds, the 'over' has hit five times, while the Indians are 4-2 against the Reds when Lee starts. Roy Halladay will go for his league-leading ninth victory against the Braves, although the Jays righty has never faced Atlanta in his career. Giants lefty Barry Zito is 1-6 since coming to San Francisco in IL play, but the lone victory did come at Cleveland last season as a 'dog of +165. We know about how dominating Rays righty James Shields is at home, but did you know the Rays have gone 'over' the total in six of Shields' seven road interleague starts.

VegasInsider
 

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INTERLEAGUE

Philadelphia (22-17) at N.Y. Yankees (24-17)

The streaking Yankees go for their 10th consecutive victory when they hand the ball to A.J. Burnett (2-1, 5.02 ERA) to open a weekend interleague series against the Phillies and Brett Myers (3-2, 4.50).

New York completed a three-game home sweep of the Orioles with Thursday?s 7-4 victory. The Yankees have won seven straight at home during their winning streak, which comes on the heels of a 2-7 overall slump and a five-game home slide. Joe Girardi?s club is on additional runs of 8-0 as a chalk, 5-0 against right-handed starters, 37-18 at home, 7-1 on Friday and 54-20 when hosting N.L. opponents.

Philadelphia improved to 6-1 on its current 10-game road trip with Thursday?s 12-5 rout of the Reds. The Phillies, who are a major league-best 14-5 on the highway, have scored 50 runs during their current trip. The defending champs are on additional streaks of 23-9 on the road dating to 2008, 4-1 against right-handed starters, 4-1 against the A.L. East, 7-3 as a road ?dog and 38-16 against teams with a winning record, but they have dropped 18 of their last 25 interleague roadies.

These teams last met in 2006 with the Yankees taking two of three in Philadelphia, and New York has won four of the last five clashes, all in Philly.

Myers has delivered a quality start in five of his last six trips to the mound, giving up a total of three runs on eight hits with 11 strikeouts in his last two outings totaling 13 innings, including Saturday?s 8-5 win at Washington. Philadelphia has alternated wins and losses in Myers? eight starts this season, but with the right-hander pitching, the Phillies are on positive runs of 4-0 on the road, 7-1 as an underdog and 5-2 on Friday. On the downside, they?ve lost Myers? last four interleague starts and seven of his last eight against the A.L. East.

Myers is 3-0 with a 4.97 ERA on the highway, and in his only career outing against the Yankees in 2006, he gave up two runs in 6 2/3 innings en route to a 4-2 home win.

Burnett is coming off a solid effort against the Twins, yielding two runs in 6 2/3 innings, but he gave up six hits and six walks and got a no-decision as New York scored a 3-2 win in 10 innings. The veteran right-hander has given up three earned runs or fewer in five of his eight starts as a Yankee.

New York is 3-1 in Burnett?s first four home starts in the Bronx, with the hurler failing to get a decision in any of those contests while posting a 4.15 ERA. Burnett is also 5-7 with a 4.57 ERA in 16 career appearances (15 starts) versus the Phillies.

The over is 5-2 in Myers? last seven starts overall, 4-0 in his last four as a visitor and 5-1 in his last six on Friday, and six of Burnett?s last seven starts against Philly have topped the total.

Philadelphia carries ?over? streaks of 6-2-1 overall, 14-4-1 on the highway, 9-3 as an underdog, 8-0-1 on Friday, 6-2 in interleague road games and 12-5-1 against winning teams. The over is also 10-3-2 in New York?s last 15 at the new stadium (4-0 last four), but otherwise the Yanks sport ?under? trends of 4-0 in interleague play and 12-5 on Friday. Finally, the under is 4-1 in the last five Phillies-Yankees clashes.

ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. YANKEES and OVER


N.Y. Mets (21-19) at Boston (25-16)

The Mets return to the East Coast carrying a four-game losing skid as they send ace Johan Santana (5-2, 1.36) to the hill at Fenway Park for a series opener against the Red Sox, who welcome back Daisuke Matsuzaka (0-1, 12.79) after a six-week stint on the disabled list.

New York took Thursday off after getting swept in a three-game series at Dodger Stadium, losing the three contests by a combined tally of 10-6. The Mets? current 10-game road trip began with three straight wins in San Francisco and they scored a total of 24 runs, but they?ve since lost four in a row and managed just the six runs in Los Angeles. The team?s four-game slide follows an 11-2 overall run and a five-game road winning streak.

Boston capped a three-game home sweep of first-place Toronto with last night?s 5-1 victory. The Red Sox have won four of their last five, allowing a total of 10 runs during this five-game stretch. Additionally, Terry Francona?s pitching staff has given up three runs or fewer in five straight games overall and six of seven at home.

The Red Sox swept a three-game home series from the Mets in the most recent matchup back in 2006, with a scoring differential of 23-8. Going back to 1999, the home team is 9-2 in the last 11 head-to-head battles, with New York losing four straight at Fenway Park.

The Mets are 55-27 in their last 82 games after an off day and they?re on additional upticks of 5-0 on Friday, 8-2 as a favorite, 5-1 in interleague roadies and 7-2 in series openers. Boston is riding positive runs of 22-10 overall, 79-33 at Fenway Park, 4-0 as a home underdog, 9-2 versus lefty starters, 52-16 in interleague play, 43-12 when hosting N.L. squads and 26-5 against the N.L. East.

With Santana on the hill, New York is on surges of 16-5 overall, 14-4 as a favorite and 7-1 on the road. Meanwhile, the Red Sox are 35-17 in Matsuzaka?s last 52 starts overall, 24-9 in his last 33 at home, 5-1 in his last six interleague contests and 7-0 in his last seven on Friday.

Santana is coming off by far his worst start of the season as he gave up six runs (four earned) in seven innings at San Francisco on Saturday, but the former Cy Young winner finally got some run support and came away with a 9-6 victory, which was the last time the Mets won. Prior to Saturday, Santana had given up a total of four earned runs in his first seven starts of 2009 (0.79 ERA) and a total of six earned runs in his last 10 outings dating to last September (0.86 ERA).

Santana is 2-1 with a 2.29 ERA in three road efforts this season and going back to his days with the Twins, he?s 4-4 with a 3.40 ERA in 12 appearances (nine starts) against the Red Sox.

Matsuzaka has been on the disabled list with arm fatigue since leaving his April 14 start at Oakland after getting rocked for five runs in one inning of his team?s 6-5 loss. The veteran right-hander, has given up nine runs on 14 hits (three home runs) in 6 1/3 innings of big-league work this season, including a 4-3 home loss to Tampa in his season debut.

For his career, Matsuzaka is 17-8 with a 4.18 ERA in 31 starts at Fenway Park, and tonight marks his first-ever appearance against the Mets.

The under is 7-2 in Santana?s last nine starts overall, 4-0 in his last four on Friday, 6-2 in Dice-K?s last eight home starts and 5-2 in his last seven Interleague contests. Additionally, the ?under? is on streaks of 4-1-1 for Boston overall, 40-19-7 for New York on Friday and 8-2-2 in this periodic rivalry. However, the Mets are on ?over? stretches of 9-4-1 overall and 8-1 as a chalk.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
 

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Interleague MLB Action- It's one-sided
Doug Upstone

Read a great article this week by Jayson Stark of ESPN.com, talking about 70-75 percent of all baseball players dislike interleague play. Among the reasons given are unfamiliarity of players, meaningless matchups (the Pittsburgh vs Washington series was a classic this week), dealing with the DH and unfair schedule for teams within same division. Excuse me while I wipe away the tears for these blockheads. Imagine the Pittsburgh Steelers whining about having to the play the toughest schedule before last season, how did that work out?

While we all share their pain, enough of us like it. Attendance typically runs ahead of the norm for these games (10 percent last season), suggesting we like the rivalry games and are curious enough to go to the park to see in person players and teams we would not ordinarily be able to. Taking it further, according to Stark's article, if you subtracted rivalry matchups in each of the last three seasons, interleague attendance was still 7.5 percent higher last year, 4.1 percent bigger in 2007 and 6.0 percent larger in 2006.

For sports bettors, interleague play has created a great deal of opportunity if you follow the K.I.S.S. method. The American League has been the dominant force for better than a decade and not many signs point to change.
To blindly play every American League teams since 2003, you would have a 709-565 record (55.7 percent) and netted +94.7 units or about +19 units per year, just betting interleague games. That's rather eye-opening.
Oddsmakers are doing their best to curtail the situation, by adding margin into AL teams to make them less attractive, however if the National League clubs can't win, no number is going to chase off enough action to make a big enough difference to those accepting wagers.

It is nothing short of amazing to review the numbers see in the last two years only the New York Mets (17-13, +2.4 units) and Chicago Cubs (14-13, -0.9) have winning records versus the junior circuit. With 14 NL teams having .500 or below records, this equates to 222-291 record, 43.3 percent. In just two years, betting the 16 NL clubs would have cost -57.45 units, meaning you had roughly 2,336 other games to wager on to get your money back for this folly.

Only the St. Louis Cardinals have winning record at 43-38 (+3) the last five years against the AL, showing how wide the differential is between the two leagues in head to head competition.

For the most part, the oddsmakers like those at Betmania.com have been in tune with the total, with only a handful of teams sticking out. Over the last couple of years, Atlanta (11-18), San Francisco (11-19) and the Dodgers (11-19) have managed to play UNDER, while Florida (20-10) and Baltimore (21-13) have gone the other direction and been OVER the number.

The Braves have been more consistent in the totals direction over a longer period of time, with 44-32 UNDER mark since 2003. The Cleveland Indians have kept pace with the Bravos in this category with 51-38 UNDER record in the same time frame.

On the other end of the spectrum is the Arizona at 43-33 OVER and the Kansas City Royals at even better 51-37 OVER the last five seasons.

The run line shows potential for interleague play, more so then regular league encounters. In the last two years, games decided by two or more runs were 62 of 83 played the opening weekend of interleague action, which is 74.6 percent. Though the number is small compared to all games played, it does show a trend towards games that are not as close, since normally one run games make up about 28-31 percent on any given year.
Over the last several seasons, a number of teams have shown potential as drawing worthy consideration for the run line; here is what teams matched up.

Boston won by 1.6 runs per game - L5Y
Detroit won by 2.1 RPG ? L2Y
Kansas City won by 1.4 RPG - L2Y
L.A. Angels won by 1.6 RPG ? L2Y
L.A. Dodgers lost by 1.6 RPG ? L2Y
Minnesota won by 2.1 RPG ? L2Y
Twins won by 1.6 RPG ? L5Y
Pittsburgh lost by 2.1 RPG ? L5Y
San Francisco lost by 1.5 RPG ? L2Y
 

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Freeway Series!!
By Sportspic

The Los Angeles Dodgers will play host to the Los Angeles Angels this weekend in what is commonly known as the Freeway Series.

Dodgers leading the Majors at 29-13, tops at home with an impressive 17-3 (+$1167) mark and more importantly #1 at the betting window stuffing betting accounts with +$1359 open the series with southpaw Clayton Kershaw (2-3, 4.60).

Kershaw off a gem Sunday against at Marlins allowing just one hit, one run over 7 innings brings to the mound an impressive 0.95 ERA in three home starts with Dodgers cashing all three contests.

Meanwhile, up-down Angels 21-19 (+$377) overall, 9-11 (-$16) on the highway counter with hard-luck Jered Weaver (3-2, 2.59). The righty off three quality starts allowing just 5 runs over 24 innings of work going 1-1 for his efforts. It is well to note Weaver has had great success vs Dodgers winning 3-of-4 career starts.

Dodgers were 10-20 (-$1051) the past two seasons of mixed-play including 4-8 (-$348) vs their neighbor from Anaheim. Halos on the other hand are a strong 24-12 (+$816) it's past thirty-six IL games including 10-8 (-$32) last season.
 
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