- Jul 17, 2008
- 658
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Here is some info
Although Capping doesn't always permit analysis Post-Haste, I don't know if i speak for most cappers when I remain committed to briefly re-capping picks, and lining up the real game numbers to those that were projected...BRIEFLY - in the effort to learn from mistakes and\or (more often, hopefully), streamline the box-scores and stats that we'd hoped to see in anticipation of next game.
OBVIOUSLY TONIGHT - EVERYTHING WENT DREADFULLY WRONG....EVEN AS IT LOOKED SO GOOD FOR 15:22 OF GAME 1.
THE MOST PERPLEXING ISSUE I'M GRAPPLING WITH IS JUST HOW WELL ORLANDO'S NUMBERS STILL LOOK - IN THE FINAL ANALYSIS - EVEN WITHOUT MUCH STAT-FILLING GARBAGE:
IF YOU'D HAVE GIVEN ME THESE STATS, NOT KNOWING THE REST OF THE BOX SCORE - I'D FEEL SUPREMELY CONFIDENT IN ORL +6 and OVER 206:
ORL HELD LAL STARTERS TO:
TWO D-FIGURES SCORERS
14 FT ATT
ORL ACCOMPLISHED SO MANY OTHER STATISTICAL POSITIVES:
ORL HAD ONLY 8 TURNOVERS
JUST 1 T-O FROM BOTH ORL PG'S
ORL HAD 2 FEWER FOULS THAN LAL
POINTED TO AS BIG KEY
HELD LAL TO UNDER 102 PTS
LAL WAS 1-5 S|U
ALL IMPORTANT TO ORL, 3-PT SHOOTING:
ORL SHOT 14x 3-PT ATT THAN LAL
ORL MADE 5x 3-PTRS THAN LAL
ORL SHOT 11x FT ATT THAN LAL
JAMEER NELSON?
ORL GOT 23.5 DECENT MIN FROM J NELSON
DWIGHT HOWARD | KOBE BRYANT 'RED FLAG' ISSUES?
IT COULD BE ARGUED THAT THEY BOTH CAME TO PASS IN ORL FAVOR!
ORL KEPT HOWARD ON FLOOR, NO FOUL ISSUES (3 PF)
HOWARD HAD ANOTHER DBLE-DBLE (19\20 PLYF GM)
HOWARD AGAIN SHOT OK FT
62.5% (10-16), enough to avoid 'Hack-a-Howard'
KOBE SHOT 34 SHOTS
ONLY 1 OTHER LAL STARTER IN D-FIG (GASOL - 16)
No excuses. Gotta be ultimately responsible for a failed pick - and RED Numbers. Also, just have to try and understand this LA Laker Team - how astoundingly good they CAN be - when they play their game, a team as good as Orlando can do many things well - essentially PLAY THEIR Game, and still come up 25 pts short. It leads on to believe we MUST dive into the LA Laker sound-bytes, Game Reports from few trusted beat writers - WHATEVER it TAKES to gain a better understanding of what sets this team off - what makes them tick....ect. If that can't be comfortably accomplished - well, maybe we stay away until it can. Incidentally LAL was as responsible for Orlando poor shooting numbers as anything...although I'd contend that Magic missed dozens of great open looks. I'd be stunned to see D Howard shoot just SIX shots again....and make just ONE FG!? ORL does not shoot .299 ever. I haven't found it yet - but I will (last time they shot that poorly). That stretch of 23:45 (almost exactly a Half of Basketball), where Orlando was outscored 60-29, was likely the worst Half of Hoops the Magic played all season - and some of the best Laker Ball, too.
Orlando Starters:
Lee: 3-10
Alston: 2-9
Turkoglu: 3-11
Lewis: 2-10
Howard: 1-6
11-46 = 23.9%
On LAL side, D Howard seemed ill-prepared for Pao-Kobe Pick-and-Roll Triangle action...when LAL has that smoothly functioning as they did tonight.....very difficult to beat LAL on that kind of execution night....much less a night when you shoot 29.9%
OK ok. Back to the drawing board. We were 11-3 in last 14, and finished WCF\ECF 7-1 coming into Finals, and VOW to finish strong. We will get back into stat sheets, and see what Orlando has in store for LAL's Triangle - what VG and PHIL are saying and, How D-12 is taking the heat, ect. Never givin up. Bad Beat....really regret anyone who decided to follow in here based on write-up, as my LAL research coulda been a little deeper...we'll get it done -and make up for it; better than ever
------
clocked the next line coming in at LAL -9 to -10.5....seeing it at 6.5 some places is an eye-opener.
The way LAL is playing now, I'm getting deep into stats of 'spike points' of LAL Playoff and some Reg Season period, and until lines get to 3 possessions or more, the Lakers are simply devastating in these stretches - till they start to coast....with D-Digit spreads they are 2-9 ATS, 8-19 ATS, YET as 2 to 3 possession favs they are 6-1, 15-3-1, and 22-5-2 ATS over past 2 seasons with current roster in very distinct periods of efficient play.
It is almost to the point where it DOESN'T MATTER TOO MUCH how well the opposition plays, since LAL is a well oiled machine when Triangle is clicking, and free flowing ....a 'stop-and-go', squealing, "Metal-on-Metal" Brake System on a 64-and-a-half Mustang .... ballsy and loud off the line, but tough to be around when they hit corners and stop-lights.
This lower than expected Game 2 Lakers Line is looking pretty good at this point.
Although Capping doesn't always permit analysis Post-Haste, I don't know if i speak for most cappers when I remain committed to briefly re-capping picks, and lining up the real game numbers to those that were projected...BRIEFLY - in the effort to learn from mistakes and\or (more often, hopefully), streamline the box-scores and stats that we'd hoped to see in anticipation of next game.
OBVIOUSLY TONIGHT - EVERYTHING WENT DREADFULLY WRONG....EVEN AS IT LOOKED SO GOOD FOR 15:22 OF GAME 1.
THE MOST PERPLEXING ISSUE I'M GRAPPLING WITH IS JUST HOW WELL ORLANDO'S NUMBERS STILL LOOK - IN THE FINAL ANALYSIS - EVEN WITHOUT MUCH STAT-FILLING GARBAGE:
IF YOU'D HAVE GIVEN ME THESE STATS, NOT KNOWING THE REST OF THE BOX SCORE - I'D FEEL SUPREMELY CONFIDENT IN ORL +6 and OVER 206:
ORL HELD LAL STARTERS TO:
TWO D-FIGURES SCORERS
14 FT ATT
ORL ACCOMPLISHED SO MANY OTHER STATISTICAL POSITIVES:
ORL HAD ONLY 8 TURNOVERS
JUST 1 T-O FROM BOTH ORL PG'S
ORL HAD 2 FEWER FOULS THAN LAL
POINTED TO AS BIG KEY
HELD LAL TO UNDER 102 PTS
LAL WAS 1-5 S|U
ALL IMPORTANT TO ORL, 3-PT SHOOTING:
ORL SHOT 14x 3-PT ATT THAN LAL
ORL MADE 5x 3-PTRS THAN LAL
ORL SHOT 11x FT ATT THAN LAL
JAMEER NELSON?
ORL GOT 23.5 DECENT MIN FROM J NELSON
DWIGHT HOWARD | KOBE BRYANT 'RED FLAG' ISSUES?
IT COULD BE ARGUED THAT THEY BOTH CAME TO PASS IN ORL FAVOR!
ORL KEPT HOWARD ON FLOOR, NO FOUL ISSUES (3 PF)
HOWARD HAD ANOTHER DBLE-DBLE (19\20 PLYF GM)
HOWARD AGAIN SHOT OK FT
62.5% (10-16), enough to avoid 'Hack-a-Howard'
KOBE SHOT 34 SHOTS
ONLY 1 OTHER LAL STARTER IN D-FIG (GASOL - 16)
No excuses. Gotta be ultimately responsible for a failed pick - and RED Numbers. Also, just have to try and understand this LA Laker Team - how astoundingly good they CAN be - when they play their game, a team as good as Orlando can do many things well - essentially PLAY THEIR Game, and still come up 25 pts short. It leads on to believe we MUST dive into the LA Laker sound-bytes, Game Reports from few trusted beat writers - WHATEVER it TAKES to gain a better understanding of what sets this team off - what makes them tick....ect. If that can't be comfortably accomplished - well, maybe we stay away until it can. Incidentally LAL was as responsible for Orlando poor shooting numbers as anything...although I'd contend that Magic missed dozens of great open looks. I'd be stunned to see D Howard shoot just SIX shots again....and make just ONE FG!? ORL does not shoot .299 ever. I haven't found it yet - but I will (last time they shot that poorly). That stretch of 23:45 (almost exactly a Half of Basketball), where Orlando was outscored 60-29, was likely the worst Half of Hoops the Magic played all season - and some of the best Laker Ball, too.
Orlando Starters:
Lee: 3-10
Alston: 2-9
Turkoglu: 3-11
Lewis: 2-10
Howard: 1-6
11-46 = 23.9%
On LAL side, D Howard seemed ill-prepared for Pao-Kobe Pick-and-Roll Triangle action...when LAL has that smoothly functioning as they did tonight.....very difficult to beat LAL on that kind of execution night....much less a night when you shoot 29.9%
OK ok. Back to the drawing board. We were 11-3 in last 14, and finished WCF\ECF 7-1 coming into Finals, and VOW to finish strong. We will get back into stat sheets, and see what Orlando has in store for LAL's Triangle - what VG and PHIL are saying and, How D-12 is taking the heat, ect. Never givin up. Bad Beat....really regret anyone who decided to follow in here based on write-up, as my LAL research coulda been a little deeper...we'll get it done -and make up for it; better than ever
------
clocked the next line coming in at LAL -9 to -10.5....seeing it at 6.5 some places is an eye-opener.
The way LAL is playing now, I'm getting deep into stats of 'spike points' of LAL Playoff and some Reg Season period, and until lines get to 3 possessions or more, the Lakers are simply devastating in these stretches - till they start to coast....with D-Digit spreads they are 2-9 ATS, 8-19 ATS, YET as 2 to 3 possession favs they are 6-1, 15-3-1, and 22-5-2 ATS over past 2 seasons with current roster in very distinct periods of efficient play.
It is almost to the point where it DOESN'T MATTER TOO MUCH how well the opposition plays, since LAL is a well oiled machine when Triangle is clicking, and free flowing ....a 'stop-and-go', squealing, "Metal-on-Metal" Brake System on a 64-and-a-half Mustang .... ballsy and loud off the line, but tough to be around when they hit corners and stop-lights.
This lower than expected Game 2 Lakers Line is looking pretty good at this point.
