Updated Season Record: 66-50 for +37.9 units
Thanks Cie for the nice comments yesterday. Yesterday was definitely disappointing. I had 4 units riding on UNC as a nice dog and they couldn?t pull it off despite numerous chances in the first 9 innings. Than the Under in the Texas game gets blown due to walks, errors, wild pitches, and a catcher interference to boot. Oh well, here is what I?m going with for Monday?s games.
Fullerton -230 (vs. Virginia) for 1 unit ? quite a bit of juice on this one, but I just don?t see the Titans going home with their ace All American Daniel Renken on the mound. Renken has a 2.36 ERA; 1.01 WHIP; .202 opponents avg. and 98 K?s in 118 IP. Even more impressive when you consider Fullerton has the #1 SOS this year. Virginia sends Robert Morey to the mound and he has been pretty good this season for the Cavaliers. He has a 3.11 ERA; 1.15 WHIP; .202 opponents avg. and 83 K?s in 63 2/3 IP. Fullerton is by far the most potent offense he will have faced this year as a starter though. I?ve liked watching this Virginia team this year but unfortunately I believe their season ends today.
Fullerton/UVa Under 10.5 for 3 units ? Well my belief of low scoring games didn?t apply to the first two days (though that Texas/USM game shouldn?t have gone over). Despite these two teams having very good offenses, I think this will be a small ball type game. The stats I listed for both starting pitchers show they don?t allow many base runners. I expect a somewhat tight game with both teams looking to sacrifice and move runners over as opposed to swinging away. The loser?s season is done, so they aren?t going to want to squander any opportunities. Not much of a wind today in Omaha so the ball park should be able to contain most balls also.
LSU -210 (vs. Arkansas) for 2 units ? another big fav, but I just can?t lay off of this as the pitching edge is too big. Cie Grant mentioned how Louis Coleman completely shut down Arkansas earlier in the year. Coleman is a great pitcher and there is no reason he shouldn?t be able to put up another good performance tonight. He has a 2.74 ERA; 0.97 WHIP; .216 opponents avg. and 125 K?s in 115 IP this season. In the post-season he has faced 3 really good offenses in South Carolina, Minnesota and Rice, and has shut each of them down. Arkansas will start Brett Eibner on the mound. Eibner has a 4.61 ERA; 1.32 WHIP; .236 opponents avg. and 66 K?s in 70 1/3 IP. Those are decent stats but he?s been hit hard his last few outings and I expect to see LSU to get to him early. LSU has a distinct advantage between these two clubs offensively and it should show today imo.
GL guys.
Thanks Cie for the nice comments yesterday. Yesterday was definitely disappointing. I had 4 units riding on UNC as a nice dog and they couldn?t pull it off despite numerous chances in the first 9 innings. Than the Under in the Texas game gets blown due to walks, errors, wild pitches, and a catcher interference to boot. Oh well, here is what I?m going with for Monday?s games.
Fullerton -230 (vs. Virginia) for 1 unit ? quite a bit of juice on this one, but I just don?t see the Titans going home with their ace All American Daniel Renken on the mound. Renken has a 2.36 ERA; 1.01 WHIP; .202 opponents avg. and 98 K?s in 118 IP. Even more impressive when you consider Fullerton has the #1 SOS this year. Virginia sends Robert Morey to the mound and he has been pretty good this season for the Cavaliers. He has a 3.11 ERA; 1.15 WHIP; .202 opponents avg. and 83 K?s in 63 2/3 IP. Fullerton is by far the most potent offense he will have faced this year as a starter though. I?ve liked watching this Virginia team this year but unfortunately I believe their season ends today.
Fullerton/UVa Under 10.5 for 3 units ? Well my belief of low scoring games didn?t apply to the first two days (though that Texas/USM game shouldn?t have gone over). Despite these two teams having very good offenses, I think this will be a small ball type game. The stats I listed for both starting pitchers show they don?t allow many base runners. I expect a somewhat tight game with both teams looking to sacrifice and move runners over as opposed to swinging away. The loser?s season is done, so they aren?t going to want to squander any opportunities. Not much of a wind today in Omaha so the ball park should be able to contain most balls also.
LSU -210 (vs. Arkansas) for 2 units ? another big fav, but I just can?t lay off of this as the pitching edge is too big. Cie Grant mentioned how Louis Coleman completely shut down Arkansas earlier in the year. Coleman is a great pitcher and there is no reason he shouldn?t be able to put up another good performance tonight. He has a 2.74 ERA; 0.97 WHIP; .216 opponents avg. and 125 K?s in 115 IP this season. In the post-season he has faced 3 really good offenses in South Carolina, Minnesota and Rice, and has shut each of them down. Arkansas will start Brett Eibner on the mound. Eibner has a 4.61 ERA; 1.32 WHIP; .236 opponents avg. and 66 K?s in 70 1/3 IP. Those are decent stats but he?s been hit hard his last few outings and I expect to see LSU to get to him early. LSU has a distinct advantage between these two clubs offensively and it should show today imo.
GL guys.
