Monday's News and Notes

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LOKI
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Monday's News and Notes

Major League Baseball returns to business as usual on Monday. While interleague play was hot and heavy in the first go-around at the end of May, it almost feels like an exercise in futility rather then a short burst of enjoyment. But this is wholly an individual opinion on my part.

Whatever your personal feeling is on the yearly AL-NL mix-up the schedule will now return to status quo. That leads us to the first day of a new week and the card it carries over inside the pockets of fellow gamblers.

Sour Slinging

It hasn?t been fun pitching in Washington?s (21-51, -2561) rotation. Just take it from Scott Olsen (1-4, 7.24 ERA). Slated to return to the mound after a one-month layoff on the DL (shoulder tendinitis), Olsen would love to press the reset button on the season. In three straight starts before his stint on the DL began, the lefty was credited for allowing 15 earned runs (five per start) in a total of 14.1 innings. Whether facing fellow southpaw batters or going up against the orthodox right-handed swinger, Olsen has been battered for a combined .335 BAA. His lone victory came in Philadelphia (for which he?s expressed hatred against them club when part of the Marlins pitching staff) for which six hits and an earned run was the end result. But that Apr. 29 victory feels like many moons ago.

Gearing to face Florida (38-38, +202) at 7:10 p.m. EDT, Olsen will at least look to take advantage of a Marlins? club batting .256 versus lefties and bringing in a middle of the road, 349 runs. However, in the last week, Florida has seen a spike in offensive production. The ?Fish swung for a .304 BA, manufacturing 32 RBIs (against both lefty and righty pitchers). Ending this matchup on a betting note, Olsen has been a ?dog in every one of his eight starts in ?09. Prices have ranged from a low, plus-113 (bet $100 to make $113) against the Phillies at home to a high, plus-263 (bet $100 to make $263) against the Mets in Citi Field. The financial statement has Olsen tallying up a minus-234 money line deficit for those few backers out there.

Hot to Trot


We?ll wait to see what Tampa Bay (41-35, +98) does on Sunday but all indications show that this team is beginning to turn up the heat. The Rays will faceoff against division rival, Toronto (41-35, +372) at 7:07 p.m. EDT. But as hot as Tampa has been by taking six of its last eight, the Blue Jays will counter when it places shutdown starter, Roy Halladay (10-1, 2.53) on the hill. Three of the Rays last six victories have come against pitchers with a winning record. But as well as the offense has been playing (batting .292 in the last 10), credit goes to Tampa Bay?s bullpen for producing a 1.57 ERA in the last 10. The two busiest bullpen slingers, Lance Cormier and J.P. Howell, have combined for a 2.08 ERA 1.10 WHIP in a total of 40.5 innings. So if Rays? starting pitcher, Jeff Niemann (6-4, 4.23) wants to help his club then he must eat up some innings before making way for the pen. It?s just that Tampa must combat Toronto?s 9-3 record in Halladay?s last 12 home starts versus the Rays.

Traveling Touch

It?s no secret why the Angels possess one of the best road records in the Majors. At 20-17 when making road reservations, Los Angeles (40-32, +897) finds itself ranking second best in the hitting department. Between Torii Hunter, Juan Rivera and Bobby Abreu bringing in a combined, 71 RBIs, the Angels as a team are making contact for a .280 BA. That?s resulted in five straight road wins (seven runs per game) and an ?over record at 9-5 in the last 14. Scoring 4.9 runs per game on offense and having the pitching staff log in a steep, 4.59 ERA (on the road) has books surprisingly installing totals at an average, 8.7 runs per game.

We?re hard pressed to find much stock for total wagering in this 8:05 p.m. EDT contest against the Rangers (. However with L.A. fielding Sean O?Sullivan on the slab (1-0, 3.00) and Texas preparing to etch its veteran slinger, Vincent Padilla (6-3, 4.48) in the starting rotation books have decided to open the contest at a hefty, 10 ?-runs.

Even though the stats indicate that L.A.?s pitching staff is logging in a 5.12 ERA on the year, the defense has actually been able to hold down the opposition to four runs per game in the same 10.

The ?under? is 22-6-1 in Texas? last 29 home games, the ?under? is 42-17-1 in the Rangers last 60, but the ?over? has gone 7-3-1 in Padilla?s last 11 starts versus the Angels. In-fact Texas was murdering books just a week and a half ago, hitting the ?under? in 12 straight games (from Jun. 5 to Jun. 18). Since then the ?under? is a split, 4-4 in the last eight Rangers? games.

Sportsbetting.com has placed Texas as a $1.35 home favorite.
 

Lumi

LOKI
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AL West Showdown

AL West Showdown

AL West Showdown

First place in the AL West is on the line Monday Night as the Texas Rangers host the Los Angeles Angels at xxxxSports.com.

L.A. Angels (+115) at Texas Rangers - 8:05 pm ET - Sign-up to wager here

This is the second meeting between the teams this year. Texas swept a series in mid-May and held a 4.5 game lead over L.A. when the carnage was finally done.

But the Angels (41-32) have been the class of the AL West over the last five years and they were too talented not to make a run. They?ve gone 16-8 in June and are coming off a sweep at the Arizona Diamondbacks, giving them a five-game winning streak.


Texas (40-34) is just 10-14 this month and they just dropped a series at home against San Diego. What?s really been surprising is that the bats have gone quiet. The Rangers have scored three or less runs in six of eight games.

Texas? recent slide means Los Angeles has a slim 1.5 game lead in the AL West and the Rangers need to make a stand starting tonight.

Sean O?Sullivan (1-0, 3.00 ERA) vs. Vicente Padilla (6-3, 4.48 ERA)

It?s remarkable that the Angels are in first place given their pitching problems. They have used a major-league leading 12 starting pitchers this season and Ervin Santana is back on the disabled list with inflammation in his shoulder.

O?Sullivan has had to fill in along with 30 year-old rookie Matt Palmer. The 21 year-old O?Sullivan is making his 3rd start overall.

He pitched very well in his first outing at San Francisco, but was fortunate to get a no-decision versus Colorado at home last Wednesday, giving up two homers and throwing only 57 strikes out of 101 pitches.

Sullivan will need to pitch much better against this Texas team that is 3rd in the AL in runs scored at home.

Padilla was put on the waiver wire a few weeks ago but no one claimed him due to his contract. That episode lit a spark under him and he is now 3-0 with a 2.16 ERA in his last four starts, out-dueling Arizona?s Dan Haren last Wednesday.

Padilla pitched very well in his start against Los Angeles earlier this year, giving up just three earned runs in eight innings for the win.

The pitching matchup tonight is the main reason they?re the -135 favorites.
 

Lumi

LOKI
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MLB Bettor's Box

MLB Bettor's Box

MLB Bettor's Box
June 29, 2009
By Bodog
Baseball fans got a very rare treat Sunday night when New York Yankees closer Mariano Rivera came up to bat for just the third time in his career ? against New York Mets closer Francisco Rodriguez, no less. The Yankees were up 3-2 with the bases loaded and two out in the top of the ninth. Rivera had come out of the bullpen in the previous inning, and wasn?t going to be pulled for a pinch-hitter. Instead, Rivera patiently drew a walk for his first career RBI. Then he completed his 500th career save as the Yanks (-153) prevailed 4-2.
We can only hope for another epic finish to the next Sunday nighter on ESPN. We?ve got it lined up for you in this week?s betting preview; all stats are at press time, and the freshest lines are available at sports.bodog.com.

Series: Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers

The Rockies (40-35, +7.36 units) remain the hottest thing on four wheels after sweeping the Oakland A?s to improve to 21-7 under new manager Jim Tracy. The Dodgers (48-28, +16.73 units) still have the best record in baseball despite losing four of their last five games. This is L.A.?s last series before Manny Ramirez (1.133 OPS) is eligible to return from his 50-game drug suspension. After a hot start as his replacement, Juan Pierre is swinging his more familiar light bat with a .611 OPS in June.

Series: Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs

These have been lean times for the Brewers (40-35, +3.77 units). They?re 7-12 over the past three weeks, and yet they find themselves with a share of the lead in the National League Central. The Cubs (35-37, -10.09 units) are 3.5 games back and feeling very grumpy after losing six of their last seven. This is a four-game series starting on Thursday; Milwaukee has split six games with Chicago at Miller Park this year.

Series: Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees

Rivera?s performance on Sunday secured a sweep of the Mets at Citi Field and pushed the Yankees to 43-32 (-4.41 units). That?s five wins in a row for New York; the Jays (41-36, +2.29 units) just finished dropping two of three to the defending champion Philadelphia Phillies. This is another four-game series starting Friday afternoon with rookie Brad Mills (14.09 ERA, 2.61 WHIP) making his third career start for the Jays against A.J. Burnett (3.93 ERA, 1.37 WHIP).

San Francisco Giants at St. Louis Cardinals (Wednesday, 8:15 p.m. Eastern, ESPN)

We?ve got the makings of a pitcher?s duel here between Matt Cain (2.57 ERA, 1.23 WHIP) and Adam Wainwright (3.51 ERA, 1.34 WHIP). Cain has led the Giants to victory in 11 of 15 starts for a profit of 6.19 units. Wainwright has a team record of 10-6 (+1.38 units) with the over cashing in at 11-4. The Giants took two of three from the Cards when they met in San Fran at the end of May; Cain won the series opener and Wainwright lost the finale.

Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins (Saturday, 4:10 p.m. ET, FOX)

The projected starters for this AL Central battle are breakthrough sensation Edwin Jackson (2.49 ERA, 1.04 WHIP) for Detroit and former phenom Francisco Liriano (5.62 ERA, 1.52 WHIP) for Minnesota. Despite Jackson?s heroics, the Tigers are only 9-7 in his starts (+1.47 units) with the under at 10-4, compliments of 3.88 runs per game in support. Liriano may be rounding into form after missing all of 2007 to Tommy John surgery; the Twins are 4-1 in his last five starts on the strength of a 3.77 ERA.

Tampa Bay Rays at Texas Rangers (Sunday, 8:05 p.m. ET, ESPN)

The AL champions have won five in a row and now own the best run differential in the majors at +87, three more than the Dodgers and 69 better than the slumping Rangers (3-7 in their last 10). Sunday?s starters, if the rotations hold, will be a pair of unlikely big money men: Jeff Niemann (4.23 ERA, 1.47 WHIP) for Tampa Bay and Vicente Padilla (4.48 ERA, 1.46 WHIP) for Texas. The Rays are 10-4 (+6.60 units) behind Niemann and the Rangers are 9-4 (+6.04 units) for Padilla, putting both in the Top 10 for MLB pitching profitability.
 

Lumi

LOKI
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Gamblers fading Mets' rookie

Gamblers fading Mets' rookie

Gamblers fading Mets' rookie
June 29, 2009
By SBGGlobal.com

New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers
Monday, 7:05 pm Eastern ? ESPN



SBG Global Opening Line: Brewers - 130 , Total 9 Flat



Red-hot Fernando Nieve is expected to get the start for the Mets on Monday night as they open up a series at Miller Park against the Milwaukee Brewers and Braden Looper. Nieve is 3-0 on the season with a 1.31 ERA while Looper is 5-4 with a 5.16 ERA.



SBG Global reports that early MLB Betting has the public taking Brewers at Home.

Nieve has been great in place of the injured John Maine in the Mets rotation. He has given up only 10 hits in 20 2/3 innings as a starter this season. He is 1-0 with a 4.00 ERA in three career appearances against the Brewers.



Looper went six innings in his last outing against the Twins but got a no-decision. Looper is 3-1 with a 2.35 ERA in 47 appearances against the Mets in his career, most of those in relief. He has started only once against the Mets and gave up three runs on eight hits in six innings.



The Mets have struggled to score runs of late and without Jose Reyes, Carlos Delgado and Carlos Beltran in the lineup it has been tough for David Wright to get anything to hit. "It's difficult to do when you don't get any baserunners," manager Jerry Manuel said. "It's hard to generate anything. We'll need a break here or there -- an error -- to amass any type of threat."



The Brewers are hoping to have Craig Counsell back in the lineup on Monday. He was held out of Sunday?s game and the Brewers were shutout by the Giants. Counsell is hitting .303 with a .371 on-base percentage this season.



Here are the MLB Betting stats for Monday?s game. The Mets are 4-9 in their last 13 road games. The Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Mets are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.



The Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 Monday games. The Brewers are 3-8 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter.



SBG Global Current Line: Brewers -128 , Total 9 Flat



The Over is 5-2-1 in the Mets last 8 games as a road underdog. The Over is 9-3 in Brewers last 12 overall. The Under is 5-2 in the Brewers last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Over is 4-1 in Looper?s last 5 starts as a home favorite. The Over is 19-7-3 in the last 29 meetings in Milwaukee between the two teams.
 
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