Inside the Park - Monday

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
Inside the Park - Monday

Gamblers have 11 games to wager on today, so let?s take a closer look at some developing trends on the diamond.
Monday Matinee ? Yankees vs. Blue Jays

New York is one of the hottest teams in baseball right now, winning 10 of its last 11 games. The Yankees hope to complete a four-game sweep of the Blue Jays, who have dropped three straight and seven of their last eight. The Yankees have scored 20 runs in this series against Toronto, helping the ?over? go 2-1.

The Blue Jays send Ricky Romero (6-3, 2.85 ERA) to the mound and the left-handed rookie might be undervalued (+135) in this spot. The Jays have won four straight with him on the mound and he?s given up only five earned runs during this stretch. The Yankees will hand the broom to Andy Pettitte (8-3, 4.25 ERA), who is 2-0 in his last three starts. Pettitte is 3-4 in his last seven starts against Toronto. The ?under? has gone 6-1 over this span.

Toronto has gone 13-13 against lefties this year, while the Yanks have produced a 15-8 record versus southpaws. The total opened at 9 ? runs and will most likely be adjusted after the updated Weather Reports are posted from the Bronx.

ESPN Primer ? Atlanta at Chicago Cubs

The Braves and Cubs meet in a nationally-televised showdown tonight at Wrigley Field. Atlanta had some momentum entering last weekend, winning four straight games. Then, the Braves captured the first game from the last-place Nationals on Friday but wound up blowing a lead in Saturday?s loss and then were shut down on Sunday.

Jair Jurrjens (6-6, 2.73 ERA) will toe the rubber for the Braves and the team is hoping he can have a repeat performance from his last outing. The third-year pro held the Phillies to one hit and one run over seven innings in the team?s 11-1 rout on July 1. Prior to that victory, Atlanta lost five straight with Jurrjens on the mound.

Runs won?t come easy for the Braves tonight because the Cubs? Randy Wells has been in the zone lately. The right-hander has won three in a row and held batters to 16 hits and five runs over his last 20 2/3 innings of work. Wells hasn?t had a lot of run support this year, which has made him a great ?under? (6-3) look.

Chicago captured all six meetings against Atlanta last year, but the Braves beat the Cubs two out of three in their first series this season. This will be the last meeting of the regular season between the two teams.

As always, there's no overnight total due to the uncertain wind conditions at Wrigley, "Unless we're looking at some serious wind blowing out Monday, this game looks like an 'under' to me. Forget Jurrjens' so-so record, this kid has been steadily nasty all year long, as evidenced by his 2.73 ERA. And Wells has been brilliant recently."

Trick or Treat

We know it?s not October folks, but it appears the oddsmakers are begging you to take Cincinnati (+140) tonight when it faces Philadelphia. The pitching matchup features the Reds? Johnny Cueto (8-4, 2.69 ERA) against the Phillies? Cole Hamels (4-5, 4.98 ERA). Cueto has four losses on the season, two against the American League and the other two by one run apiece. Hamels is a gamer but the Phillies are 0-4 in his last four starts and the last two (17 hits, 11 runs) have been outright embarrassing.

Philadelphia poses more of a threat offensively, even though the attack has been handcuffed lately. Despite sweeping the Mets over the weekend, the team managed just 13 runs in the three games and has scored seven in their three games prior, all losses too. Despite a lack of talent, the Reds are 40-40 on the season and 20-20 on the road. The Phillies sit in first place of the NL East, but are just 16-22 at home.

Before you run to the counter and unload on the Reds, keep in mind that Hamels has allowed five earned runs in 36 career innings against the Reds. His record is 4-0 in five starts against Cincy.

Perhaps that?s why Hamels and Philadelphia are listed as $1.55 home favorites.

Lookin? for a ?W?

John Smoltz?s (0-1, 6.00 ERA) return to the big leagues hasn?t gone the way the veteran pitcher had hoped. After giving up seven hits and five runs in a 9-3 loss to the Nationals on June 25, Smoltz bounced back by holding the Orioles to three hits and a run over four innings, yet the team still lost 11-10. Even though the Red Sox are 0-2 in Smoltz?s first two appearances, the right-hander has been installed as a healthy favorite (-220) against Oakland. The A?s nearly got swept by the Indians on Sunday, but they rallied for a 5-2 win and helped ?dog players cash a generous plus-180 ticket against Cliff Lee. The Red Sox were almost swept a swell as well before beating Seattle. Including yesterday?s win, Boston is only 6-12 against the AL West this year. Meanwhile, the A?s have been solid against the AL East this year, going 11-10.

AL West Action

Not a lot of pundits expected Texas to contend for the American League West this year but that?s exactly what the club is doing. The Rangers and Angels meet for the third time this year and Los Angeles is hoping that its confines in Anaheim will be an advantage. Texas has won five of the first six battles this season, although all of the games were in Arlington.

Kevin Millwood (8-5, 2.80 ERA) and Jered Weaver (8-3, 3.02 ERA) will square off for the second time in six days. The Rangers touched up Weaver for eight hits and seven runs in 5 1-3 innings, while Millwood scattered eight hits for four runs over 6 1-3 innings. L.A. rallied to tie the game at 7-7 in the ninth inning with three runs before Hank Blalock drilled a two-run shot in the bottom half of the last inning, which gave Texas a 9-7 win.

Sportsbook.com opened Weaver as a $1.45 favorite, while the total is hovering at 8 ? runs.

Headin? West

Sean West (3-2, 4.06 ERA) and the Marlins embark on a seven-game trip to the West Coast on Monday and the team will get tested right off the bat. The Fish open up against the Giants? Matt Cain (9-2, 2.48 ERA), who will be looking to notch his 10th win of the season. Cain has posted a 5-1 record with a 2.44 ERA at home this year.

West dominated the Giants on June 8 in a 4-0 victory. The lefty flirted with a no-hitter in just his fourth start and looked better than Randy Johnson in the win. The pair split the first four games at Land Shark Stadium. The ?under? went 3-0 and could?ve been 4-0 but the Giants tacked on two late runs to get a push in the one encounter.

Tonight?s total opened at 7 ?-runs, deservingly too. Stay abreast with the Injuries on this matchup, since Marlins' shortstop Hanley Ramirez is ?questionable.?

Day of the Week

Even though some pundits believe this stat to be trivial, some teams do perform better than others on certain days. Here is a look at the top and bottom clubs on Monday this season that are playing today.

Good:

Boston (5-1)
Kansas City (4-1)
L.A. Angels (5-2)
Philadelphia (4-1)
Florida (6-2)

Bad:

Seattle (1-4)
San Diego (3-5)
Atlanta (3-5)
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
Hot lines: Monday's best MLB bets

Hot lines: Monday's best MLB bets

Hot lines: Monday's best MLB bets

Pittsburgh Pirates at Houton Astros (-155, 9)

Things might finaly be coming together for Houston. The Astros have won six of 10 and if they can find a way to jump start their aenemic offense, they have a chance in the NL Central, as they are just four games out.

Houston?s biggest issue is its offense, which has scored the second-fewest runs in the NL (324). Playing at Minute Maid Park this season, the Astros also have a 14-24-2 O/U record.

But its not like the Pirates are going to score runs. Pittsburgh averages just 4.34 rpg (21st) and has hit only 55 home runs (28th).

"Keep your team in the game and give yourself a chance,? Houston manager Cecil Cooper told the Associated Press. ?If we can put some runs up, we've had a chance to win.?

Pick: Under 9

Atlanta Braves at Chicago Cubs (-116)

The Cubs are making life unbearable for opponents at Wrigley Field this summer. Chicago has the second-fewest home losses in the NL (24-14) and is averaging five runs per game in its past 10 home contests (7-3).

This recent trend is big for the Cubs, who are among the bottom of the barrel in runs scored at home (172) and home batting average (.258 BA).

Meantime, the Braves have lost seven of their past 10 road games and scored three or fewer runs six times during that span. This is especially troubling, as Atlanta's .264 road batting average is in the Top 10 in the league.

The Braves, who scored just six runs in two straight losses to the Nationals, need to do much better if they are to trip the red-hot Cubbies.

Pick: Cubs -116
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
Monday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers

Monday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers

Monday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers
By COVERS.com STAFF | July 5, 2009 | 1 comment
Streaking

Jair Jurrjens (Atlanta Braves)

Braves leftfielder Matt Diaz knows exactly how good a pitcher his teammate is.

"He?s unbelievable," Diaz told the Associated Press of Jurrjens. "He should be an All-Star as is and if we could score him any runs he'd be a leading Cy Young candidate at the halfway point."

Jurrjens (6-6, 2.73) has been hampered by poor defense behind him and a lack of run support, but none of that stopped him from putting together three straight quality starts. In his most recent outing, an 11-1 win over the Phillies, Jurrjens gave up only one hit and no earned runs over seven innings.

If Jurrjens, 23, can lower his 1.24 WHIP (walks + hits over innings pitched), he could emerge as one of the top young right-handers in the game.

Jarrod Washburn (Seattle Mariners)

Washburn won?t throw a complete game and he likely won?t fan 10 batters in seven innings. But the 34 year old knows how to throw strikes and keep hitters off balance.

Washburn (4-6, 3.36 ERA) has allowed no more than four runs in each of his past seven starts, lasting at least six innings each time out. In his most recent outing, a 4-2 loss to the Yankees, he allowed all the runs, but went seven strong, striking out six along the way.

The key to Washburn?s success is his ability to locate the ball low in the strike zone. The fly-ball pitcher struggles when he lets the ball get away from him. In the loss to the Yankees, he gave up three long balls at the team's new stadium. But that hasn't kept opposing managers from being enamoured with his play this year.

"Washburn reinvented himself. I saw a different pitcher," Tampa Bay manager Joe Maddon, who was the bench coach with the Angels when Washburn was there, told the Associated Press. "He is throwing entirely different than in the past... He is a different cat right now.

Slumping

Cole Hamels (Philadelphia Phillies)

The ace of the defending World Series champions appeared to be regaining the form that made him nearly unhittable last October. That was, however, until his past two starts.

Hamels (4-5, 4.98 ERA) admitted to reporters earlier this season that he failed to properly prepare in the months leading up to spring training. On July 1 in Atlanta, he again looked anything but prepared as he was hammered for seven earned runs on nine hits in just four innings.

His start before that, the left-hander lasted a meager 4 2-3 innings as he was tagged for four earned runs on eight hits against the Blue Jays.

"I feel healthy,? Hamels told the Associated Press. ?My body feels good. I'm just not hitting my location. I can't seem to stop the bleeding."

Walter Silva (San Diego Padres)

The 32-year-old right-hander was thrilled when the Padres promoted him from Triple-A last month. But no one has been pleased with Silva?s performance since he arrived.

Silva (0-2, 8.86 ERA) received no help from his defense in his most recent start as he yielded six runs (three unearned) in only four innings of work against the Astros. His previous outing, also a disaster, lasted just 2 1-3 innings as he gave up nine runs on seven hits to go with for walks in a 12-2 loss at Texas

And after Silva was shelled against the Rangers, manager Bud Black even gave him a vote of little confidence.

"We'll keep going out there with the five best [starters] in the organization at any given time," Black told the Associated Press. "Since April, there's been a little changeover."

The Padres have six right-handed pitchers on the DL.
 
Bet on MyBookie
Top