Monday's Tip Sheet

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Monday's Tip Sheet

Gamblers have a stacked MLB card Monday with each game being played under the lights. The Cubs have come out hot after the All-Star break, but they?ll face an equally hot squad in the City of Brotherly Love. The Dodgers maintain a 7 ?-game advantage in the NL West as they get set to host the Reds in a three-game set.

In the AL, Boston?s John Smoltz will take aim at Texas in search of his second win of the season. With the Red Sox slumping, the Yankees might be able to pull into a first-place tie in the AL East if they can beat Baltimore and Texas can knock off Terry Francona?s squad.

**Cubs at Phillies**

--Philadelphia (51-38, +678) is beginning to create some distance between itself and the rest of the pack in the National League East. The Phillies won their eighth straight game when they knocked off Florida 5-0 Sunday in South Florida. Since getting swept at Atlanta June 30-July 2, Charlie Manuel?s team has won 12 of 13 games.

--Chicago (47-43, -531) got off to the start it wanted after the All-Star break, sweeping four games from the Nationals in Washington. The Cubs pounded the Nats by an 11-3 count Sunday, easily cashing tickets as inexpensive minus-118 favorites. The victory pulled them to within two games of the Cardinals for the lead in the NL Central.

--Ted Lilly (9-6, 3.18 ERA) will toe the slab for the Cubs, who are 20-25 on the road. Lilly has a 1-3 record and 4.88 ERA in four career starts against the Phillies. The veteran southpaw is 2-1 with a 2.11 ERA in his last three outings. For the season, Lilly hasn?t been as effective on the road, posting a 3-5 record and 4.66 ERA in nine starts.

--Philadelphia RHP Rodrigo Lopez (1-0, 3.18) will get the starting nod before most likely going to the bullpen or back to the minors when Pedro Martinez is activated. Lopez has been solid in a pair of starts in his first big-league action since 2007. The Phillies have prevailed in both of his previous outings.

--Philadelphia owns lefties this year, compiling a 21-11 record versus southpaws.

--After sweeping the Marlins, the Phillies now own a seven-game lead over the second-place club in the NL East.

--The ?under? has been a steady money maker for the Cubs, cashing at a 49-38 overall clip and a 25-17 pace in their road games.

--The ?under? is 44-40 overall for the Phillies, 26-17 in their home games. The ?under? is on a 10-4 run in Philadelphia?s last 14 outings.

--ESPN will provide television coverage at 7:00 p.m. Eastern.




**Red Sox at Rangers**

--Boston couldn?t handle Toronto?s Roy Halladay on Sunday, dropping a 3-1 decision to the Blue Jays. The Red Sox are now just one game ahead of the Yankees for the AL East lead.

--Ian Kinsler belted a pair of homers, including a walk-off shot in the bottom of the 12th, to allow Texas to dodge the sweep and beat Minnesota 5-3 Sunday night. The eight combined runs stayed 'under' the 10-run total. The Rangers remain three games back of the division-leading Angels.

--Boston RHP John Smoltz (1-2, 5.40) will make his fifth start for his new team in this spot. He?ll oppose his old teammate with the Braves in Texas RHP Kevin Millwood.

--Smoltz has only pitched four career innings against Texas, holding the Rangers scoreless while scattering two hits and fanning six batters. The future Hall of Famer, who is the only pitcher in MLB history with at least 200 wins and 150 saves, is off his best outing of the year. Smoltz gave up just one earned run in five innings and he fanned seven batters en route to his first win with the Red Sox.

--Millwood (8-7, 3.46) is enjoying one of his best seasons in years, but he has been shelled his last several times out. The veteran right-hander is 0-2 with an 8.83 ERA in his last three starts. Millwood is 5-4 with a 4.07 lifetime ERA against Boston. He worked seven scoreless innings for a victory against the Red Sox earlier this season.

--Boston slugger David Ortiz is 8-for-22 (.364) against Millwood with three homers. Jason Varitek is 11-for-27 (.407) off the right-hander with four doubles, while Kevin Youklis is 6-for-12 (.500) against Millwood with one double.

--Boston is 24-22 in its road games, while Texas has a 29-19 home ledger.

--The ?under? is an MLB-best 55-33 overall for the Rangers, 30-16 in their home games.

--The ?under? is 47-36 overall for the Red Sox, 22-20 in their road assignments.

**Reds at Dodgers**

--Most books are listing Los Angeles (58-34, +1830) as a minus-160 ?chalk? with a total of nine ?over? (minus-115).

--Joe Torre?s team kept a 7 ?-game lead over second-place San Francisco in the NL West by virtue of Sunday?s 4-3 home win over Houston. Matt Kemp hit the go-ahead homer to untie the game in the eighth inning. Brad Ausmus added a pair of RBI doubles for L.A. against his former team.

--Cincinnati (44-47, +28) captured a 5-3 win Sunday over Milwaukee in their series finale. Jonny Gomes slammed a two-run homer in the eighth that proved to be the game winner for the Reds.

--Micah Owings (6-9, 4.94) will take his turn in the rotation for the Reds. The right-hander is 1-1 with a 3.50 ERA in three career starts against the Dodgers. Owings is 2-7 with a 5.40 ERA on the road this year.

--L.A. will counter Owings with Jason Schmidt, who will make his season debut after sitting out more than two seasons (last start: 7/16/07) with shoulder problems. The three-time All-Star has posted a 3-1 record and 3.65 ERA in eight rehab starts in the minors. Schmidt, who has only made six starts since signing a three-year $47 million deal, has a 4-2 record and 5.27 lifetime ERA against the Reds.

--Cincinnati owns a 22-25 record on the road. On the flip side, L.A. is 30-15 at home.

--The ?over? is 45-43 overall for the Dodgers, but they have watched the ?under? hit at a 24-19 clip in their home games.

--The ?under? is 50-37 overall for Cincinnati, 29-17 in its home outings.



--New York LHP Andy Pettitte has enjoyed success galore against Baltimore. The veteran southpaw is 25-6 with a 3.73 career ERA against the Orioles.

--Kansas City RHP Sidney Ponson owns a 7-2 record and 4.30 lifetime ERA against Monday?s opponent, the L.A. Angels.

--Atlanta RHP Tommy Hanson (4-0, 2.85) continues to live up to his considerable hype during his rookie campaign. The hard-throwing righty will face the Giants for the first time Monday night. Hanson?s counterpart in the series opener will be San Francisco LHP Jonathan Sanchez, who will take the mound for the first time since throwing a no-hitter.

--Atlanta RHP Tim Hudson threw two innings and 27 pitches in his first rehab start in Class A on Sunday. Most importantly, Hudson was pain free. The 34-year-old hurler had Tommy John Surgery on Aug. 8 of last year.

--Houston RHP Brian Moehler has a 4-0 record and 4.13 ERA in seven career starts against St. Louis. The veteran righty has pitched extremely well lately, posting a 2-1 record and 1.93 ERA in his last three assignments.
 

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Monday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers

Monday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers

Monday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers

Streaking

Rodrigo Lopez (Philadelphia Phillies)

How long Lopez remains in the rotation may depend on two factors: When Pedro Martinez says he is ready to pitch, and how well Lopez continues to pitch.

The right-hander missed all of last season following Tommy John surgery in 2007 and began this year in the minors. But in both his starts this month, Lopez has pitched effectively, limiting baserunners and keeping the ball inside Citizens Bank Park.

Last week, the Phillies signed Martinez, who could bump Lopez from the rotation. Lopez, who left his last start with an achy shoulder, would have two or three starts before Martinez is expected to be ready.

"Whatever happens, I think it's something I can't control," Lopez told the team's website. "But trying to pitch good and being healthy, that's the thing I can control."

Sean O'Sullivan (Los Angeles Angels)

The rookie right-hander has a brief body of work since being called up from the minor leagues earlier this year. But he hasn't lost yet and neither have the Angels when he takes the mound.

The team has won all four starts made by the 21-year-old O'Sullivan, who has picked up two wins and worked at least five innings each outing. He has helped stabilize a rotation hit hard by injuries this season.

O'Sullivan has also received 28 runs of support, although, he has not needed nearly that much. He worked as a favorite for the first time in his last start.

Returning

Jason Schmidt (Los Angeles Dodgers)

There are comebacks, and then there are comebacks like the one Schmidt is making. Schmidt hasn't pitched in the majors since June 16, 2007. He has been out of baseball for so long that baseball-reference.com has a mention of his "final game" on his career stats page.

The 36-year-old right-hander was a three-time All-Star and twice finished in the top five in NL Cy Young voting in five-plus seasons in San Francisco, going 78-37. He signed with the Dodgers after the 2006 season but made just six starts before needing right shoulder surgery for a torn labrum and frayed biceps tendon.

In five starts at Triple-A Albuquerque this year, Schmidt was 2-0 with a 3.94 ERA.

"Velocity-wise, we all know he's not what he once was," Dodgers manager Joe Torre told the Los Angeles Times. "His experience in knowing how to pitch is something that he's going to have really rely on."

Slumping

Gil Meche (Kansas City Royals)

A month ago, Meche was riding a streak of 16 scoreless innings. In his next start, he was pounded for nine runs while getting just 10 outs and has been in a freefall ever since.

The Royals are 1-4 in the last five games started by Meche, who during that span has a staggering WHIP of 2.07 (31 hits, 18 walks, 23 2-3 IP).

Even more alarming is the nine homers Meche has given up in that stretch. He allowed just two in his first 14 starts.

Kyle Lohse (St. Louis Cardinals)

You can't spell Lohse without l-o-s-e.

The Cardinals are 1-6 in the last seven starts by the right-hander, who spent more than a month on the disabled list with a forearm injury before returning July 12. The lone win in that stretch was over punchless Kansas City nearly two months ago.

Lohse has also been prone to the long ball. He gave up one homer in 32 innings in April but has allowed seven in his last 29 1-3 innings. The total has gone over in five of his last six starts.
 

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Hot Lines: Monday's best MLB bets

Hot Lines: Monday's best MLB bets

Hot Lines: Monday's best MLB bets

San Francisco Giants at Atlanta Braves (-160, 8)

Most fans will look at the string of zeros Jonathan Sanchez has put up lately - a no-hitter in his last start, 12 scoreless innings overall, the opponent failing to score in the last three games where he has appeared.

Here's a different string of zeros - the number of wins Sanchez has in seven road starts this season, going 0-7 with a 6.27 ERA.

While the mandatory Vander Meer Watch will be on Sanchez, there's something else to keep an eye on. The three games this season in which he's allowed five or more walks have all come on the road, and five of the seven homers he served up have also been away from home.

Pick: Atlanta -160

Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates (-116, 9.5)

Does anybody want to play for the Pirates?

Trapped in another season of going nowhere, the Pirates are last in the NL Central and haven't finished above .500 since their last postseason appearance in 1992. This season-long skid was punctuated by Sunday's news that Freddy Sanchez and Jack Wilson rejected multi-year contract extensions without making a counteroffer.

"They are not interested in even the foundation that we've laid," Pirates GM Neal Huntington told MLB.com. "The response is such that they don't even feel we are in the same ballpark because they feel like years, dollars, the foundation is so far off their expectations that it's not worth countering."

This will step up efforts by Huntington to trade Sanchez and Wilson, who could be free agents at the end of the season. Sanchez can activate a 2010 option with plate appearances, but Wilson will be gone.

Pittsburgh's first sign of surrender this season came with the June trade of young outfielder Nate McLouth to Atlanta. At the time, several Pirates players, including Sanchez, questioned the team's commitment to winning.

Now the Pirates take the latest business bombshell into a home game vs. the Milwaukee Brewers, who have beaten Pittsburgh 17 straight times.

Pick: Milwaukee +108
 

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Totals Report

Totals Report

Totals Report

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TOTALS REPORT
Team Total Home Away Streak
Arizona Diamondbacks 44 - 43 31 - 18 13 - 25 Under-3
Atlanta Braves 37 - 51 18 - 25 19 - 26 Push-1
Baltimore Orioles 45 - 42 19 - 26 26 - 16 Over-1
Boston Red Sox 36 - 47 16 - 25 20 - 22 Under-4
Chicago Cubs 38 - 49 21 - 24 17 - 25 Over-2
Chicago White Sox 39 - 52 16 - 32 23 - 20 Over-1
Cincinnati Reds 37 - 50 20 - 21 17 - 29 Push-1
Cleveland Indians 47 - 44 19 - 28 28 - 16 Under-4
Colorado Rockies 43 - 46 22 - 18 21 - 28 Under-2
Detroit Tigers 34 - 54 18 - 21 16 - 33 Under-3
Florida Marlins 45 - 42 27 - 19 18 - 23 Under-1
Houston Astros 37 - 50 17 - 27 20 - 23 Under-2
Kansas City Royals 38 - 48 24 - 22 14 - 26 Under-2
Los Angeles Angels 48 - 37 24 - 18 24 - 19 Under-1
Los Angeles Dodgers 45 - 43 19 - 24 26 - 19 Under-2
Milwaukee Brewers 44 - 44 19 - 25 25 - 19 Push-1
Minnesota Twins 38 - 49 28 - 18 10 - 31 Under-3
New York Mets 40 - 46 20 - 24 20 - 22 Push-1
New York Yankees 45 - 41 23 - 19 22 - 22 Under-3
Oakland Athletics 40 - 50 19 - 25 21 - 25 Under-1
Philadelphia Phillies 40 - 44 17 - 26 23 - 18 Under-1
Pittsburgh Pirates 37 - 50 14 - 26 23 - 24 Push-1
San Diego Padres 45 - 44 21 - 23 24 - 21 Under-2
San Francisco Giants 40 - 44 22 - 20 18 - 24 Push-1
Seattle Mariners 35 - 56 17 - 25 18 - 31 Under-6
St. Louis Cardinals 39 - 49 17 - 28 22 - 21 Under-4
Tampa Bay Rays 42 - 47 23 - 20 19 - 27 Under-2
Texas Rangers 33 - 55 16 - 30 17 - 25 Under-5
Toronto Blue Jays 43 - 48 20 - 24 23 - 24 Under-7
Washington Nationals 42 - 45 21 - 24 21 - 21 Over-2
 

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Umpire Report

Umpire Report

Umpire Report

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MLB UMPIRE REPORT
UMPIRE AVG RUNS GAMES UNDER OVER K/GAME BB/GAME K/BB
ADRIAN JOHNSON 9.93 14 3 8 11.2 8.0 1.4
ALFONSO MARQUEZ 10.00 2 1 1 14.5 7.5 1.9
ANDY FLETCHER 6.38 13 10 2 15.2 8.5 1.8
ANGEL CAMPOS 7.55 11 8 3 15.8 5.6 2.8
ANGEL HERNANDEZ 10.00 15 6 8 12.9 7.9 1.6
BILL HOHN 8.23 13 7 5 13.3 6.2 2.1
BILL MILLER 9.21 14 9 5 16.1 5.6 2.8
BILL WELKE 9.57 14 7 6 14.6 5.3 2.8
BOB DAVIDSON 9.73 11 4 6 13.5 6.4 2.1
BRIAN GORMAN 7.38 13 9 3 15.2 6.1 2.5
BRIAN KNIGHT 9.00 15 8 6 13.4 6.9 1.9
BRIAN O'NORA 7.21 14 8 5 13.4 6.2 2.2
BRIAN RUNGE 8.67 12 7 3 13.2 6.8 2.0
BRUCE DRECKMAN 9.25 12 4 7 11.2 7.0 1.6
BUCKNOR 8.93 15 8 7 13.3 7.6 1.7
CASEY MOSER 4.00 2 2 0 12.5 4.0 3.1
CHAD FAIRCHILD 8.83 12 7 5 15.5 6.6 2.4
CHARLIE RELIFORD 8.29 14 9 5 13.7 5.4 2.5
CHRIS GUCCIONE 8.50 16 8 7 14.6 7.1 2.1
CHRIS TILLER 6.00 2 2 0 11.0 7.0 1.6
CHUCK MERIWETHER 10.00 13 5 8 13.7 7.4 1.9
DALE SCOTT 10.00 14 5 8 14.1 5.7 2.5
DAMIEN BEAL 7.00 1 1 0 17.0 3.0 5.7
DAN BELLINO 4.67 3 3 0 16.7 3.3 5.0
DAN IASSOGNA 10.79 14 7 7 13.3 6.9 1.9
DANA DEMUTH 9.67 15 8 7 13.4 6.7 2.0
DELFIN COLON 6.50 2 2 0 10.0 4.5 2.2
DERRYL COUSINS 8.86 14 7 6 11.8 8.0 1.5
DOUG EDDINGS 9.73 15 6 9 14.9 5.7 2.6
ED HICKOX 14.33 3 2 1 10.7 10.0 1.1
ED MONTAGUE 11.80 5 1 4 14.4 6.8 2.1
ED RAPUANO 8.79 14 6 7 13.9 7.7 1.8
ERIC COOPER 10.47 15 5 10 14.5 7.1 2.0
FIELDIN CULBRETH 7.69 13 9 3 13.2 7.8 1.7
GARY CEDERSTROM 9.09 11 7 4 13.8 6.2 2.2
GARY DARLING 8.70 10 6 4 13.8 5.8 2.4
GERRY DAVIS 10.60 15 6 6 12.8 7.7 1.7
GREG GIBSON 11.22 9 3 6 10.7 7.2 1.5
HUNTER WENDELSTEDT10.13 15 7 8 13 7 7.3 1.9
JAMES HOYE 9.63 16 10 5 11.6 7.9 1.5
JEFF KELLOGG 8.07 15 9 6 13.0 8.7 1.5
JEFF NELSON 10.23 13 6 6 11.9 7.6 1.6
JERRY CRAWFORD 11.23 13 6 6 14.8 9.2 1.6
JERRY LAYNE 8.69 13 6 6 15.5 7.0 2.2
JERRY MEALS 9.62 13 4 8 15.8 8.2 1.9
JIM JOYCE 9.14 14 7 7 14.9 9.1 1.6
JIM REYNOLDS 10.00 9 3 6 14.4 7.3 2.0
JIM WOLF 9.50 14 7 6 14.2 6.9 2.1
JOE WEST 8.93 15 7 7 13.1 7.6 1.7
JOHN HIRSCHBECK 8.14 14 10 4 13.9 6.5 2.1
KERWIN DANLEY 8.50 4 2 2 13.5 6.5 2.1
KEVIN CAUSEY 3.00 1 1 0 12.0 5.0 2.4
LANCE BARKSDALE 9.62 13 5 8 11.7 7.3 1.6
LARRY VANOVER 8.64 14 6 7 12.1 6.9 1.7
LAZ DIAZ 11.08 12 4 8 13.0 7.2 1.8
MARK CARLSON 9.36 11 6 5 14.1 7.7 1.8
MARK WEGNER 10.20 15 7 8 13.3 6.9 1.9
MARTY FOSTER 8.77 13 7 5 13.8 6.5 2.1
MARVIN HUDSON 7.21 14 8 6 14.9 6.7 2.2
MIKE DIMURO 8.42 12 6 6 15.8 6.8 2.3
MIKE ESTABROOK 8.33 6 3 3 13.2 3.8 3.4
MIKE EVERITT 10.43 14 5 9 12.5 7.6 1.7
MIKE MUCHLINSKI 8.00 2 1 0 14.5 8.5 1.7
MIKE REILLY 9.85 13 5 8 14.6 8.8 1.7
MIKE WINTERS 10.25 12 5 7 12.8 5.5 2.3
PAUL EMMEL 9.17 12 7 5 12.5 7.3 1.7
PAUL NAUERT 9.29 14 6 8 14.9 6.4 2.3
PAUL SCHRIEBER 10.00 14 6 5 14.4 8.8 1.6
PHIL CUZZI 9.07 14 8 5 15.4 7.9 2.0
RANDY MARSH 9.62 13 4 8 11.8 8.6 1.4
REYBURN 6.33 3 2 1 10.7 2.3 4.6
ROB DRAKE 9.56 16 7 9 14.5 5.9 2.5
RON KULPA 11.25 4 2 2 15.8 7.3 2.2
SAM HOLBROOK 8.62 13 7 6 14.5 7.2 2.0
SCOTT BARRY 7.07 15 11 4 12.7 6.8 1.9
TED BARRETT 8.92 13 8 4 12.0 7.5 1.6
TIM MCCLELLAND 12.60 15 3 9 13.4 8.4 1.6
TIM TIMMONS 10.50 16 7 7 13.6 7.7 1.8
TIM TSCHIDA 10.07 14 7 7 13.4 8.1 1.7
TIM WELKE 11.14 14 6 8 13.4 8.0 1.7
TODD TICHENOR 8.67 12 7 5 13.0 7.7 1.7
TOM HALLION 8.93 14 5 8 13.3 7.0 1.9
TONY RANDAZZO 7.94 16 9 6 12.4 5.1 2.4
WALLY BELL 10.00 14 7 6 14.1 7.9 1.8
 
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