Trend sheet 7/25

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CINCINNATI vs. CHI CUBS
Cincinnati is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Chi Cubs are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games
Chi Cubs are 11-5 SU in their last 16 games at home

OAKLAND vs. NY YANKEES
Oakland is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
Oakland is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games
NY Yankees are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home

TAMPA BAY vs. TORONTO
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games at home
Toronto is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games

CHI WHITE SOX vs. DETROIT
Chi White Sox are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Chi White Sox are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games on the road
Detroit is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
Detroit is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games at home

ST. LOUIS vs. PHILADELPHIA
St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
Philadelphia is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games

CLEVELAND vs. SEATTLE
Cleveland is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Cleveland is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Seattle
Seattle is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
Seattle is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home

MINNESOTA vs. LA ANGELS
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
LA Angels are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home
LA Angels are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games

NY METS vs. HOUSTON
NY Mets are 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
NY Mets are 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing NY Mets

ATLANTA vs. MILWAUKEE
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

SAN DIEGO vs. WASHINGTON
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
San Diego is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Washington is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home
Washington is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games

BALTIMORE vs. BOSTON
Baltimore is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing Boston
Baltimore is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Boston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

TEXAS vs. KANSAS CITY
Texas is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Kansas City
Texas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing Texas
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

PITTSBURGH vs. ARIZONA
Pittsburgh is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Pittsburgh is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Arizona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Arizona is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home

SAN FRANCISCO vs. COLORADO
San Francisco is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
San Francisco is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Colorado is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
Colorado is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games at home

FLORIDA vs. LA DODGERS
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
LA Dodgers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Florida
LA Dodgers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games

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NATIONAL LEAGUE

San Francisco (52-44) at Colorado (52-44)

The top two teams in the N.L. wild-card standings continue their weekend series at Coors Field, with the Rockies? Jorge De La Rosa (7-7, 4.95 ERA) scheduled to face off against fellow southpaw Jonathan Sanchez (3-8, 4.68).

San Francisco followed up Thursday?s 5-1 victory in Atlanta with Friday?s 3-1 win over Colorado, getting seven strong innings from All-Star Matt Cain. Despite those two wins, the Giants remain just 3-6 in their last nine, including winning just three times through the first seven games of their current 10-game road trip, and they?re now 3-7 in their last 10 on the highway. On the bright side, Bruce Bochy?s squad has won seven of its last eight against left-handed starters and six of its last eight N.L. West contests.

Colorado is 6-3 in its last nine and has been one of the best teams in baseball over the past two months, recording runs of 32-12 overall and 16-7 at home. Additionally, the Rockies are on upticks of 8-3 against left-handed starters and 6-0 when facing southpaws at Coors Field.

The Giants own a 4-2 edge in the season series in 2009, but going back to last year, Colorado has won seven of the last 12 clashes.

Sanchez followed up his stunning no-hitter over the Padres on July 10 with a quality start at Atlanta on Monday, giving up three runs on four hits in six innings, but he got a no-decision as his team got blasted 11-3. With Sanchez starting, San Francisco is mired in funks of 6-21 overall (1-5 last six), 3-13 on the road (0-8 this season) and 0-4 on Saturday.

Including Monday?s effort against the Braves, Sanchez is 0-7 with a 6.02 ERA in his eight road start this year. He?s also 1-2 with a 7.47 ERA in 13 appearances (six starts) versus Colorado, but the Giants are 4-2 in those six starts.

De La Rosa is working on a personal five-game winning streak, and the Rockies are 8-1 in his last nine trips to the mound (including one relief appearance) and 5-0 in his last five outings (four starts) at home. On Monday, De La Rosa held the DBacks to a run on four hits in seven innings of a 10-6 road win, and he has a 1.98 ERA in his last four starts. Still, the lefty is just 4-5 with a 5.81 ERA at home.

In seven career appearances (four starts) against San Francisco, De La Rosa is a perfect 3-0 with a 2.33 ERA. His four starts versus the Giants all came last year, and he gave up a combined five runs (three earned) on 16 hits in 25 1/3 innings (1.07 ERA), and Colorado won all four games.

San Francisco carries ?under? trends of 6-2 overall, 8-2 on the highway, 5-1 against winning teams and 18-8-3 in N.L. West contests. Also, the under is 5-1-1 in Sanchez?s last seven road starts and 5-0-1 in his last six outings against division rivals, and Colorado has stayed low in nine of De La Rosa?s last 12 starts against the N.L. West and three of his four starts against the Giants.

Conversely, four of the last five Giants-Rockies clashes at Coors Field have soared over the total, the lone ?under? occurring Friday.

ATS ADVANTAGE: COLORADO and UNDER


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Chicago White Sox (50-47) at Detroit (51-44)

Fresh off Friday?s doubleheader sweep of the White Sox, the Tigers look to continue their mastery of their A.L. Central rivals when they send All-Star Edwin Jackson (7-5, 2.52) to the mound opposite Chicago?s Gavin Floyd (8-6, 4.40) at Comerica Park.

Detroit got a complete-game gem from Justin Verlander en route to a 5-1 victory in the first game of Friday?s twin bill, then came back and took the nightcap 4-3. Neither club is playing with much consistency, as the Tigers have lost 13 of their last 23 games while the White Sox are 8-9 in their last 17.

Chicago is in slumps of 1-6 on the road, 3-8 against right-handed starters and 1-5 in A.L. Central contests, but Ozzie Guillen?s squad is 8-1 in his last nine games on Saturday and 14-7 in its last 21 on grass. Meanwhile, Detroit carries positive streaks of 15-4 at home, 21-8 as a home chalk, 6-1 versus division foes and 6-2 as a chalk, but the Tigers have dropped four in a row on Saturday.

Detroit is 6-4 against the Pale Hose this year, and the host has won 14 of the last 21 meetings.

Floyd was sharp in his first post-All-Star break start, giving up three runs on three hits in seven innings of Monday?s 4-3 home win over Tampa Bay. With Floyd on the bump, the White Sox are on streaks of 7-2 overall, 4-1 as an underdog, 4-1 against division rivals, 7-3 on Saturday and 18-6 when he pitches on four days? rest. However, they have lost six of Floyd?s last eight outings on the road, where the right-hander is 4-4 with a beefy 6.03 ERA in 10 starts this year.

Chicago is 10-1 in Floyd?s 11 career starts against the Tigers, including 4-1 in five games at Comerica Park. Personally, Floyd is 5-0 with a 3.55 ERA in those 11 starts against Detroit, with two of them coming this season. He got rocked for six runs in five innings at Comerica on April 13, but the Sox rallied for a 10-6 victory. Two months later at home, Floyd allowed just one run in eight innings of a 4-3 win.

Jackson is coming off a tough 2-1 loss at the Yankees as he gave up both runs in seven innings The right-hander, who ranks third in the American League in ERA, has surrendered three earned runs or less in 13 consecutive trips to the mound, including two earned or less nine times. However, the Tigers have only split Jackson?s last 10 starts, scoring three runs or fewer in seven of those contests.

The Tigers have won five in a row behind Jackson at home (all as a favorite), and they?re 7-2 in his last nine overall as a chalk. At home this year, the 25-year-old is 4-1 with a 2.73 ERA, but he?s 1-2 with a 5.93 ERA in five career starts against the White Sox, including a no-decision in a 4-3 Tigers loss in Chicago on June 11 in which he gave up two runs, five hits and four walks in five innings.

Chicago has stayed under the total in five straight games, but otherwise the team is on ?over? runs of 4-1-1 on the road, 4-1 against the A.L. Central, 9-2 when Floyd works on the road, 15-5 when Floyd faced the A.L. Central and 4-1 when he pitches against Detroit. The Tigers sport a bevy of ?under? streaks, including 40-18 overall, 6-2 at home, 8-3 as a favorite, 15-6 as a home chalk, 4-0 on Saturday, 10-1 overall with Jackson on the mound and 5-0 when Jackson works against division opponents.

Finally, both games yesterday stayed low, making the under is 8-2 in the 10 clashes between these teams in 2009 and 43-20-4 in the last 67 battles in Motown.

ATS ADVANTAGE: DETROIT and UNDER
 

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Saturday's FOX Tip Sheet
By Brian Edwards

Once again, Fox will regionally televise three MLB games Saturday at 4:00 p.m. Eastern. A pair of first-place clubs will collide in the City of Brotherly Love, while a pair of squads battling for first place in the AL Central will square off in Motown. Also, the first-place Angels will host the Twins, who are chasing the Tigers and White Sox in the AL Central. To the games we go?

**Cardinals at Phillies**

--Las Vegas Sports Consultants opened Philadelphia as a minus-138 favorite with a total of 10 flat (minus-110 either way). The Phillies are plus-145 on the run line (minus 1 ? runs).

--Charlie Manuel?s team had won 10 in a row before losing its series finale against the Cubs on Wednesday. The Phils promptly bounced back Thursday by spanking San Diego by a 9-4 count as extremely expensive favorites. Going into Friday?s series opener against the Cards, Philadelphia owned a 6 ?-game lead over the Marlins and Braves, both of whom are tied for second place in the NL East.

--Philadelphia will give the ball to Rodrigo Lopez (2-0, 2.60 ERA) in this spot. Lopez, who has made all three of his start this year at home, is 1-1 with a 7.36 ERA in two career appearances against St. Louis.

--Kyle Lohse (4-6, 4.21) has lost in each of his last three starts. In five road assignments this season, Lohse is 0-3 with a 5.59 ERA. The veteran right-hander is 2-2 with a 3.41 career ERA against the Phillies.

--St. Louis went into Friday?s series opener with just a one-half game advantage over the second-place Cubs in the NL Central. The Cards own a 26-25 record on the road.

--The Cards shipped three minor leaguers to Oakland on Friday in exchange for veteran hitter Matt Holliday, who was batting .286 with 11 homers and 54 RBI?s with the A?s this year.

--The ?under? is 45-42 overall for the Phillies, 27-19 in their home games.

--The ?under? is 50-40 overall for the Cardinals, but the ?over? is 23-22 in their road games.

**Twins at Angels**

--LVSC opened Los Angeles as a minus-115 ?chalk? with a total of 9 ? ?under? (minus-115). Gamblers can take the Angels on the run line for a generous plus-175 payout (risk $100 to win $175).

--Going into Friday?s action, the Angels were 28-18 at home and held a 3 ?-game lead over Texas in the American League West.

--Minnesota has limped to a 20-28 record on the road. The Twins were 2 ? games behind the AL Central co-leaders, Detroit and Chicago, before Friday?s results were in.

--Nick Blackburn (8-4, 3.44) is 3-4 with a 4.06 ERA in 11 road starts this season. The right-hander is 0-2 with a 4.00 ERA in three career starts against the Angels.

--Matt Palmer (7-1, 4.75) moves from out of the bullpen to become the Angels? No. 5 starter. For the year, Palmer has made 20 appearances, nine out of the ?pen and 11 as a starter. The right-hander is 4-1 with a 4.14 ERA at home in 11 appearances and six starts.

--The ?under? is 50-40 overall for the Twins and an ever more lucrative 32-12 in their road games.

--The ?over? is 51-37 overall for the Angels, 24-18 in their home outings.

--L.A.?s future odds to win the World Series are now 8/1 at Sportsbook.com, while Minnesota?s current number is 30/1.

**White Sox at Tigers**

--LVSC opened Detroit as a minus-148 favorite with a total of 8 ? ?over? (minus-115). Bettors can back the Tigers on the run line for a plus-140 return (risk $100 to win $140).

--Gavin Floyd (8-6, 4.40) will get the nod for the White Sox in this situation. The righty is 4-4 with a bloated 6.03 ERA in 10 road assignments. Floyd is 5-0 with a 3.55 ERA in 11 lifetime appearances against Detroit.

--Detroit slugger Miguel Cabrera hasn?t homered off Floyd in 23 career at-bats. Cabrera has just five hits, albeit three doubles, for a .217 average against the veteran righty.

--Detroit RHP Edwin Jackson (7-5, 2.52) has been one of the most underrated off-season acquisitions in all of baseball in 2009. The right-hander is enjoying a career year, as evidenced by his 4-1 record and 2.73 ERA at home. Jackson is 1-2 with a 5.93 ERA in five career starts against the White Sox.

--These clubs went into Friday in a first-place tie in the AL Central, but the Tigers regained the advantage by winning the first game of a doubleheader by a 5-1 count as minus-190 favorites. Detroit?s Justin Verlander went the distance and didn?t allow an earned run to pick up his 11th win of the year. Placido Polanco went 3-for-3 and had a pair of RBI?s.

--Speaking of Polanco, he is 8-for-24 (.333) against Floyd with one double, one triple and one homer.

--With Game 1 of the twin bill going ?under,? the White Sox?s overall ?under? tally improved to a lucrative 56-39. However, the ?over? is 23-21 in their road games. As for the Tigers, they have seen the ?under? go 56-35 overall, 23-19 in their home outings.

**B.E.?s Bonus Nuggets**

--I saw several replays Friday on ESPN of Rickey Henderson?s speech after becoming MLB?s all-time steals leader. Typical and classic gem from Rickey (being Rickey). ?Today, I?m the greatest of all-time. Thank you.?

--New York LHP Andy Pettitte is 11-5 with a 3.24 ERA in 20 lifetime starts against Saturday?s foe, the Oakland A?s.

--The Rays and Jays will throw a pair of lefties in David Price and Brian Tallet in Saturday?s 1:05 p.m. Eastern showdown in Toronto. Price is 1-0 with a 1.50 career ERA against the Jays, while Tallet is 2-0 with a 5.30 lifetime ERA against Tampa Bay. The Rays are 16-20 against southpaws, while the Jays are 15-18 versus left-handers.

--Baltimore hates facing Boston LHP Jon Lester, who is 8-0 with a 2.18 ERA in 10 career starts against the O?s.
 

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Saturday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers
By *********

Streaking

Tommy Hanson (Atlanta Braves)

Think of the 22 year old?s recent, 10-day stint down in the Single-A Carolina League like taking a high performance car into the shop: a powerful engine sometimes needs a tuneup.

After racking up a record of 4-0 in his first six games, Hanson (5-0, 3.00 ERA) struggled in a 7-6 loss to Colorado, prompting a procedural move to demote him and help the team adjust its roster and add another reliever. During the time in the minors he faced no batters, but worked off the mound with pitching coach Roger McDowell at Turner Field.

And the move has helped Hanson get his mojo back. In his most recent start, an 11-3 win over San Francisco, he allowed just three runs on five hits over seven innings and struck out 11 batters.

"I think this is the best my arm's felt," Hanson told the Associated Press. "I felt like I was running out of gas but I wanted to battle through. I always want to stay in the game."

Edwin Jackson (Detroit Tigers)

The right-hander appears to finally be reaching his potential. The 25 year old entered the season with opponents batting better than .271 BA against him in more than 100 games. But as he's improved his command, his numbers have gotten dramatically better. Opponents are batting a miniscule .212 BA against him this year and Jackson is third in the AL with a 1.08 WHIP (walks + hits over innings pitched).

Jackson has yielded three or fewer earned runs in every start since May 5, including just six total in 20.1 innings this month. In his most recent outing, a 2-1 loss to the Yankees, Jackson went seven innings, allowing only a pair of solo home runs.

"Strikeouts will come, but you want quick outs all the time," Jackson told the Associated Press. "You have to pitch to contact."

Slumping

J.D. Martin (Washington Nationals)

The best news Martin had to take away from his first career start last week, was that there's plenty of room for improvement.

The 26 year old was hammered in his major league debut, yielding five runs on eight hits over just four innings. On the plus side, he did record his first major league strikeout. But only one.

The light-hitting Padres aren?t as talented as his first opponent ? the Mets ? but let?s just try to see if Martin can make it past the fourth.

"My cutter was spinning a little bit," Martin told the Washington Times. "But besides that, besides my balls being up a little bit, I felt OK.?

Gio Gonzalez (Oakland Athletics)

Things can?t get a whole lot worse for the left-hander.

The 23 year old was pitching so poorly that when he was demoted to the bullpen, yielding a run in only one inning was enough to get him put back in the rotation. But he should have stayed with the relievers.

Gonzalez (1-2, 9.33) was tagged for 11 earned runs on 11 hits in just 2 2-3 innings against the Twins. During that debacle, he also gave up four home runs and walked four.
 
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