Saturday at the Park

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Saturday at the Park


The first Saturday afternoon card of August features a trio of games that involve five of six teams in playoff contention (sorry, Royals). The two clubs with the best records in baseball, the Dodgers and Yankees are highlighted in this edition of Saturday Tips.

Yankees at White Sox (4:05 PM EST)

A pair of teams with playoff aspirations hook up for the third game of a four-game set at U.S. Cellular Field. The White Sox were on a tremendous 'under' streak, nailing it in nine straight games until Friday's 'over.' In seven of Chicago's last ten games, the Sox have scored three runs or less. The Yankees, meanwhile, are on an 11-5 run since the All-Star Break.

A.J. Burnett (10-4, 3.53 ERA) is one of the hotter pitchers in baseball, going 5-0 his last six starts (Yanks have won all six games). The 'under' is on a nice run in Burnett's starts, hitting in six of the last seven. Burnett's day numbers are fantastic this season, compiling a 4-0 mark under the sun, to go along with a 3.86 ERA.





John Danks (8-7, 3.89 ERA) has been inconsistent all season long, as the Sox are 10-9 in his 19 starts. The Sox southpaw produced consecutive scoreless outings against the Cubs and Royals, but then allowed seven earned runs in his next two starts. Similarly to Burnett, Danks has done well during the day, going 2-0 with an ERA of 1.78 under the sun this season.

The White Sox have hit the 'under' in 11 of 15 home day games against right-handed starters, and seven of eight overall against righties.

Las Vegas Sports Consultants has listed the Yankees as a $1.35 road favorites, with the total set at 8 ?.

Dodgers at Braves (4:05 PM EST)

Los Angeles continues its road trip after stumbling in St. Louis, dropping two of three to the Cardinals. The Braves, meanwhile, are still in the thick of the NL Wild Card race, sitting four games behind the Giants following a 5-0 loss Friday.

Former Dodger Derek Lowe (10-7, 4.20 ERA) sees his old 'mates for the first time since last season. Lowe has won four consecutive starts, tossing six innings in each outing. Lowe's home numbers are decent, with a 4-2 mark and ERA of 3.88.

Randy Wolf (5-5, 3.43 ERA) has made 22 starts this season, but figured in the decision only ten times. The Dodgers southpaw has compiled quality starts in seven of his last eight starts, but is coming off a loss his last trip to the mound, a 6-1 defeat at St. Louis. Interestingly, the Dodgers have alternated wins and losses in Wolf's last eight outings. As a member of the Padres last season, Wolf put up pedestrian numbers against Atlanta. The lefty allowed 11 earned runs in 11 innings of work, going 0-2.

The Braves are a $1.40 home 'chalk,' with the total set at 8 ?, according to LVSC.

Royals at Rays (4:05 PM EST)

The Rays have owned the Royals this season, winning all seven meetings. Tampa Bay earned every victory in their last series in Kansas City. The Rays rallied for a win in all three games, sweeping the series. Joe Maddon's team has stumbled since then, going 5-6, including series losses to the White Sox and Yankees.

The Royals are 4-16 their last 20 games, competing with the Indians for last place in the AL Central. Kansas City sends out journeyman left-hander Bruce Chen (0-5, 6.39 ERA), who is seeking his first win since 2005, which coincidentally came at Tropicana Field against the Rays. Chen's numbers are obviously less than impressive, but the one consistency with the southpaw is five 'unders' in his seven starts.

Jeff Niemann (9-5, 3.81 ERA) looks to rebound following a shaky start at Toronto his last time out. The Rays righty had won his last five decisions prior to the loss to the Blue Jays. Niemann receives plenty of run support, as the Rays are averaging 6.4 runs/game in his 19 starts.

LVSC has listed the Rays as a heavy $2.30 favorite, with the total listed at 10.
 

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Saturday under the lights

Saturday under the lights

Saturday under the lights


The mad dash for to improve themselves at the trade deadline is now just a distant memory. Now everyone can hit the pennant chase at full force. We?ve got two in the National League that have piqued my interest. Let?s take a look at them.

Cubs at Marlins ? 7:10 p.m. EDT

A lot of people wrote the Marlins off after getting swept by Philadelphia at Landshark Stadium in the middle of July. Yet Florida is still standing strong, six games behind the Phils in the NL East and two games out for the Wild Card lead.

The Cubs are currently see-sawing with St. Louis for first place in the NL Central. But you have to think that Chicago is poised to put a little distance between themselves and second place as they?re 11-4 since the All-Star break.

Chicago is sending Carlos Zambrano (7-4, 3.36 ERA) out to the hill to start the second game of this series. He?s been an ATM machine for bettors recently as the Cubbies are 5-1 in his last five starts this year. Zambrano has been a force at the plate as well, hitting .220 with three homers and seven runs batted in.

Florida hands the ball over to Burke Bradenhop (5-4, 3.46 ERA) for this battle. This is Bradenhop?s second start of the year. He fared well in that spot back on May 27, giving up one earned run on five hits in five innings of work at home against the Phils.


While Bradenhop doesn?t have a lot of starts under his belt, he know he has the full support of the Marlin?s offense in this spot. The Fish are hitting .281 and scoring an average of five runs in their last four games. They are striking out a lot though, as evidenced by a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3:1 in that spread.

Las Vegas Sports Consultants have installed the Cubbies as $1.55 road favorites (risk $155 to win $100) with a total of 8 ?.

Gamblers should have no problem putting faith in Chicago?s hurler for this matchup. Zambrano is 5-1 with a 3.09 earned run average in 10 career starts against the Marlins. It also helps to know that Florida is 11-15 at home against right-handers under the lights.

Bettors can also take a look at the ?over? for this game. The Marlins have seen the ?over? go 28-21 for the season at Landshark Stadium, 22-17 in night matches.

Phillies at Giants ? 9:05 p.m. EDT

Well, the Phillies got to try out their latest new toy in Cliff Lee on Friday, but now they get back to the regular guys in the rotation. Philadelphia will send Joe Blanton (7-4, 4.11 ERA) out to the hill to start on Saturday night.

Blanton has bounced back from that nasty stretch where the Phils dropped five straight of his starts with a four-game win streak. During this recent run he has lasted at least seven innings and has an ERA of 1.23. Philadelphia is 4-4 in Blanton?s eight road starts in 2009. However, they have dropped his last three outings away from Citizens Bank Park.

San Francisco is doing a fine job of weathering the storm as they?re now back on top of the ladder in the NL Wild Card race as they?ve won six of its last eight matches. The Giants should feel plenty confident in taking Game 3 of this series with Tim Lincecum (11-3, 2.30 ERA) toeing the slab.

The Giants have fared well when their ace is on the mound by winning five of his last seven starts. It is troubling for Lincecum that he?s not getting any support at the plate as the offense has scored just seven runs combined over his last three appearances. The positive for gamblers is that the ?under? has cashed in those three tilts.

Most betting shops have made San Francisco a $1.40 home ?chalk? with the total coming in at seven.

Something will have to budge here between these clubs as they?re both tremendously strong against right-handed pitching: Philly is 16-9 against righties in primetime road tilts, while San Fran is 18-7 against right-handers in home matches at night.

Saturday?s haven?t been profitable for San Francisco backers this year, as evidenced by a 6-10 record on the first day of the weekend. Philadelphia is the exact opposite with a 10-6 mark on the last day of the week.

The total is deadlocked at 17-17 for the Phillies nighttime road affairs in 2009. The Giants have seen the same thing happen as the total is 15-15 in primetime tilts at AT&T Park this year.
 

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TOTALS REPORT
Team Total Home Away Streak
Arizona Diamondbacks 48 - 50 33 - 23 15 - 27 Under-6
Atlanta Braves 43 - 56 20 - 28 23 - 28 Under-1
Baltimore Orioles 48 - 49 22 - 28 26 - 21 Over-3
Boston Red Sox 41 - 52 20 - 27 21 - 25 Over-5
Chicago Cubs 44 - 54 25 - 27 19 - 27 Under-1
Chicago White Sox 40 - 64 17 - 37 23 - 27 Over-1
Cincinnati Reds 42 - 55 22 - 24 20 - 31 Under-1
Cleveland Indians 55 - 45 20 - 28 35 - 17 Over-7
Colorado Rockies 47 - 52 25 - 21 22 - 31 Under-2
Detroit Tigers 37 - 61 19 - 27 18 - 34 Over-2
Florida Marlins 49 - 48 29 - 21 20 - 27 Under-1
Houston Astros 44 - 53 21 - 28 23 - 25 Under-1
Kansas City Royals 43 - 52 27 - 24 16 - 28 Push-1
Los Angeles Angels 59 - 37 31 - 18 28 - 19 Over-11
Los Angeles Dodgers 50 - 48 23 - 25 27 - 23 Under-3
Milwaukee Brewers 53 - 46 25 - 26 28 - 20 Over-6
Minnesota Twins 45 - 53 29 - 21 16 - 32 Over-1
New York Mets 44 - 52 21 - 27 23 - 25 Under-2
New York Yankees 49 - 48 25 - 23 24 - 25 Over-1
Oakland Athletics 49 - 52 22 - 26 27 - 26 Over-6
Philadelphia Phillies 46 - 49 22 - 27 24 - 22 Under-1
Pittsburgh Pirates 42 - 56 17 - 27 25 - 29 Over-1
San Diego Padres 50 - 51 22 - 26 28 - 25 Over-2
San Francisco Giants 44 - 52 23 - 24 21 - 28 Under-1
Seattle Mariners 40 - 62 21 - 27 19 - 35 Under-4
St. Louis Cardinals 43 - 55 18 - 32 25 - 23 Under-3
Tampa Bay Rays 44 - 55 24 - 22 20 - 33 Push-1
Texas Rangers 34 - 63 17 - 36 17 - 27 Under-2
Toronto Blue Jays 47 - 53 22 - 27 25 - 26 Over-1
Washington Nationals 48 - 51 22 - 30 26 - 21 Over-5

Streaks of 6 or more

Airzona Diamondbacks Under-6

LA Angels Over 11

Cleveland Indians Over 7

Brewers over 6

Phillies Over 6
 

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MLB UMPIRE REPORT

MLB UMPIRE REPORT

MLB UMPIRE REPORT
UMPIRE AVG RUNS GAMES UNDER OVER K/GAME BB/GAME K/BB
ADRIAN JOHNSON 9.69 16 4 9 11.6 7.9 1.5
ALFONSO MARQUEZ 10.00 2 1 1 14.5 7.5 1.9
ANDY FLETCHER 6.69 16 13 2 14.9 8.4 1.8
ANGEL CAMPOS 8.46 13 8 5 15.8 6.2 2.6
ANGEL HERNANDEZ 9.94 17 7 9 13.4 7.8 1.7
BILL HOHN 8.43 14 7 6 13.1 6.0 2.2
BILL MILLER 8.71 17 11 5 16.1 5.9 2.7
BILL WELKE 9.88 16 8 7 14.8 5.5 2.7
BOB DAVIDSON 9.64 14 5 8 13.7 7.2 1.9
BRIAN GORMAN 6.88 16 12 3 14.7 6.4 2.3
BRIAN KNIGHT 8.94 17 9 7 13.5 6.6 2.0
BRIAN O'NORA 7.63 16 9 6 13.8 5.9 2.3
BRIAN RUNGE 8.47 15 9 4 13.3 6.5 2.0
BRUCE DRECKMAN 9.00 13 5 7 12.4 6.9 1.8
BUCKNOR 9.19 16 8 8 13.1 7.6 1.7
CASEY MOSER 4.00 2 2 0 12.5 4.0 3.1
CHAD FAIRCHILD 8.20 15 10 5 14.7 6.1 2.4
CHARLIE RELIFORD 7.93 15 10 5 13.7 5.2 2.6
CHRIS GUCCIONE 8.33 18 10 7 14.5 7.1 2.0
CHRIS TILLER 6.00 2 2 0 11.0 7.0 1.6
CHUCK MERIWETHER 9.47 15 7 8 14.1 6.9 2.0
DALE SCOTT 10.00 16 5 10 13.7 5.9 2.3
DAMIEN BEAL 9.50 2 1 1 14.5 5.0 2.9
DAN BELLINO 4.67 3 3 0 16.7 3.3 5.0
DAN IASSOGNA 10.80 15 7 8 13.2 6.8 1.9
DANA DEMUTH 9.56 16 8 7 13.6 6.8 2.0
DELFIN COLON 7.33 3 2 0 12.0 4.7 2.6
DERRYL COUSINS 8.81 16 8 7 12.6 7.9 1.6
DOUG EDDINGS 9.71 17 7 10 14.5 6.1 2.4
ED HICKOX 14.33 3 2 1 10.7 10.0 1.1
ED MONTAGUE 11.80 5 1 4 14.4 6.8 2.1
ED RAPUANO 9.53 17 7 9 13.7 7.4 1.8
ERIC COOPER 10.33 18 6 12 14.3 6.7 2.1
FIELDIN CULBRETH 7.33 15 11 3 13.7 7.5 1.8
GARY CEDERSTROM 10.00 13 7 6 13.7 6.5 2.1
GARY DARLING 8.18 11 7 4 13.5 5.5 2.5
GERRY DAVIS 10.88 17 6 8 12.6 7.8 1.6
GREG GIBSON 11.22 9 3 6 10.7 7.2 1.5
HUNTER WENDELSTEDT10.06 17 7 10 13 9 7.3 1.9
JAMES HOYE 9.53 19 12 6 11.9 7.5 1.6
JEFF KELLOGG 7.65 17 11 6 13.2 8.4 1.6
JEFF NELSON 10.33 15 6 8 12.6 7.3 1.7
JERRY CRAWFORD 11.57 14 6 7 14.9 9.1 1.6
JERRY LAYNE 8.31 16 8 7 14.8 6.9 2.2
JERRY MEALS 9.19 16 6 9 14.9 7.4 2.0
JIM JOYCE 8.94 16 9 7 14.3 8.7 1.6
JIM REYNOLDS 9.18 11 4 7 14.1 8.0 1.8
JIM WOLF 9.75 16 7 8 13.4 6.9 1.9
JOE WEST 9.06 17 8 8 13.4 7.5 1.8
JOHN HIRSCHBECK 8.82 17 11 6 13.9 6.2 2.2
KERWIN DANLEY 8.50 4 2 2 13.5 6.5 2.1
KEVIN CAUSEY 3.00 1 1 0 12.0 5.0 2.4
LANCE BARKSDALE 9.75 16 7 9 11.7 7.7 1.5
LARRY VANOVER 8.47 15 7 7 11.9 6.9 1.7
LAZ DIAZ 10.27 15 6 8 13.0 6.3 2.1
MARK CARLSON 9.14 14 8 6 13.7 7.4 1.8
MARK WEGNER 9.41 17 9 8 13.8 6.6 2.1
MARTY FOSTER 8.53 15 8 6 13.4 6.5 2.1
MARVIN HUDSON 7.76 17 9 8 15.4 7.1 2.2
MIKE DIMURO 8.87 15 7 8 14.6 6.7 2.2
MIKE ESTABROOK 7.86 7 4 3 13.0 4.9 2.7
MIKE EVERITT 10.25 16 6 10 12.7 7.7 1.7
MIKE MUCHLINSKI 8.00 2 1 0 14.5 8.5 1.7
MIKE REILLY 9.63 16 7 9 14.5 8.2 1.8
MIKE WINTERS 10.13 15 7 8 12.5 6.5 1.9
PAUL EMMEL 8.79 14 8 5 12.7 7.1 1.8
PAUL NAUERT 9.56 16 7 9 15.1 6.4 2.3
PAUL SCHRIEBER 9.94 16 6 6 14.6 8.6 1.7
PHIL CUZZI 9.44 18 10 7 14.4 7.2 2.0
RANDY MARSH 10.44 16 5 10 11.8 8.6 1.4
REYBURN 6.33 3 2 1 10.7 2.3 4.6
ROB DRAKE 9.22 18 9 9 14.9 5.9 2.5
RON KULPA 9.71 7 4 3 15.4 7.3 2.1
SAM HOLBROOK 8.27 15 9 6 14.3 6.9 2.1
SCOTT BARRY 7.24 17 13 4 12.9 6.5 2.0
TED BARRETT 9.00 16 9 6 12.6 6.9 1.8
TIM MCCLELLAND 12.33 18 3 11 13.3 8.4 1.6
TIM TIMMONS 11.06 18 7 9 13.9 7.5 1.9
TIM TSCHIDA 10.24 17 7 9 13.4 8.0 1.7
TIM WELKE 10.65 17 8 9 13.4 7.5 1.8
TODD TICHENOR 8.57 14 8 6 12.6 7.7 1.6
TOM HALLION 8.47 17 7 9 12.5 6.6 1.9
TONY RANDAZZO 8.58 19 10 8 12.5 5.2 2.4
WALLY BELL 9.00 17 10 6 14.4 7.1 2.0
 

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Saturday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers

Saturday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers

Saturday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers


Streaking

Joe Blanton (Philadelphia Phillies)

Has the 28-year-old emerged as the team?s ace? With Cole Hamels struggling to pitch consistently and Cliff Lee just recently acquired, Blanton has submitted a July that says he deserves the ball when his team needs a win.

The right-hander is 3-0 this month with a 1.21 ERA. In his most recent outing, Blanton (7-4, 4.11 ERA) allowed just two runs on seven hits over eight innings of a 9-2 win over the Cardinals. In that game, he also struck out six against only one walk. Blanton has allowed more than three earned runs only once since May 21 and has won six of his past seven decisions.

"He's surprised me from the time I saw him in Oakland to coming over here," Phillies manager Charlie Manuel told the Associated Press.

A.J. Burnett (New York Yankees)

If only Burnett put a season together like this in Toronto. The 32-year-old has won five straight decisions as he's emerged as a contender for the AL Cy Young award.

Burnett (10-4, 3.53 ERA) needs to cut down his walks ? an AL-leading, 63 ? but has been dominant otherwise, not allowing more than three earned runs in a start since May 22. In his most recent outing, Burnett gave up just two hits and an unearned run over seven innings in an 11-4 blowout of Tampa Bay.

Overall, the Yankees have won in each of his past six starts.

Slumping

Oliver Perez (New York Mets)

Reliable is the least-likely word Mets fans would use to describe Perez.

His erratic play has been a huge issue this season for New York, as Perez is 2-3 with a 7.42 ERA. Since coming off the disabled list in early July, he has failed to last more than six innings in any of his starts and walked at least four batters in each of them. Perez?s 2.02 WHIP (walks + hits over innings pitched) is easily one of the worst marks by a starter in either league.

"I'm really concerned about him,? Mets manager Jerry Manuel told the Associated Press earlier this year. ?I don't know what we should do.?

Bruce Chen (Kansas City Royals)

The day the Royals decided to buy Chen?s Triple-A contract in late June, he wasn?t just penciled into a starting spot ? he was penciled in as a regular in our ?Slumping? section.

Chen (0-5, 6.39 ERA) has allowed seven home runs in six starts this season, but that shouldn?t be surprising. He's recorded 78 outs via fly balls, compared to just 25 groundouts. Also, He hasn?t lasted past the sixth inning this month and the team has won only one of his starts.

In his two most recent outings, he has yielded six runs on 15 hits over 10 innings.
 

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Saturday's best MLB bets

Saturday's best MLB bets

Saturday's best MLB bets

Colorado Rockies at Cincinnati Reds (+140, 9)

Neither of these clubs will set the world on fire with their bats. But between the starters they trot out on Saturday and the way these teams have been playing, expect plenty of runs.

The Reds are one of the worst hitting teams in baseball, batting a meager .244 as a team. But at home, the Reds have an over/under mark of 23-23-2. Also, pitcher Homer Bailey will be on the mound for the home nine, and each of his past three starts have gone over the total.

The Rockies don?t swing nearly as good a stick away from Coors Field, but still are batting .257 as a team to go along with 116 homers. And again, two of the past three starts by Colorado pitcher Ubaldo Jimenez have surpassed the number.

Pick: Over

Toronto Blue Jays at Oakland Athletics (+107, 9)

The Blue Jays haven?t managed to do much consistently this season, but one thing they have excelled at is beating the Athletics.

Toronto entered the weekend have won four of six against Oakland this year, including two of three on the West Coast. The key for the Blue Jays has been their dominant pitching, as the Athletics average just over three runs per game againt Toronto. The A?s also are hitting just .201 (37-for-184) in those games.

The Blue Jays also are a decent road pitching team, posting a 4.44 ERA away from home to go with 354 strikeouts. Meantime, Oakland is hitting only .251 overall at home to go with a meager 82 doubles in their own park.

The Blue Jays aren?t a bunch of road warriors, but against Oakland, they don?t have to be.

Pick: Blue Jays
 
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