TP - Houst could win - but their play since Berkman went down has droped huge - something like 1-6 or 2-6, including one w/ W Rod.
Also Rod is far from 'unhittable' - as a matter a fact he is quite 'hittable': 132.2 IP O/A w/ 119 hits and Away it's worse: 64.2 IP w/ 66 hits.
Carpenters/Rodriquez numbers are very similar O/A, but when you factor in Home Vs. Away Carpenter leads virtually every stat: ERA more than 2-1, Avg RA vs 'runs for' 2-1 and OBP., Lastly -- Team W/L is: 6-5 for Wandy and 6-1 for Chris.
So, can't see the rationale for going against a hot Stl. team - hotter @H Vs. a cold Houst team - colder on the road.
Perhaps the most bothering stat. when one considers Albert and recent aquisitions, is: Wandy has 14 'long balls', 5 away and 13 @ night Vs. Carpenter's 4 O/A 1 @ H and 3 @ night.
Possibly +1.5 Houst. - but I think Stl will not be stopped as much as Houst will.
BOL :shrug: