Trend sheet 8/6

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Hot Pitchers
-- Volstad is 3-1, 2.91 in his last five starts.
-- Cook is 7-0, 3.10 in his last eleven starts. Lee is 4-0, 1.32 in his last four starts.
-- Hart was 3-0, 3.18 in his last three starts for the Cubs.
-- LHernandez is 2-0, 3.15 in his last three starts. Richard is 2-0, 1.25 in his last three starts.
-- Lowe is 4-0, 3.00 in his last five starts.

-- DHernandez has a 2.77 RA in his last four starts.
-- Hunter is 3-1, 2.45 in his last five starts.
-- Chamberlain is 3-0, 0.83 in his last three starts.


Cold Pitchers
-- Stammen is 0-1, 12.91 in his last couple starts.
-- Scherzer is 1-2, 6.40 in his last six starts.
-- Wolf is 1-3, 3.91 in his last four starts.

-- Carmona is 0-2, 12.27 in his last five starts. Blackburn has a 8.46 RA in his last four starts, allowing 40 hits in 22.1 IP.
-- Porcello is 1-3, 7.42 in his last five starts.
-- Danks has a 5.70 RA in his last four starts. Santana is 2-4, 8.20 in his last seven starts.
-- Cahill is 1-5, 9.18 in his last seven starts.
-- Smoltz is 1-2, 8.66 in his last three starts.
-- Chen is 0-6, 6.55 in seven starts for the Royals. Vargas is 0-3, 7.94 in his last five starts.

Hot Teams.
-- Nationals won their last four games, scoring 24 runs.
-- Arizona is 18-10 in its last 28 games.
-- Colorado won five of its last six games.
-- Padres won six of their last nine games.
-- Dodgers won seven of their last eleven home games.

-- Tigers are 18-6 in their last 24 home games.
-- Bronx Bombers are 14-5 since the All-Star break. Red Sox are 8-0 against Bronx this season.
-- Angels won five of their last seven games. White Sox won 14 of their last 18 home games.
-- Mariners won three of their last four games.
-- A's are 6-3 in their last nine home games.

Cold Teams
-- Marlins lost three of their last four games.
-- Pirates lost their last five games, allowing 27 runs.
-- Phillies lost five of their last seven games.
-- Mets lost five of their last seven games.
-- Braves are 5-7 in their last twelve games.


-- Indians lost 14 of their last 21 home games. Twins lost seven of their last ten road contests.
-- Orioles lost five of their last six games.
-- Royals lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Rangers lost four of their last five games.


Totals
-- Four of last five Volstad starts stayed under the total.
-- Over is 7-4-1 in Cook's road starts this season.
-- Under is 16-5 in Arizona's last twenty-one road games.
-- Eight of last eleven games at Petco Park stayed under the total.
-- Three of Wolf's last four starts stayed under the total.

-- Over is 4-0-1 in last five Minnesota games.
-- Five of last seven Detroit games went over the total.
-- Over is 13-1-1 in Angels' last fifteen games.
-- Armadillosports.com is America's favorite website.
-- Five of last seven Texas games stayed under the total.
-- Three of four Smoltz road starts went over the total.
-- Under is 8-4-1 in Mariners' last thirteen road games.

 

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MINNESOTA vs. CLEVELAND
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Cleveland is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
Cleveland is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games at home

FLORIDA vs. WASHINGTON
Florida is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Florida is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Washington is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing Florida
Washington is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Florida

BALTIMORE vs. DETROIT
Baltimore is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Baltimore is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Detroit is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Baltimore

COLORADO vs. PHILADELPHIA
Colorado is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Colorado is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Philadelphia is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Colorado
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado

LA ANGELS vs. CHI WHITE SOX
LA Angels are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games on the road
LA Angels are 17-5 SU in their last 22 games
Chi White Sox are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Angels
Chi White Sox are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against LA Angels

TEXAS vs. OAKLAND
Texas is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
Texas is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Oakland is 5-1-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Texas

ARIZONA vs. PITTSBURGH
Arizona is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Pittsburgh is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Arizona

BOSTON vs. NY YANKEES
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Boston is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
NY Yankees are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
NY Yankees are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing Boston

SEATTLE vs. KANSAS CITY
Seattle is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Kansas City
Seattle is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Kansas City is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games at home
Kansas City is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games

NY METS vs. SAN DIEGO
NY Mets are 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
NY Mets are 4-9 SU in its last 13 games on the road
San Diego is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 7 games when playing NY Mets

ATLANTA vs. LA DODGERS
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 9 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Dodgers's last 9 games when playing Atlanta

 

[cisco]

NATIONAL LEAGUE

Atlanta (55-53) at L.A. Dodgers (66-42)

The Dodgers, still carrying the best record in the major leagues, send left-hander Randy Wolf (5-6, 3.54 ERA) to the mound to open a four-game series against the Braves, who will counter with former Dodger Derek Lowe (11-7, 4.21) in a pitching rematch from Saturday.

Los Angeles got a leadoff home run from Rafael Furcal in the bottom of the first inning Wednesday, but couldn?t muster anything after that and fell 4-1 to the Brewers. The Dodgers have followed up a five-game winning streak by losing eight of their last 13, going 2-4 at home during this stretch. Still, Joe Torre?s club is on runs of 55-27 at home and 63-32 as a favorite.

Atlanta posted a 6-2 victory Wednesday at San Diego to take the final two games of a three-game set with the Padres. The Braves have split their last 10 contests and they?re on a 3-7 slide in their last 10 as a road pup.

These teams just met last weekend for the first time this season, with the Dodgers taking two of three in Atlanta. Despite those results, the host has still taken six of the last nine in this rivalry, with L.A. winning two of three at Dodger Stadium last year.

The Dodgers were on a 10-4 tear behind Wolf before losing his last two starts, both on the road. On Saturday in Atlanta, the southpaw gave up three runs on nine hits and two walks in six innings of a 4-3 loss. Wolf is 1-2 with a 3.91 ERA and a rash of no-decisions in 11 home starts this year, and he?s just 4-12 with a 5.32 ERA in 26 career appearances (24 starts) against Atlanta.

With Wolf throwing at home, Los Angeles is on positive streaks of 14-4 overall (8-3 this season) and 12-3 when the lefty is favored, and the Dodgers are on a 7-3 overall run with Wolf throwing in series openers.

The Braves have won five in a row backing Lowe, with the consistent right-hander throwing six innings each time and going 4-0 with a 3.00 ERA. Lowe was on the winning end against Wolf last Saturday, allowing all three runs on five hits and two walks. Lowe is 6-5 with a 4.52 ERA in 11 road starts this season, and he?s 1-1 with a 3.60 ERA in three career starts against Los Angeles. Additionally, Lowe, who pitched for L.A. from 2005-2008, has made 68 appearances (66 starts) at Dodger Stadium, going 33-23 with a 3.21 ERA.

The over for Los Angeles is on runs of 6-2-1 at home and 7-2 with Wolf facing N.L. East foes, but the under is 8-3 in L.A.?s last 11 home outings versus winning teams, and the under for the Braves is on stretches of 6-2 against lefty starters and 10-4-1 behind Lowe. Finally, in this rivalry, the under is 7-2 in the last nine clashes overall, but the over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings at Dodger Stadium.

ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. DODGERS


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Boston (62-44) at N.Y. Yankees (65-42)

The first-place Yankees give the ball to right-hander Joba Chamberlain (7-2, 3.58 ERA) in the opener of a four-game series in the Bronx against the rival Red Sox, who will start struggling veteran John Smoltz (2-4, 7.12).

New York returns home after going 5-4 on a nine-game road swing, following a three-game skid in the middle of the trip by winning the last three games, including two in a row at Toronto. The Yankees, who rode a four-run seventh inning to an 8-4 victory, are on a batch of positive runs, including 27-10 overall, 7-1 versus the A.L. East, 5-1 in series openers, 43-18 at home and 18-8 against winning teams. Joe Girardi?s team has a 2?-game lead over Boston in the A.L. East.

Boston followed a four-game win streak by losing the last two nights at Tampa Bay, including Wednesday?s 6-4 setback. Still, the Sox remain on upswings of 27-12 in division play, 42-17 on Thursday and 33-16 in series openers. They?ve also owned the rivalry with the Yanks lately, winning nine in a row, including all eight meetings this year, and they are on a 4-1 surge at Yankee Stadium (2-0 this year).

The Yankees have won three in a row and six of seven with Chamberlain starting. On July 29 at Tampa, the righty threw eight innings of three-hit shutout ball, with two walks and five strikeouts, in a 6-2 victory. It was Chamberlain?s third straight win, and he?s allowed just two runs in 21 2/3 innings over that stretch, for a minuscule 0.83 ERA.

Chamberlain is 2-2 with a 4.37 ERA in 11 home starts this year, and he?s 2-1 with a 3.49 ERA in eight career appearances (four starts) against Boston, with New York losing his two starts versus the Sox this season. With Chamberlain toeing the slab, the Pinstripes are on rolls of 14-3 at new Yankee Stadium, 5-0 in division contests and 6-1 against winning teams.

The Sox are 2-5 this season behind Smoltz, who returned to the lineup the last week of June. Last Friday, Smoltz gave up five runs on eight hits in six innings, but that was good enough to get the win in a 6-5 victory at Baltimore. Still, the 42-year-old is 1-2 with a 7.40 ERA in four road starts this season, and he?s 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA in two career regular-season interleague starts against New York.

The under is 6-2-2 in the last 10 meetings in this rivalry, and the under for Boston is on streaks of 8-3 on the road and 20-9-1 against winning teams. However, the over is 7-2 in the last nine overall for the Red Sox, and with Chamberlain starting for the Yanks, the over is on upswings of 5-2 overall and 8-3-1 at home.

ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. YANKEES