ncaafb week 1
- Thread starter Cie
- Start date
Hope you kick ass and take names this year Cie.
I think you're in the same boat as me, just not
enough time in the day to spend on the puter.
But come week one, we'll make time. :toast:
I think you're in the same boat as me, just not
enough time in the day to spend on the puter.
But come week one, we'll make time. :toast:
Thanks, dudes:toast:
New Mexico is now at +14, so will not hold off long before pulling that trigger on a 2 unit play. 14.5 would be nice, as it forces TAMU (and their questionable D) to pull away by 3 scores for me to lose, but will easily play at the current line.
Played these:
Minn under 48.5 Minn changing offensive system to a more ground oriented attack. Aside from 'shortening' the game, this may cause some offensive difficulty early in the season, particularly on the road. Cuse offense isn't going to be lighting up the scoreboard, especially in the early going. 2 unit play
Tulsa un63.5 Defensively, Tulane, under a new DC, should fare better against Tulsa this season with RB Adams gone and a new QB running the offense for the first time on the road. Tulane QB play is poor and the OL is replacing 2 of their better players from last season. Tulsa D seems improved from what I've read. 2 unit play on what could be a sloppy offensive show.
Also looking at Nevada as a large road dog.
GLTA:weed:
New Mexico is now at +14, so will not hold off long before pulling that trigger on a 2 unit play. 14.5 would be nice, as it forces TAMU (and their questionable D) to pull away by 3 scores for me to lose, but will easily play at the current line.
Played these:
Minn under 48.5 Minn changing offensive system to a more ground oriented attack. Aside from 'shortening' the game, this may cause some offensive difficulty early in the season, particularly on the road. Cuse offense isn't going to be lighting up the scoreboard, especially in the early going. 2 unit play
Tulsa un63.5 Defensively, Tulane, under a new DC, should fare better against Tulsa this season with RB Adams gone and a new QB running the offense for the first time on the road. Tulane QB play is poor and the OL is replacing 2 of their better players from last season. Tulsa D seems improved from what I've read. 2 unit play on what could be a sloppy offensive show.
Also looking at Nevada as a large road dog.
GLTA:weed:
Going to hold off to make any further plays. Seems like I got in on NCSU and Minn under at a good time, but Tulsa total is heading in the wrong direction.
Remaining leans:
North Texas +17.5 Played x3
Navy +22.5
WMich +10.5
Nevada +14
UGA +6.5
WF -1.5
LSU un54
VT +7 Played x2
GL:weed:
Remaining leans:
North Texas +17.5 Played x3
Navy +22.5
WMich +10.5
Nevada +14
UGA +6.5
WF -1.5
LSU un54
VT +7 Played x2
GL:weed:
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UGA +6 @ Okie St The Okie St O performed well below their average against the "good" teams they faced last season, while really racking up the numbers against the lesser opponents. UGA had a 'down' year last season given expectations, and most feel they lost Staff and Moreno so they will be down again. I say think again. LSU lost 4 players in the 1st round of the NFL draft in 3 seasons ago, only to follow it up with a National title behind a longtime backup QB, lesser known talent and great chemistry. These thoughts, along with better play at the line of scrimmage, have me thinking UGA.
I lean to UGA, and will likely play the dawgs even though further review of last season's numbers show that most of the "good" teams OSO faced were on the road.
I lean to UGA, and will likely play the dawgs even though further review of last season's numbers show that most of the "good" teams OSO faced were on the road.
Just watched a scrimmage on the BTN and they talked about the need for a power running game before the show and that?s why they dumped their OC before the bowl game last year, then . . . first play from scrimmage is a bomb against a frosh DB and they couldn?t get the run game started against the 2nd team for 3 quarters (and the D wasn?t allowed to blitz). . . .so Minny?s coach did what any coach who is better at marketing then game planning would do . . . he sent out the 3rd team defense and the 1st team offense finally had a pulse of a run game. I?d play against them, but I don?t trust Syracuse, but I do like the under
Did Wills play in that scrimmage? If they can't run behind him, Minny is doomed. As in 2-10 kind of doomed. Seriously.
Cie - Like Nevada, UGA and Wake. Would love to be talked into VT, but I'm having trouble. Whats the thinking there?
He did - right next to some 320+ pounder. Big Ten Network guys were pretty impressed with him, but I didn't see it. He sent a 225ish DLineman about 3feet in the air once the third stringers came in.
They're not a 2-10 type team as their QB makes quick quality decisions, but their not going to be as successful record-wise as they were last year and they won't be a running team.
Thanks for the update. I like Weber as well, but since Stommes is kind of small for a OT and you're saying they couldn't really run behind Wills, where I thought they'd be great, then Weber looks like he's going to have a lot of pressure on him to carry the team with his arm. And I just don't know enough about the situation to be able to evaluate the likelihood of that. I assume that the pass protection was fine?
Most places seem to think the Minny D will be down from last year as well, so that the O struggling to run looks even worse in that light. Of course, we don't know what the coaches were trying to work on at that particular scrimmage - maybe the D was been told that they and the O were going to work on runnning plays mainly, so the D could load up.
Previously I would have thought that their wins would most likely come from the group Syracuse, Air Force, Northwestern, Purdue and S Dakota St, though not necessarily beating all of these teams. Now you're tellling me they can't run, so I'm leery of picking them to beat NW on the road and much more nervous about Purdue. If they split those 2 games and we assume they beat SDSt, that only leaves Syracuse and AF as teams where they would be favored and AF is the week before they host Cal.
It still looks to me that if they cannot run, Minny will be in for a LONG season.
I expect a good game. McElroy is first time starter behind an OL lacking continuity at a neutral site. Losing OL experience is bigger to me, than losing RBs (as is the case @ VT). Plus, +7 is big on a game with a total of 38 or so. I think many will forget the Bama loss to Utah, as well they should, but I also can see folks recalling Bama whipping an ACC squad in disarray to open last season. Also, I've heard good things about McElroy's attitude, confidence and leadership, but that just tells me there is little good news for me to hear about his play. I'm taking the points with Taylor's dual threat capability as an x-factor vs. a strong Bama defense.
GL on your plays:weed:
Listing my above-posted plays for my convenience when grading:
N Texas +17.5 [-105] x3
NCSU -3 [-115] x2
Tulsa/Tulane un63.5 x2
Minn/Cuse un 48.5 x2
VT +7 x2
UGA +6 [-105] x1
N Texas +17.5 [-105] x3
NCSU -3 [-115] x2
Tulsa/Tulane un63.5 x2
Minn/Cuse un 48.5 x2
VT +7 x2
UGA +6 [-105] x1
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UGA +6 [-105] Took UGA when noticed 5.5's around. I'll take the advantages on the line of scrimmage, and the overall depth of talent that UGA has in this matchup. New DC for Okie St leads me to believe that UGA is catching Okie St at a good time, as the OSU defense may need some time to gel. Not to mention, how much will Okie St miss their stud TE from last year? Played x1
GL:weed:
GL:weed:
Kick ass Cie,
I'll be pulling for your N Tex play. I stayed away from that one because Ball St is almost a completely different team from top to bottom and I don't know just what to expect.
I'll probably play a fun little parlay tonight using both the dogs in the MAC games just for the fun of it. I have the feeling that BG has the potential to be a real sleeper this year.
Have a great season !!
I'll be pulling for your N Tex play. I stayed away from that one because Ball St is almost a completely different team from top to bottom and I don't know just what to expect.
I'll probably play a fun little parlay tonight using both the dogs in the MAC games just for the fun of it. I have the feeling that BG has the potential to be a real sleeper this year.
Have a great season !!
