Wednesday's best MLB bets

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Wednesday's best MLB bets

Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals (+180, 8.5)

The Phillies are the defending World Series champions and have a six-game lead in the NL East. They also were just swept in a four-game series by the Houston Astros, which manager Charlie Manuel finds more relevant.

"I hear some of them (players) talk, some of them saying, 'We play better when we have to,' and stuff like that, like when there's more pressure," Manuel told the team's web site. "I find that hard to believe when I see us play how we played. ... That doesn't register with me.

"Last year is dead and gone, man."

The Phillies are scuffling with the bats, managing four runs or less in their last 13 games. They have some mound issues as well.

J.A. Happ missed Monday's start with a strained oblique muscle. And Cliff Lee is suddenly hittable, having allowed 12 earned runs and 19 hits - including four homers - in just eight innings over his last two starts, both losses. Lee had given up 13 earned runs in his previous 10 starts.

Pick: Washington

San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants (-170, 8)

There are two trends tracking for the Giants - one that started just over a month ago and one that has lasted all season.

For most of the year, lefthander Barry Zito has had as much trouble finding consistency as he has had locating the plate. But he has been sharp at home lately, helping keep the Giants in the NL wild card race.

The Giants have won the last four home games started by Zito, who is 3-0 with a 2.16 ERA in those games. He is averaging 1.8 walks per nine innings in that span, well below his season ratio of 3.67.

San Francisco also is a solid 14-7 in home series finales, including a 4-2 mark in games started by Zito. Meanwhile, San Diego has lost nine of its last 10 games at Pac Bell Park.

Pick: San Francisco
 

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Wednesday?s streaking and slumping pitchers

Wednesday?s streaking and slumping pitchers

Wednesday?s streaking and slumping pitchers
Streaking

Scott Feldman (15-4, 3.62 ERA), Texas Rangers

Feldman has been on a great run this season, particularly on the road. Only four of his 15 wins have come in white uniforms and his home ERA is almost two full runs higher than his away.

Feldman had no answers for his road success after his latest win.

?There is really nothing to it,? Feldman told the Associated Press following the 5-1 win over the Orioles last week. ?Just being the benefactor of playing on a good team. I do everything the same.?

The Rangers have won six of his last seven starts and the hurler has given up just one run in his last three outings. Keep in mind too, that 12 of the Rangers? 32 wins have come with Feldman on the bump.

Bronson Arroyo (12-12, 4.23), Cincinnati Reds

You can get an upset stomach trying to follow this streaky hurler. His career has been filled with more up and down results than a kid on ritalin in a bouncy castle.

But over his last seven starts he owes a 1.89 ERA, he?s pitched at least seven innings each time out and the under is 4-2-1.

He might be worth a small play on the road against the Rockies on Wednesday.

Slumping

Kevin Hart (4-5, 4.67), Pittsburgh Pirates

We really didn?t want to pick on the Pirates ? MLB teams do that enough as is. But with some many hot starters going today (Wandy Rodriguez, Jon Garland and Ian Snell to name a few that didn?t make the cut), we were left with few hurlers in dire times.

Hart fits the bill perfectly. He?s given up 24 runs (21 earned) in his last 28 innings and the Bucs have won just won of his last five starts.

Hart was disappointed following his last start - a 14-7 setback to the Cards.

?It?s one of those things where when we score six in the bottom of the inning, you?ve got to go out there and have a shutdown inning,? he told reporters. ?These guys picked me up tonight, and I didn?t do the same.?
 

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DUNKEL INDEX 09 SEP 09

DUNKEL INDEX 09 SEP 09

Today's MLB Picks

Texas at Cleveland

The Indians look to build on their 6-2 record in Fausto Carmona's last 8 home starts as an underdog between +110 and +150. Cleveland is the pick (+130) according to Dunkel, which has the Indians favored by 1/2 a run.
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+130).

Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 9
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 951-952: Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Zambrano) 13.987; Pittsburgh (Hart) 14.244
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+140); Under

Game 953-954: St. Louis at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 14.837; Milwaukee (Suppan) 16.020
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-215); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+195); Over

Game 955-956: San Diego at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Leblanc) 15.403; San Francisco (Zito) 15.923
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-170); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-170); Under

Game 957-958: Philadelphia vs. Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Lee) 13.429; Washington (Mock) 14.329
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-200); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+180); Over

Game 959-960: Florida at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Nolasco) 15.109; NY Mets (Misch) 14.663
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Florida (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-130); Under

Game 961-962: Atlanta at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Lowe) 15.707; Houston (Rodriguez) 14.686
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Houston (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+125); Over

Game 963-964: Cincinnati at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Arroyo) 15.506; Colorado (Hammel) 16.106
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Colorado (-165); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-165); Over

Game 965-966: LA Dodgers at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Garland) 15.175; Arizona (Haren) 15.465
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Arizona (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-130); Over

Game 967-968: Texas at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Feldman) 14.799; Cleveland (Carmona) 15.271
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Texas (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+130); Under

Game 969-970: Minnesota at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Pavano) 15.083; Toronto (Halladay) 16.457
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-210); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-210); Over

Game 971-972: Tampa Bay at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Niemann) 15.550; NY Yankees (Chamberlain) 15.739
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-140); 10
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-140); Under

Game 973-974: Baltimore at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Berken) 16.204; Boston (Byrd) 15.143
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 12
Vegas Line: Boston (-200); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+180); Over

Game 975-976: Detroit at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 16.337; Kansas City (Tejeda) 14.826
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-190); 8
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-190); Over

Game 977-978: Oakland at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Cahill) 15.640; White Sox (Garcia) 16.334
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-125); Over

Game 979-980: Seattle at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Snell) 14.825; LA Angels (Weaver) 16.081
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-210); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-210); Over
 

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Top 5 Trends

Top 5 Trends

Top 5 Trends
MIN
TOR Under is 8-0 in MIN last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
TEX
CLE TEX are 7-0 in Feldmans last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
MIN
TOR MIN are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
DET
KC DET are 7-0 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
SEA
LAA Under is 7-0 in LAA last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
 
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