NFL Week #1...One Solid Play for now.

[FirstnGoal]

I finished 2-2-2 in the preseason and profited a whopping 1/2 a unit. :mj07:


:00hour


It's time for the real show to start!


:00hour


One play for now, I played it as a medium size 2 unit play.

3 game 10 point teaser
Cowboys +4 over Bucs
Vikings +6 over Browns
Patriots -1/2 over Bills



Cowboys +4...The Bucs are in a rebuilding mode having axed Head Coach Jon Gruden and GM Bruce Allen over the offseason and replaced them with a pair of young and inexperienced people in coach Raheem Morris and GM Mark Dominick?the Bucs were a decent team last year but the new regime showed the door to veterans such as QB Jeff Garcia, HB Warrick Dunn, WR Ike Hilliard, TE Alex Smith, WR Joey Galloway, DE Jovan Haye, LB Cato June , LB Derrick Brooks, and DE Kevin Carter?the Bucs will be a younger team this year, but will go through growing pains as well?on the flip side, it?s win now for the Cowboys and head coach Wade Phillips?the
subtraction of WR Terrell Owens might be an addition for the ?Boys?Dallas is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC, 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in September?and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as
a road favorite of 3.5-10.0?Tampa is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 1?1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games?0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass?and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall?the Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5
meetings?Dallas by at least a TD.
Dallas 23 Tampa Bay 13
WINNER!


Vikings +6?The Browns will have to stop Vikings HB Adrian Peterson in this game to even have a chance in this one?however?don?t expect them to put 8 men in the box to slow Peterson down because they must respect the aging arm of Brett Favre?I see the Vikings having success on the ground and also in the air in this
one?on the flip side?the Vikings defensive front matches up well in the middle against a Browns offensive line that will be starting a rookie at Center in Alex Mack and veteran journeyman Floyd ?Porkchop? Womack at right guard?the guys in purple on the other side of the ball Pat Williams and Kevin Williams are pretty good the last time I checked?Minnesota is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 1?Cleveland is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 1?0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass?0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games?and 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall?The Vikings will be too much for the Browns and new coach Eric Mangini to handle on Sunday.
Minnesota 24 Cleveland 16
WINNER!


Patriots -1/2?The Patriots have outscored the Bills 155-33 in their last 5 meetings and this game should be no different?while the Patriots welcome Tom Brady back into their starting lineup, the Bills within the last week fired
their offensive coordinator, axed their starting left tackle, and have 5 new starters playing on their offensive line?need I say any more?...New England is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Monday games, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC, and 36-16-1 ATS in their last 53 vs. AFC East?.Buffalo is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings in New England?0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings?3-7 ATS in their last
10 games overall?and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC East...turn out the lights, the party may be over by halftime on Monday Night.
New England 34 Buffalo 13
WINNER!

CASH!! $$

 

[CartersCubs]

love it... i have my money pretty spread out for the first week but i'm thinking about making taking your approach and getting a medium sized wager on those 3 teams... how do u like this 2 team teaser:

(.5 unit play)
Colts (pick) vs. Jags
Ravens -6 vs. Chiefs

 

[FirstnGoal]

love it... i have my money pretty spread out for the first week but i'm thinking about making taking your approach and getting a medium sized wager on those 3 teams... how do u like this 2 team teaser:

(.5 unit play)
Colts (pick) vs. Jags
Ravens -6 vs. Chiefs

I like the Colts as a pick...the Ravens should beat the Chiefs by at least a TD :shrug:...but as I found out last year in week one (Atlanta over Detroit which seems like a no-brainer now) anything can happen.

I kinda like the G-Men -pick at home over the Redskins in a 2 team 6 pointer as well.

Good Luck

 

[FirstnGoal]

Added this Medium size 2 unit play:

Green Bay Packers -3
(BUY the ? point)
Over Bears
The teams split last season with the home team winning both games?the Packers lost to the Bears 20-17 in Chicago, but pounded the Bears 37-3 at home?I expect the Packers offense led by Aaron Rodgers (which has been hitting on all cylinders in preseason) to have it?s way against a slightly overrated Bears defense?on the flip side the Bears acquisition of Jay Cutler could turn out to be the steal of the century but he doesn?t have the weapons (or the offensive line) that he had in Denver and he will be facing a very opportunistic Packers defense that has switched to a 3-4 base?Cutler likes to force the football which could turn into some turnovers?The Packers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC North, and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in September?The Bears are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog?3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0?1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games?1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC and just 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
Green Bay 34 Chicago 23
CASH!!


Played this Small 1 unit Play:

2 game 6 point teaser:
New York Giants ?pick over Redskins
Miami Dolphins +10.5 over Falcons

Giants -pickem?The Giants defense should give Jason Campbell fits and pressure him into making mistakes?the Skins are only 2-7-2 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 1?The Giants are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games overall and 14-5 ATS in their last 19 on grass?The Favorite is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
Giants 27 Redskins 17 WINNER!
&
Miami Dolphins +10.5 ?The Dolphins offense plays mistake free football and should be able to take advantage of a below average Falcons defense?on the flip side I like the Falcons offensive unit?but?the will be facing a solid Dolphins defense...Miami is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog, and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games overall?this one should be decided in the final moments.
Atlanta 20 Miami 19 LOSS!

 

[utcahoona]

Good Luck - I am rolling with you this season.

:toast:

 

[FirstnGoal]

Good Luck - I am rolling with you this season.

:toast:

Thanks UTC...I'm looking to break the bank this year.

:bigun:

:00x1

 

[AR182]

all the best first....:mj06:

 

[FirstnGoal]

Parlays are tough to win...but I like this one.

I just put a little change on it.

Miami +4 over Atlanta
Eagles -140 over Panthers
Bengals -220 over Broncos
Packers -200 over Bears

Wager Type: Parlay (4 team)
Wager Status: Pending
Risk / To Win Amount: $200.00 / $1220.81 (USD) Accepted 9/11/2009 11:17 AM - EST


Item #1
Wager Type: Spread
Outcome: Pending
Sport / Period: NFL Football / Game
Line:
Miami Dolphins 9/13/2009 1:00:01 PM - (EST)
+4 -110

Item #2
Wager Type: Money Line
Outcome: Pending
Sport / Period: NFL Football / Game
Line:
Philadelphia Eagles 9/13/2009 1:00 PM - (EST)
-140

Item #3
Wager Type: Money Line
Outcome: Pending
Sport / Period: NFL Football / Game
Line:
Cincinnati Bengals 9/13/2009 1:00 PM - (EST)
-220

Item #4
Wager Type: Money Line
Outcome: Pending
Sport / Period: NFL Football / Game
Line:
Green Bay Packers 9/13/2009 8:20 PM - (EST)
-200
* Game Notes:
(NBC)

LOSS
Parlays are tough to hit but I usually play at least one a week and cashed in several times in 2008.

 

[FirstnGoal]

On a brink of a nice winning week...I will cash 2 units tonight IF the Patriots beat the Bills by at least 1 point tonight :mj07: Just 1 point!

And who said teasers can't be pleasers?

I cashed my other 2 unit play of the Packers last night but lost my 1 unit play earlier.


GO PATRIOTS!

 

[FirstnGoal]

I finished 2-2-2 in the preseason and profited a whopping 1/2 a unit. :mj07:


:00hour


It's time for the real show to start!


:00hour


One play for now, I played it as a medium size 2 unit play.

3 game 10 point teaser
Cowboys +4 over Bucs
Vikings +6 over Browns
Patriots -1/2 over Bills



Cowboys +4...The Bucs are in a rebuilding mode having axed Head Coach Jon Gruden and GM Bruce Allen over the offseason and replaced them with a pair of young and inexperienced people in coach Raheem Morris and GM Mark Dominick?the Bucs were a decent team last year but the new regime showed the door to veterans such as QB Jeff Garcia, HB Warrick Dunn, WR Ike Hilliard, TE Alex Smith, WR Joey Galloway, DE Jovan Haye, LB Cato June , LB Derrick Brooks, and DE Kevin Carter?the Bucs will be a younger team this year, but will go through growing pains as well?on the flip side, it?s win now for the Cowboys and head coach Wade Phillips?the
subtraction of WR Terrell Owens might be an addition for the ?Boys?Dallas is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC, 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in September?and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as
a road favorite of 3.5-10.0?Tampa is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 1?1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games?0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass?and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall?the Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5
meetings?Dallas by at least a TD.
Dallas 23 Tampa Bay 13
WINNER!


Vikings +6?The Browns will have to stop Vikings HB Adrian Peterson in this game to even have a chance in this one?however?don?t expect them to put 8 men in the box to slow Peterson down because they must respect the aging arm of Brett Favre?I see the Vikings having success on the ground and also in the air in this
one?on the flip side?the Vikings defensive front matches up well in the middle against a Browns offensive line that will be starting a rookie at Center in Alex Mack and veteran journeyman Floyd ?Porkchop? Womack at right guard?the guys in purple on the other side of the ball Pat Williams and Kevin Williams are pretty good the last time I checked?Minnesota is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 1?Cleveland is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 1?0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass?0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games?and 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall?The Vikings will be too much for the Browns and new coach Eric Mangini to handle on Sunday.
Minnesota 24 Cleveland 16
WINNER!


Patriots -1/2?The Patriots have outscored the Bills 155-33 in their last 5 meetings and this game should be no different?while the Patriots welcome Tom Brady back into their starting lineup, the Bills within the last week fired
their offensive coordinator, axed their starting left tackle, and have 5 new starters playing on their offensive line?need I say any more?...New England is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Monday games, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC, and 36-16-1 ATS in their last 53 vs. AFC East?.Buffalo is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings in New England?0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings?3-7 ATS in their last
10 games overall?and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC East...turn out the lights, the party may be over by halftime on Monday Night.
New England 34 Buffalo 13
WINNER!

CASH!! $$

I just loved sweating out a last minute win to open the season...especially when you cover by a 1/2 point!! :mj16:

Sometimes it's better to be lucky than good!

2-1 to start the season...up 2.9 units on the week!