ncaaf week 5 plays

[Cie]

22-17 +.41U ytd

Started looking at week 5 while I watch this Hou/ TT matchup. Need Cougs to hang in there. A pair of missed FGs aren't helping, but still a long way to go.....


Some teams w/ possible hangover from week 4:

Oregon....playing Wazzou off blowout of Cal
Va Tech....playing Duke off of big W over Miami
USF.........Playing @ Cuse off BIG win over FSU
BC...........Playing FSU off of OT win
GT...........playing @ Miss St off of win over UNC
TCU......... playing SMU off of win over clemson
UGA.........Playing LSU off of last minute win over ASU
LSU......... @ UGA off of emotional win in the rain over Miss St
Idaho........off of nice win over NIU
S Carolina....off of big win over Miss
Iowa.........playing Arky St off big W over Penn St

 

[taoist]

...always a step in front of the herd. I knew there was a reason I always liked you. LOL :toast:


edit: p.s. I won't play LSU/GA next week with someone else's money! I don't even have to spend time capping that one. LOL :nono:

 

[Wolver98]

I am going to look hard at Syr at home versus S. Fla. That should be a big let down situation.

 

[Cie]

Leans:

Cuse +7
Minn -1.5
FSU -5
Kentucky +17
Vandy +9.5
Duke +15.5
Miss St +4.5
Wash St +30.5
Cal +6
SMU +28
UTEP +15
Arky St +21

GL:weed:

 

[baby johnson]

gl this week :00hour

 

[Cie]

Thanks dudes.

Played these:

Syracuse +7 x3 Letdown spot for USF on the road behind the young backup QB.

Ark St +21 x3 True sandwich spot for Iowa with Meech on deck

Cal +5 (-115) x2

GL:weed:

 

[Irish]

Good luck this week Cie...
I have to say I like LSU to punch Geogia in the mouth. I was not impressed with Georgia at all and even though LSU had a scare they might have been looking ahead to this game and you know Les got on his team after the game.

Cheers
Irish

 

[#cruncher]

Mississippi St is a lot better than we may have thought. Only weakness I see is pass D, they stuffed LSUs run game.

 

[Cie]

Mississippi St is a lot better than we may have thought. Only weakness I see is pass D, they stuffed LSUs run game.

Agreed. I think they have the athletes and the coaching to handle the GT ground attack. Plus, they are hungry for high-profile wins. I like their chances, especially since GT is off a nice conference win with another conference game on deck.

 

[Cie]

Good luck this week Cie...
I have to say I like LSU to punch Geogia in the mouth. I was not impressed with Georgia at all and even though LSU had a scare they might have been looking ahead to this game and you know Les got on his team after the game.

Cheers
Irish

Hope you are right, but I am concerned about the interior of the OL and QB Jefferson. Also, play-calling is mind-boggling. I will post some examples from last week that will leave you scratching your head.

I'm looking for a low scoring game in that one, and will make some points on this later in the week. GL:weed:

 

[#cruncher]

Agreed. I think they have the athletes and the coaching to handle the GT ground attack. Plus, they are hungry for high-profile wins. I like their chances, especially since GT is off a nice conference win with another conference game on deck.

Was thinking the same thing (GAT)...Sure wish I would have listened to ya on Wash/Stanford...

 

[THUNDER]

WHAT DOES THE SEC GUY THINK OF MSU THIS WEEK

 

[Cie]

WHAT DOES THE SEC GUY THINK OF MSU THIS WEEK

IMO Miss St is good enough up front defensively and should be motivated enough to handle GT.

 

[Cie]

Additional leans:

Arky -1
Wash +13.5



GL:weed:

 

[joefrog91]

I agree with your SMU +28 pick CG.

My Frogs lost to SMU in 2005 coming off a great road upset victory. I don't think they'll lose this time, but 28 pts is a lot to give here. I see a score like TCU 42 SMU 20. Maybe even closer considering SMU is putting up points this year.

 

[Cie]

We are thinking along the same lines Joe.






TTechI rarely lay any points, much less 5 TDs, but I was thinking this would be a good spot for TT to easily cover the big number. New Mex is off of a heartbreaker vs NMSU and there are internal problems with the coaching staff.


GL:weed:

 

[LDB]

gl this week

 

[joefrog91]

TTechI rarely lay any points, much less 5 TDs, but I was thinking this would be a good spot for TT to easily cover the big number. New Mex is off of a heartbreaker vs NMSU and there are internal problems with the coaching staff.


GL:weed:

Yes, agree again here. NM is imploding rapidly. When the HC punches an Assitant, it's not very good. I don't expect NM to win a single game this year. They never should have gotten rid of Rocky Long.

 

[Cie]

These are my plays for this week. May again be gone later part of the week, so listed a couple of plays that I haven't booked yet.


Lots of plays:scared

Cuse +7 x3 I may buy this play back. Grabbed it at +7 right away, but having doubts.
Wash St +32.5 (-105) x3
Arky St +21 x3
Tenn -2 (-108) x3 Aub takes their new offensive sho on the orad for the 1st time this season, and also face their 1st defensive test.
FAU -3 (-118) x3 Long road trip for Wyo off of a big win. FAU backs are against the wall.
LSU un53 (-108) x3
Mich St P x2 Forcier on the road for the first time.
Duke +17 (-118) x2 VT off of a pair of big wins, and have BC on deck.
Cal +5 (-115) x2 Looking for a bounce back and question USC mental state on heels of weight room tragedy.
SMU +28 (-108) x2
Wash +14 (-115) x2
L'ville +7 (-115) x2





GLTA:weed:

 

[Cie]

Last play til saturday:

LSU un53 (-108) x3These teams will feel each other out. The "inferior" teams LSU has faced to date have loaded the box and forced LSU to throw to win. Jefferson only last week began completing passes downfield. Prior to that, all of his long passes were short catch and run. UGA will come out in a base set and will adjust accordingly. LSU will definitely try to establish the ground game. The LSU OL has been hearing it all week, and my guess is they come to play. I look for a grinder, particularly in the 1H.

GL:weed: