HORSE RACING

[Lumi]

HORSE RACING
TODAY AT SANTA ANITA PARK

By Richard Eng

Post Time 12:30 p.m.

Race 1 - 6 1/2 furlongs, Purse $17,000, Maiden claiming $32,000, 3-year-olds and up

Paddy's Magic - Big rider switch to Joel Rosario for the money shot; must leave the starting gate better.

Remember Mike - Taking the biggest class drop in racing from MSW to maiden claiming; live rider in David Flores.

Long Shot - Learn the Sport

Race 2 - 6 1/2 furlongs, Purse $22,000, Starter allowance $40,000, 3-year-olds and up

Diferentkindagreat - Broke his maiden with complete authority; big class rise to face winners, looks like a runner.

Charlie and Chris - Claimed by Hector Palma away from John Sadler; hard to expect him to improve this colt.

Long Shot - Box Office Star

Race 3 - 1 mile (turf), Purse $42,000, Maiden special weights, Cal-breds, Fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up

Ruffled Feathers - Saves all the ground inside for Alex Solis; covered up trip, should be rallying fast late.

Silver Heat - Tactical speed to sit a nice trip; she is an Unusual Heat for Barry Abrams that should adore grass.

Long Shot - Call Me Dutchess

Race 4 - 1 1/16th miles, Purse $14,000, Claiming $12,500, 3-year-olds and up

Dynamalt - Claimed two back by Jack Carava for $25K; he drops his price in half in search of earning his money back.

Collato - Has run second in 3-of-4 starts; wouldn't be surprised if he breaks thru with hot riding David Flores up.

Long Shot - Morton Owen

Race 5 - 1 1/16th miles, Purse $44,000, Allowance, 3-year-olds and up

Viscount - Bob Baffert barn is hotter than hot right now; uncoupled entrymate Canyon Drive has a puncher's chance too.

Riviera Cocktail - Above average U.S. debut at Del Mar for Neil Drysdale; could have a high ceiling.

Long Shot - Canyon Drive

Race 6 - 6 furlongs, Purse $40,000, Maiden special weights, Fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up

Gumption - Bruce Headley hires Joel Rosario; maybe he can convince this filly to win with strong late handling.

Fund Raiser - FTS from Bob Baffert; the barn is winning with everything, watch the tote board for clues.

Long Shot - Sabina Fay

Race 7 - 1 1/4 (turf), $300,000 Clement L. Hirsch, 3-year-olds and up

Presious Passion - Gets a fast and firm billiard table to run over; ultimate catch me if you can front runner.

Medici Code - Big rider switch to Garrett Gomez who had choices; saves ground, bides his time and fires fast late.

Long Shot - Artiste Royal

Race 8 - 6 furlongs, $300,000 Ancient Title, 3-year-olds and up

Gayego - Wasn't his best in return, but it was more than good enough; this should prep him perfectly for the BC Sprint.

Supreme Summit - Highly regarded colt was dead game chasing lone speed; picks up the Mig, which can help his price.

Long Shot - Delta Storm

Race 9 - 1 1/8th miles, Purse $13,000, Claiming $10,000, 3-year-olds and up

Camisado - Cheap horses seldom win back to back, can this guy make it three in a row; best form in a long, long time.

One Chin Again - Exits the Cal Cup Classic, a much tougher heat than this; gets the great Kieren Fallon to ride.

Long Shot - Dadsalittleunusal

Best Bet - Gayego (race 8)

Santa Anita Saturday - Picks/Winners/Mutuels, 20/7/$44.60; Long Shots, 10/1/$16.20; Best Bet, 1/1/$2.80

Santa Anita Totals - 151/34/$231.40; Long Shots, 76/13/$158.40; Best Bets, 9/6/$27.00

SIMULCAST PICK OF THE DAY - #10 Laguna Amiga (2/1) in race 10 at Hawthorne. For scoring purposes, we'll make a hypothetical $2 win, place and show bet, $6 total. On Saturday, Double Domino ran second at Belmont Park paying $4.40 to place and $2.70 to show. Stats - 147/110/$829.50

 

[Lumi]

At the Gate - Sunday

At the Gate - Sunday

At the Gate - Sunday

It was no surprise to see Zenyatta make it 13 in a row in the Lady?s Secret (G1) at Santa Anita on Saturday, rolling over her overmatched foes by 1 ? lengths in style, returning $2.80 for the victory.



The only question now is whether she defends her title in the Breeders? Cup Ladies Classic or takes on the boys in the Breeders? Cup Classic.



Owner Jerry Moss said Zenyatta would be pre-entered in both races.



"The horse is going to make the decision," he said. "We want her to do well and be safe and be happy, but we also want to see how much she's got in her tank."



What was a surprise on Saturday was the winner of the Goodwood (G1) Handicap.



The race featured Kentucky Derby winner Mine That Bird as well as Grade 1 winners Tiago, Colonel John, Richard?s Kid, and Monzante, and Grade 2 winners Parading and Informed.

The race was won by European invader Gitano Hernando, who was coming off an allowance race at Wolverhampton. His best effort was a third in a Group 3 at Chester back in May.



The three year old colt was a neck winner over Colonel John, paying $38.00 for the win.



That might be bad news for the U.S. runners pointing toward the Classic. If they can?t beat Gitano Hernando, how the heck are they going to beat Sea the Stars, Rip Van Winkle, and Mastercraftsman?



The ?08 Classic exacta went to Euro invaders Raven?s Pass and Henrythenavigator, and after Saturday?s Goodwood, it sure looks like the lion?s share of the $5 million Classic purse may be heading back to the other side of the pond again this year.


Here is today's opening race from Belmont Park to get our day off to a good start:



BEL Race 1 Clm $15,000N2L (1:00 ET)

#7 Cappella Reale 6/1

#3 Fortune Faded 4/1

#1 Living for This 5/2

#8 Three Bridge Road 5/1



Analysis: #7 Cappella Reale is back with state breds here after finishing a distant seventh last out against $10K non winners of two. Two back in the mud against NY breds the colt checked in a decent second, 4 1/4 lengths clear of the rest of the field. Balsamo is the named trainer; she is the assistant to Jacobson, who is still the owner so I suspect he might be on a short "vacation." It's a real slow looking group here and not much else in here to get excited about.



#3 Fortune Faded prompted the early pace and faded badly to finish eighth last out against $25K non winners of two. The gelding is back in with state breds and drops into a softer spot here. Encouraging to see Edgar stick despite this gelding getting beaten by double digit lengths in each of his last three outings.



Wagering

WIN: #7 to win at 7/2 or better.

 

[Lumi]

Post experts pick the winners

 

[Lumi]

Belmont analysis

Belmont analysis

Belmont analysis

Post Time: 1:00 p.m. All horses appear in post position order



Today's analysis.

1. 6 fur; $18,000; clm($15,000); 3up

LIVING FOR THIS returns to dirt and switches to bug. He is only horse in race not to be beaten double digits lengths in last start. MR. PETERSSON cuts back in distance after tiring this level. FORTUNE FADED cuts back in distance and drops to lowest claiming level of career.

PN Horse Wt. Jockey Last 3 Trainer Odds
1 Living for This(L),111 A Casey 7-5-1 Persaud 5-2
2 Mr. Petersson(L),118 R Fuentes 8-7-6 Badgett 5-1
3 Fortune Faded(L),121 E Prado 8-9-6 Schosberg 4-1
4 Psychotic Summer(L),121 J Chavez 8-5-6 Toscano 10-1
5 Bocce Ball(L),118 T Hole 8-7-2 Kopaj 6-1
6 Smarty Karakorum(L),120 M Luzzi 8-1-7 Odintz 20-1
7 Cappella Reale(L),120 S Morales 7-2-1 Balsamo 6-1
8 Three Bridge Road(L),118 E Castro 7-12-9 Weaver 5-1

2. 6 fur; $43,000; mdn; 2YO(f)

CABLEKNIT chased the pace and tired as the favorite when making career debut. SURE AS GOLD closed to finish second while going shorter in career debut. FLOURISH races with Lasix and shows good works for career debut.

PN Horse Wt. Jockey Last 3 Trainer Odds
1 Silky Serenade,120 J Castellano x-x-x Asmussen 6-1
2 Cableknit(L),120 A Garcia 5-x-x Mclaughlin 3-1
3 Omi's Vindication(L),120 M Luzzi 10-x-x Romans 20-1
4 Accessorize,120 J Lezcano x-x-x Zito 12-1
5 Freedom Flag,120 E Prado x-x-x Mcgaughey 5-1
6 Flourish,120 R Dominguez x-x-x Frankel 9-2
7 Sahara Moon,120 E Castro x-x-x Duggan 15-1
8 Sure as Gold(L),120 C Velasquez 2-x-x Pletcher 2-1

3. 7 fur; $30,000; clm($20,000); 3up

INDEPENDENCE WAR drew rail after an impressive victory as the favorite and was claimed. BEBOB steps up in class after winning as favorite in first off claim. DEPUTYVILLE closed to finish second in return to dirt.

PN Horse Wt. Jockey Last 3 Trainer Odds
1 Independence War(L),121 R Dominguez 1-4-1 JImperio 7-2
2 Bebob(L),121 J Castellano 1-2-1 Arroyo 5-1
3 Eltish Star(L),121 J Samyn 3-6-1 POrtiz 12-1
4 The Vin Man(L),121 C Velasquez 8-3-2 Schosberg 4-1
5 Fuhrever Dancing(L),119 J Chavez 4-1-7 Gullo 5-1
6 Fearless Vision(L),121 R Rodriguez 2-2-2 RDutrow 3-1
7 Deputyville(L),121 E Castro 2-8-3 Duggan 6-1

4. 1 mile; $150,000; 3YO THE JEROME

KENSEI lost two stakes race winning streak when tiring badly in the Grade 1 Travers. GIROLAMO was an impressive winner as favorite in both starts off the layoff. BURLEY'S GOLD won impressively in the mud at this distance.

PN Horse Wt. Jockey Last 3 Trainer Odds
1 Denver(L),115 C Velasquez 7-3-1 Pletcher 12-1
2 Burley's Gold(L),114 R Dominguez 1-10-1 RDutrow 3-1
3 Girolamo(L),118 A Garcia 1-1-6 bin Suroor 8-5
4 Kensei(L),121 E Prado 6-1-1 Asmussen 7-5
5 Pitched Perfectly(L),114 J Lezcano 5-1-9 Tagg 15-1

5. 6 fur; $41,000; mdn; 2YO

MOST HAPPY FELLA had a troubled trip and closed to finish second as the favorite two back. CATS KITTY comes in with a bullet work after tiring in career debut. GREECE fourth in an off- the-turf race going longer in career debut.

PN Horse Wt. Jockey Last 3 Trainer Odds
2 Most Happy Fella(L),119 J Castellano 7-2-7 Badgett 5-1
1 a-Sunshine Murray,119 J Chavez x-x-x Contessa 8-1
3 Adirondack Warrior,119 M Studart x-x-x Ubillo 12-1
4 Evil Genius(L),119 M Luzzi 7-x-x Brown 6-1
1A a-Junaluska(L),119 J Chavez 7-7-6 Contessa 8-1
5 Helvi(L),119 R Dominguez 3-4-2 Testerman 6-1
6 Greece(L),119 E Prado 4-x-x Donk 4-1
7 Cathy's Rascal,119 S Morales 9-x-x Hertler 20-1
8 Cats Kitty(L),119 A Garcia 6-x-x Bush 3-1
9 Midnight Billy(L),119 J Espinoza 6-x-x JOrtiz 10-1

6. 7 fur(T); $45,000; alw; 3up

WALL STREET WONDER pressed the pace and tired to third and was then placed second last out. CORONATION DAY won state-bred stakes while going longer two back. FATEH FIELD had a troubled trip and closed to finish second this distance.

PN Horse Wt. Jockey Last 3 Trainer Odds
1 Coronation Day(L),117 A Garcia 6-1-2 Weaver 12-1
2 Straight Romance(L),121 J Chavez 4-1-9 Ferraro 20-1
3 Right of Way(L),117 J Lezcano 8-5-3 AJerkens 12-1
4 Bad Action(L),119 R Dominguez 4-1-1 Contessa 8-1
5 Inside Info(L),121 M Luzzi 6-6-5 Aquilino 30-1
6 Fateh Field(L),121 J Samyn 2-9-2 bin Suroor 7-5
7 Wall Street Wonder(L),117 J Castellano 2-3-5 Baffert 7-2
8 Union Strike(L),117 C Velasquez 4-6-4 Asmussen 10-1
9 Rodman(L),121 E Prado 7-1-1 Hushion 5-1
10 Presto Change O(L),117 No Rider 12-6-1 JJerkens 6-1

7. 6 fur(T); $43,000; mdn; 2YO(f)

ROSE CATHERINE makes turf debut after chasing the pace and tiring at Saratoga. SEA ROAD races with Lasix and shows steady works for career debut. NEENIE'S HOUSE races with Lasix and working steadily on turf for career debut.

PN Horse Wt. Jockey Last 3 Trainer Odds
2 Royalstraightflush(L),120 E Prado 7-x-x PKelly 8-1
3 Amirahy,120 A Garcia x-x-x Toner 8-1
1 a-Rumpus Room(L),120 S Morales 6-5-8 Sciacca 20-1
4 Sapphire Mink,120 E Castro x-x-x Duggan 6-1
5 Sea Road,120 C Velasquez x-x-x Hough 5-1
6 Mordecai Jones,120 J Lezcano x-x-x CMartin 8-1
7 Flashy Flirt,120 J Espinoza x-x-x Tagg 10-1
8 Neenie's House,120 R Dominguez x-x-x Weaver 5-1
9 Rose Catherine(L),120 J Castellano 5-6-x Pletcher 7-2
10 Awesome Vow,120 J Samyn 6-6-7 Jolley 12-1
1A a-Mrs. Stroud(L),120 E Castro 8-8-x Sciacca 20-1

8. 7 fur(T); $41,000; mdn; 3up(f)

WITTENBERG MISS makes turf debut after tiring to third in the slop in May when making career debut. REFINERY FIRE closed to finish third while going longer when adding blinkers. ROYAL VALENTINE returns to turf finishing second in most recent.

PN Horse Wt. Jockey Last 3 Trainer Odds
1 Louisa Mae(L),120 P Fragoso 5-x-x Reinacher 10-1
2 Properlyintroduced(L),120 E Prado 4-8-3 Serpe 8-1
3 Devilishameye(L),120 J Samyn 6-7-9 Hertler 20-1
4 Point to Royalty(L),120 R Dominguez 5-4-5 Campo 5-1
5 She's for Real,120 S Morales x-x-x DiSanto 20-1
6 Miss Saul(L),122 J Espinoza 7-9-7 Carroll 20-1
7 Refinery Fire(L),120 J Castellano 3-5-8 Schettino 4-1
8 Triple Double Kidd,120 E Castro x-x-x Ubillo 12-1
9 Wittenberg Miss(L),120 A Garcia 3-x-x Clement 3-1
10 Sadietheprettylady(L),120 M Luzzi 5-5-x Tesher 10-1
11 Royal Valentine(L),120 J Lezcano 2-5-6 Aquilino 8-1
12 Rosary Beads(L),115 A Casey 9-11-x Shevy 50-1

9. 1 1/16 miles(T); $48,000; alw; 3up

PICOU came off the pace to finish second in both starts since coming off the layoff. PINCKNEY HILL makes first start since finishing second as favorite in stakes going longer. R J'S BRIGADE set the pace and tired in return to turf.

PN Horse Wt. Jockey Last 3 Trainer Odds
1 New Fandan(L),120 M Studart 4-9-3 Terracciano 30-1
2 Storm Caller(L),120 A Garcia 6-2-5 Weaver 10-1
3 Pinckney Hill(L),117 C Velasquez 2-1-1 Penna 2-1
4 Classic Campaign(L),123 R Dominguez 1-3-4 Mott 9-2
5 R J's Brigade(L),120 E Castro 5-4-1 GPreciado 6-1
6 Big Jerome(L),120 E Prado 9-3-1 Hills 12-1
7 Picou(L),120 J Castellano 2-2-8 Brown 5-2
8 Valtrus(L),120 J Lezcano 7-6-4 Brown 8-1

10. 7 fur(T); $41,000; mdn; 3up(f)

FAIRY WIND cuts back in distance after tiring to fourth last out. SACHEM ROAD stretches out after finishing second when making turf debut. SONG FOR PUPCAKE cuts back in distance after finishing third. FOR LOVE ALONE finished third in last start on turf.

PN Horse Wt. Jockey Last 3 Trainer Odds
1 City Vice(L),122 R Rodriguez 3-6-5 DeMola 12-1
2 Jabbar(L),122 J Chavez 11-6-9 Mcgillycdy 12-1
3 Casing Gold(L),113 A Casey 10-6-7 Iselin 50-1
4 Rosie's Girl,120 C Velasquez 8-x-x DiSanto 20-1
5 Sachem Road(L),120 E Castro 2-3-2 Donk 3-1
6 Song for Pupcake(L),120 J Castellano 3-8-3 Schettino 4-1
7 Sweet Baby Blue(L),122 S Morales 6-7-7 Quick 30-1
8 Fairy Wand(L),120 R Dominguez 4-7-2 Albertrani 7-2
9 For Love Alone(L),120 J Lezcano 4-3-2 Bush 6-1
10 Montia,120 J Espinoza x-x-x CMartin 10-1
11 Deonzion(L),122 R Fuentes 5-4-8 Pringle 50-1
12 Synchronicity(L),120 M Luzzi 4-5-9 Kimmel 10-1
13 Casa Di Vino(L),122 C Velasquez 3-2-2 Garofalo 5-1
14 All Sew Smooth,120 No Rider 6-5-x Brown 6-1

 

[Lumi]

Through the binocs

Through the binocs

Through the binocs

Track was fast, turf firm. Track maintenance crew worked on turf courses Friday evening and yesterday morning following two fatal breakdowns in back-to-back turf races on Friday's card.
* After handicapping tomorrow's first race, we would call this place "Finger Lakes South," but that would be insult to Finger Lakes. In field of eight New York-breds, non-winners of 2 lifetime running for 15G tag, just one horse finished within 10 lengths of winner last out, and he ran seventh beaten 5?; average losing margin was 17 lengths. Do people actually bet real money on a race like this?

FIRST RACE: Keeping the Honor, bet down to even money dropping from 50G to 25G in his second start back off long layoff for Rick Dutrow Jr., got perfect ground-saving trip under Javier Castellano going mile on turf. He tucked inside tracking pace set by 27-1 Winloc's Saint Ray, swung off rail to bid for lead midstretch and drew clear.
SECOND RACE: Steve Asmussen's 2-year-old colt Fayoum, who dueled for lead, settled for second in both starts at Old Spa going 5? furlongs, was 3-5 going six under John Velazquez. He was hooked immediately by West Point Stable's Middle of the Nite, a distant 10th after breaking slowly in well-bet (5-1) debut at Saratoga when trained by Kiaran McLaughlin, now in Tom Albertrani's barn. Those two waged a furious duel, joined by 5-2 City Wolf, Bobby Frankel firster with Ramon Dominguez up, around the turn. Fayoum was the first to crack, dropping back in midstretch, but Middle of the Nite kept on going, drawing clear through final furlong. City Wolf hung on for second over late-running El Primero.
SIXTH RACE: Maylan Studart, got off the schneid in this 12.5G claimer, winning her first race since May. Studart, who broke her femur on June 18 when a horse reared and fell on her in a barn accident, resumed riding the last two weeks of the Saratoga meet. Here she was riding 9-1 Morine's Victory, who would have been much longer odds if he weren't coupled with Raceland for Neal Terracciano. Morine's Victory, an 8-year-old gelding eased in a similar spot last out, beaten 11 and 13 lengths in his prior two starts, dropped back well off the early pace, rallied through traffic top of stretch and blew past Raceland and 25-1 Hedge Fund to take command late.
PICK SIX
Winning numbers: 2-1a-4-2-6-5
No winners
1 consolation (5 of 6) paid $14,187
Carryover: $42,561

 

[Lumi]

Dave Litfin

Dave Litfin

Dave Litfin

BEST BET: Sure as Gold (2nd race)


First Race


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1. Bocce Ball 2. Living for This 3. Mr. Petersson

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In a Sunday opener where no one was better than seventh last time out, BOCCE BALL gets the most timid of endorsements after an excusable fade while "pulling" early on turf, followed by a freshening; went well three starts on this track at the spring meet. LIVING FOR THIS is the only allowance dropdown, and indeed was overmatched twice in six days before layoff; beat MR. PETERSSON and SMARTY KARAKORUM in debut victory here.

Second Race


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1. Sure as Gold 2. Silky Serenade 3. Flourish

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SURE AS GOLD, a $320k purchase in April, ducked out at the break and was four wide into the lane when unveiled at 5fs upstate; likely to go forward for trainer who had 11 juvenile winners at the meet through Thursday. SILKY SERENADE is a half-sister to Private Vow, winner of the Futurity and Kentucky Jockey Club at 2; improved workout Oct. 1. FLOURISH is a half to champion Sightseek and Tates Creek, seven-figure earners on dirt and turf, respectively, for this top-shelf outfit.

Third Race


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1. Fearless Vision 2. Independence War 3. Fuhrever Dancing

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FEARLESS VISION middle moved into a sharp pace around the turn to take the lead, and held second in a fast mile (1:34.28) when returned in a $30k claimer on Friday; barn has been known to score with quick turnarounds like this. INDEPENDENCE WAR is doubled in price first off the claim, after a big-figure score in local bow; 7 for 17 on dirt, has some back class. FUHREVER DANCING has been freshened since setting a relatively moderate pace and giving way eight weeks ago; sharp on the lead all three starts this track.

Fourth Race


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1. Girolamo 2. Kensei 3. Burley's Gold

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GIROLAMO rated nicely setting a measured pace under pressure in comeback, and then drew off with authority to take his second-level condition at this distance opening weekend; late-blooming 3-year-old has continued to train well and gives every indication of being this good. KENSEI has had a six-week breather since fading in sloppy Travers; improved steadily through the summer prior to that, owns both of the field's graded stakes wins. BURLEY'S GOLD raced wide and far back while carefully handled at Saratoga, but impressed before and afterward winning maiden and fast-paced N1x on this track.

Fifth Race


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1. Cats Kitty 2. Evil Genius 3. Helvi

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CATS KITTY broke from the inside post and was within two lengths of the lead at the pace call while on the rail Alabama Day - a day when horses racing in outside paths appeared to have the best of it; blew out swiftly Wednesday. EVIL GENIUS hopped at the break to get away slowest, closed a gap and wound up beaten 1 1/4 lengths for third in Polytrack bow vs. Jealous Again, who returned to run second in the Ky. Cup Juvenile a few weeks later; working right along for new trainer. HELVI chased odds-on firster Cappiwino when cut back to a sprint last out; Maryland invader meets New York-breds for the first time.

Sixth Race


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1. Fateh Field 2. Wall Street Wonder 3. Rodman

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Due to a vet-list snafu originating at Presque Isle, FATEH FIELD was ineligible and disqualified from purse money here Sept. 17, when he altered course and outfinished WALL STREET WONDER; slow-breaking gelding produced a big effort six days later in more advanced condition. Wall Street Wonder is on a favorable figure pattern after matching Beyer tops in stakes last winter/spring on turf and synthetic; capable of turning the tables on top pick on the heels of Thursday's bullet work. RODMAN failed to punch it in when stretched out to a mile first time on turf, but still maintained his best figures from back-to-back wins on wet dirt at the Spa; well suited to this long one-turn sprint.

Seventh Race


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1. Rose Catherine 2. Flashy Flirt 3. Amirahy

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ROSE CATHERINE showed improvement second time out, has trained during the ensuing 10 weeks and returns for barn that's been winning most of the 2-year-old races around here lately; top-rated for turf sprints on the Tomlinson rankings. FLASHY FLIRT is out of Our Exploit, who is a half-sister to Changing World - a graded turf stakes winner for these connections; pedigree and Sept. 30 drill indicate daughter of Gulch can handle dirt. AMIRAHY is out of So Sultry, who is a half-sister to Night Patrol, winner of the Grade 2 Oak Tree BC Mile on turf. SAPPHIRE MINK has been readied by a dangerous first-out trainer, and has South African blood on the dam's side that suggests an affinity for grass.

Eighth Race


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1. Wittenberg Miss 2. Point to Royalty 3. Refinery Fire

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WITTENBERG MISS was bet to 3-1 first time out in a sloppy off-the-turf sprint, and returns more than five months later; half-sister to seven winners, likely to improve if this race stays on the turf. POINT TO ROYALTY takes an agreeable turnback to a long sprint, after forcing the pace and weakening crucial stages of second try at 1 1/8 miles; better finish expected. REFINERY FIRE (cutting back) and ROYAL VALENTINE (stretching out) are closely matched based on their figures at surrounding distances; the latter also had post 11 only previous 7f turf try.

Ninth Race


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1. Pinckney Hill 2. Picou 3. Classic Campaign

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PINCKNEY HILL showed high promise earlier this year, winning his first two starts with sustained late runs; tough setup in overnight stake July 1 as Sal the Barber (subsequently second in the Grade 2 Hall Of Fame) set leisurely fractions. PICOU went well in return from extended absence, missing by half-length to Sette E Mezzo, who returned to run second in the Grade 2 Bernard Baruch; made up 11 lengths off seven-week break here. CLASSIC CAMPAIGN is easily the most accomplished grass horse in the field, though 7-year-old has lost a few miles off his fastball during second half of '09; gutsy score over straight $50k claimers last out.

Tenth Race


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1. Sachem Road 2. Fairy Wand 3. Casa Di Vino

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SACHEM ROAD was a clear second in her first start on turf behind 3-5 Better Than Swiss, decisioning several of these; candidate to improve again second time back from layoff. FAIRY WAND took a clear lead into midstretch this course and distance back in May, and held second behind Sezzana, who returned to win N1x allowance and the Niagra Stakes; may shake loose first out since opening day at the Spa. CASA DI VINO (also eligible), SONG FOR PUPCAKE and CITY VICE figure close with the top two based on their recent turf races.

 

[Lumi]

http://www.drf.com/formulator-web/f...vening=D&raceNumber=9#past-performance-race/9

 

[Hard Times]

illuminati

illuminati

We need to be all we can be ... Keeneland is one of the finest tracks in the country , Lexington,Ky.
Go to Keeneland's home page, look for handicapping and you will discover consensus and some expert picks by some guy that claims to be an expert ... lol.... To be a complete horse info poster, go there and post this info, thanks a million, may the horse...I mean the force be with you !!

 

[Lumi]

Mike Battaglia's picks for October 11
10/11/2009
1st Race
MINING FOR SILVER (#1) has had a solid year and won a race over this course in April. Give him the edge with jockey Miguel Mena picking up the mount for trainer Tom Amoss. WISDOM WALK (#7) was an impressive winner in his first race back after a long layoff. He didn?t beat much in that one but still looks dangerous. T.C. CHAMP (#8) has the speed to be a contender.

2nd Race
BL?S PAPA COO COO (#5) had a three-race win streak snapped last out but drops back down a notch in class and appears to be in a good spot to score today. DOUBLE OR NOTHING (#2) also takes the class drop and trainer Mike Maker and jockey Julien Leparoux are always tough to beat. CHESEAPEAKE BAY (#9) definitely fits with these.

3rd Race
GREEN POND (#3) showed improvement last out and has posted some solid works over the Keeneland Polytrack. Trainer Ken McPeek figures to have her ready to get her maiden win in this one. SAPPHIRESNDIAMONDS (#10) hasn?t lived up to early expectations but is a steady runner and John Velazquez picks up the mount. SHAMELESS (#7) is a contender.

4th Race
SUCCESSFUL MISSION (#3) didn?t fire in his first race back after the layoff but should move forward off of that effort. He rates the slight edge in what looks like a wide-open turf test. REZIF (#1) ran a huge race to finish second behind multiple stakes winner Cloudy?s Knight at Kentucky Downs. Anything close to that performance would make him dangerous. BEARPATH (#2) should be in good position throughout and is a contender.

5th Race
MINE ALL MINE (#2) drops in for a tag for the first time and she figures to handle this bunch as the solid favorite. DIFFERENTIATE (#10) is from the strong barn of trainer Wayne Catalano. She was a bit overmatched last out but is back in for a tag and is the one to beat. JUST PICK ME (#8) has the speed to be dangerous under Julien Leparoux.

6th Race
SHARPEST CAT (#9) has been in the money in eight of his 10 races this year. He ran well in his only start here at Keeneland and can definitely get the distance. Trainer Akiko Gothard and jockey Willie Martinez teamed up to win several races at Presque Isle and this one gets the nod today. HELICOPTER (#4) has won five of his last seven and is the one to beat. BIG BOLD PLACE (#8) rates a chance.

7th Race
NO SUCH WORD (#2) showed improvement in her second career start. Larry Jones is having another solid year and should have this one ready to win under Jeremy Rose. STRICTLY (#4) is training well for trainer Andrew McKeever, who is very good with debuting runners. She could add some value to the gimmicks. AUTUMN EYES (#11) is a solid contender.

8th Race?Bourbon (G3)
INTERACTIF (#4) comes off a solid win in the With Anticipation. He showed huge improvement in his first turf race and should make it two in a row for trainer Todd Pletcher and jockey Kent Desormeaux. ASPHALT (#5) won a fast sprint race on the Belmont turf. He should be on or near the lead and is the one to catch. EXHI (#8) is another Pletcher runner who moved forward on the grass and has to be considered.

9th Race?Juddmonte Spinster (G1)
SWIFT TEMPER (#8) is a five-year-old who has gotten much better with age. She was very impressive beat the odds on favorite in the Grade 1 Ruffian and has earned over $1 million this year. Her only race on the Polytrack was a dismal effort but that was long ago and she is a different horse now. Give her the edge in the Grade 1 Juddmonte Spinster. MUSHKA (#11) is one of two in here from the Bill Mott barn. Jockey Kent Desormeaux opts for her over Indescribable and she won her only race over this strip. INDESCRIBABLE (#10) loves the Polytrack and will be a contender.

10th Race
AARONESS (#4) ran well in her U.S. debut and should move forward off that effort. Jockey Julien Leparoux picks up the mount for Michael Matz and she will be tough to handle in this one. SEA GULL (#2) beat the top pick last out and is a definite threat again. GOLD D?ORO (#7) looked good breaking her maiden and seems to be improving.

 

[Lumi]

Bill Howard

Bill Howard

Bill Howard

Race Date: Sunday October 11, 2009
Juddmonte Spinster-G1 Analysis
10/11/2009
GINGER BREW has had a couple months off since her wire job win in the Bellemahne Stakes at Woodbine on poly; she has been off the board just once this year and that came at Tampa when she experienced traffic problems and couldn't get in the clear soon enough; she's got a 100% in the money mark on polytrack and also at this 1 1/8 mile distance and seems the most versatile runner in this field; the one to beat. INDESCRIBEABLE won the Ky Cup Distaff-G3 at Turfway last time out and has won two of her four starts over the Keeneland poly, including the Doubledogdare-G3 here last April; she too has yet to be off the board at this distance and would be no surprise in the winner's circle. MUSHKA is coming into this race off a victory in the Glen Falls Handicap-G3 at Saratoga over 1 3/8 miles and can boast an easy victory over this surface here last April under Desormeaux and should make her presence felt. DAWN AFTER DAWN has had a couple disappointing races at Del Mar, but was 3rd in both her Keeneland races in the past and has won over half her bankroll on synthetic surfaces; she deserves being used in the exotics along with SWIFT TEMPER, winner of the Ruffian Handicap-G1 with ease last time out and also the 1 1/4 mile Delaware Park Handicap-G2 this summer; she makes just her 2nd start on polytrack today.

Bankroll Bets for Oct 11
10/11/2009
Suggestive bets for players with $25, $50 & $100 to spend:

$25 Players:
$1 Daily Double Races 1 & 2 and 9 $ 10 cost: $8.00
Race 1--Mining for Silver, Swift Strike
Race 2--B L's Papa Coo Coo, Wind on the Hill

Race 9--Ginger Brew, Indescribable
Race 10--Aaroness, Sea Gull

$1 Pick 3 Races 4, 5 & 6 cost: $8.00

Race 4--Bearpath, Theregoes jojo
Race 5--Mine All Mine, Dobra
Race 6--Sharpest Cat, Big Bold Place

$2 Win, place, show in Race 5--Mine All Mine cost: $6.00

10-cent Superfecta in Race 8 (4 horses) cost: $2.40
Interactif, Asphalt, Billions Boy, Exhi


$50 players use the $25 bets plus:

50-cent Trifecta in race 3 (4 horses) cost: $12.00
Sapphiresndiamonds, Shameless, Mimi's Special Six, Green Pond

$5 Win, place, show in Race 1--Mining for Silver cost: $15.00
$5 Win, place, show in Race 9--Ginger Brew cost: $15.00

50-cent Pick 4 races 2-5 cost: $4.00
Race 2--B L's Papa Coo Coo & Wind on the Hill
Race 3--Sapphiresndiamonds, Shameless
Race 4--Bearpath, Rezif
Race 5--Mine All Mine

50-cent Pick 4 races 7-10 cost: $4.00
Race 7--No Such Word, Harlan's Princess
Race 8--Interactif, Ashphalt
Race 9--Ginger Brew
Race 10--Aaroness, Sea Gull

$100 Players use the $25 and $50 bets Plus:

$2 pick Six: cost: $48

Race 5--Mine All Mine, Dobra
Race 6--Sharpest Cat
Race 7--No Such Word, Autumn Eyes, Harlan's Princess
Race 8--Interactif, Asphalt
Race 9--Ginger Brew
Race 10--Aaroness, Sea Gull

$2 Exacta in the Spinster cost: $2
Race 9--Ginger Brew over Indescribable

 

[Lumi]

Kim Nelson's Picks for Sunday, October 11

Kim Nelson's Picks for Sunday, October 11

Kim Nelson's Picks for Sunday, October 11
10/11/2009
Friday's card had alot of winners coming from off the pace but that trend could change as the track dries out. The day was quite exciting with several long shots hitting the board. Today's card features the Grade 3 Bourbon going 1 1/16 mile on the grass. Interactif is coming off an impressive performance in the Grade 3 With Anticipation at Saratoga. He looks like the one to beat in this one.The Grade 1 Spinster is a full field of stellar fillies and mares as always. Ginger Brew has been very successful over the synthetic surfaces and come off a strong win August 15th at Woodbine. She runs well fresh and expect her to be very tough in this race. Swift Temper is on top of her game but brings questions over the synthetic surfaces.

$27 Bankroll

Race 2
Early Pick Four $1
2nd B L's Papa Coo Coo, Double Or Nothing, Matz
3rd China Bay, Green Pond
4th My Happiness, Theregoesjojo
5th Differentiate
Cost $12

Race 8
$5 to win and place
Interactif
Cost $10

Race 9
$5 to win
Ginger Brew
Cost $5

$74 Bankroll

Race 2
Early Pick Four $1
2nd B L's Papa Coo Coo, Double Or Nothing, Matz
3rd China Bay, Green Pond
4th My Happiness, Theregoesjojo
5th Differentiate, Just Pick Me
Cost $24

Race 6
$5 to win and place
Big Bold Place
Cost $10

Race 6
$2 Exacta Box
Big Bold Place, Helicopter
Cost $4

Race 7
.10 Superfecta Box
Strictly, Tabby, Harlan's Princess, No Such Word, Vacatur
Cost $12

Race 7
Late Pick Four $1
7th Strictly, Tabby, Harlan's Princess
8th Iteractif, Scottkeith'skitten
9th Ginger Brew, Swift Temper
10th Bum Bum, Pari, Exquisite Option
Cost $24

$96 Bankroll

Race 2
Early Pick Four $1
2nd B L's Papa Coo Coo, Double Or Nothing, Matz
3rd China Bay, Green Pond
4th My Happiness, Theregoesjojo
5th Differentiate, Just Pick Me
Cost $24

Race 6
$5 to win and place
Big Bold Place
Cost $10

Race 6
$2 Exacta Box
Big Bold Place, Helicopter
Cost $4

Race 7
.10 Superfecta Box
Strictly, Tabby, Harlan's Princess, No Such Word, Vacatur
Cost $12

Race 7
Late Pick Four $1
7th Strictly, Tabby, Harlan's Princess
8th Iteractif, Scottkeith'skitten
9th Ginger Brew, Swift Temper
10th Bum Bum, Pari, Exquisite Option
Cost $24

Race 8
$2 Trifect Box
Interactif, Scottkeith'skitten, Asphalt
Cost $12

Race 9
$5 to win and place
Ginger Brew
Cost $10

 

[Lumi]

RACEBOOK WAGER

Oct 11 R9 $5.00 W&P 7
Oct 11 R9 $5.00 P&S 10

 

[Hard Times]

illuminati

illuminati

RACEBOOK WAGER

Oct 11 R9 $5.00 W&P 7
Oct 11 R9 $5.00 P&S 10

You need to always mention the track when posting a pick ... may I assume that this bet is at keeneland.... also I want to let you know that this keeneland info makes you a complete hanhicapping information poster, you are terriffic !! That's what Tony The Tiger said !! Now lets have another bowl of coco puffs ... lol !!

 

[Lumi]

keenland