Week 12 Info

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It's Rivalry Week(s)!



There really isn't another sport that's defined so well by its rivalries as is college football. True, college hoops has its share, and the NFL schedule matches many bitter, long-time antagonists. Major League Baseball, too. And the NBA. And the NHL. What makes college football unique, however, is that unlike the other sports, these gridiron blood rivals get only one crack at each other during the campaign.

Times have changed a bit, however, and the old pre-Thanksgiving "Rivalry Week" is not quite the climax of the campaign anymore. Indeed, the Pac-10, which used to annually play four of its five "rivalry" games this week (Arizona-Arizona State traditionally played a week later), has only one such matchup this season (Cal-Stanford). Expanded conferences, league championship contests, and TV-dictated switches have pushed some of those traditional matchups until after Thanksgiving, and in some cases into early December. And this year, the regular season will be ending December 12, when Army and Navy renew their hostilities. That will be the latest-ever conclusion to a college campaign.

Nowadays, let's just call it "Rivalry Weeks" instead.

Rivalries are always a big deal for the schools involved, but even the significance of the best of them doesn't always endure beyond their locales and into an entire region; fewer still maintain relevance for an extended period on a national scale. Still, there are a handful of "special" rivalries that have been bubbling under the surface lately, and have the potential to become nationally significant once again. Following are some of our favorites with colorful and important pasts that we hope become nationally significant again, and soon.

Southern Cal-UCLA...The best intra-city rivalry in college football has lost a lot of glamour from its heydays in the early '50s, again in the late '60s and throughout most of the '70s and early '80s. Most longtime West Coast observers believe the real boiling point of the series came between 1965 to 1969, when USC's John McKay and UCLA's Tommy Prothro turned the Battle for L.A. into a fascinating chess match, mostly pitting the Trojans' brawn against the Bruins' guile. Highlights from those "golden years" include UCLA's dramatic late comeback in 1965, with a pair of TDs in the last four minutes, including a game-winning 52-yard TD bomb from Gary Beban to Kurt Altenberg, to pull out an unlikely 20-16 win and send Prothro's first Bruin team to the Rose Bowl, where it upset top-ranked Michigan State. There were even more implications in 1967, with not only the Rose Bowl, but also a number one ranking on the line as well as a Heisman battle between top candidates Beban (the eventual winner) and O.J. Simpson, the latter ending up deciding a back-and-forth affair with a 64-yard, 4th-Q TD jaunt to give Troy a 21-20 win. The most dramatic of all, however, might have been a 1969 battle of unbeatens, a fierce defensive war not settled until SC's Jimmy Jones lofted a 32-yard rainbow TD pass to Sam Dickerson in the corner of the Coliseum end zone with 1:32 to play for a 14-12 win and Rose Bowl bid. It was said that Prothro never had the same appetite for the college game after that defeat; he resigned to take the L.A. Rams job after the following 1970 season.





Auburn-Alabama...The Iron Bowl has stopped the state and entire SEC region many times in the past. But there were a couple of truly memorable encounters in the early '70s, including 1971, when both entered the game unbeaten after accepting bids to bowls (Bama the Orange to face Nebraska, Auburn the Sugar to face Oklahoma) that hoped to feature national title showdowns. The "bowl winner" that year was the Orange after the Tide whipped the Tigers and Heisman winner Pat Sullivan, 31-7, to set up another battle of unbeatens vs. Nebraska, which had played "Game of the Century 1971-A" on Thanksgiving vs. the Sooners. "Game of the Century 1971-B" in the Orange Bowl was hardly as dramatic, with the Huskers routing the Tide 38-6. But Shug Jordan's Auburn got its revenge on Bear Bryant's Bama the next year, wrecking a Tide unbeaten season in bizarre fashion when blocking a pair of punts and returning both for TDs in the final 5:30 of action for an unbelievable 17-16 win at Birmingham's Legion Field.

Michigan-Ohio State...We alluded to OSU-Michigan 1969 a week ago when referencing the historical consequences of the Wolverines' 24-12 win. But that was hardly the only OSU-UM "Titanic" over a stretch between 1968-80 that defined Big Ten supremacy and often had serious national implications as well. Things became even more intense starting in 1972 when the Big Ten lifted its outdated "no repeat" rule for the Rose Bowl. For nine straight seasons, OSU-Michigan would decide the Pasadena bid, although the fury and intensity of the three games between 1972-74 would be hard to top. All were violent defensive wars, each coming down to the final moments, with Woody Hayes' Buckeyes managing a pair of narrow wins (14-11 in '72 & 12-10 '74) and a tie (10-10 in '73) and advancing to the Rose Bowl each year (including via a very controversial conference vote after the '73 game) at the expense of Bo Schembechler's Wolverines, who missed the postseason each of those campaigns despite an overall 30-2-1 mark (the few blemishes courtesy of OSU). After the '74 collision, the Big Ten finally decided to allow its non-champs to participate in bowls...too late, however, for some of Schembechler's best-ever teams to go "bowling."

Many other traditional season-ending blood feuds are on deck; following are some of those worth noting over the next few weeks.

Games of November 21: Ohio State at Michigan...Buckeyes 5-0 SU, 4-1 vs. line last 5 meetings; Minnesota at Iowa...Hawkeyes have covered 8 of last 10 and 13 of last 16 for Floyd of Rosedale; Purdue at Indiana...Home team 9-2 vs. line last 11; Vanderbilt at Tennessee...Road team has covered last 4; UL-Monroe at UL-Lafayette...Road team has covered last 6. Games of November 27-28: Wyoming at Colorado State...Home team has covered 5 of last 6; Alabama at Auburn...Favorite has covered last 4; Nevada at Boise State...Broncos have won last 10 SU, covering 9; Virginia Tech at Virginia...Hokies have covered 4 of last 5; Clemson at South Carolina...Tigers have covered 6 of last 8 Palmetto State showdowns; Tennessee at Kentucky...UK hasn't won the Barrel since 1984!; Ole Miss at Mississippi State...Rebs 7-2-1 vs. line last 10 Egg Bowls; Oklahoma State at Oklahoma...OU has won last 6, covering last 4, and 5 of 6 in Bedlam; Florida State at Florida...Chalk 9-2 last 11 battles; Georgia at Georgia Tech...Road team 5-0-1 last 6, 9-1-1 last 11 vs. line; Utah at BYU...Underdog has covered 9 of last 12 for Beehive Boot; Rice at Houston...Owls have won last 3, all as dog, and have covered 4 of last 5 meetings; Washington State at Washington...Dog team has covered last 8 Apple Cups; Arizona at Arizona State...Road team and dog 13-4 last 17 Territorial Cups; UCLA at Southern Cal...Bruins have covered last 3, and 4 of last 5, all as substantial dog; Games of December 5 & 12: FAU at FIU (12/5)...Owls have won and covered last 3; Army vs. Navy (12/12)...Mids 7-0 SU, 6-1 vs. line since '02 vs. Black Knights.
 

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Beware of Let Downs - Week 12

Beware of Let Downs - Week 12

Beware of Let Downs - Week 12


The Wildcats and Nittany Lions both were nursing hangovers from Week 10 that helped bettors fade them for a profit last Saturday. There are some programs that had some big wins and another that suffered a tough defeat last weekend. Those teams are going to give us a chance at seeing green for this week.

No luck at all?

I know that he isn?t talking about it, but Charlie Weis has to see the writing on the wall in regards to his job. Notre Dame was expected to contend for a BCS berth. Now the Irish are looking more like they?ll be lucky to make it into the Gator Bowl after losing in Pittsburgh as six-point pups last weekend, 27-22. And they were lucky as hell to cover that spread.

This Saturday the Irish will show if they have any fight left in their system when they host Connecticut as six-point home favorites.

Forgive me if I sound pessimistic about the Golden Domers? chances to win, let alone cover, but we?ve seen a bad habit arise with this club.


The Fighting Irish found themselves down 21-7 to Navy before they started to comeback on Nov. 7. And last Saturday we saw them down 27-9 before they began to five the end zone.

Notre Dame is not a guarantee to win at home as they?re 4-2 straight up, but just 2-4 against the spread this season. Another thing to keep in mind is that the Irish are 5-3 SU when listed as home faves after suffering back-to-back SU losses. As far as our purposes are concerned, the Domers are just 2-6 ATS.

Spartan downfall?

Michigan State found itself down 34-23 early in the fourth quarter on the road against the Boilermakers. Turns out that the Spartans had Purdue right where they wanted them, scoring two touchdowns in just over 90 second for a 40-37 win as three-point road favorites. The win gave them enough wins to become bowl eligible for the second year in a row.

As good as the Spartans feel right now, the sportsbooks aren?t buying into them as they?ve been listed as 3 ?-point home underdogs to Penn State in their Big Ten finale.

I know that this isn?t the same Penn State squad we saw last year, but they are plenty talented to beat this club. The Nittany Lions have had great luck over MSU recently by going 7-2 SU and 6-3 ATS since 2000. Plus, you have to take into consideration that the Spartans are 1-2 SU and ATS when listed as home pups after winning as home faves since 1997.

Fallen Cardinal?

Who out there thought Stanford would have dropped a double-nickel on the Trojans? If anyone says that they did is lying through their teeth right now. I certainly never expected the Cardinal to pull out a 55-21 bitch slapping of Southern California as 10 ?-point road underdogs. Toby Gerhart had his way against the Men of Troy, gaining 178 yards and three touchdowns on 29 carries. The Cardinal has been rolling offensively against the Pac-10?s best clubs as they?ve racked up 106 points against USC and Oregon.

The Cardinal will continue their tour for world domination this Saturday as eight-point home favorites over California.

The Golden Bears look like they?ll be without Jahvid Best for the rest of the season, but they did come away with a nice 24-16 win over Arizona as 2 ?-point home faves last week. One of the reasons was that they found a decent substitute in Shane Vereen. The sophomore runner picked up 159 rushing yards and a score on 30 carries. He should have more of the same luck this week against Stanford, who is giving up 138.5 rushing yards per game.

This series has been extremely one-sided in favor of the Bears as they?ve gone 6-1 SU and 4-2-1 ATS since 2002. Also, the Cardinal have lost their last two games as home faves coming off of a win on the road as underdogs.
 

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Big Time Rivalries

Big Time Rivalries

Big Time Rivalries


The Saturday before Thanksgiving in college football has been set aside for some of the biggest rivalries. Television ratings and other factors have helped split the slate of heated matchups until the Saturday after Turkey Day, but there are still some worth seeing this weekend. We?ll start our day in Ann Arbor for one of the best rivalries in all of sport (even if it has lost its luster). Then we?ll go to Palo Alto to see if the band will be out on the field before the game is over.

Ohio State at Michigan ? 12:00 p.m. EST, ABC

The game between the Buckeyes and Wolverines has decided who would win the Big Ten championship and a trip to the Rose Bowl. This year, however, one team is just hoping to make itself bowl eligible with an upset this weekend.

Ohio State (9-2 straight up, 8-3 against the spread) clinched a share of its fifth straight conference championship and first trip to Pasadena since 1997 after beating the Hawkeyes 27-24 in overtime last Saturday as 11 ?-point home favorites.

The Buckeyes let Iowa rack up 233 yards through the air with a redshirt freshman quarterback making his first ever start. That?s quite uncharacteristic of a defense that is allowing only 174.6 passing yards per game this year to rank 16th in the nation.

The Bucks were actually up 24-10 in the fourth quarter after Brandon Saine ran for a 49-yard score. After that, Ohio State ran the ball 11 more times for a total of 28 yards and two first downs. Anytime you have problems running out the clock with your ground attack, you?re going to let a team make a comeback.





Michigan (5-6 SU, 4-6 ATS) comes into this game trying to just make it to a lower-tier bowl game and maybe, just maybe, save Rich Rodriguez?s job in the process. The Wolverines looked like they would be a nice surprise in the Big Ten after picking up a last second win over Indiana home to start conference play on Sept. 26. Unfortunately for fans, that was the last time the Maize and Blue defeated an FBS-level team. Unfortunately for bettors, Michigan hasn?t covered a spread since losing 30-28 versus the Hawkeyes as e 8 ?-point road pups on Oct. 10.

The betting shops aren?t expecting the Wolverines to be a factor on Saturday afternoon by making Ohio State a 12-point road ?chalk? with a total of 47 ?. You can take Michigan for the big upset and a hefty plus-350 return (risk $100 to win $350).

It?s surprising to see Ohio State listed as such a big favorite in Ann Arbor. Yet betED?s sportsbook manager, Randy Scott, believes the line is where it should be. ?I know that the Buckeyes playing down to the level of competition, but how we are approaching this one is when it comes to rivalries; teams will play to run up the score on each other. Scott continues, ?Conservative play calling is put on the shelf, to win is expected, to blow it out is the mission. It's like that in all big time rivalries, teams just don't want to settle for a win, so you can expect Ohio State to run the score up at the slightest opportunity. That's what this line reflects; it's up to the bettors to decide whether that will happen or not. Tough call, but we also know Ohio State can make this spread look tiny if they can execute their game plan.?

There is some validity to that idea as the Buckeyes are 7-1 SU since Jim Tressel became head coach in 2001. Gamblers have enjoyed backing the Scarlet and Gray in this contest as well with them going 6-2 ATS. The ?over? has gone on a 5-1 run in the last six meetings.

From my findings, Michigan has never been a double-digit home underdog. As just home pups since 1998 though, the Wolverines are 4-4 SU and ATS. The ?over? is 3-1 in the last four games under this scenario.

California at Stanford ? 7:30 p.m. EST, Versus

This game has been heated one for a long time. Hell, who hasn?t seen the video of the band out on the field for ?The Play? back in 1982? This year?s edition of the rivalry was supposed to be a good one, but there is a little bit more on the line for one of the teams.

Stanford (7-3 SU, ATS) has been garnering a lot of national spotlight after its last two games this season. The Cardinal have racked up 106 points against Oregon and Southern Cal recently. A big part of that success has been their darkhorse Heisman Trophy candidate, Toby Gerhart. The senior running back has been a beast over the last two weeks, gaining 401 yards and six touchdowns on 67 carries. He currently ranks third amongst all rushers in the nation with 1,395 yards on the ground and second overall with 19 scores.

The Cardinal now stand at 6-2 in the Pac-10 race, just a half-game behind Oregon. Stanford needs the Ducks to fall to Arizona this weekend and beat the Beavers to close out the year. The reason being for that is Oregon State knocked off Jim Harbaugh?s team in Corvallis on Oct. 10 as a two-point home pup, 38-28. That win gives the Beavers the tiebreaker over the Cardinal to get the Pac-10?s automatic BCS bid to the Rose Bowl should they end up tied for first place.

California (7-3 SU, 4-5 ATS) will be doing its best to put a kibosh on its hated rival?s dreams of Pasadena without its best player, Jahvid Best. The talented running back is missing his second straight game after suffering a concussion early in the Golden Bears? 31-14 home setback to Oregon State on Nov. 7.

The Golden Bears certainly didn?t miss Best last Saturday in their 24-16 win over Arizona as 2 ?-point home favorites. Shane Vereen ran the ball 30 times for 159 yards and a score in that game. However, he was just converted one of the four third-down plays that he was handed the ball on last week. It remains to be seen as to how Vereen will succeed a defense that ranks 73rd on third down (39.8 percent) and 57th against the run (138.5 YPG).

Most sportsbooks have posted the Cardinal as seven-point home faves with the total rolling in at 65. You can take Cal to win the game outright at plus-250 (risk $100 to win $250).

That line has been greatly affected by Best not being in the lineup. Randy Scott elaborates, ?Best was a preseason Heisman Trophy contender, it's a huge loss for Cal. He's worth at least a Touchdown. If he was playing that line would be closer to a pick, with Stanford getting slight home field odds.?

California has controlled this series in recent history with a 6-1 SU and 4-2-1 ATS mark since the 2002 meeting.

The Bears haven?t been successful as road ?dogs in conference play since 2004, going 1-6 SU and 3-4 ATS. The ?under? is 6-1 during that stretch. Stanford, on the other hand, is 5-1 SU and 4-1-1 ATS when listed as a home ?chalk? versus Pac-10 opponents in the last five years. The ?under? has gone an impressive 5-1 as well.
 
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Public Enemies - Week 12

Public Enemies - Week 12

Public Enemies - Week 12


Three weeks remain in the college football season before we head to the bowls, as several rivalry games are highlighted on the card this weekend. We'll take a look at four contests, including "The Big Game."

Cal at Stanford (-7, 64) - 7:30 PM EST

The battle by the Bay takes place in Palo Alto this year, as the Bears and Cardinal each own identical 7-3 records. Cal made headlines earlier this season with a 3-0 start, while being ranked in the top seven. However, Jeff Tedford's team has won four of their last seven games, while suffering a pair of humiliating losses to Oregon and USC. The Bears have also been without early season Heisman candidate Jahvid Best, who suffered a concussion two weeks ago against Oregon State.

Stanford, meanwhile, has turned into one of the best stories this season in college football. Unlike Cal, Jim Harbaugh's squad has beaten Oregon and USC, including a 55-21 pounding of the Trojans last week at the Coliseum. The Cardinal offense has tallied at least 33 points in each of its last four games, while still having an outside shot to win the Pac-10.

Stanford, meanwhile, has turned into one of the best stories this season in college football. Unlike Cal, Jim Harbaugh's squad has beaten Oregon and USC, including a 55-21 pounding of the Trojans last week at the Coliseum. The Cardinal offense has tallied at least 33 points in each of its last four games, while still having an outside shot to win the Pac-10.

Capper Joe says that despite Stanford's massive rushing game, the Bears can keep up with the Cardinal on the ground, "Cal's rushing attack is missing a key piece in Best, but the Bears are still a serious threat in any match-up even though there have been some losses this year. Last week's win over Arizona was a redeeming effort to ward off the late season fade and this rivalry game has been won by the Bears six of the last seven years."

The Cardinal continues to cash tickets, but Nelson points out that the role has flipped for Harbaugh's team, "Stanford has incredibly covered in eleven consecutive home games, but many of those games came as underdogs and the Cardinal are now playing the unfamiliar role as a favorite against a quality opponent. Stanford's defense has still shown some vulnerability and there has to be a letdown following back-to-back huge wins over the top programs in the Pac-10. California may be an overlooked team at this point, but this is still a team capable of playing with anyone in this conference and this looks like a favorable underdog spot."

North Carolina at Boston College (-3 ?, 37 ?) - 12:00 PM EST

These two teams had different expectations to begin the season, as the Tar Heels were thought to compete for a berth in the ACC Championship, while the Eagles weren't supposed to be a threat in the conference. Both of those things didn't come to fruition.

UNC started conference play at 0-3, sealing its fate for a potential ACC Title Game berth. Granted, the Tar Heels have rebounded with three consecutive wins, including a victory over Miami for a third straight season. However, Butch Davis' team will be likely staring at a pre-New Year's Day bowl.

Boston College still has an opportunity to play in the ACC Championship, but the Eagles have to win their final two, while Clemson needs to lose this week to Virginia. Even if the Eagles do not claim the ACC Atlantic Division, BC has racked up an impressive 7-3 season, while covering six of nine lined contests. The Eagles have done the most damage at home, compiling a 6-0 SU and 5-0 ATS mark (the lone non-lined victory came over Northeastern).

Nelson believes this matchup should be a quality one between two evenly matched squads, "BC has not posted great offensive numbers this season, but they have out-paced North Carolina, although the Heels have been better on the defensive end. UNC has now won and covered in three consecutive games but the last two wins came at home. Last week, UNC survived in a close game against Miami and that was obviously a huge game for the team for the players and the coaching staff given that Butch Davis used to lead the "U," while also clinching bowl eligibility for the Tar Heels."

The Eagles are in a nice revenge spot, and according to , could be a good situation to back BC. "Boston College lost badly in Chapel Hill last season, but this is a team that has an incredible track record at home in the past decade and this should be a problematic spot for North Carolina coming off a very big emotional win. Last week, the UNC defense allowed over 400 yards and benefited from four turnovers so the Tar Heels may be a bit overvalued this week,"

Tulane at Central Florida (-21, 48) - 2:00 PM EST

The Knights pulled off a substantial upset last week, as UCF knocked off Houston, 37-32, the first time the Knights have ever beaten a ranked opponent. With the win, UCF still has an opportunity to play for the Conference USA Championship. Tulane, meanwhile, continues to languish near the bottom of the conference at 3-7, as the Green Wave has dropped five of six.

Tulane has not helped bettors, especially as double-digit underdogs, going 0-5 ATS when receiving at least ten points. The Knights have profited in the favorite role, covering three of four when laying points. However, the last time UCF was a favorite of at least 20 points came in 2007, as the Knights did not cover in a win over UTEP. The Knights were 'chalk' of at least 20 points three times that season, compiling an 0-3 ATS mark.

Joe says that UCF should be able to exploit this Tulane defense, "The offensive statistics for these teams are actually fairly similar, but Tulane is allowing over 200 yards per game on the ground defensively which has been the main reason for the struggles. Tulane has covered just once in the last seven road games, but Central Florida has not been a great performer in the favorite role. Tulane was a 10-9 winner the last time these teams met and UCF was shutout last season in their final home game of the year.

The Green Wave has received a lift at quarterback recently, as Nelson feels that several early season tests for Tulane will benefit them here, "Tulane fill-in QB Ryan Griffin has six touchdowns and just one interception in the last two games and he has completed over 64 percent of his passes. UCF is allowing nearly 280 yards per game through the air, so this could be a problematic match-up for a Golden Knights team that is not accustomed to laying big points. Tulane easily could have won last week before a tough finish and this is a team that is playing better than most realize as ugly lopsided losses to LSU and BYU in non-conference play are hiding some decent numbers."

Kentucky at Georgia (-9, 51) - 7:45 PM EST

These two SEC East squads are dead-even at 6-4, as many thought Georgia would fall back this season following the losses of Matthew Stafford and Knowshon Moreno to the NFL. Kentucky has been on fire, as the Wildcats have won four of their last five games. Rich Brooks' team owns only one quality victory in this span, upsetting Auburn.

Georgia's offense has been hit-or-miss all season, scoring over 30 points five times, but were held to 20 or less points on five other occasions. The Bulldogs are just 2-5 ATS as a favorite this season, while covering only three of ten times overall.

Joe says the Bulldogs' pointspread struggles could continue this week, "Last season Georgia beat Kentucky 42-38, needing a late interception to fight off the upset, as the Wildcats have not won in Athens in over 30 years. Georgia has played the tougher schedule, but the offense has barely been more productive than the defense and the Bulldogs also own one of the worst turnover margins in the nation."

The Wildcats may not own many great victories this season, but Nelson feels UK has still impressed under the radar, "Kentucky is a solid rushing team which could make them a threat as an underdog and Georgia is just 1-7 ATS in the last eight games as home favorites, with last week's narrow win ending the losing cover streak. Kentucky is a difficult team to pass on and this could be a tricky game for a favored Georgia team that has shown plenty of vulnerability on both sides of the ball this year."
 

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News and Notes - Week 12

News and Notes - Week 12

News and Notes - Week 12

Week 12

NEWS AND NOTES

Georgia Tech clinched the ACC Coastal division with a 2nd straight dominating win over Duke. It was close for awhile with Duke even leading 10-0 but GT would score the final 49 points. They took over with :58 left in the half leading 21-10 and got a 32 yd TD pass with :32 left to lead 28-10. GT had a 519-281 yd edge with Duke getting 86 yards on their final 2 drives...

Texas led Baylor 40-0 at the half and QB McCoy left midway thru the 3Q. The crowd of 44,000 was among the largest ever at Baylor for a Big 12 game but half of them were in burnt orange. Trailing 7-0 BU took its opening drive 68/11pl but on 3rd & gl from the 4, was int?d in the EZ. At the half UT had a 314-37 yd edge. BU, trailing 47-0 with 7:37 left, gained 94 yds on their final 2 drives getting garbage TD?s with 5:18 and 1:40 left...

Houston did lead UCF 17-3 but CF got a 62/10pl drive for a TD with 1:18 left 1H to pull within 17-10. After UH fmbl?d at the CF15, CF drove 85/5pl and got a 41 yd TD run to take the lead, 23-17. It was 23-20 when CF drove 80/11pl for a TD with 9:03 left then after an int, got a 7/1pl run by Harvey to lead 37-20. UH took over with 6:02 left at their own 6 and drove for a TD and got the ball back with 2:33 left scoring a TD with :10 left to pull within 5 but UCF rec?d the onside kick...




Dexter McCluster rushed for 282 yds and had 324 all-purp yards. His rushing total broke the record of 242 set by Dou Innocent in 1995 and his all-purp mark topped Deuce McAllister?s 1999 record. It was also the most rushing yds given up by Tennessee with the previous high being 217 to Colorado?s Mike Pritchard in 1990 and Alabama?s Bobby Humphrey in 1996. Ole Miss only led 21-14 at the half but rolled to a 42-17 win with a 492-275 yd edge...

Maryland was without their starting QB and soph Jamarr Robinson got the start vs Virginia Tech?s blitzing defense. He missed on his first 4 passes and hit just 12 of 32 for 104 yards. At one point VT had a 273-42 yd edge and led 27-3 finishing with a 486-236 yd edge...

Illinois was without QB Juice Williams in their game vs Northwestern and Jacob Charest got his first start. The key play of the game happened late in the 1H. UI was up 3-0 when they got the ball at their own 43 with just 1:21 left. Charest threw an int on the first play and 5pl later NU got a 28 yd TD pass with :17 left in the half to lead 7-3. They took their opening 2 drives of the 3Q led by Eddie McGee while Charest sat on the bench. Charest ret?d and got a couple of TD drives but they trailed 21-16 and their final drive ended on an int at their own 35 when the Cats DB took the ball out of the hands of the receiver...

Colorado probably sealed Dan Hawkins? fate by losing to Iowa St on Saturday. It was a tough loss. The Buffs had a 390-310 yd edge. Amazingly 4 times they got inside the 10 yd line and came away with 3 points. CU was SOD on 4th & gl at the 1 on their first attempt. On their 2nd they had a 1st & gl at the 9 but settled for a 22 yd FG. After turning the ball over on the first 2 poss of the 3Q in their own territory with one setting up ISU for a 33 yd drive for a TD, on their 3rd attempt CU had a 1st & gl at the 9. Unfortunately, frosh OL Bryce Givens was not only called for a pers foul, but argued the call and was hit with unsportsmanlike conduct moving the ball to a 1st & gl at the 39 and they missed a 42 yd FG. CU?s 4th trip inside the 10 resulted in a fmbl at the 8 so they finished with 3 points on 4 drives inside the 10 and they lost the game by 7...

South Dakota St came in ranked #12 in the FCS poll and nearly upset Minnesota giving them their 3rd straight tough game vs an FCS foe. It was Minnesota?s FHG of the season at TCF Bank Stadium. An int set UM up for a 26 yd FG and a 6-0 lead. SDSt got a 22 yd IR TD to lead 10-6 but UM got a sk & fmbl which they ret?d 3 yds for a TD to lead 13-10 at the half. SDSt missed a 49 yd FG to end the 1H. SDSt missed a 25 yd FG on their 2nd 3Q poss and settled for a 34 yd FG to tie it 13-13. UM rec?d a fmbl at the SDSt11 with 4:03 left and got a 25 yd FG to escape with a 16-13 win...

Tulane had 22-13 FD and 402-331 yd edges vs Rice. It was a tough loss for them. They led 14-0 after 1Q and cut it to 14-7 at halftime. Rice got a 70 yd TD pass on the 2nd play of the 3Q then blk?d a punt and drove 25 yds for a TD, 21-14. TU was int?d at the Rice 44 but then got the apparent game tying TD with 13:11 left but missed the xp. TU went on a 12 play drive but punted 35 yds to the 15 with 4:56 left. TU was SOD at its own 29 on 4th & 10 with 1:56 left and on 4th & 8 Rice got a 29 yd TD pass which made some of their backers very happy with :55 left, 28-20...

Syracuse had 18-11 FD and 266-151 yd edges vs Louisville. UL had a TD pass called back and settled for a 31 yd FG to tie at 3. SU fmbl?d the snap on an xp early 4Q and only led 9-3. UL had a 95 yd PR TD by Guy overturned as it was ruled he was down at his own 6 but then his 44 yd return set up UL for a 45/5pl drive and they got a TD with 1:24 left to win 10-9...

Fresno St/Nevada was closer than the final as it was 17-14 when UN got a 65 yd TD run with 2:31 left in the 1H. FSU got to the UN29 but was int?d at the 21 with :21 left and UN only had a 257-238 yd edge. UN got TD?s on their opening 2 poss, the 2nd after FSU fmbl?d at the UN42. FSU was SOD at the UN24, fmbl?d at the UN16 and was SOD at the UN11 on their next 3 drives. On those 3 tries, they had a 181-7 yd edge but did not score. UN got an 84 yd run setting up a TD then rec?d a fmbl on the KO setting up a 27 yd TD drive with FSU fmbl?ing at the UN37 on the final drive. That is why UN only had a 509-474 yd edge...

UTEP had a 627-437 yd edge vs SMU. UTEP was at the SMU10 in the 1Q when they faked a FG and were tkl?d for a 10 yd loss. UTEP was int?d at the SMU15 and settled for a 33 yd FG after a 1st & gl at the 8. They trailed 21-10 at the half. They took a 24-21 lead on their first 2 poss of the 3Q and it was 31-28 with 8:57 left. SMU got a TD with 4:34 left and UTEP went on a 13pl drive and had a FD at the 18 but on 4th & 6 were sk?d...

Memphis Coach Tommy West was let go during the week and while they lost 31-21, Memphis did have 2 tough plays go against them. At the end of a 22 yd pass which appeared to be heading for a TD, they fmbl?d into the EZ for a TB with 4:32 left 2Q. In the 3Q UM was SOD on 4th & 15 with a 14 yd run to the UAB19 but then on their next drive again appeared to be headed for a TD at the end of an 11 yd pass from the 12, they fmbl?d into the EZ for a TB for the 2nd time. Later, UM was SOD at the UAB33 (12:14 4Q) and their final drive they were SOD at their own 44 with :07 left...

USC had their worst home loss since a 51-0 defeat to Notre Dame in 1966. Toby Gerhart rushed for 178 yds. This was USC?s homecoming game and at the end the 90,071 fans were very quiet. Stanford had a 469-334 yd edge. USC pulled to 28-21 but SU went 79/9pl for a TD then got a 41 yd IR TD and went 64/6pl for another TD, 48-21. After an int, SU drove 44/7pl for a TD with 2:19 left, the most pts ever allowed by USC in the Coliseum...

La Tech had 15-6 and 230-138 yd edge at half. For the game LT had 24-15 FD and 321-246 yd edges but LSU turned their drives into the redzone into TD?s and came away with a 24-16 win...

Oklahoma finished with 32-13 FD and 640-226 yd edges vs Texas A&M but for 1.5Q?s the game was close. In fact the Sooners? only led 14-10 with one of their TD?s on a 53 yd FR. On the Sooners? first 6 poss they had 4 punts, an int and a 56 yd drive for a TD. A&M fmbl?d the punt with 10:46 left 2Q and OU got a TD. OU put together 85 and 54 yd TD drives with A&M fmbl?ing a KO setting up another OU TD and the Sooners blew it open and led 42-10 at the half. They controlled the 2H...

Washington St was without starting QB Jeff Tuel. Marshall Lobbestael threw int?s on the first 3 poss and UCLA got TD ?drives? of 27 and 32 yds to lead 14-0 but the Bruins dominated with a 270-65 yd edge at the half and led 26-0. They finished with a 28-7 FD edge and 556-181 yd edge...

A look at the box score shows Idaho with 26-23 FD and 514-458 yd edges vs Boise St but they imploded with 7 TO?s and the game was clearly controlled by BSU. BSU scored TD?s on their first 5 poss, the first 2 were just 15 and 31 yd drives after TO?s and they led 35-0. BSU got a 100 yd KR TD, a 71 yd IR TD and led 63-17 on the first play of the 4Q. UI got 176 yds in the 4Q and was int at the 18, fmbl?d at the 6 and got a 52 yd TD pass with :27 left to pad the stat sheet. Brian Reader started for Enderle at QB for UI and had 5 int?s...

Taylor Potts started for Texas Tech but after 4 poss was yanked for Sheffield. Sheffield was int?d at the OKSt 2 on his first poss but TT led 10-7 at the half with a 222-95 yd edge. OSU controlled the ball for 22:00 in the 2H and rushed for 207 yds. They had a 73/19pl drive for a 26 yd FG & 66/15pl drive for a TD. Sheffield?s 6th series ended on an int (ret?d 21 yds for a TD with 8:06 left). Potts came in at QB and led TT 80/5pl for a TD (6:52) but OSU went 69/11pl and fmbl?d at the TT6 but TT?s 4th & 4 pass from the OSU49 was dropped with :16 left...

Purdue had 28-12 FD and 524-362 yd edges over Michigan St. They also led by 11 pts in the 4Q but ended up with a 40-37 loss. MSU was perfect on FG?s while PU missed a 39 yd FG and had a 50 yd?r blk?d and one of the key plays may have been the first when MSU ret?d a fmbl 15 yds for a TD. COACHES ON THE HOTSEAT - Tom O?Brien has had 3 straight losing years at NC State although they did get to a bowl last year. There were high expectations heading into the season and they had been 7-2 in November games under O?Brien including 4-0 last year. Ignore the 26-20 FD edge they had vs Clemson. They were outgained 454-377 and trailed 24-7 at the half being outgained 258-114. CU led 43-17 when NCSt outgained them 143-8 in the final 8:42 including a garbage TD with :03 left.

KEY PLAYS AND BIG GAMES

Penn St turned the ball over 4 times in the 1H (1 fmbl?d PR) and the game was tied at 10 but the key play of the game happened when Navorro Bowman got a 73 yd IR TD in the 3Q to give Penn St the lead. PSU finished with a 373-336 yd edge but led 24-10 and IU gained 147 yds on their last 3 drives...

Vanderbilt led Kentucky 13-10 at the half and their 13 points was the most they had vs an SEC foe this year. They were held to 31 yds offense in the 2H. VU had a 178-174 yd edge at the half but UK finished with a 399-209 yd edge. The key play of the game probably came prior to the half with VU driving, they were int?d at the UK23 with :57 left on an overthrow...

Danario Alexander had a monster game vs Missouri. One of the key plays happened when KSU?s WR Banks stretched out for the EZ but fmbl?d and it went for a TB. Missouri threw a jump pass which Alexander outjumped the DB at the 5 for a 54 yd TD then got a 16 yd TD with just :19 left in the half to make it 17-6. KSU settled for a pair of short FG?s to open the 3Q but then Gabbert hit Alexander with a short pass at the 32 and he made a move and ran untouched for a 68 yd TD. It was MO?s first 2H TD in a Big 12 game this year and completely changed the momentum taking a 17-12 game and breaking it open to 24-12. KSU fmbl?d at the MO39 and was int?d at the MO25 and SOD at the MO3 on their final 3 poss...

The key to the Miami/N Carolina game was that NC had 77 and 90 yd def returns for TD?s. Jacory Harris had a career high 4 int?s and Kendric Burney was the first NC player to have 3 int?s in a game since Dre Bly back in 1996. He also set the ACC single game record with 170 IR yards. Miami had 24-17 FD and 435-229 yd edges but Burney had a 77 yd IR TD and then picked off a pass at the 10. He appeared to lateral forward midway through the return and it was scooped up and ret?d an additional 44 yards for a TD. Replay showed that he fmbl?d forward so they were awarded the TD for a basically two 14 pt swings in the game allowing NC to win by 9...

Iowa had to start James Vandenberg, a rFr in his first road start. Vandenberg surprisingly hit 20-33-233 yds. A key play happened on UI?s opening 3Q drive when they got a 57 yd pass for a FD at the 7 but settled for a 22 yd FG and missed it. Ohio St got a 50 yd TD run to lead 24-10 but UI got a 99 yd KR TD. OSU missed a 47 yd FG and IU got the tying TD with 2:42 left to force OT. On 3rd & 16 Vandenberg was sk?d and on 4th & 26 they were int?d in the EZ. OSU gained 3 yds and got a 39 yd FG for the win.
 

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LVSC Rankings - Week 12

LVSC Rankings - Week 12

LVSC Rankings - Week 12
November 19, 2009

Rivalry weekend has arrived and the matchup dubbed ?The Big Game? will carry some extra emotion on Saturday when Stanford battles California from Palo Alto. Not a lot of gamblers would?ve expected the Cardinal to be laying points (7) against the Golden Bears in this week?s contest but that?s the case now.
Head coach Jim Harbaugh and his troops are two victories away from completing a four-game sweep that most pundits probably would?ve predicted the school to go 0-4 at the beginning of the season. Upsetting Oregon 51-42 at home on Nov. 7 was sort of surprising but last week?s 55-21 whitewashing on the road against Southern California will be talked about for a while. The smarties at Stanford are playing with a bit of swagger and they?ve finally be recognized by the oddsmakers at Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

Last week, the Cardinal sat in the 25th position after the win over the Ducks but in the latest LVSC rankings, Harbaugh and company jumped 12 spots up to No. 13. Earlier road losses in conference play to Oregon State (28-38) and Arizona (38-43) could keep the school from winning the Pac 10 but they do have a shot with some help and a win over Cal this week.





Even without the conference crown, some experts believe that Harbaugh and the Cardinal could get an at-large BCS berth if it finished the season 9-3, but that might be asking a lot. After this week, the team closes at home versus Notre Dame (36), who?s been falling week after week in the rankings.

While Stanford rose, the oddsmakers at LVSC finally knocked Southern California (16) from its perch and realized that Pete Carroll?s team just isn?t as good as previous squads that played in Los Angeles.

Along with Cardinal and Trojans, the Pac 10 has five schools listed in this week?s rankings. Oregon (5) controls its own destiny for the conference crown, yet it faces two tough tests to close the season. The Ducks face Arizona (28) on the road this Saturday before a home finale against rival Oregon State (25) the following Thursday.

While this race should be interesting in the final three weeks, the more intriguing situation is who will nab the final four at-large BCS berths.

Assuming the six conference champions are as follows:

Big 10 ? Ohio State (locked)
Big 12 ? Texas (with a win in title game)
Pac 10 ? Oregon (in with two wins)
Big East ? Cincinnati (in with win over Pitt)
SEC ? Florida/Alabama (title game set)
ACC ? Georgia Tech-Clemson (Tigers in title game with win over UVA)

The loser of the SEC title game between Florida (1) and Alabama (3) would most likely be assured an at-large BCS berth unless the Gators or Crimson Tide slip up their final rivalry games against Florida State and Auburn respectively.

According to the BCS rules, either TCU (4) or Boise State (8) is guaranteed a spot, but only one automatic bid for them. If the Horned Frogs and Broncos both run the table, will they both be deserving of a spot? The answer is an emphatic ?Yes? but what happens if upsets occur?

Suppose Texas (2) loses in the Big 12 Championship or Cincinnati (9) falls to Pittsburgh (22) on the same day, perhaps Clemson (13) knocks off Georgia Tech (10) in the ACC Championship? Do the Longhorns, Bearcats and Yellow Jackets deserve the at-large over unbeaten teams?

Again, a much more intriguing situation or what some would call a dilemma.

Below is a complete breakdown of this week's LVSC Rankings.

Las Vegas Sports Consultants - Week 12 Rankings
Rank Team Rating Last Week BCS Rank
1 Florida 121.1 1 1
2 Texas 120.5 2 3
3 Alabama 117.3 3 2
4 Texas Christian 114.6 4 4
5 Oregon 113.9 5 11
6 Oklahoma 113.4 8 NR
7 Ohio State 112.5 7 10
8 Boise State 112.1 9 6
9 Cincinnati 110.2 10 5
10 Georgia Tech 110.0 13 7
11 Penn State 109.8 11 14
11 LSU 109.8 11 8
13 Clemson 109.5 14 23
13 Stanford 109.5 25 17
15 Mississippi 109.3 17 NR
16 Southern Cal 109.1 6 18
17 Nebraska 108.9 17 NR
18 Virginia Tech 108.7 23 15
19 Oklahoma State 108.6 16 12
20 Texas Tech 108.1 14 NR
20 Iowa 108.1 19 13
22 Pittsburgh 108.0 21 9
23 Miami 107.5 19 20
23 Arkansas 107.5 26 NR
25 Oregon State 106.8 28 19
26 Brigham Young 106.5 27 22
26 Tennessee 106.5 22 NR
28 Arizona 106.4 24 NR
29 Georgia 106.2 27 NR
30 Boston College 105.8 30 NR
Dropped out of Top 30: None
Next 10: Wisconsin (16 BCS), California (25 BCS), Michigan State, Connecticut, Florida State, Notre Dame, Missouri, West Virginia, Utah (21 BCS), South Carolina.
 

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DUNKEL INDEX

DUNKEL INDEX

NCAA Football Game Picks
Akron at Bowling Green
The Falcons look to build on their 8-1 ATS record in their last 9 November games. Bowling Green is the pick (-10 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Falcons favored by 15. Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (-10 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 20
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST (11/18)
Game 309-310: Akron at Bowling Green
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 68.841; Bowling Green 83.763
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 15; 52 1/2
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 10 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (-10 1/2); Over
Game 311-312: Eastern Michigan at Toledo
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 56.454; Toledo 77.686
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 22; 68
Vegas Line: Toledo by 19; 64
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (-19); Over
Game 313-314: Boise State at Utah State
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 106.571; Utah State 79.023
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 27 1/2; 58 1/2
Vegas Line: Boise State by 23; 62
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-23); Under

SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 21
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST (11/18)
Game 315-316: Ohio State at Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 106.830; Michigan 87.973
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 19; 45
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 11 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-11 1/2); Under
Game 317-318: Northern Illinois at Ohio
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 81.407; Ohio 81.719
Dunkel Line: Even; 46
Vegas Line: Ohio by 1; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (+1); Over
Game 319-320: Virginia at Clemson
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 82.268; Clemson 103.787
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 21 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Clemson by 20 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-20 1/2); Under
Game 321-322: Wisconsin at Northwestern
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 95.940; Northwestern 87.523
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 8 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 7; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-7); Over
Game 323-324: Minnesota at Iowa
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 91.033; Iowa 96.454
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 5 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Iowa by 10; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+10); Over
Game 325-326: Louisville at South Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 81.879; South Florida 91.685
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 10; 42
Vegas Line: South Florida by 11 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (+11 1/2); Under
Game 327-328: Rutgers at Syracuse
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 95.516; Syracuse 82.940
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 12 1/2; 39
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 9 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (-9 1/2); Under
Game 329-330: Purdue at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 86.084; Indiana 86.601
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 1; 64
Vegas Line: Purdue by 3; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+3); Over
Game 331-332: Maryland at Florida State
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 78.718; Florida State 97.044
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 18 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Florida State by 19 1/2; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+19 1/2); Under
Game 333-334: North Carolina at Boston College
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 96.008; Boston College 96.169
Dunkel Line: Even; 34
Vegas Line: Boston College by 3 1/2; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (+3 1/2); Under
Game 335-336: North Carolina State at Virginia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina State 80.430; Virginia Tech 103.682
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 23 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 21; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-21); Over
Game 337-338: Iowa State at Missouri
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 83.208; Missouri 100.212
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 17; 46
Vegas Line: Missouri by 15; 50
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-15); Under
Game 339-340: Vanderbilt at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 82.781; Tennessee 98.163
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 15 1/2; 43
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 17; 45
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+17); Under
Game 341-342: Kentucky at Georgia
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 86.335; Georgia 97.910
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 11 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Georgia by 8; 51
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (-8); Under
Game 343-344: Kent State at Temple
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 77.118; Temple 90.960
Dunkel Line: Temple by 14; 42
Vegas Line: Temple by 11; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Temple (-11); Under
Game 345-346: TCU at Wyoming
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 110.625; Wyoming 76.013
Dunkel Line: TCU by 34 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: TCU by 31; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TCU (-31); Over
Game 347-348: Mississippi State at Arkansas
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 90.924; Arkansas 106.318
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 15 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 10 1/2; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (-10 1/2); Under
Game 349-350: Connecticut at Notre Dame
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 92.648; Notre Dame 94.826
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 2; 60
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 6; 57
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+6); Over
Game 351-352: Oregon State at Washington State
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 102.351; Washington State 68.057
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 34 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 30 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (-30 1/2); Over
Game 353-354: Penn State at Michigan State
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 101.701; Michigan State 95.608
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 6; 43
Vegas Line: Penn State by 3; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (-3); Under
Game 355-356: Arizona State at UCLA
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 87.671; UCLA 95.905
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 8 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: UCLA by 4 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-4 1/2); Under
Game 357-358: California at Stanford
Dunkel Ratings: California 92.610; Stanford 109.406
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 17; 72
Vegas Line: Stanford by 7; 65
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-7); Over
Game 359-360: LSU at Mississippi
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 100.020; Mississippi 103.912
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 4; 38
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 4 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LSU (+4 1/2); Under
Game 361-362: Air Force at BYU
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 88.688; BYU 99.374
Dunkel Line: BYU by 10 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: BYU by 10; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-10); Under
Game 363-364: UAB at East Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 76.410; East Carolina 93.289
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 17; 62
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 12; 56
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (-12); Over
Game 365-366: Kansas State at Nebraska
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 86.058; Nebraska 104.527
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 18 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 16 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (-16 1/2); Over
Game 367-368: Oklahoma at Texas Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 110.134; Texas Tech 104.139
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 6; 50
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 6 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (+6 1/2); Under
Game 369-370: Baylor at Texas A&M
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 83.599; Texas A&M 91.958
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 8 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 7; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (-7); Under
Game 371-372: UTEP at Rice
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 74.678; Rice 69.501
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 5; 75
Vegas Line: UTEP by 6 1/2; 66 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rice (+6 1/2); Over
Game 373-374: San Diego State at Utah
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 72.018; Utah 96.737
Dunkel Line: Utah by 24 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Utah by 20; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-20); Over
Game 375-376: Louisiana Tech at Fresno State
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 80.627; Fresno State 93.358
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 12 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 9 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (-9 1/2); Under
Game 377-378: Colorado State at New Mexico
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 68.660; New Mexico 71.195
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 2 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Colorado State by 4; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (+4); Under
Game 379-380: Oregon at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 111.545; Arizona 100.925
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 10 1/2; 66
Vegas Line: Oregon by 5 1/2; 60
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-5 1/2); Over
Game 381-382: SMU at Marshall
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 81.609; Marshall 85.155
Dunkel Line: Marshall by 3 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Marshall by 4; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: SMU (+4); Over
Game 383-384: Tulsa at Southern Mississippi
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 86.396; Southern Mississippi 87.159
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 1; 51
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 8 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+8 1/2); Under
Game 385-386: Kansas at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 90.158; Texas 121.188
Dunkel Line: Texas by 31; 58
Vegas Line: Texas by 27 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-27 1/2); Over
Game 387-388: Duke at Miami (FL)
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 84.459; Miami (FL) 101.831
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 17 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 20; 56
Dunkel Pick: Duke (+20); Over
Game 389-390: Memphis at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 70.659; Houston 95.919
Dunkel Line: Houston by 25 1/2; 80
Vegas Line: Houston by 23 1/2; 75 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-23 1/2); Over
Game 391-392: Tulane at Central Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 64.445; Central Florida 90.404
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 26; 55
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 21; 48
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (-21); Over
Game 393-394: Nevada at New Mexico State
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 96.981; New Mexico State 63.488
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 33 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Nevada by 30; 58
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-30); Over
Game 395-396: Hawaii at San Jose State
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 71.226; San Jose State 77.577
Dunkel Line: San Jose State by 6 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 3; 55
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+3); Over
Game 397-398: Florida International at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 70.758; Florida 110.869
Dunkel Line: Florida by 40; 58
Vegas Line: Florida by 45; 54
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (+45); Over
Game 399-400: Army at North Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Army 66.889; North Texas 70.904
Dunkel Line: North Texas by 4; 49
Vegas Line: North Texas by 2; 51
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (-2); Under
Game 401-402: Florida Atlantic at Troy
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 71.747; Troy 90.234
Dunkel Line: Troy by 18 1/2; 73
Vegas Line: Troy by 16; 67
Dunkel Pick: Troy (-16); Over
Game 403-404: UL Monroe at UL Lafayette
Dunkel Ratings: UL Monroe 75.554; UL Lafayette 73.713
Dunkel Line: UL Monroe by 2; 48
Vegas Line: UL Monroe by 3; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UL Lafayette (+3); Under
Game 405-406: Arkansas State at Middle Tennessee State
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 70.240; Middle Tennessee State 85.862
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 15 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 11; 49
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (-11); Under

OTHER MAJOR GAMES:
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST (11/18)
Harvard at Yale
Dunkel Ratings: Harvard 65.587; Yale 55.310
Dunkel Line: Harvard by 10 1/2
Maine at New Hampshire
Dunkel Ratings: Maine 70.202; New Hampshire 77.129
Dunkel Line: New Hampshire by 7
William & Mary at Richmond
Dunkel Ratings: William & Mary 77.602; Richmond 83.050
Dunkel Line: Richmond by 5 1/2
Bryant at Duquesne
Dunkel Ratings: Bryant 44.821; Duquesne 44.123
Dunkel Line: Bryant by 1
Robert Morris at Monmouth
Dunkel Ratings: Robert Morris 51.655; Monmouth 52.279
Dunkel Line: Monmouth by 1
Central Connecticut St. at St. Francis (PA)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Connecticut St. 52.689; St. Francis (PA) 36.943
Dunkel Line: Central Connecticut St. by 15 1/2
Chattanooga at Alabama
Dunkel Ratings: Chattanooga 60.589; Alabama 113.637
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 53
Princeton at Dartmouth
Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 45.454; Dartmouth 52.666
Dunkel Line: Dartmouth by 7
Brown at Columbia
Dunkel Ratings: Brown 62.230; Columbia 56.110
Dunkel Line: Brown by 6
Northeastern at Rhode Island
Dunkel Ratings: Northeastern 52.970; Rhode Island 55.489
Dunkel Line: Rhode Island by 2 1/2
Lafayette at Lehigh
Dunkel Ratings: Lafayette 65.414; Lehigh 60.997
Dunkel Line: Lafayette by 4 1/2
Fordham at Georgetown
Dunkel Ratings: Fordham 53.547; Georgetown 38.966
Dunkel Line: Fordham by 14 1/2
Eastern Kentucky at Jacksonville State
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 51.323; Jacksonville State 75.663
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville State by 24 1/2
Cornell at Pennsylvania
Dunkel Ratings: Cornell 44.493; Pennsylvania 72.982
Dunkel Line: Pennsylvania by 28 1/2
Holy Cross at Bucknell
Dunkel Ratings: Holy Cross 65.862; Bucknell 44.764
Dunkel Line: Holy Cross by 21
Drake at Butler
Dunkel Ratings: Drake 45.224; Butler 41.166
Dunkel Line: Drake by 4
Jacksonville at Campbell
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 49.059; Campbell 26.427
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 22 1/2
Marist at Dayton
Dunkel Ratings: Marist 39.542; Dayton 52.416
Dunkel Line: Dayton by 13
Howard at Delaware State
Dunkel Ratings: Howard 33.715; Delaware State 49.541
Dunkel Line: Delaware State by 16
Morgan State at Hampton
Dunkel Ratings: Morgan State 46.466; Hampton 53.764
Dunkel Line: Hampton by 7 1/2
Massachusetts at Hofstra
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 70.947; Hofstra 64.440
Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 6 1/2
Northern Iowa at Illinois State
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Iowa 80.898; Illinois State 66.429
Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 14 1/2
Winston-Salem at Norfolk State
Dunkel Ratings: Winston-Salem 36.982; Norfolk State 58.100
Dunkel Line: Norfolk State by 21
Gardner-Webb at Presbyterian
Dunkel Ratings: Gardner-Webb 51.540; Presbyterian 42.476
Dunkel Line: Gardner-Webb by 9
Liberty at Stony Brook
Dunkel Ratings: Liberty 73.454; Stony Brook 60.396
Dunkel Line: Liberty by 13
Morehead State at Valparaiso
Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 23.946; Valparaiso 20.135
Dunkel Line: Morehead State by 4
Albany at Wagner
Dunkel Ratings: Albany 54.541; Wagner 48.913
Dunkel Line: Albany by 5 1/2
Coastal Carolina at Charleston Southern
Dunkel Ratings: Coastal Carolina 51.725; Charleston Southern 58.758
Dunkel Line: Charleston Southern by 7
Savannah State at NC Central
Dunkel Ratings: Savannah State 28.019; NC Central 43.217
Dunkel Line: NC Central by 15
North Carolina A&T at South Carolina State
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina A&T 40.734; South Carolina State 72.220
Dunkel Line: South Carolina State by 31 1/2
Old Dominion at VMI
Dunkel Ratings: Old Dominion 47.314; VMI 51.985
Dunkel Line: VMI by 4 1/2
The Citadel at Georgia Southern
Dunkel Ratings: The Citadel 59.195; Georgia Southern 59.065
Dunkel Line: Even
Alcorn State at Jackson State
Dunkel Ratings: Alcorn State 36.383; Jackson State 45.098
Dunkel Line: Jackson State by 9
Youngstown State at North Dakota State
Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 65.524; North Dakota State 69.553
Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 4
Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Prairie View A&M
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas-Pine Bluff 49.211; Prairie View A&M 54.884
Dunkel Line: Prairie View A&M by 5 1/2
Southern Illinois at SE Missouri State
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Illinois 84.159; SE Missouri State 51.422
Dunkel Line: Southern Illinois by 32 1/2
Austin Peay at Tennessee-Martin
Dunkel Ratings: Austin Peay 48.160; Tennessee-Martin 52.597
Dunkel Line: Tennessee-Martin by 4 1/2
Montana at Montana State
Dunkel Ratings: Montana 76.934; Montana State 69.176
Dunkel Line: Montana by 8
Cal Poly at Weber State
Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 61.397; Weber State 76.288
Dunkel Line: Weber State by 15
South Dakota State at Western Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota State 78.308; Western Illinois 54.996
Dunkel Line: South Dakota State by 23 1/2
Florida A&M vs. Bethune-Cookman
Dunkel Ratings: Florida A&M 50.906; Bethune-Cookman 46.057
Dunkel Line: Florida A&M by 5
Murray State at Tennessee Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Murray State 44.659; Tennessee Tech 53.893
Dunkel Line: Tennessee Tech by 9
Wofford at Furman
Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 63.979; Furman 64.666
Dunkel Line: Furman by 1
Towson at James Madison
Dunkel Ratings: Towson 46.219; James Madison 76.806
Dunkel Line: James Madison by 30 1/2
Sam Houston State at Texas State
Dunkel Ratings: Sam Houston State 56.286; Texas State 69.259
Dunkel Line: Texas State by 13
Mississippi Valley State vs. Alabama A&M
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi Valley State 24.401; Alabama A&M 48.297
Dunkel Line: Alabama A&M by 24
Stephen F. Austin at Northwestern State
Dunkel Ratings: Stephen F. Austin 68.458; Northwestern State 47.548
Dunkel Line: Stephen F. Austin by 21
Elon at Samford
Dunkel Ratings: Elon 76.201; Samford 68.557
Dunkel Line: Elon by 7 1/2
Delaware at Villanova
Dunkel Ratings: Delaware 71.800; Villanova 87.009
Dunkel Line: Villanova by 15
Western Carolina at Appalachian State
Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 57.979; Appalachian State 86.536
Dunkel Line: Appalachian State by 28 1/2
UC Davis at Sacramento State
Dunkel Ratings: UC Davis 66.885; Sacramento State 64.046
Dunkel Line: UC Davis by 3
Eastern Washington at Northern Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Washington 73.567; Northern Arizona 69.240
Dunkel Line: Eastern Washington by 4 1/2
Central Arkansas at McNeese State
Dunkel Ratings: Central Arkansas 62.149; McNeese State 72.730
Dunkel Line: McNeese State by 10 1/2
Southern Utah at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Utah 64.631; San Diego 37.294
Dunkel Line: Southern Utah by 27 1/2

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 19
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST (11/18)
Game 307-308: Colorado at Oklahoma State
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 83.529; Oklahoma State 102.759
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 19; 53 1/2
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 18; 48
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-18); Over

OTHER MAJOR GAMES:
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST (11/18)
Tennessee State at Eastern Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee State 44.764; Eastern Illinois 69.720
Dunkel Line: Eastern Illinois by 25
Nicholls State at SE Louisiana
Dunkel Ratings: Nicholls State 48.205; SE Louisiana 62.242
Dunkel Line: SE Louisiana by 14

WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 18
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 301-302: Central Michigan at Ball State
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 90.497; Ball State 70.994
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 19 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 14 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (-14 1/2); Over
Game 303-304: Buffalo at Miami (OH)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 76.016; Miami (OH) 72.892
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 3; 49 1/2
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 4; 51
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+4); Under
 

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Michigan can rescue Rodriguez

Michigan can rescue Rodriguez

Michigan can rescue Rodriguez
Scrambling with reckless abandon and throwing darts, freshman sensation Tate Forcier appeared to be the quarterback to lead Michigan into a bright future. Forcier was the savior as he stuck it to Notre Dame in dramatic fashion.

The Wolverines beat the Fighting Irish 38-34 on Sept. 12. Since that memorable day it has been misery for Michigan coach Rich Rodriguez, who probably feels as if a psychopathic Kathy Bates is breaking his ankles with a sledgehammer every weekend.

Rodriguez should get another season. Forcier still looks like he'll be a heck of a quarterback.

But if the Wolverines get bludgeoned and embarrassed by Ohio State in the Big House on Saturday, Rodriguez could become available for the UNLV football job.

''If they lose and finish 5-7, Rodriguez might be done after two years,'' Northcoast Sports handicapper Phil Steele said. ''I've spoken to a lot of people and alumni who say, 'Let's get Rich Rod out of here.' ''

Michigan is on life support to gain bowl eligibility only because it bullied a patsy opponent, Delaware State, on Oct. 17. Since that joke game, the Wolverines have been outscored 156-83 in Big Ten losses to Penn State, Illinois, Purdue and Wisconsin.

It all unraveled when Rodriguez got blown out by Ron Zook, which is similar to getting blown out by the Cleveland Browns.

Now showing up to show no sympathy is the human sweater vest, Jim Tressel, who is 7-1 straight up and 6-2 against the spread versus the Wolverines.

Sophomore quarterback Terrelle Pryor is playing better for the Buckeyes, who clinched a Rose Bowl berth by beating Iowa in overtime.

''I've got a picture of Tressel sitting up with a rose in his hand, so you've got a fat and happy Ohio State team,'' Steele said. ''It might be blasphemy, but I don't think you're going to get the Buckeyes' A-plus game this week.''

Ohio State is a 121/2-point favorite, the first time the Buckeyes have been double-digit favorites in Ann Arbor. The last time they were favored by more than a touchdown, in 1995, they lost outright, 31-23.

It's a risky call, but Steele is touting the Wolverines as his Underdog Play of the Week in his ''Power Sweep'' newsletter. (Two weeks ago, his top 'dog play was Northwestern plus-17 over Iowa, an upset winner.)

''If Rodriguez gets Forcier playing how he did at the start of the year, Michigan has got a chance to win,'' Steele said. ''Underdogs usually do well in rivalry games. This is it for Michigan's season. It should be a good game.''

If NCAA investigators aren't watching, Rodriguez will practice his team a few extra hours this week.

Michigan opened the season 4-0, and its regular-season win total was six at Las Vegas sports books. In August, most bettors were playing that over the total. It will take a miracle just to get a refund now.

Rodriguez went 3-9 in his first year, when the Wolverines lost 42-7 at Ohio State. If he gets a third year, expect changes on the coaching staff. Those should start with the firing of defensive coordinator Greg Robinson, who flopped at Syracuse and remains clueless.

One of the top defensive coordinators in college football is Tennessee's Monte Kiffin, the longtime brain behind the Tampa Bay Buccaneers' defenses.

In a rivalry that means nothing outside the Smoky Mountains, the Volunteers are 17-point home favorites over Vanderbilt.

Steele (philsteele.com) recommends betting Tennessee, which is 5-5 and headed for a minor bowl game. The Commodores, crippled by injuries and playing for the 12th consecutive week, have averaged eight points in losing all seven of their Southeastern Conference games.

''I like how Tennessee's offense has improved, they need the win, and they have put the hammer down on some teams at home,'' Steele said.

* CLOSING NUMBERS -- It has been a tough season, and I know how Rodriguez feels. But I'm slightly encouraged by going 4-2 last week (24-30 overall), so here are six picks for Saturday (home team in CAPS):

MICHIGAN (+121/2) over Ohio State; STANFORD (-7) over California; MISSISSIPPI (-4) over Louisiana State; Kansas State (+17) over NEBRASKA; Southern Methodist (+31/2) over MARSHALL; Louisiana-Monroe (-3) over LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE.
 

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BIG 12 TUSSLE: Red Raiders should rebound

BIG 12 TUSSLE: Red Raiders should rebound

BIG 12 TUSSLE: Red Raiders should rebound

Take Texas Tech as 'dog vs. Oklahoma



In a prime-time matchup with national title implications last year, Oklahoma gave Texas Tech a firm lesson in big-time college football.

The Red Raiders were fresh off a home upset of Texas. But the Sooners, who were 71/2-point favorites, scored early and often en route to a 65-21 victory that humbled Texas Tech and coach Mike Leach.

Fast forward to today and both of these Big 12 South teams have been eliminated from the national title picture.

Oklahoma has been hit hard by injuries, including the loss of Heisman Trophy-winning quarterback Sam Bradford and All-America tight end Jermaine Gresham. Texas Tech lost many of its key components from last season, including record-setting quarterback Graham Harrell and receiver Michael Crabtree, an NFL first-round draft choice.

Now the Sooners travel to Lubbock on the heels of a 65-10 whipping of Texas A&M, while the Red Raiders lost to Oklahoma State last week in Stillwater.

Oklahoma and redshirt freshman quarterback Landry Jones have not been the same team on the road this year, compiling a 1-4 straight-up record.

Texas Tech, meanwhile, is 26-14 against the spread (ATS) off a straight-up loss since 1999.

Look for Leach to get a strong bounce-back effort out of his team, so take the Red Raiders as 61/2-point underdogs.

Six more plays for today (home team in CAPS):

? MICHIGAN (+12) over Ohio State -- The Wolverines have stumbled badly over the last half of the season, and coach Rich Rodriguez is firmly planted on the hot seat in Ann Arbor.

With the Buckeyes already clinching a Rose Bowl berth with last week's overtime victory over Iowa, Michigan appears to have the emotional edges heavily in its corner. Underdogs of 71/2 points or more in this historic rivalry are 6-3 ATS over the past two decades.

? North Carolina (+31/2) over BOSTON COLLEGE -- At first glance, the Eagles might appear to be the choice in this Atlantic Coast Conference contest based on their 5-0 ATS record at home this season. That mark, however, has been accomplished against mostly second-class programs.

? Connecticut (+6) over NOTRE DAME -- The Huskies' five losses are by a combined 15 points. The Fighting Irish have been one of the nation's worst home favorites in recent years, covering only 11 of the past 33 in the role.

UConn junior Zach Frazer, a Notre Dame transfer, should be pumped in his return to South Bend as the opposing QB.

? UCLA (-41/2) over Arizona State -- The Sun Devils' quarterback situation is in shambles, with practically everybody but Danny White and Jake Plummer a possibility to take a snap against the Bruins.

UCLA is 10-3 ATS as a Pacific-10 home favorite since 2004, and Arizona State is 8-20 ATS as an away underdog in its past 28.

? TEXAS A&M (-51/2) over Baylor -- The Aggies were embarrassed by Oklahoma, but they are stepping down in class to face a Baylor team that has not been the same since losing versatile quarterback Robert Griffin to injury in late September.

? Oregon-ARIZONA (Over 581/2) -- At this point, the 1985 Chicago Bears might not be able to slow Oregon's "Quack Attack" offense.

Both teams gained more than 500 yards of total offense in last year's 55-45 Oregon victory, and conditions in Tucson should be optimal for both teams to put up big offensive numbers.

Last week: 5-2 against the spread

Season: 27-35-1
 

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It's more than just 'The Game'

It's more than just 'The Game'

It's more than just 'The Game'
When Harvard and Yale's football teams square off each year in "The Game" -- which will take place for the 126th time today -- there's always the possibility of a prank being played.

One of the most memorable ones took place at the 2004 game, when a group of Yale students dressed as the fictitious "Harvard Pep Squad" convinced Crimson fans to hold up cards they claimed would spell out "Go Harvard." Instead, they spelled "We Suck."

That prank, which was ranked first in a list compiled by the Boston Globe, was a reprise of "The Great Rose Bowl Hoax" of 1960, when a group of California Institute of Technology students stole the show from Rose Bowl squads Minnesota and Washington.

The Cal Tech students convinced fans in the Washington section to hold up cards at halftime that spelled out "Huskies." But instead, on national TV, the cards spelled "CAL TECH," which didn't even have a football team.
 

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UNR's running attack on verge of NCAA record

UNR's running attack on verge of NCAA record

UNR's running attack on verge of NCAA record

Wolf Pack could have three 1,000-yard rushers




RENO -- For decades, UNR has been known for its prolific aerial attack whether in the Big West, Big Sky or now the pass-happy Western Athletic Conference.

But this year, an offense once known as "Air Wolf" has been running over most of its opponents and is on the verge of doing something no NCAA school has done before -- have three players each finish with more than 1,000 yards rushing in the same season.

Luke Lippincott, a sixth-year senior medical redshirt who has battled through two knee surgeries, needs 134 yards to reach the milestone along with junior running back Vai Taua, who has 1,059 yards rushing, and junior quarterback Colin Kaepernick, who has 1,015 with at least two games to go.

"About two weeks ago, that's when it started to sink in that this might be a reality," UNR running backs coach Jim Mastro said. "You almost have to pinch yourself because you think about it and it's like, this has never been done before in the history of this game."

The Wolf Pack (7-3, 6-0 WAC) lead the nation in rushing, averaging 353 yards per game, nearly 40 more than second-place Georgia Tech's 314. They bring a seven-game winning streak into New Mexico State (3-7, 1-4) tonight after opening with losses to Notre Dame, Colorado State and Missouri.

UNR closes the regular season at No. 6 Boise State, which is giving up an average of only 112 yards rushing a game. With the possibility of a bowl berth still on the horizon, the Wolf Pack faithful are optimistic Lippincott will seal the deal.

"What we've done on offense this year, it is special," said Chris Ault, in his 25th year as the Wolf Pack's coach.

Significant changes in the offense began three years ago when he implemented the "Pistol" -- a variation of the shotgun but with the quarterback only a few steps back from center in a mostly one-back set designed to bolster the run game.

"It all starts with the guys up front," Ault said. "And the biggest part of it is Kap, he is the trigger man on the whole deal."

Kaepernick has surpassed 100 yards rushing 10 times in his career. He's second on UNR's career total offense list with 9,400 yards, trailing David Neill, who had 11,145 from 1998 to 2001.
 

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College Football Moves

College Football Moves

College Football Moves

A few games stand out this week because of the multiple action on each side. Two of the bigger groups in Las Vegas have been betting against each other all week. One group takes or lays a number, and then the other group takes the other side. This has happened with quite a few games this week with some of them doubling up on the game after the moves.

-- South Florida opened -12.5 and has been bumped back and forth against Louisville to where it sits now at -11.5.

-- Missouri opened -12.5 to Iowa State, bet up to -15, then bet down to -14, and currently sits at -15.5.

-- Tennessee opened -18 against Vanderbilt, dropped to -16 and then bet up to -17.

-- Georgia opened -8.5 vs. Kentucky, bet to -10, down to -9, and back up to -9.5.

-- TCU opened -31 at Wyoming, bet up to -32, down to -29.5, and back up to -30.5.

-- Arkansas opened -11.5 to Miss State, down to -10.5, and then back up to -11.5.

-- Oregon State opened -31, bet down to -29.5, and then bet back up to -31.

-- Nevada opened -31 at New Mexico State, up to -32, and then dog money to -29.5.

That?s a lot of games to see that type of movement with two differing opinions. If it weren?t for a friend at a Sports Book telling me about who and when the type of action was, I would be skeptical of one of the groups attempting to manipulate the numbers with their action.

All of those games peak around a solid number, but not large enough to be realistically be looking for your middle play. In instances I?ve seen in the past, in order for a particular group to get all the action they want at particular number, they?ll send a new face in to bet the other side after a series of moves and push the number back so they can get more on their desired side. If they are correct and their side wins by well over the margin, they just lose the juice on one of the dummy bets, but the big bonus is if one of the games pushes or lands in the middle and they keep all the cash.

Those kinds of moves have a major effect on the city because some places move on air when bigger books make their moves in an attempt to stay ahead of the curve for fear of getting peppered by these sharp groups. When the air moves happen, the group doesn?t even have to waste the dummy money to get their number.

The one-way moves of the week came on East Carolina from -10 to -12.5 against UAB, Utah from -17.5 to -20 against San Diego State, Clemson from -19.5 to -21, Central Florida -19 to -21.5, and of course a MAC game.

What would a college football week be without a move on a MAC game? Kent State action came hard at +13 against Temple and now sits at +10.
 

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Ohio State Buckeyes at Michigan Wolverines (+12, 47.5)

Ohio State Buckeyes at Michigan Wolverines (+12, 47.5)

Ohio State Buckeyes at Michigan Wolverines (+12, 47.5)

The most storied rivalry in college football was expected to have monumental implications in the teams? season finales. But ?The Game? between the Buckeyes and the Wolverines has lost its glamour and become just another early-morning Big Ten bout.

With a win last week, Ohio State (9-2, 8-3 ATS) snared at least a portion of the conference title and is heading to Pasadena in January while this is the final opportunity for Michigan (5-6, 5-6 ATS) to become bowl eligible.

Line movement

The Buckeyes opened as 11.5-point favorites and most shops are currently dangling a spread of 12 with a few as high as 12.5. The total has not experienced much movement from its opener of 47.5.

Injury report

Michigan?s leading rusher Brandon Minor is doubtful for the game with a shoulder injury.

The Wolverines star wide receiver Martavious Odoms has missed the last three games with a knee injury, but practiced all week and is listed as probable for the game.

Weather or not

The forecast predicts mostly cloudy skies with a 20 percent chance of precipitation and a calm breeze out of the southwest at 5 mph. Kickoff temperature is expected to be 50 degrees.

Pryor conviction

Ohio State is sky-high after coming off two season-saving wins against Penn State and Iowa. The team has already earned at least a share of the Big Ten and even though a win could provide the Buckeyes with the outright title, this sets up as a potential trap game.

Since Terrelle Pryor was chastised by the nation following the loss at Purdue, where he accounted for four turnovers, the sophomore signal caller has been efficient. Not flashy, but efficient.

In the Buckeyes? last four games, Pryor has completed 56 percent of his passes, which isn?t a staggering mark, but has only tossed one interception and has not coughed up any fumbles.

?Before?I always looked for the big play,? Pryor to reporters. ?Now, I?m taking the check-downs and reading through the whole defense. It causes turnovers when you make your mind up before you come out of the huddle.?

Pryor is coming off his best percentage game of the season after completing 14-of-17 passes in the overtime win against Iowa.

The 112 total yards Pryor posted in that game indicates that head coach Jim Tressel has taken a little bit of weight off the shoulders of his young quarterback after struggling early in the season.

Tressel doesn?t get too fancy in his offensive attack, keeping his cards under his sweater-vest while relying on his ground game and formidable defense.

Lifestyle of the Rich and infamous

After only two seasons of stalking the sidelines at The Big House, head coach Rich Rodriguez is on the lukewarm seat, but a win Saturday could almost guarantee him another year.

Rodriguez bucked the Big Ten trend of a power-running game and brought his spread offense to Ann Arbor. Behind a true freshman quarterback in Tate Forcier, the Wolverines boast the conference?s top-ranked scoring offense (31.3 ppg).

Most of Michigan?s shortcomings can be attributed to the defensive side of the ball.

"Our failure to win more games, I don't think it's system-oriented," Rodriguez stated. "[The issues we have] are personnel and they are related to building a program.?

After starting the season with four straight wins, the Wolverines have lost six of their last seven and four in a row against the spread.

The defense has yielded at least 35 points during the last four losses and the team ranks No. 102 in the nation in turnover margin.

Great expectations

The Buckeyes have rumbled for at least 225 yards in their last four games and will try to get the ground game going early and often to keep Michigan?s explosive offense off the field.

Michigan relies on its potent ground attack (195.8 ypg), but might not find the running holes quite as cavernous against the country?s fourth-ranked rush defense.

Trendy persuasions

Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games versus Ohio State.

Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS during the last five games of this series.

Wolverines are 3-14 in their last 17 conference games.

Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss.

Under is 4-0-1 in Ohio State?s last five road games.

Over is 5-1 in Michigan?s last six home games.
 

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Where the action is: Saturday's college football line moves

Where the action is: Saturday's college football line moves

Where the action is: Saturday's college football line moves
Check out Saturday's biggest line moves:

Maryland at Florida State

The Seminoles opened as 16.5-point favorites, but saw that number expand to 18 as of Friday night. And it?s easy to see why no one has faith in the Terrapins. Maryland is 2-7-1 ATS this season and is allowing more than 32 points per game. The Terrapins also are 4-10 ATS in their past 14 games against the Seminoles.

Florida International at Florida

The Gators already were slated to take a chomp out of the Golden Panthers, opening as 41-point favorites. But that number rocketed as high as 45 points with many books as bettors expect Florida to shred the visiting defense. Florida International is just 1-5 on the road this season and is allowing more than 33 points per game. This should be a tune up for the Gators.

Iowa State at Missouri

The Tigers opened as 13 point favorites, but saw that number balloon to 15.5 with many books later in the week as sharps were all over the Tigers. This is a curious move, as Missouri is 1-7 ATS in its past eight games against teams with a winning record and is a horrendous 1-3 ATS in its past four games against Iowa State. Missouri also will be without starting receiver Jare Perry.

Texas Christian at Wyoming

The Cowboys better cowboy up. Texas Christian started as a 28.5-point favorite, but saw that number rise as many as three points with some books, as bettors jumped all over the hottest team in the country coming off an absolute beat down of Utah. The Horned Frogs also are 3-0-1 in their past four meetings with the Cowboys.

UAB at East Carolina

The Blazers have won three straight, but no one believes in UAB?s defense, which allows 31.7 points per game. The Blazers opened as 10-point underdogs, but that number grew to 13 point during the week as the improving Pirates garnered a huge swath of the action. East Carolina is 3-1 ATS in its past four games overall and 3-1 ATS in its past four games against UAB.

Air Force at Brigham Young

The Cougars have dominated this series lately and it showed with the spread, as it opened at 7.5 points but grew to as many as 10 by Friday night. BYU has won the past five meetings and is 5-0 ATS during that span, winning by an average of 19 points. The Cougars also are scoring more than 35 points per game this season.

San Diego State at Utah

History says that the Aztecs have no chance in this meeting ? and the line movement seems to agree. The Utes opened as 17-point favorites and that line has moved to as many as 20 as of Friday night. Utah is 5-1 ATS in its past six games against San Diego State, the Aztecs are allowing 30 points per game and are a horrid 3-7 ATS this season.

Kansas State at Nebraska

Not many bettors think that the Wildcats are back. Kansas State opened as a 14-point underdog and saw that number increase to as high as 17 with some books. The reason? Kansas State is 0-4 on the road this season and 0-3 ATS against the Cornhuskers the past three season. Over that span, the Wildcats have yielded an average of 50 points per game.
 

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College football weather report

College football weather report

College football weather report


It looks like another interesting weekend for football across the country as temperatures are falling faster than the leaves. Multiple games could have weather become a huge factor by the end of Saturday. Don?t forget to check the forecast one last time before placing your bets.

Chattanooga at Alabama

The only way for this ?guarantee game? to get more ugly for Chattanooga would be inclement weather. It just may be a worst case scenario for the Mocs, as weather.com calls for 8 mph winds, temperatures in the 50s and a 70 percent chance of showers. The Tide will keep rolling no matter what the conditions behind a grinding offense, stellar defense and exceptional special teams.

Oregon State at Washington State (+31, 56)

The Beavers are making their typical late-season surge in the Pac-10 and expect the Cougars to be the next victim. Washington State has just one victory in 10 games and don?t expect it to get any easier on Saturday. The forecast dictates a ground game, with winds expected to top 15 mph for much of the afternoon. The Beavers won?t have the deep ball, but they won?t need it with Jacquizz Rodgers in the backfield.

Oregon at Arizona (+6, 60)

The Ducks still harbor dreams of a Rose Bowl berth and Pac-10 title, but the Wildcats will rely on a swarming defense and 11 mph wind to help level the playing field. Oregon is mostly content to run the ball and Arizona is sixth in time of possession in the country, so even if the long pass becomes a lost weapon in this matchup, both teams are more than happy to turn the game into a trench war.
 

Lumi

LOKI
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Aug 30, 2002
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In the shadows
Kansas Jayhawks at Texas Longhorns (-27.5, 57)

Kansas Jayhawks at Texas Longhorns (-27.5, 57)

Kansas Jayhawks at Texas Longhorns (-27.5, 57)

Football's Sweet 16

No matter how much fans, players and coaches want it, a playoff in college football is never going to happen. Texas' march to the national title is the closest we will get to it as they will have to stay perfect in their next three games (Kansas, Texas A&M, Big 12 title).

So fans can look at Saturday night's feature contest as college football's version of the Sweet 16.

The undefeated Longhorns have remained sharp with only Texas Tech and Oklahoma giving them a challenge. They have beat their other eight opponents by an average score of 46-11.

The defense is arguably the best in the nation giving up only 12.6 point per game and ranking first in yards allowed at 232.3 including giving up just 50.6 on the ground.

Saturday's contest also marks the last time that senior quarterback Colt McCoy will suit up in Austin. The four-year starter has had a stellar career leading his team to four straight 10-win seasons.

A tale of two seasons

The 2009 Kansas football campaign has literally been split into two seasons. The Jayhawks began 5-0 and then followed that up with five straight losses. Mind you, the first half of the season was mostly against non-conference cupcakes and the second was against the top teams in the Big 12.

The last two outings haven't been that bad though. They only lost by a touchdown to Kansas State and, in the last game, against Nebraska they held a 17-16 lead halfway through the fourth quarter.

Still losses are losses and it?s tough to tell how much of a challenge the Jayhawks will give to the Longhorns on the road. Talks of head coach Mark Mangino being on the hot seat and accusations by former players about his abusive attitude don't help either.

Quarterback Todd Reesing returns to his hometown of Austin which may provide some added motivation, but he is going through the worst stretch of his career. He has only thrown five touchdowns during the losing streak and, at 18 TDs for the season, he is well off the pace to hit 30 TDs - a feat he accomplished as a sophomore and a junior.

The line

The line opened at 26.5 in favor of the Longhorns and has only moved slightly to 27.5. Bookmakers have been happy with Texas this season, as most of the money tends to gravitate towards the Longhorns but they've only covered four times in 10 attempts.

Although, Texas has covered three times in four games since the Oklahoma game. Its only ATS loss was to Central Florida and by just 4.5 points.

Kansas' losing streak has affected its backers as well, having failed to cover the spread in its last seven games.

This is the largest amount of points that the Jayhawks have been given this year. In fact, they have not been underdogs by 20-plus points since their 2004 meeting with Texas. The Jayhawks were 23-point dogs and they covered, losing a close 27-23 contest.

Last year's contest had the visiting Longhorns as 14-point favorites and they covered winning 35-7. The last meeting in Austin took place in 2005 where Texas won 66-14 as a 32-point favorite.

The total for the game opened up at 55 and with early action on the over, it has moved up to 57 at most sportsbooks. Last year's total was set at 64 and it went under by 22 points.

An important thing to keep in mind with Texas totals (and spreads) this season is the Horns? efforts towards the end of the game. In their last game against Baylor, the defense played perfect holding a 47-0 lead with five minutes left. But Baylor ended up scoring two touchdowns making the game go over.

The same situation occurred against Oklahoma State and UL Monroe, where the Longhorns gave points in the fourth to push the final score over the total. The opposite occurred in the Missouri game, where the defense shutout Missouri in the fourth to maintain the under

Mack Brown does not need to blow out teams to guarantee a spot in the national title game. So while a Kansas straight up win (+2000) seems unlikely, both the total and spread may come down to the final quarter.

Both teams are a combined 9-10 on the over/under this season.

Weather

A low of 46 is expected during the game. Wind will be light running North (endzone to endzone) at 6 mph. McCoy and Reesing should have no problem throwing long bombs, but the Longhorns docile mascot Bevo may be irritated by the 20 percent chance of precipitation.
 

Lumi

LOKI
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Top 25 cheat sheet: Week 12

Top 25 cheat sheet: Week 12

Top 25 cheat sheet: Week 12


Florida International at No. 1 Florida (-44.5, 54)

UF could take the Golden Panthers lightly and play the starters sparingly ahead of a date with FSU next week. The Gators have covered just one of their last five games.

FIU?s defense is among the worst in the nation, allowing 490.9 yards per game and 33.4 points per game. The Gators have held five opponents (four from the SEC) to less than 100 total yards in the second half.

Kansas at No. 2 Texas (-27.5, 54.5)

The Jayhawks have lost five in a row and now have an investigation of coach Mark Mangino hanging over the team and KU looks as if it has quit on its coach.

Texas has won seven in a row in this series and has won the past two in Austin by a combined 125-14. Horns also can officially clinch the Big 12 South with a win, and Colt McCoy can set a I-A record for career victories.

No. 4 TCU at Wyoming (+31.5, 47.5)

TCU could suffer a bit of a letdown after one of the program?s big wins last week against Utah, but the Frogs haven?t done that all year. In their past three games, the Frogs have outgained the opposition by nearly 1,000 yards.

While the Cowboys were no match for TCU last year (54-7 loss), they did upset the Horned Frogs in Laramie in 2007. It will be 30 degrees with snow possible, so that could help Wyoming stay close.

No. 6 Boise State at Utah State (+23, 62)

Boise State is covering big spreads every week. The Broncos are 7-3 ATS this season and 3-1 over their last four games. USU is 1-50 (25 losses in a row) all-time against ranked foes.

Friday's forecast is calling for rain and snow showers with a low temperature of 23, so that might even the playing field a bit for the Aggies. USU hasn?t won a game on a day other than Saturday since 1993 ? 15 losses in a row.

No. 8 Ohio State at Michigan (+11.5, 47.5)

OSU has won five in a row in the series ? including 42-7 last year. Michigan?s defense has allowed 156 points in its past four games.

UM leads the Big Ten in scoring but has scored more than 30 only twice in the past seven. Top tailback Brandon Minor is doubtful for the game with a shoulder injury.

No. 10 LSU at Mississippi (-4.5, 42.5)

Three Tigers starters who sat out last week?s closer-than-expected win over Louisiana Tech are expected back this week for LSU: QB Jordan Jefferson, TE Richard Dickson and center T-Bob Hebert.

Ole Miss is on another late-season surge. The Rebs beat LSU 31-13 last year but have dropped four in a row in this series in Oxford.

No. 11 Oregon at Arizona (+6, 60)

Oregon has lost its starting QB to injury in its past two visits to Tucson. The Ducks lost their Rose Bowl shot in a 2007 visit but have 12 of 15 overall in the series. Oregon has scored at least 42 points in every Pac-10 game but one this year.

Arizona leading rusher Nic Grigsby has missed most of the past two games with an injured shoulder, but is expected to play. The Wildcats must win this game to have a shot at their first Rose Bowl.

No. 12 Penn State at Michigan State (+3, 47.5)

The Nittany Lions still have a decent shot at a BCS at-large bid if they win big. But three of the last four meetings vs. MSU have been decided by 10 points or fewer.

Sparty always gives Penn State trouble in East Lansing. The team is 8-4 SU in the last 12 dates at Spartan Stadium. MSU has no injuries to speak of and has won five of its last seven games.

No. 14 Wisconsin at Northwestern (+7, 50.5)

The Badgers lead the Big Ten in rushing but go as QB Scott Tolzien goes. He has a 156.4 rating in their eight wins, throwing for 14 touchdowns and four interceptions, compared to no TDs and five INTs in UW?s two losses.

Northwestern?s defense has forced six turnovers and allowed just 26 points in back-to-back wins over Iowa and Illinois. QB Mike Kafka ranks No. 1 in the Big Ten in completions (22.4 per game) and completion percentage (65.8).

Minnesota at No. 15 Iowa (-10, 43)

Minnesota?s defense isn?t good and hasn?t held a Big Ten opponent to less than 20 points.

Hawkeyes have won seven of eight in this series, including 55-0 last year.

North Carolina State at No. 16 Virginia Tech (-21, 58.5)

The Wolfpack don?t have much to play for as they won?t be headed to a bowl. Coach Tom O?Brien is preaching for a goal of a .500 finish. Under O?Brien, N.C. State is 3-3 against ranked teams.

Virginia Tech must win out to keep its streak of 10-win seasons going. The Hokie offense should fare well against a Wolfpack defense that has allowed 31 or more points in the last seven games.

California at No. 17 Stanford (-7.5, 64.5)

Cal has won six of the past seven in The Big Game. The Bears, who have won four of their past five this season, won?t have Jahvid Best again. But backup Shane Vereen ran for a career-high 159 yards in a winning effort last week.

Stanford has scored 106 points in the past two games against Pac-10 powers Oregon and USC. The Cardinal must win to have any shot of getting to the Rose Bowl. The favorite has won nine of the past 10 in this series.

Air Force at No. 18 BYU (-10, 46.5)

The Falcons don?t turn the ball over. They have won three in a row and covered in five of the past six.

BYU has won 16 of the past 17 in the series, including 38-26 last season. Under coach Bronco Mendenhall, the Cougars are 4-0 against Air Force with an average margin of victory of 19 points.

Virginia at No. 19 Clemson (-21, 43.5)

The Cavs seem to be playing out the string under a lame-duck coach. They are 0-3 against ranked teams this year, not covering in any of them.

The Tigers can clinch the ACC Atlantic with a win or a Boston College loss earlier in the day. Behind C.J. Spiller, Clemson is averaging 42 points per game in a five-game win streak (5-0 ATS).

No. 20 Oregon State at Washington State (+30.5, 56.5)

The Beavers still have a realistic Rose Bowl shot, so coach Mike Riley has reminded his players all week not to look past this one and to the Dec. 3 Civil War with Oregon. The Beavers beat Wazzu by 53 last year.

Washington State has led just once this season, and that was its OT victory against SMU. Kevin Lopina starts at QB for the Cougars; he started the season?s first two games and hasn?t played since last week.

Memphis at No. 22 Houston (-23.5, 75.5)

Hard to know what effort Memphis will give this week as it plays for already-fired coach Tommy West. The Tigers have committed 11 turnovers in their four-game slide and rank No. 105 in pass defense.

The Cougars don?t even lead the C-USA West, so this is a must-win for them. Houston has had only 18 three-and-out drives all season long. UH has trailed in each of the past three games, and all three were decided by a TD or less (1-2 ATS).

San Diego State at No. 23 Utah (-20, 54.5)

SDSU blew a 27-6 fourth-quarter lead last week to Wyoming and now must win this week (and next) to have a shot at bowl eligibility; the Aztecs are the only school since the Mountain West formed to not reach a bowl.

Utah has won three straight, including 63-14 last year, in this series.

Duke at No. 24 Miami (-19.5, 56)

Behind QB Thaddeus Lewis, a South Florida native, Duke has the top-ranked passing offense in the ACC. The last time Miami faced a good QB, Wake Forest?s Riley Skinner threw for 349 yards and two TDs.

Jacory Harris has been wearing a soft cast on his hand to protect a finger he injured while throwing a career-high four picks in last week?s loss to UNC, but Harris will start.

No. 25 North Carolina at Boston College (-3.5, 37.5)

The Tar Heels are starting to play up to preseason expectations, having won three in a row and four out of five (4-1 ATS). They beat BC by 21 last season. UNC is averaging nearly 150 yards rushing in the past five games.

BC might be the most misleading team in the country. The Eagles are 7-3 SU but they haven?t beaten a team with a winning record.

Kansas State at No. 25 Nebraska (-16.5, 43)

This is for the Big 12 North title. If the Wildcats lose, they don?t even go to a bowl because two of their wins are against I-AA teams. RB Daniel Thomas leads the Big 12 in rushing attempts (228), yards (1,166), yards per game (106) and rushing TDs (11).

You would think a huge home advantage for the Huskers, as K-State is 1-4 on the road (2-3 ATS, including a loss at Louisiana-Lafayette. But Nebraska has lost two of their last three home games and scored only 27 points combined in those three contests.
 
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