Expect the unexpected NFL week 11

BigGaycapper

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Lets do it again this week. Still pissed at how bad Tony Homo looked last week, oh well on to week 11.

Raiders +10 (buy 1/2 pt)
I know the Raiders suck but they took the first step in getting better this week by putting Russell on the bench. The team and the franchise for that matter is a mess they have averaged just 8.5 ppg over the last 8 games but this is a great spot for them. The Bengals are coming off one of the biggest wins in a long time with a victory last week at Pittsburgh and if you go back the week before they won vs Baltimore another division rival. The Bengals have just 2 wins this year by more than 7 points and are 0-3 ATS as a fav this year. With Benson most likely out, look for a defensive struggle here, remember the Eagles went west and lost a few weeks ago. I dont think the Bengals lose out right here but would be surprised not to see a close one. Raiders are the play in this one.

Ravens +1
I think this has trap written all over it. Why arent the Colts at least a 3 point fav if not 6 pt fav? Money is flying in on the Colts and the books will lose big if the Ravens dont cover. The Ravens defense has allowed just 24 pts in there last 3 games and should be fired up for this must win game. Five of the Colts nine wins this year are by 4 pts or less and there last three have been by 4,3 and 1. Ravens win a close one.

Cardinals -9.5
This is the blowout game of the day. Dont let the Rams close game vs the Saints last week fool you. The Saints have struggled the last few weeks to stop the run but the Cardinals wont. The Cards rank 7th in the league at stopping the run which is the only hope the Rams have to win this game. On offense Warner is going to be in a comfort zone playing where he had most of his early success in the NFL and facing a Rams team that is one of the worst at getting to the QB. The Cards have covered 7 of there last 9 road games and are 4-0 this year on the road. Cards by 14

Got a couple more but Jake needs a massage, be back in a bit.
 

Hooks

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Lets do it again this week. Still pissed at how bad Tony Homo looked last week, oh well on to week 11.

Raiders +10 (buy 1/2 pt)
I know the Raiders suck but they took the first step in getting better this week by putting Russell on the bench. The team and the franchise for that matter is a mess they have averaged just 8.5 ppg over the last 8 games but this is a great spot for them. The Bengals are coming off one of the biggest wins in a long time with a victory last week at Pittsburgh and if you go back the week before they won vs Baltimore another division rival. The Bengals have just 2 wins this year by more than 7 points and are 0-3 ATS as a fav this year. With Benson most likely out, look for a defensive struggle here, remember the Eagles went west and lost a few weeks ago. I dont think the Bengals lose out right here but would be surprised not to see a close one. Raiders are the play in this one.

Ravens +1
I think this has trap written all over it. Why arent the Colts at least a 3 point fav if not 6 pt fav? Money is flying in on the Colts and the books will lose big if the Ravens dont cover. The Ravens defense has allowed just 24 pts in there last 3 games and should be fired up for this must win game. Five of the Colts nine wins this year are by 4 pts or less and there last three have been by 4,3 and 1. Ravens win a close one.

Cardinals -9.5
This is the blowout game of the day. Dont let the Rams close game vs the Saints last week fool you. The Saints have struggled the last few weeks to stop the run but the Cardinals wont. The Cards rank 7th in the league at stopping the run which is the only hope the Rams have to win this game. On offense Warner is going to be in a comfort zone playing where he had most of his early success in the NFL and facing a Rams team that is one of the worst at getting to the QB. The Cards have covered 7 of there last 9 road games and are 4-0 this year on the road. Cards by 14

Got a couple more but Jake needs a massage, be back in a bit.

BGC, was just going over the games with a friend and we were saying to each other, what is the blowout game this week because there is one or more every week.
I believe you have found one in AZ.
Also like Oakland. Have a great day Sunday, Hooks
 

BigGaycapper

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Thanks for the kind words Hooks, hope you have a great day Sunday as well.

Couple more...

Steelers-Chiefs under 40
Just dont see who is gonna score for K.C., they have there best WR out suspended ,they have no running game to speak of and unless the Steelers turn it over in setting up good field position or KC gets a return of some sort they wont score more than 10 points. Steelers win 24-10

Colts-Ravens under 44.5
By now you know I like Baltimore to win the game and I think when they win the game it will stay under. The Ravens defense has been good allowing just 24 pts in there last 3, the flip side of that is they have struggled a bit on offense scoring just 23 pts in there last 2. The Colts have no run game to speak of this year so I believe Baltimore will try to get pressure with the front 4 and drop off into coverage daring the Colts to beat them with the run. Defense will dictate this game, like this under.

One other I like but haven't decided to play yet are the Brownies +3.5. As bad as the Browns are, making the Lions more than a fg fav over anyone is a joke. The Browns have played much better competition this year and lets remember that the Lions just lost a couple weeks ago to the Rams. Play at your own discretion.

Good luck this week boys
 

MrChristo

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Steelers-Chiefs under 40
Just dont see who is gonna score for K.C., they have there best WR out suspended ,they have no running game to speak of and unless the Steelers turn it over in setting up good field position or KC gets a return of some sort they wont score more than 10 points. Steelers win 24-10

99% agree!

I so want to take this, but Polomalu out has got me scared.
4 games without him so far the Steelers have given up way more than usual...
...hope it gets up for you....er...wins! :142smilie

:toast:
 
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