Preview: Titans (3-6) at Texans (5-4)

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
Preview: Titans (3-6) at Texans (5-4)
Date: November 23, 2009 8:30 PM EDT

While the Houston Texans emerge from their bye week firmly in the hunt for the first playoff berth in franchise history, their next opponent is already relishing its role as a spoiler.

The Texans will be the latest team to attempt to slow down the NFL's leading rusher, but Chris Johnson hopes to carry the Tennessee Titans to a fourth straight victory in Monday night's AFC South matchup.

An improved defense and a prolific passing game led by Matt Schaub have helped Houston (5-4) to a winning record through nine games for the first time in its eight seasons.

Perhaps the biggest sign of progress was the Texans' reaction following a 20-17 loss at Indianapolis on Nov. 8 before their week off. Kris Brown missed a 42-yard field goal as time expired, and Houston wasn't happy merely coming close to beating the undefeated Colts.


"There are no moral victories," wide receiver Andre Johnson said. "Are we getting better? I think we are. The biggest thing is just winning. You can get better all you want, but if you're not winning, it really doesn't matter."

Houston needs victories in order to keep pace in a crowded wild-card race, but a win over the Titans looks like a much tougher task than it did a few weeks ago.

Tennessee (3-6) has gotten healthier on defense and regained its confidence after a disastrous start, going 3-0 since Vince Young replaced Kerry Collins at quarterback.

"Right now we are in a situation where we just have to play the rest of our games and if we win them all, maybe something good will happen," linebacker Keith Bulluck said. "We're trying to stand in anyone's way who is trying to go to the postseason, so it makes it fun for us."

The matchup may hinge on Houston's ability to contain Johnson, who has totaled 495 rushing yards, 136 receiving yards and six touchdowns during the winning streak.

The Texans are well aware after Johnson racked up 197 yards on 16 carries and added nine catches for 87 yards against them in Week 2, also scoring three touchdowns. Houston still managed a 34-31 victory, thanks to Schaub's 357 passing yards and four touchdowns.

The Texans would prefer to prevent a similar effort by Johnson, which seems possible considering they have held their last six opponents to an average of 60.5 rushing yards - the fewest in the NFL in that stretch.

"The defense, they've come a long way," coach Gary Kubiak said. "To me, they're just getting better and better. They're the strength of our football team right now, the way they're playing."

Schaub has also gained attention for his strong play, ranking third in the NFL behind Peyton Manning and Tom Brady in passing yards. The only drawback has been his nine interceptions, contributing to Houston's 16 turnovers - six of which have come in the last two games.

Steve Slaton was benched due to fumbling problems Nov. 1 at Buffalo, leaving the Texans' running back situation complicated after Ryan Moats was held to 38 yards on 16 carries by Indianapolis.

"The turnovers have to be fixed in order for us to get where we want to go," Johnson said. "It's kind of crazy. We are turning the ball over, but we are still putting ourselves in situations to win games."

Tennessee has an 8-1 edge in turnover margin during its win streak, with Young playing responsibly. After struggling with interceptions earlier in his career, the Houston native and former Texas star has been picked off once in 62 attempts since getting the starting job back.

While his numbers haven't been prolific, his total of passing yards has increased each week and he has completed 71.0 percent of his throws.

That has been enough with Johnson in the backfield. Johnson is the third player in NFL history to rush for more than 1,000 yards and average at least 6.4 per carry through nine games, joining Jim Brown (1963) and Adrian Peterson (2007).

He had 132 rushing yards and 100 receiving in last Sunday's 41-17 home win over Buffalo.

"I would say I'm the best back in the league, but that is not my situation to argue about that," Johnson said. "I just got to go out there on the field and prove that."

Young won his only previous professional start in his hometown with a 39-yard touchdown run in overtime for a 26-20 Titans victory Dec. 10, 2006. Since the Texans' inception, Tennessee is 5-2 in the city that the former Oilers used to call home.

Titans owner Bud Adams, who founded the franchise and moved it to Nashville in 1997, was fined $250,000 this week after cameras showed the 86-year-old making obscene gestures toward Bills fans last Sunday.
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
Houston hungry for playoff run on Monday night

Houston hungry for playoff run on Monday night

Houston hungry for playoff run on Monday night

Two weeks after Texans suffered a hard-fought 20-17 defeat in Indianapolis; their run defense will be put to the test by league rushing leader Chris Johnson, who had a career day in Tennessee?s Week 2 home loss to them with 284 total yards and three touchdowns. But Johnson, who rushed for 197 yards and two scores and caught a 69-yard touchdown pass from Kerry Collins that day, had the spotlight stolen from him by Matt Schaub (357 yards, four touchdown passes) as Houston won for just the second time in Nashville in eight tries.

The 5-4 Texans have had 15 days ponder its heartbreaking loss at Indy, as Kris Brown?s last second potential game-tying 42-yard field goal attempt sailed wide left, and now they prepare for first true franchise run toward the postseason. How Houston (5-3-1 ATS) comes out on Monday night vs. Tennessee will say a lot about how much they?ve grown. They have won two straight against Tennessee, but only by a combined four points. At home, they are just 1-3 SU and ATS in the last four meetings and 4-10 ATS against a team who won last game by 14 or more points.

The Tennessee Titans (3-6, 4-5 ATS) have opened a Pandora?s Box of questions in winning three in a row after losing first six games of the season. Should Tennessee and coach Jeff Fisher be praised for turning season around or chastised for protracted beginning of the year? Coach Fisher, who didn?t appear to be any fan of Vince Young, was left with little choice but to play the former Texas star after humbling 59-0 pasting by New England.

Young has brought energy to the offense in his three starts and been efficient (44-for-62, 507 yards, two touchdowns, one interception) in leading his squad to a trio of wins and covers.

Coach Fisher?s club is just 1-5 SU and ATS in its last six AFC South contests, however is 12-3 ATS in road games after three or more consecutive wins against the spread.

Sportsbook.com has Houston as four-point favorites with a total of 48 and Schaub assuredly will attack the Titans 31st ranked pass defense from the start. The Texans are 13-4 ATS when they gain eight or more net passing yards per attempt and are 12-3 OVER versus division opponents over the last three seasons.

Tennessee?s running game keys their offense and they are 16-6 ATS after gaining 150 or more rushing yards in two straight games. Tonight?s visitors are 10-2 UNDER on the road revenging a close loss by seven points or less.

Tennessee covers if they run the ball effectively against Houston?s 14th ranked run defense. The Texans are not known for gap control, which is real plus for Johnson, who can pop into the secondary in a heartbeat. Last week Buffalo made life tough on the Titans by playing eight-men in the box and press coverage on their unimpressive receivers, before self-destructing. With Houston having two weeks to prepare, Tennessee will see more the same, which means taking shots down the field. Young?s arm is more than strong enough; he just needs the pass catchers to make a few plays. After a mediocre start, the Titans pass rush is coming along and they will need to pressure Schaub. Monday night road teams with only one appearance on the season are 34-17-2 ATS, including 5-2 ATS in 2009.

Houston covers if they create a semblance of a running game with zone-blocking scheme. Granted, the Texans are 28th rushing the pigskin, but Tennessee is nothing special stopping the run (16th) and is vulnerable against teams that run and pass the ball effectively. This helps Schaub, whose been forced to throw the ball too often, which has led to nine picks. Just keeping the Titans honest on defense allows Houston to play to their strength, the passing game, which is the best way to move the ball against them. Though Young has shown greater maturity and better decision-making, a steady pass rush that doesn?t allow him to leave the pocket makes a below average passer even worse. Home teams own a record of 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in Texans post-bye week games since 2003.

Monday Night System ? Same as last week?s, Play Against home team off a bye hosting a division foe. (12-2 ATS L16Y, 2-0 this season)
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
Key Performance Information

Key Performance Information

Key Performance Information

TENNESSEE
AS AN UNDERDOG OF 3.5 TO 9.5 PTS
This season
SU: 1-2 | ATS: 2-1 Last 3 seaons
SU: 3-3 | ATS: 5-1 Since 1993
SU: 17-29 | ATS: 26-19
IN ALL GAMES
This season
SU: 3-6 | ATS: 4-5 Last 3 seaons
SU: 26-17 | ATS: 24-17 Since 1993
SU: 120-92 | ATS: 111-97
AFTER 2 OR MORE CONSECUTIVE WINS
This season
SU: 1-0 | ATS: 1-0 Last 3 seaons
SU: 11-5 | ATS: 10-5 Since 1993
SU: 46-25 | ATS: 41-28
WHEN PLAYING AGAINST A TEAM WITH A WINNING RECORD
This season
SU: 0-2 | ATS: 0-2 Last 3 seaons
SU: 6-9 | ATS: 5-9 Since 1993
SU: 43-39 | ATS: 44-36
WHEN PLAYING AGAINST A TEAM WITH A WINNING RECORD IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE SEASON
This season
SU: 0-0 | ATS: 0-0 Last 3 seaons
SU: 3-6 | ATS: 3-6 Since 1993
SU: 29-26 | ATS: 30-24
IN WEEKS 10 THROUGH 13
This season
SU: 1-0 | ATS: 1-0 Last 3 seaons
SU: 5-4 | ATS: 5-4 Since 1993
SU: 27-21 | ATS: 26-22
IN ALL LINED GAMES
This season
SU: 3-6 | ATS: 4-5 Last 3 seaons
SU: 26-17 | ATS: 24-17 Since 1993
SU: 120-92 | ATS: 111-97
AS AN UNDERDOG
This season
SU: 1-4 | ATS: 2-3 Last 3 seaons
SU: 6-10 | ATS: 8-8 Since 1993
SU: 43-57 | ATS: 55-44
AS A ROAD UNDERDOG OF 3.5 TO 7 PTS
This season
SU: 1-1 | ATS: 2-0 Last 3 seaons
SU: 2-1 | ATS: 3-0 Since 1993
SU: 11-17 | ATS: 16-12
IN ROAD GAMES
This season
SU: 1-4 | ATS: 2-3 Last 3 seaons
SU: 12-10 | ATS: 13-9 Since 1993
SU: 55-52 | ATS: 57-49
IN ROAD LINED GAMES
This season
SU: 1-4 | ATS: 2-3 Last 3 seaons
SU: 12-10 | ATS: 13-9 Since 1993
SU: 55-52 | ATS: 57-49
IN A ROAD GAME WHERE THE TOTAL IS BETWEEN 45.5 AND 49 PTS
This season
SU: 0-0 | ATS: 0-0 Last 3 seaons
SU: 1-1 | ATS: 1-1 Since 1993
SU: 3-4 | ATS: 5-2
IN ALL GAMES WHERE THE TOTAL IS BETWEEN 42.5 AND 49 PTS
This season
SU: 1-1 | ATS: 1-1 Last 3 seaons
SU: 3-4 | ATS: 4-3 Since 1993
SU: 30-28 | ATS: 32-25
AGAINST CONFERENCE OPPONENTS
This season
SU: 2-6 | ATS: 3-5 Last 3 seaons
SU: 18-16 | ATS: 18-16 Since 1993
SU: 85-77 | ATS: 79-83
WHEN PLAYING ON MONDAY NIGHT
This season
SU: 0-0 | ATS: 0-0 Last 3 seaons
SU: 2-1 | ATS: 2-1 Since 1993
SU: 7-5 | ATS: 7-5
VERSUS DIVISION OPPONENTS
This season
SU: 1-3 | ATS: 1-3 Last 3 seaons
SU: 9-7 | ATS: 10-6 Since 1993
SU: 56-38 | ATS: 48-46
IN GAMES PLAYED ON A GRASS FIELD
This season
SU: 3-5 | ATS: 4-4 Last 3 seaons
SU: 22-14 | ATS: 20-14 Since 1993
SU: 103-76 | ATS: 94-82
IN NOVEMBER GAMES
This season
SU: 3-0 | ATS: 3-0 Last 3 seaons
SU: 8-4 | ATS: 7-4 Since 1993
SU: 31-20 | ATS: 29-21
REVENGING A LOSS AGAINST OPPONENT
This season
SU: 1-3 | ATS: 1-3 Last 3 seaons
SU: 5-5 | ATS: 4-6 Since 1993
SU: 19-30 | ATS: 22-27
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
Key Performance Information

Key Performance Information

Key Performance Information

HOUSTON

AS A FAVORITE OF 3.5 TO 9.5 PTS
This season
SU: 1-2 | ATS: 1-2 Last 3 seaons
SU: 4-3 | ATS: 3-4 Since 1993
SU: 5-5 | ATS: 4-6
IN ALL GAMES
This season
SU: 5-4 | ATS: 5-3 Last 3 seaons
SU: 21-20 | ATS: 22-18 Since 1993
SU: 45-76 | ATS: 60-58
WHEN PLAYING AGAINST A TEAM WITH A LOSING RECORD
This season
SU: 2-1 | ATS: 2-1 Last 3 seaons
SU: 11-5 | ATS: 10-6 Since 1993
SU: 22-24 | ATS: 24-21
WHEN PLAYING AGAINST A TEAM WITH A LOSING RECORD IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE SEASON
This season
SU: 0-0 | ATS: 0-0 Last 3 seaons
SU: 5-1 | ATS: 5-1 Since 1993
SU: 12-14 | ATS: 15-11
IN WEEKS 10 THROUGH 13
This season
SU: 0-0 | ATS: 0-0 Last 3 seaons
SU: 3-4 | ATS: 4-3 Since 1993
SU: 9-18 | ATS: 15-11
IN ALL LINED GAMES
This season
SU: 5-4 | ATS: 5-3 Last 3 seaons
SU: 21-20 | ATS: 22-18 Since 1993
SU: 45-76 | ATS: 60-58
AS A FAVORITE
This season
SU: 3-2 | ATS: 2-2 Last 3 seaons
SU: 12-6 | ATS: 8-9 Since 1993
SU: 17-12 | ATS: 13-15
AS A HOME FAVORITE OF 3.5 TO 7 PTS
This season
SU: 0-2 | ATS: 0-2 Last 3 seaons
SU: 2-2 | ATS: 1-3 Since 1993
SU: 3-3 | ATS: 2-4
IN HOME GAMES
This season
SU: 2-2 | ATS: 1-2 Last 3 seaons
SU: 14-6 | ATS: 12-7 Since 1993
SU: 28-32 | ATS: 31-26
IN HOME LINED GAMES
This season
SU: 2-2 | ATS: 1-2 Last 3 seaons
SU: 14-6 | ATS: 12-7 Since 1993
SU: 28-32 | ATS: 31-26
IN A HOME GAME WHERE THE TOTAL IS BETWEEN 45.5 AND 49 PTS
This season
SU: 0-1 | ATS: 0-1 Last 3 seaons
SU: 5-3 | ATS: 6-2 Since 1993
SU: 6-5 | ATS: 8-3
IN ALL GAMES WHERE THE TOTAL IS BETWEEN 42.5 AND 49 PTS
This season
SU: 3-2 | ATS: 2-2 Last 3 seaons
SU: 12-11 | ATS: 11-11 Since 1993
SU: 17-28 | ATS: 22-21
AGAINST CONFERENCE OPPONENTS
This season
SU: 4-3 | ATS: 5-2 Last 3 seaons
SU: 14-17 | ATS: 17-14 Since 1993
SU: 32-59 | ATS: 47-43
WHEN PLAYING ON MONDAY NIGHT
This season
SU: 0-0 | ATS: 0-0 Last 3 seaons
SU: 1-0 | ATS: 1-0 Since 1993
SU: 1-0 | ATS: 1-0
WHEN PLAYING WITH 2 WEEKS OR MORE OF REST
This season
SU: 0-0 | ATS: 0-0 Last 3 seaons
SU: 1-1 | ATS: 1-1 Since 1993
SU: 2-5 | ATS: 3-3
VERSUS DIVISION OPPONENTS
This season
SU: 1-2 | ATS: 2-1 Last 3 seaons
SU: 4-11 | ATS: 9-6 Since 1993
SU: 13-32 | ATS: 27-18
OFF A DIVISION GAME
This season
SU: 1-1 | ATS: 1-1 Last 3 seaons
SU: 6-7 | ATS: 7-6 Since 1993
SU: 14-27 | ATS: 20-20
AFTER A BYE WEEK
This season
SU: 0-0 | ATS: 0-0 Last 3 seaons
SU: 1-1 | ATS: 1-1 Since 1993
SU: 2-5 | ATS: 3-3
IN GAMES PLAYED ON A GRASS FIELD
This season
SU: 3-2 | ATS: 2-2 Last 3 seaons
SU: 19-14 | ATS: 18-14 Since 1993
SU: 42-58 | ATS: 51-46
IN NOVEMBER GAMES
This season
SU: 1-1 | ATS: 2-0 Last 3 seaons
SU: 4-5 | ATS: 6-3 Since 1993
SU: 10-20 | ATS: 18-11
OFF A LOSS AGAINST A DIVISION RIVAL
This season
SU: 1-0 | ATS: 1-0 Last 3 seaons
SU: 5-5 | ATS: 6-4 Since 1993
SU: 11-18 | ATS: 17-11
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
Matchup Analysis

Matchup Analysis

Matchup Analysis

TENNESSEE (3-6) vs HOUSTON (5-4)

Game Time: 8:35 p.m. EDT Monday, November 23

Stadium: Reliant Stadium Surface: grass






RECORD ANALYSIS
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
TENNESSEE HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL

Year-to-Date 2 - 2 1 - 4 3 - 6 2 - 2 2 - 3 4 - 5 2 - 2 4 - 1 6 - 3
Last 5 games 2 - 1 1 - 1 3 - 2 2 - 1 1 - 1 3 - 2 1 - 2 2 - 0 3 - 2
YTD vs. Div. 1 - 2 0 - 1 1 - 3 1 - 2 0 - 1 1 - 3 1 - 2 1 - 0 2 - 2
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
HOUSTON HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL
Year-to-Date 2 - 2 3 - 2 5 - 4 1 - 2 4 - 1 5 - 3 2 - 2 1 - 4 3 - 6
Last 5 games 1 - 0 2 - 2 3 - 2 0 - 0 3 - 1 3 - 1 1 - 0 0 - 4 1 - 4
YTD vs. Div. 0 - 1 1 - 1 1 - 2 0 - 1 2 - 0 2 - 1 1 - 0 1 - 1 2 - 1
AWAY VS. SPREAD HOME VS. SPREAD
Year-to-Date FAV DOG GRASS TURF FAV DOG GRASS TURF
TENNESSEE 0 - 1 2 - 2 2 - 3 0 - 0 2 - 1 0 - 1 2 - 2 0 - 0
HOUSTON 1 - 0 3 - 1 2 - 1 2 - 0 1 - 2 0 - 0 1 - 2 0 - 0



TEAM LOGS/SCHEDULE:
( * = overtime)

TENNESSEE
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/10/09 Thu @PIT 10 - 13 L +5.5 +6.5 W +3.5 37.0 36.0 U -13.0 G
09/20/09 Sun HOU 31 - 34 L -7 -7 L -10 40.0 41.0 O +24.0 G
09/27/09 Sun @NYJ 17 - 24 L +3 +1 L -6 36.5 36.0 O + 5.0 G
10/04/09 Sun @JAC 17 - 37 L +0 -3 L -23 40.5 41.5 O +12.5 G
10/11/09 Sun IND 9 - 31 L +4.5 +4 L -18 43.0 44.5 U -4.5 G
10/18/09 Sun @NE 0 - 59 L +9 +9.5 L -49.5 44.5 38.5 O +20.5 G
11/01/09 Sun JAC 30 - 13 W -0 -3 W +14 44.0 44.5 U -1.5 G
11/08/09 Sun @SF 34 - 27 W +6 +4.5 W +11.5 41.0 40.5 O +20.5 G
11/15/09 Sun BUF 41 - 17 W -5.5 -8 W +16 40.5 41.0 O +17.0 G


HOUSTON
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/13/09 Sun NYJ 7 - 24 L -4.5 -4.5 L -21.5 45.0 44.0 U -13.0 G
09/20/09 Sun @TEN 34 - 31 W +7 +7 W +10 40.0 41.0 O +24.0 G
09/27/09 Sun JAC 24 - 31 L -4 -4 L -11 45.5 47.0 O + 8.0 G
10/04/09 Sun OAK 29 - 6 W -9.5 -8.5 W +14.5 44.0 42.0 U -7.0 G
10/11/09 Sun @ARI 21 - 28 L +4 +6 L -1 52.0 50.5 U -1.5 G
10/18/09 Sun @CIN 28 - 17 W +4.5 +4 W +15 45.0 46.0 U -1.0 G
10/25/09 Sun SF 24 - 21 W -3 -3 L 0 45.0 44.0 O + 1.0 G
11/01/09 Sun @BUF 31 - 10 W -3 -3.5 W +17.5 42.0 41.5 U -0.5 T
11/08/09 Sun @IND 17 - 20 L +9.5 +7.5 W +4.5 49.0 50.5 U -13.5 T



PREVIOUS MEETINGS:

LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY VIS SC HOM SC OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
10/09/05 Sun TEN 34 HOU 20 -1.5 -3.0 HOU --17 40.5 41.0 O +-13 G
12/11/05 Sun HOU 10 TEN 13 -7.0 -5.5 TEN --2.5 44.0 44.0 U -21 G
10/29/06 Sun HOU 22 TEN 28 -3.0 -3.0 TEN +3 41.5 41.5 O +-8.5 G
12/10/06 Sun TEN 26 HOU 20 +1.5 -1.0 HOU --7 42.5 42.0 O +-4 G
10/21/07 Sun TEN 38 HOU 36 -2.0 -2.0 HOU --4 38.5 38.0 O +-36 G
12/02/07 Sun HOU 20 TEN 28 -4.5 -3.5 TEN +4.5 43.0 39.5 O +-8.5 G
09/21/08 Sun HOU 12 TEN 31 -5.5 -4.5 TEN +14.5 38.5 40.0 O +-3 G
12/14/08 Sun TEN 12 HOU 13 +3.5 +3 HOU +4 46.0 45.0 U -20 G
09/20/09 Sun HOU 34 TEN 31 -7.0 -7.0 TEN --10 40.0 41.0 O +-24 G





STATISTICAL AVERAGES:


AWAY/HOME RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM FGP
TEN (off) 15.6 15 29 131 4.5 31 16 0.5 167 5.4 298 1.4 1.4 .33
HOU (def) 20.5 18 29 120 4.1 32 17 0.5 211 6.6 331 0.5 1.3 .00
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM FGP
TEN (def) 32.0 23 27 111 4.1 40 29 0.7 290 7.3 401 1.2 0.8 1.00
HOU (off) 21.0 17 26 90 3.5 30 19 0.6 222 7.4 312 0.8 1.0 .00
ALL GAMES RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM FGP
TEN (off) 21.0 16 31 162 5.2 29 17 0.6 171 5.9 333 1.1 1.0 .33
HOU (def) 20.9 18 23 109 4.7 34 21 0.6 224 6.6 333 0.9 1.0 .00
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM FGP
TEN (def) 28.3 20 25 109 4.4 39 27 0.7 270 6.9 379 1.2 0.6 1.00
HOU (off) 23.9 20 28 91 3.3 36 24 0.7 284 7.9 375 1.0 0.8 .00



SCORING AVERAGES:

TENNESSEE (away) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 0.6 5.4 6 4.0 5.6 0.0 9.6
POINTS ALLOWED 7.4 14.6 22 4.8 4.6 0.6 10



HOUSTON (home) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 4.3 11.3 15.6 3.0 2.5 0.0 5.5
POINTS ALLOWED 2.3 6.0 8.3 5.3 7.0 0.0 12.3



TENNESSEE (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 4.4 5.9 10.3 4.1 6.6 0.0 10.7
POINTS ALLOWED 6.4 13.1 19.5 5.2 3.2 0.3 8.7



HOUSTON (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 3.4 8.7 12.1 5.6 6.2 0.0 11.8
POINTS ALLOWED 5.2 7.9 13.1 3.1 4.7 0.0 7.8



VALUE INDEX COMPARISON TO LAS VEGAS LINE:

LV POINTSPREAD VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING LINE EDGE
TENNESSEE 56.5 -2.0 7.0
HOUSTON 51
LV OVER/UNDER VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING EDGE
OVER/UNDER 42.5 5.5 under
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
AFC South Showdown

AFC South Showdown

AFC South Showdown


Week 11 of the NFL season closes out with a tough test for bettors as Tennessee (3-6 straight up, 4-5 against the spread) and Houston (5-4 SU, ATS) gear up for ESPN?s Monday Night Football at 8:35 p.m. EST. Gamblers must decide whether to put their money down on a team that has won three straight games like the Titans or take a chance on a team that is coming off of a tough loss and doesn?t have all their weapons like the Texans.

If we?re going on what the sportsbooks think, then the Texans are your play as they?re listed as 4 ?-point home favorites with a total of 48. Sportsbook.com shows that 58 percent of the money they are seeing has bettors taking the Titans to cover the spread. Meanwhile, a mindboggling 97 percent of the action on the money line is on Tennessee to win outright for a plus-180 return (risk $100 to win $180).

Bodog?s sportsbook manager, Richard Gardner, helps explain why the line is set as it is. ?Obviously when creating a number on a game we take into consideration how a team is currently playing. That means we?re taking into account public perception, but only for a half-point to one-point as the line already reflects that a team is hot at the moment.?

So are the Titans really worth that kind of action?

After the first six games of the season, Tennessee would have been avoided like Amy Winehouse at a nudist colony. The Titans opened the year with six straight losses with Kerry Collins under center, which is shocking since they were 13-3 the season before.

Titans head coach Jeff Fisher was pushed into starting Vince Young at quarterback by owner Bud Adams during the bye week. Tennessee has jumped out to three straight wins with Young running the offense on the field. The former Longhorn has completed 71 percent of his passes for 507 yards and two touchdowns during this win streak.


Tennessee has also been fairly effective at moving the chains on third down, converting 52 percent of those opportunities since the open date. Young, however, can?t lay claim to those conversions with his arm as he?s completed 10 of his 19 passes on third down. That?s why they?ve been relying on Chris Johnson to keep the offense going.

Johnson has been a force to be reckoned with over the last three games. He?s carried the ball 75 times for 495 rushing yards and six touchdowns during this stretch.

Despite the strong efforts of Johnson and Young, handicapper Bruce Marshall believes the winning starts on the other side of the ball. ?More than Young, the fact the Titans have been getting healthier on defense has been a big boost. Remember, Tennessee was reduced to a pair of rookie CBs in October, including that disaster at New England, but has been getting healthier in the secondary; over the last two weeks, Cortland Finnegan, Vincent Fuller, and Rod Hood all have recorded interceptions TDs.?

?Young has not hurt the team and been an upgrade from this year's version of Kerry Collins, but Johnson's long-distance threat is really what makes the offense tick.? Marshall continues, ?The bye week after the NE loss came at a good time, too; psychologically, the Titans were more easily able to put that 0-6 start behind them and start anew after the bye week. Credit also goes to Jeff Fisher for that, and keeping the troops together after that disastrous start.?

Tennessee?s defense will get a chance to show what they can do against the Texans. Houston went into its last meeting against the Colts knowing they were going to be without the talented tight end Owen Daniels. And while they held their own, the Texans still wound up losing to Indy as 7 ?-point road pups, 20-17.

Since Daniels is out for the year, Andre Johnson will be expected to pick up more of the catches now. Johnson had collected 10 receptions for 103 yards, but no scores ? it?s his fourth straight game without a touchdown.

Marshall believes that the Texans must get their stopping unit in gear to be successful on the attack. ?More than anything, Houston's improved play has been a result of its defense tightening the screws. No one has run effectively vs. this defense in over a month, a significant change from the first few weeks of the season. Check out the recent trend of ?unders? in its games; Schaub is able to run a bit more conservative offensive attack and slow down the pace of the game because his defense hasn't been putting him in tough holes the past several games (although they did have to rally from 3-13 at halftime vs. the Colts),? He concludes, ?Notice in the Indy game how Peyton Manning basically abandoned the run, especially in the first half when throwing 40 mostly short passes. Opponents are starting to alter their gameplans based upon the Texas' new-found ability to stop the run, which is the real key to this team making a playoff push.?

Houston has been average at best when playing at Reliant Stadium, going 2-2 SU and 1-3 ATS at home. The Titans are just 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS so far on games outside of Nashville.

The home team has often walked away with the win in this game as evidenced by a 6-4 SU mark, but just 5-5 ATS. The ?over? has been the top play in this series as it has gone 8-2 in those 10 head-to-head meetings.

If you have been following season long trends, then you?re well aware that the ?over? has gone 8-3 this season. However, the ?under? is on a two-game streak. The road team is 6-5 SU on Monday night this season, with the visitors going 8-3 ATS for our purposes.
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
Young returns to hometown to face Texans

Young returns to hometown to face Texans

Young returns to hometown to face Texans

HOUSTON (AP) -In his last start at Reliant Stadium, Vince Young left the field blowing kisses to cheering fans after running for the winning score in overtime. It was a triumphant return to the city where he grew up against the team that passed on drafting him.

``It was a fairy tale,'' he said. ``It was like a dream come true.''

Since that win as a rookie in 2006, Young has gone through his share of ups and downs. On Monday night he'll return to Houston with the Titans and a three-game winning streak to face a Texans team trying to stay in the playoff hunt.

Young said he knew the reaction to his winning touchdown in the 26-20 victory was big, but he didn't remember much else about the fans' response.

``Being a Houstonian, being a hometown kid, there's a lot of Longhorn fans out there and it's a lot of fans just period that's pretty much been following my career ever since I was in high school all the way up to now,'' he said Thursday while wearing a Houston Oilers cap. ``So it's just a lot of love. No disrespect to the Texans.''

Young said that game ranks second in his career highlights to the 2006 Rose Bowl, when he scored the winning touchdown to give Texas the national championship.

The Texans have far less fond recollections of that game.

``What I'll always remember about that run was the way the crowd erupted like it was a home game for him or something,'' said DeMeco Ryans, who was the NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year in 2006 when Young won the offensive award. ``That kind of always ticked me off that they were cheering like that for him. Our fans cheering for him really made me mad.''

Ryans said he probably won't be thinking about that play Monday night, but he will be focused on making sure Young doesn't beat them with his feet.

``As defensive players we have to do something about that,'' Ryans said. ``We've got to stop him and it wouldn't be like that. We're just going to go out and try to dominate and win the game.''

Young's teammate Ahmard Hall, who played with him at Texas, said Young is trying to contain his excitement about playing in his hometown for the first time since his rookie year.

``Vince is the mayor of Houston, everybody loves him down there,'' Hall said. ``Everybody's excited to see him play, and Vince thrives in big games and I think he'll have a special night on Monday night.''

Young has been steady in his first three starts since losing his job early last season, throwing two touchdowns and just one interception. But Tennessee's success has been due in large part to the virtually unstoppable Chris Johnson. The NFL's leading rusher has 495 yards and six touchdowns on the ground in those three games.

The second-year player said Young has brought a new attitude to a team that was reeling after losing its first six games with Kerry Collins at the helm.

``We're just out there having fun basically,'' Johnson said. ``We get in the huddle and Vince says: 'Don't worry about anything, let's just have fun' and we just have fun, and if we have fun we're going to win.''

Fisher has been impressed with Young's progress and thinks his benching helped him grow.

``His completion percentage, everything statistically out on the field, but more importantly than that, just the way he's been preparing,'' Fisher said. ``He's having fun. The experience for him, even though it was difficult, it was positive and a tremendous learning experience, and it's paying dividends now.''

Houston knows the Titans are a different team with Young at quarterback than in the first meeting this season with Collins playing. The Texans won 34-31 despite Johnson running for 197 yards, with 87 yards receiving and three touchdowns of longer than 50 yards.

Regardless of who's playing quarterback, the Texans must make slowing Johnson a priority.

``The guy has it all,'' cornerback Dunta Robinson said. ``He's breaking tackles. He's outrunning people. He's just a great running back. If you want any chance to beat this football team, you've got to contain him. He's taking two and three yard gains and taking them 80 and 90 yards.''

The Texans believe their defense is much improved since that game, especially when it comes to stopping the run. Houston allowed an NFL-worst 205 yards rushing through the first three games, but has given up just more than 60 yards rushing in the last six.

``I think we're a lot better,'' defensive end Antonio Smith. ``I think we've proven that we can stop the run and we can do better against big plays.''

Young's return to Houston is certainly intriguing, but the better matchup Monday night might be Matt Schaub and Houston's high-powered passing attack against Tennessee's 31st-ranked pass defense.

The Texans have the third-most potent passing game in the NFL and Andre Johnson has had more than 140 yards receiving in each of the last two meetings against the Titans, including a franchise-record 207 in the last game in Houston.

Johnson was low-key when asked about his recent success against Tennessee.

``I think that it's just us being able to run the ball and it opens up our play-pass,'' Johnson said. ``When we're able to do that, we're able to have some big passes against them.''

He scored twice in the Week 2 win over the Titans, with one score coming on a 72-yard reception. Fisher doesn't want to see that happen again.

``We can't shut Andre out, you just don't do that,'' Fisher said. ``They're going to get him the football. What we can't do is give up the big plays deep down the field.''
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
Who'll cover the spread

Who'll cover the spread

Who'll cover the spread

There are some many juicy storylines tied into Monday's big game that we had to get some outside expertise from the bloggers who follow these two clubs the closest. Jacob Langenkamp of Battle Red Blog and Jimmy Morris of Music City Miracles give us the inside scoop on each team.

Battle Red Blog tackles questions on the Texans.

Steve Slaton lost his starting job because of fumble issues but regained it this week. Is he Houston's best option at tailback?

The Texans need Steve Slaton to win and head coach Gary Kubiak knows it.

Slaton has had some mental issues which I think is the only thing that can explain the football problems, but the bye gave head coach Gary Kubiak and the rest of the coaching staff a full two weeks to try and solve the problem.

Don?t be surprised to see him get a vast majority of the touches at RB because Kubiak knows he?s the best man for the job. Don?t forget that Slaton has averaged 98 all purpose yards against the Titans in his career.

Houston lost a close one to Indy before its bye. Do you think the extra week off came at the right time or are you worried the Texans might lose some momentum?

I think it came at just the right time. I?d actually be much more worried about Monday night if we had beaten Indianapolis because the players would still be riding that emotional wave.

There is no such thing as a moral victory in the NFL, but I get the feeling that coming so close to beating the Colts pissed the Texans players off.

Why do you think Houston will cover the spread?

There is no love loss between these two teams. Andre Johnson, who I have never so much as heard talk trash to a player on or off the field, hates Courtland Finnegan. Johnson is apparently the type of player that produces against players/teams he doesn?t like as shown by 10 receptions for 149 yards and two touchdowns against the Titans in Week 2.

Add this to the fact that Matt Schaub leads the third best passing attack and the Titans feature the 31st pass defense.

The other X factor is Chris Johnson. He?s running like a man possessed right now and burned the Texans for 284 all purpose yards and three touchdowns in Week 2, part of an abysmal three-game swing when the Texans rush defense ranked dead last in the league while allowing an average of 205 yards on the ground.

Since that time though, the Texans have allowed an average of 60.5 yards on the ground over six games.

I don?t think the Texans will shut down Chris Johnson, but if they can limit him and make Vince Young beat them through the air I really like their chances of covering the spread.

Final score prediction: Texans 27, Titans 20

Music City Miracles dish the goods on the Titans.

How much credit does Vince Young deserve for Tennessee's turnaround?

He deserves a decent amount of the credit. He has given the offense a spark that they didn't have with Kerry Collins under center. He makes the defense think about a lot of things that opens up some creases for Chris Johnson.

The bigger reason for the turnaround has been the health in the secondary that has made the defense competent again.

Tennessee has scored over 30 points in each of its last three games. Should we expect the Titans to continue lighting up the scoreboard?

I think so. They have the biggest RB home-run threat in the league, and Vince Young is playing very efficient football. They do have some tougher matchups coming up, but with the way CJ is running the ball right now it is hard to see many teams shutting them down.

Who was Bud Adams flipping the bird to last weekend?

No one can say for sure, but it seemed to be directed at the Buffalo sideline. Adams and Bills' owner Ralph Wilson have a been competing with each other and aren't exactly friends. There is also a good chance that Adams is jealous of Wilson's induction into the Hall of Fame this past year.

Why do you think the Titans will cover the spread?

They are playing better than they were when these teams faced off in Week 2 and they only lost by three points that day. Vince Young has always played his best on the biggest stage and he's playing in front of his hometown crowd in Houston.

I think you have a recipe for a big night for VY.

Final score prediction: Titans 24-21 on a late field goal from Rob Bironas.
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
What bettors need to know: Titans at Texans

What bettors need to know: Titans at Texans

What bettors need to know: Titans at Texans


Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans (-4, 48.5)

The ?old? team from Houston takes on the ?new? team from Houston in a game featuring two clubs that are playing well.

The Texans (5-4 straight up, 5-4 against the spread) have won three of their last four, but lost a heartbreaker to the Colts two weeks ago.

The Titans have won three straight after their surprising 0-6 start.

Line movement

The line has been consistent all week. Most shops opened at 4 and it made it to 4.5 at a few places midweek before resting at 4. The total has been between 48 and 49 all week.

Injury report

Both teams are healthy at this stage of the season. The biggest injury is to Tennessee?s Justin Gage, the Titans? No. 2 receiver. Gage has been ruled out with a back injury. He hasn?t had a great season with only 22 receptions for 302 yards, but he?s been a solid player throughout his career.

Back to the future

Running back Steve Slaton is having a disappointing season, rushing for only 359 yards with a 3.1 average. He lost the starting job to Ryan Moats two weeks ago because of problems fumbling the ball, but he regained first team status after a good week of practice.

Slaton is the more explosive option out of the backfield but he?s fumbled the ball seven times already this season.

Talking points

Tennessee has enjoyed great success over the years against its division rival. The Titans are 11-4 all-time against the Texans and 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.

Houston is 2-0 SU and against the number in the last two matchups, but Titan players weren?t hiding their confidence heading into Monday?s big game.

?We owe them and they know we owe them,? tight end Bo Scaife told the Tennessean.

Linebacker Keith Bulluck promises to ?destroy? Houston?s playoff hopes and secure Tennessee?s fourth consecutive win in the process.

Houston, we don?t have a problem

Andre Johnson is having another monster season but he grabbed headlines for other reasons this week. His uncle and agent, Andre Melton, told ESPN the Magazine that he has a plan to force Houston to trade Johnson if the Texans don?t make the playoffs.

The All-Pro wideout tried his best to squash the story during the week.

?That didn?t come from me,? he told the Houston Chronicle Friday after team practice. ?I wish (Melton) hadn?t said what he said, but that?s his opinion. I make my own decisions, and I plan on being here until I retire.?

Born to run

The Titans have looked great in each of their last three games. Tennessee is averaging 35 points per game since Vince Young regained the starting quarterback spot.

The biggest reason for the success is the play of running back Chris Johnson. Johnson is averaging an absurd 6.4 yards per carry and leads the league with 1,091 yards.

Houston is middle of the road at stopping the run, but Johnson ripped the unit apart in the two sides? first meeting this season. The East Carolina product gained 197 yards and two touchdowns on just 16 carries.

Extra points

The Texans are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a loss and 5-1 ATS in their last six games against AFC South opponents.

The Titans are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games when getting between 3.5 and 10 points. They?re also 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games as an underdog.

The under is 5-1 in Houston?s last six games while the over is 4-0 in Tennessee?s last four road games.
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
Preview:
Tennessee at Houston
When: 8:30 PM ET, Monday, November 23, 2009
Where: Reliant Stadium, Houston, Texas

Quick Hits

Overall Team Offense

The Houston Texans are ranked 9 on offense, averaging 374.9 yards per game. The Texans are averaging 91.2 yards rushing and 283.7 yards passing so far this season.

The Tennessee Titans are ranked 18 on offense, averaging 332.0 yards per game. The Titans are averaging 161.8 yards rushing and 170.2 yards passing so far this season.


Home and Away

The Houston Texans are 2-2 at home this season, and against 1-2AFCS opponents.

At home the Texans are averaging 21.0 scoring, and holding teams to 20.5 points scored on defense.

The Tennessee Titans are 1-4 while on the road this season, and 1-3 against AFCS opponents.

On the road, the Titans are averaging 15.6 scoring, and holding teams to 32.0 points scored on defense.
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
Trends - Tennessee at Houston

Trends - Tennessee at Houston

Trends - Tennessee at Houston

ATS Trends

Tennessee

Titans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November.
Titans are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Titans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Titans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 11.
Titans are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games following a S.U. win.
Titans are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Titans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.
Titans are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games as an underdog.
Titans are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS win.
Titans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Titans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Titans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC.
Titans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Titans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC South.
Titans are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Titans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.


Houston


Texans are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Texans are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
Texans are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Texans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Texans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November.
Texans are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Texans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. AFC.
Texans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC South.
Texans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Texans are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Texans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 11.
Texans are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.


OU Trends

Tennessee

Over is 4-0 in Titans last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Titans last 4 road games.
Over is 4-1 in Titans last 5 Monday games.
Over is 4-1 in Titans last 5 games in November.
Over is 4-1 in Titans last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Titans last 8 games overall.
Under is 5-2 in Titans last 7 vs. AFC South.
Over is 15-6-2 in Titans last 23 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Titans last 7 games on grass.
Over is 5-2 in Titans last 7 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Titans last 7 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.
Over is 5-2 in Titans last 7 vs. AFC.
Over is 12-5-1 in Titans last 18 games following a bye week.
Under is 11-5-1 in Titans last 17 vs. a team with a winning record.


Houston

Under is 4-0 in Texans last 4 vs. AFC.
Over is 8-1 in Texans last 9 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 7-1 in Texans last 8 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Texans last 6 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Under is 5-1 in Texans last 6 games overall.
Under is 5-1 in Texans last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Texans last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Texans last 5 games following a bye week.
Over is 12-3-1 in Texans last 16 games following a S.U. loss.
Under is 8-2 in Texans last 10 games following a ATS win.
Under is 7-2 in Texans last 9 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 7-2 in Texans last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 20-7 in Texans last 27 vs. AFC South.
Over is 16-6 in Texans last 22 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Texans last 7 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Under is 9-4 in Texans last 13 games on grass.


Head to Head

Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Houston.
Titans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Underdog is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
DUNKEL INDEX MNF

DUNKEL INDEX MNF

Today's NFL Picks
Tennessee at Houston
The Titans look to build on their 9-1 ATS record in their last 10 games as an underdog between 3 1/2 and 10 points. Tennessee is the pick (+5) according to Dunkel, which has the Texans favored by only 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+5). Here are all of this week's picks.

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 23
Time Posted: 11:30 p.m. EST (11/18)
Game 435-436: Tennessee at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 134.417; Houston 136.049
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Houston by 5; 48
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+5); Over
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
NFL Preview - Tennessee (3-6) at Houston (5-4)

NFL Preview - Tennessee (3-6) at Houston (5-4)

NFL Preview - Tennessee (3-6) at Houston (5-4)


Clearly, there is little time for the Houston Texans to dip their collective toe back in the water following the team's Week 10 bye. At 5-4, the Texans' margin for error is slim if they wish to keep their playoff hopes intact, and the resurgent Tennessee Titans don't figure to make things easy on Houston at Reliant Stadium Monday night.

The Texans already own a win over the Titans this season - a 34-31 thriller in Nashville back in Week 2 - but this Tennessee team has a new quarterback, and seemingly a new energy. Tennessee is 3-0 since quarterback Vince Young entered the starting lineup, making the Texans' prospects at their first home-and-home sweep of the Titans since 2004 seem daunting indeed.

Houston had an extra week to lick its wounds after a disappointing Week 9 that saw them drop a 20-17 decision to the first-place Indianapolis Colts.

The Texans, who were less than 15 minutes from making a statement win after Steve Slaton's 1-yard touchdown run put them ahead, 17-13, couldn't finish in their eventual loss, allowing Peyton Manning to engineer an 8-play, 61-yard touchdown drive culminating in a two-yard touchdown run by Houston native Joseph Addai with 7:11 left in the fourth quarter.

A Matt Schaub interception in Colts territory with 2:20 to play provided a glancing blow to the team's comeback prospects, but Houston fought its way off the ropes and got in position for a makeable 42-yard field goal for Kris Brown with one second to play that would have sent the game to overtime.

But Brown's kick went wide left, essentially taking Houston out of the equation for its first-ever AFC South title, and damaging their wild card prospects as well.

That said, the Titans would love to be where the Texans are at this moment, even though their recent work would suggest that the team is nearly back after its 0-6 start.

In last Sunday's 41-17 rout of the Bills, Tennessee running back Chris Johnson continued his recent exhilarating display, carrying 26 times for 132 yards and two touchdowns, and also catching nine balls for 100 yards out of the backfield to become the first player in franchise history to hit triple-digits via both the ground and air since Billy Cannon on Dec. 10, 1961.

Johnson has inserted himself into the NFL Offensive Player of the Year discussion during a three-game stretch that has seen the second-year-pro pile up 495 rushing yards and six touchdowns. The second-year back out of East Carolina leads the NFL in rushing yards (1091), and the Titans are No. 1 in the league in yards per carry (5.3) and rushes of 20 yards or longer (17).

Alongside the running back during his explosive run has been quarterback Vince Young, who maintained his efficiency by completing 17-of-25 passes for a season-high 210 yards, a touchdown, an interception, and 29 rushing yards in a winning effort last week.

The Titans' defense has also been a credit to the cause after some major problems during the first six weeks, and last week saw safety Vincent Fuller and cornerback Rod Hood help put the game away with pick-six touchdowns against the Bills.

SERIES HISTORY

Tennessee leads the all-time series with Houston, 11-4, but as mentioned, was a 34-31 home loser when the teams met in Week 2. The clubs embarked on a conventional home-and-home split last year, with the Titans coming up 31-12 home winners when the teams met in Week 3, and the Texans returning the favor with a 13-12 home triumph over the eventual AFC South champs in Week 15. Tennessee last won in the organization's former home of Houston in 2007. With a win Sunday, the Texans will polish off just their second home-and-home sweep of the Titans all-time, and first since 2004.

Titans head coach Jeff Fisher is 11-4 against the Texans, while Houston's Gary Kubiak is 2-5 against both Fisher and Tennessee as a head coach.

WHEN THE TITANS HAVE THE BALL

Obviously, the Titans will be looking to play to their strengths on Monday night, and strength number one is Chris Johnson (1091 rushing yards, 30 receptions, 9 TD) and the Tennessee run game. Johnson is averaging a blistering 6.4 yards per rush heading into Week 11, and was well above that number when he gutted the Texans for 197 yards and two touchdowns on just 16 carries back in Week 2. The dynamic back's exploits have undoubtedly made things easier for Young (507 passing yards, 2 TD, 2 INT, 78 rushing yards, 1 TD), who has thrown the ball with confidence and a new-found accuracy in his three starts. The former first-rounder is completing 65.7 percent of his passes, more than 10 points better than predecessor Kerry Collins, and has a solid passer rating of 85.9. In addition to Johnson, Young's top targets last week included wideouts Kenny Britt (22 receptions) and Nate Washington (25 receptions, 5 TD), who combined for 88 yards in a winning effort. Washington logged his team-leading fifth touchdown catch on a 14-yard first-quarter throw from Young. Wideout Justin Gage (back) is not expected to play against the Texans, increasing the likelihood that tight end Bo Scaife (20 receptions) will be actively involved in the proceedings. The Titans have allowed an NFL-low seven sacks on the year.

Given the way they failed to defend him last time around, a Texans run defense that ranks tied for 14th in the league against the run (108.7 yards per game) will devote a great deal of energy to trying to slow Johnson on Monday. The effort will begin up front, where Amobi Okoye (22 tackles, 1.5 sacks) and veteran Jeff Zgonina (19 tackles, 2 sacks) have been generally sturdy this season, with linebackers DeMeco Ryans (68 tackles), Brian Cushing (78 tackles, 2 INT, 1.5 sacks), and Zac Diles (29 tackles) all figuring to be dialed in on Young as well. Cushing, a candidate for NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year honors, had a team-high-tying 12 tackles against the Colts last time out. Houston's concentration on stopping the run, coupled with the presence of a disappointing pass rush that has generated just 13 sacks on the year, will often put the Texans secondary on a coverage island. Cornerbacks Dunta Robinson (33 tackles) and Jacques Reeves (16 tackles, 1 INT) will bear much of the responsibility for handling Washington and Britt, with safeties Bernard Pollard (42 tackles, 2 INT) and Eugene Wilson (24 tackles, 2 INT) lending support over the top. Pollard, the former Chief, had a huge game with 12 tackles and two interceptions of Peyton Manning back in Week 9. End Mario Williams (25 tackles, 4 sacks), who has had an inconsistent fourth season as a pro, will look to tee off on Young.

WHEN THE TEXANS HAVE THE BALL

The Texans are a healthy sixth in NFL total offense (374.9 yards per game) as Week 11 begins, though paradoxically, the Houston attack is in a state of transition. There remains a question mark at the running back position, where Ryan Moats (220 rushing yards, 5 receptions, 4 TD) earned his first start of the season over the fumble-prone Slaton (359 rushing yards, 32 receptions, 6 TD) in the team's Week 9 loss to the Indianapolis Colts, but managed just 38 yards on 16 carries and could again yield to the more dynamic Slaton. Slaton, who was benched after fumbling six times in seven games, had just nine touches for 29 yards in Indy but did score a touchdown in the defeat. Elsewhere, a passing game still led by Schaub (2653 passing yards, 17 TD, 9 INT) and top wideout Andre Johnson (54 receptions, 4 TD) is trying to cope with the loss of tight end Owen Daniels to a season-ending knee injury in Week 8. Tight ends Joel Dreessen (7 receptions) and Anthony Hill (1 reception) combined for just three catches against the Colts, and the passing attack will be further weakened if Jacoby Jones (13 receptions, 3 TD) is unable to return from a calf injury that has him listed as questionable. Jones posted four catches for 67 yards against the Colts. Johnson, who comes off a 10-catch, 103-yard effort in Indianapolis, had a season-high 149 receiving yards and two touchdowns in Tennessee back in Week 2. Schaub has been sacked just 15 times this season.

Much as Houston is concerned with Chris Johnson, the Tennessee Titans will have to come into Monday night's affair with a plan for how to stop the connection from Schaub to Andre Johnson. The Titans have proven susceptible to the big aerial play all season, surrendering an NFL-high 23 touchdown passes on the year, but have been getting healthier in the secondary during their win streak. Cornerbacks Cortland Finnegan (33 tackles, 3 INT), Rod Hood (12 tackles, 3 INT), and safety Vincent Fuller (14 tackles, 2 INT) all have interception returns for touchdowns in the past two weeks, and the possible return of CB Nick Harper (38 tackles) from a broken forearm on Monday night would only help matters. The Titans pass rush has not made a lot of noise this season, but end William Hayes (30 tackles) notched his team-high-tying fourth sack of the year last week and also forced a fumble. The group trying to slow the Houston running backs is led up front by tackles Tony Brown (18 tackles, 2 sacks) and Jason Jones (15 tackles, 4 sacks), with linebackers Keith Bulluck (79 tackles, 1 INT) and Stephen Tulloch (70 tackles, 2 sacks) among those playing behind them. Bulluck had a team-high 12 tackles against the Bills last week, while Tulloch notched one of the club's two sacks. The Titans rank a middle-of-the- pack 16th in the league against the run (109.3 yards per game).

FANTASY FOCUS

It's safe to say that if you own Chris Johnson, the Titans' running back star is giving you a great chance to win every week. If you're relying on any other Tennessee players, it's safe to say you're in trouble. No other Tennessee player, perhaps with the exception of kicker Rob Bironas, is worth considering. The Titans defense had a nice day last week with two pick-six touchdowns, but remember that Houston has a much better offense than Buffalo and put up 34 points the last time these two met.

On the Texans side, Schaub and Andre Johnson are must-plays, but the somewhat nebulous running back situation is problematic for fantasy owners. It stands to reason that the team is going to try to get Slaton more involved due to his superior versatility to Moats, but it would seem that neither back is going to approach 25 touches. Likewise, it's hard to trust any of the team's secondary receiving targets. Houston kicker Kris Brown has missed four field goals in his last five games and deserves a place on the bench or waiver wire.

OVERALL ANALYSIS

The Titans are essentially facing a playoff game every week in their unlikely quest to get back into the postseason race, but this is a game in which their opponent has its back up against the wall as well. The Texans know they can't afford to squander home games if they are going to realize their playoff dreams for the first time, and coming off a well-timed bye, Kubiak's club should be fresh and focused on getting back in the win column. Young and Johnson will present a challenge for Houston's young and sometimes spotty defense, but the Texans have seen both players before and will limit them enough to put Schaub and the offense in good position. This result will probably be in doubt into the fourth quarter, but look for Houston to have the final word in a game it must have.

Predicted Outcome: Texans 23, Titans 16
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
NFL Matchup - Tennessee at Houston

Tennessee Titans (3-6) at Houston Texans (5-4)
Date: Monday, November 23rd
Kickoff: 8:30 p.m. (et)
Site: Reliant Stadium (71,054) -- Houston, Texas
Surface: Grass
Home Record: Tennessee 2-2; Houston 2-2
Away Record: Tennessee 1-4; Houston 3-2
Versus A-F-C South: Tennessee 1-3; Houston 1-2
Versus A-F-C: Tennessee 2-6; Houston 4-3
Current Win/Loss Streak: Tennessee 3W; Houston 1L
Current Road Win/Loss Streak: Tennessee 1W
Current Home Win/Loss Streak: Houston 2W
Television: ESPN
Announcers: Mike Tirico, Ron Jaworski and Jon Gruden
All-Time Series: Tennessee (11-4)
Last Meeting: September 20, 2009 (Houston, 34-31 at Tennessee)
Series Streak: Houston has won the last two meetings.

Season Schedule/Results
Tennessee Titans
Sep 10 - L at Pittsburgh, 10-13 (OT)
Sep 20 - L vs. Houston, 31-34
Sep 27 - L at NY Jets, 17-24
Oct 4 - L at Jacksonville, 17-37
Oct 11 - L vs. Indianapolis, 9-31
Oct 18 - L at New England, 0-59
Oct 25 - Open
Nov 1 - W vs. Jacksonville, 30-13
Nov 8 - W at San Francisco, 34-27
Nov 15 - W vs. Buffalo, 41-17
Nov 23 - at Houston, 8:30 PM
Nov 29 - vs. Arizona, 4:15 PM
Dec 6 - at Indianapolis, 1:00 PM
Dec 13 - vs. St. Louis, 1:00 PM
Dec 20 - vs. Miami, 1:00 PM
Dec 25 - vs. San Diego, 7:30 PM
Jan 3 - at Seattle, 4:15 PM
Houston Texans
Sep 13 - L vs. NY Jets, 7-24
Sep 20 - W at Tennessee, 34-31
Sep 27 - L vs. Jacksonville, 24-31
Oct 4 - W vs. Oakland, 29-6
Oct 11 - L at Arizona, 21-28
Oct 18 - W at Cincinnati, 28-17
Oct 25 - W vs. San Francisco, 24-21
Nov 1 - W at Buffalo, 31-10
Nov 8 - L at Indianapolis, 17-20
Nov 15 - Open
Nov 23 - vs. Tennessee, 8:30 PM
Nov 29 - vs. Indianapolis, 1:00 PM
Dec 6 - at Jacksonville, 1:00 PM
Dec 13 - vs. Seattle, 1:00 PM
Dec 20 - at St. Louis, 1:00 PM
Dec 27 - at Miami, 1:00 PM
Jan 3 - vs. New England, 1:00 PM
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
Texans look for sweep

Texans look for sweep

Texans look for sweep


Date: Monday, November 23rd
Time: 8:30 PM ET
TV: ESPN
Line: Texans -4 ?
Totals: 48 ?

At the start of the season this figured to be a matchup of two of the AFC?s best teams. We now know better, but this is still should be a good game. The Titans have won three straight, and feel like they are back on track. Houston is a different story. On paper they have the talent to play with any team in the league, but have had a hard time keeping momentum. The Texans have told us they believe they have to win this game to keep their playoff hopes alive. Look for a steady dose of Steve Slaton and Andre Johnson to control the clock, and keep the red hot Chris Johnson off the field.


Quarterback:
We are not ready to put Vince Young in the Hall Of Fame, but there is no question the Titans have responded to the decision to put him in the lineup. We still wonder why the decision had to come from Owner Bud (the finger) Adams instead of Jeff Fisher. Young?s numbers are not overwhelming (2 TD?s/2 Int?s 86RTG) but opposing teams understand that he is a different kind of weapon then Kerry Collins. We would like to see him stretch the field by throwing deep in order to open up the running game for Johnson.

Matt Schaub brings 17 touchdown passes into the game, but he also brings nine picks. The problem with Schaub all year has been his decision making, and the fact the he continues to try to force throws, which has led to some untimely turnovers. His main weapon is still Andre Johnson, but the Texans were devastated by the loss of TE Owen Daniels who led the team with five TD catches. Schaub had a monster game against the Titans in Week 2 throwing for more than 350 yards. We don?t see those kinds of numbers again against a healthy Titans secondary.

Running Back
It is too bad the Titans have struggled as much as they have in ?09, because it has kept Chris Johnson from getting the kind of press he deserves. Johnson has been a monster as proven by the fact he became the first back in NFL history to have a 90+ rushing TD, 50+ rushing TD, and 60+ receiving TD in the same game. Since the Titans are keeping Vince Young on a short leash, we expect a steady dose of Johnson. It is tough to argue the game plan since Johnson averages more than six yards per carry. Lyn Dale White has become the forgotten man for the Titans in Johnson?s breakout year with just 59 carries, and 1TD to this point.

For the Texans Steve Slaton continues to be listed as the No. 1 back on the depth chart, but his five fumbles are making that a week to week decision for Head Coach Gary Kubiak. The rushing game for Houston has not been very good, and Slaton and Ryan Moats need to step up in order to take the pressure of Schaub. Moats has been impressive in limited duty. He has as many rushing TD?s as Slaton in half the carries, and averages a yard more per carry then Slaton. For a team that is fighting for its playoff hopes, it may be the time to give Moats more chances, especially against a Titans run defense that has a knack of giving up big plays.

Wide Receiver:
None of the names listed at WR for the Titans are guys that should start thinking about their speeches at Canton anytime soon. We have never been able to figure out why Jeff Fisher settles for guys like Nate Washington instead of going out in free agency or in the draft and getting a legit No. 1. Look at the best teams in the league, and they all have a legit threat for the passing game. It is no surprise that Chris Johnson leads the team with 30 catches. Washington is second with 25, but our point is confirmed when you read that Washington needs one TD catch for a new career high of six.

On the other side of the ball, Andre Johnson is one of the league?s best. He has 4 100 yard games already in ?09, and has a history of pounding the Titans. Johnson is looking for his third straight 100+ game vs. the Titans, and has averaged 178 in his past two against Tennessee. With the season ending injury to Daniels, and Slaton?s problems holding on to the football, it would not be a surprise to see Johnson get plenty of looks. He will be matched up against one of the league?s best in Cortland Finnegan, but if history repeats itself, it could be a big night for the ESPN the Magazine cover boy.

Defense/Special Teams:
The Titans defense which has been brutal most of the year has started to show signs of life during the three-game win streak. Last week against the Bills, the Titans had two sacks, three tackles for a loss, and four QB hits. The bigger number that stands out is in the turnover department. In the six Tennessee losses, the Titans were -10 in turnover margin. During the win streak, the Titans are +7 with three INT returns for TD?s in the last two games. This could be a factor Monday night if Schaub again tries to force the issue in the passing game.

If you are the Texans, you will see on simple message written on the chalkboard during all defensive meetings this week??Stop Chris Johnson and we win the Game?. If only it was that simple. Johnson has been the key weapon during the Titans resurgence averaging more than 165 yards rushing PER GAME, not to mention the fact he added 100 yard receiving against the Bills. The Texans will load the box and force Young to beat them with his arm which may contain Johnson rushing the ball, but how the Texans defend him coming out of the backfield will be a major concern.

Key Injuries:
HOU-TE Owen Daniels/knee-(out)

Betting Trends:
Titans are 0-5 ATS against a team with a winning record
Titans are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against the AFC South
Texans are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against the AFC South
The OVER is 4-0 in the Titans last four games
The OVER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings between the two teams
The UNDERDOG is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings between the two teams
 

rubiertz

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 3, 2009
179
0
0
Thanks,...

Thanks,...

But could you provide a few more details about tonight's matchup?

:mj07:
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
Titans look to stay hot

Titans look to stay hot

Titans look to stay hot


Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans (ESPN, 8:30 p.m.)
Fans on the Gulf Coast might have some mixed feelings Monday night when the Titans (n? Houston Oilers) visit the Texans. But there?s no room for sentiment when it comes to gambling, especially on pro football.

It?s been 12 years since Tennessee owner Bud Adams pulled up stakes and moved the Oilers after failing to get the city to build a new stadium. Two years later, the NFL awarded an expansion franchise to Houston, and the Texans began play in 2002 at the new Reliant Stadium.

Could this be the year? After finishing 8-8 the past two seasons, the Texans are on the right track in 2009 at 5-4 (5-3-1 ATS). They?ve outscored their opponents by an average of three points (24-21).

Houston is a four-point favorite at press time, while the total is hovering around 48.

We saw the Texans edge Tennessee 34-31 in Nashville back in Week 2, but there have been some important changes over the past two months, including a rotation behind center. Vince Young regained his starting job for the Titans. Since Young (85.9 passer rating) took over the duties, the Titans have won three straight games to improve to 3-6 straight up and 4-5 against the spread.

Houston had to deal with some changes as well, in particular the offensive line. Left guard Chester Pitts (microfracture knee surgery) and right guard Mike Brisiel (Lisfranc surgery) went on injured reserve. This has been a significant blow to Texans' running game, which ranks second to last in efficiency. Running back Steve Slaton (3.1 yards per carry, five fumbles) is just getting his starting job back this week after losing it to Ryan Moats (4.1 yards per carry) because of his issues with fumbles.

While the ground game has struggled, Houston has compensated through the air with quarterback Matt Schaub posting the best numbers (17 TDs, 98.1 passer rating) of his career. But Schaub has lost one of his favorite targets for the rest of the year in tight end Owen Daniels (knee).

If that wasn?t enough, No. 3 wide receiver Jacoby Jones (calf) is listed as 'questionable' for MNF. Jones had four catches for 67 yards against the Colts in Daniels? absence for his most productive game of the season thus far. He?s one of the best returners in the NFL, both on kicks and punts, so his health is of significant importance in the outcome of this game.

The Titins are very healthy at this time of year, but they?re still without the services of WR Justin Gage (back).

Signing and retaining receivers has been a problem for the Titans, who are feeling the monetary pinch after moving away from the fourth largest city in the United States. But Tennessee is thriving on the ground. Even though Young (3.1 yards per carry) is playing a more conservative style that de-emphasizes his scrambling, the work of RB Chris Johnson has been exemplary this year. Johnson torched Houston for 197 yards on just 16 carries in Week 2 and figures to play a prominent role again on MNF.

The Texans won their last two meetings with Tennessee as underdogs to snap a seven-game losing streak at 1-6 ATS. The OVER is on a 6-1 run, and Houston should be fresh at home coming off the bye.
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
Hot Night in Houston
November 22, 2009


The MNF battle between the Houston Texans and Tennessee Titans goes far beyond the game itself.

Houston (5-4 SU, 5-3-1 ATS) is a four-point home favorite with an Over/Under of 48 ?-points.

ESPN will have the Monday night broadcast crew ready at 8:30 pm ET.

The city of Houston is extremely ?pumped and jacked? for this game. Their beloved Oilers franchise was moved to Tennessee in 1997 by owner Bud Adams, and the fans still get riled whenever they come to town.

Fortunately, Houston is housing a pretty good team right now. They are sixth in the NFL in total yards, although they haven?t done a great job converting it into points (23.9 PPG, 14th in the league).

Matt Schaub and the passing attack are ranked third in the league. He should have success against the Tennessee secondary. The running game needs to be more consistent and stop fumbling. This means you Steve Slaton!

Houston has played very good football since October 1st. They started out 4-1 SU (3-1-1 ATS) with the only loss coming at Arizona. The Texans did lose a 20-17 heartbreaker at Indianapolis in their last game, but they?re ready to move forward after enjoying a bye-week.

These teams meet twice a year as AFC South rivals. Houston won in Tennessee in September, 34-31 as seven-point ?dogs. Matt Schaub had 357 passing yards, four touchdown and no picks. That offset 240 rushing yards by Tennessee.

The underdog is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings between the teams. The ?over? is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.

Titans turning season around

Tennessee (3-6 SU, 4-5 ATS) has made a nice mid-season surge by going 3-0 SU and ATS in the last three games. That streak coincided with the insertion of Vince Young at quarterback.

Young is the former Texas Longhorns? great, who returns to the City of Houston where he is still beloved. The Texans had a chance to draft Young back in 2006, but went with d-lineman Mario Williams instead.

Young isn?t putting up great fantasy numbers, but he?s playing winning football with an 85.9 quarterback rating. The real winning formula has been Chris Johnson and the running game, averaging 208 YPG the last three weeks.

Houston?s defense is susceptible to a good rushing attack. If the Titans can control the clock, and keep the potent Houston passing attack off the field, they should have a good chance of covering this spread.
 
Bet on MyBookie
Top