THE DAY AFTER : ALL I CAN FIND INFO HERE

Lumi · Nov 27, 2009

Friday's Afternoon Action
November 26, 2009

Friday might signal the start of the holiday shopping season for some. For other, it?s a chance to make Christmas/Hanukah/Kwanzaa/whatever the hell you celebrate a lot better with more money to spend. We have 13 games on the day after Thanksgiving; let?s take a look at three of the matchups on the card.

Illinois at Cincinnati ? 12:00 p.m. EST, ABC

I?m sure this game looked a lot better on paper when it was scheduled a few years ago, but things do change. Illinois (3-7 straight up, 3-6 against the spread) can attest to that as they play out the string as they fail to make a bowl game for the second straight year.

The Illini have been awful on the attack this year, averaging a Big Ten-worst 20.2 points per game. Part of the reason for that is some inconsistency in Juice Williams under center. The senior quarterback has only completed 57.6 percent of his passes this year and has nearly as many interceptions (5) as he does touchdowns (6).

There has only been one thing worse than the offense for Illinois, and it?s its defense. The Illini have certainly lacked the fight in 2009 as they rank 89th nationally in total defense (400.3 yards per game) and just gave up 305 passing yards last week to Northwestern.

That defense will certainly get a workout against Cincinnati?s (10-0 SU, 5-4 ATS) offense that currently ranks seventh nationally 314.3 YPG through the air. The Bearcats appear that they will be more lethal on the attack with Tony Pike scheduled to be their starting quarterback. Pike has completed 61 percent of his throws for 4,147 yards and 17 scores. He has also only been sacked six times all year. In fact, Cincy?s o-line is ninth in the country by allowing their QB to be sacked nine times.

The sportsbooks are expecting an ugly affair here as the Bearcats are listed as 20-point home favorites with a total of 56 ?. You can expect a big payday if you?re looking to back Illinois to win outright with a plus-1000 return (risk $100 to win $1000).

Normally we can glean something useful from previous matchups between the two schools, but that won?t be a damn thing since this is the first head-to-head meeting. What we can tell you is that Cincy is 1-3 SU, but 3-1 ATS when hosting a team from the Big Ten.

The Bearcats are practically automatic when favored at home, going 9-2. As far as our purposes are concerned, they?re just 5-6 ATS. The ?under? is 7-3-1 in those tilts as well.

Illinois has gone 4-17 SU when playing as a road underdog under Ron Zook. However, they are 10-11 ATS in that stretch and 4-1 ATS run in its last five spots.

Alabama at Auburn ? 2:30 p.m. EST, CBS

It doesn?t seem too long ago that Auburn (7-4 SU, 5-6 ATS) was one of the better teams in the SEC. Now the Tigers are just looking to build on whatever positives there are from Gene Chizik?s first year at the helm.

The Tigers got a much needed week off after playing for 11 straight weeks. That time off helps a team that isn?t all that deep. What the lack in depth, however, they make up for in skill?especially on offense. Auburn currently ranks 16th in the nation with 441.5 YPG on offense this season. The majority of that success is coming from signal caller Chris Todd (59.9 completion percentage, 2,196 yards, 19 touchdowns) and tailback Ben Tate (1,209 yards, eight touchdowns).

Tate will have the toughest challenge going up against Alabama?s (11-0 SU, 7-3 ATS) defense. The Crimson Tide currently owns the second-best rush defense in all the land, allowing only 70.6 YPG on the ground in 2009. Nick Saban?s crew is also keeping teams from moving the chains by allowing opponents to convert just 28.6 percent of their third downs.

Offensively, the Tide are a tad one-sided, but it?s a hell of a side in Mark Ingram. The sophomore running back is the fifth-ranked rusher in the country as he?s picking up 127.2 YPG on the ground to go along with 12 scores in ?09. Ingram is no doubt licking his chops as he?ll face a defense that is giving up 169.7 rushing YPG to rank 88th nationally against the run.

Most sportsbooks have posted the Crimson Tide as 10 ?-point road favorites and a total of 47. Gamblers can get 3/1 on their money should they choose to back Auburn on the money line.

Something will have to give between these two teams as they?re good gambles on both sides. The Tigers have been a great wager to cover as home ?dogs over the last four seasons, as evidenced by a 2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS mark. Meanwhile, Alabama is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS since 2005 as a road ?chalk? of 10 ?-points or higher.

This series has seen the home team go 3-2 SU, but 4-1 ATS. The ?under? has been a wise bet as it has cashed in eight of the last 10 head-to-head meetings.

Pittsburgh at West Virginia ? 7:00 p.m. EST, ESPN 2

Pittsburgh (9-1 SU, 6-3 ATS) has its BCS fate its own hands as they play the final two weeks of the season. That might have come into play on Nov. 14 in the Panthers? 27-22 win over Notre Dame as six-point home favorites. Pitt took a 27-9 lead in the fourth quarter of that match, before holding on for the win.

The Panthers have been able to make it this far because of a fantastic ground game, headlined by Dion Lewis. This freshman phenom is the fourth-best runner in the country with 1,291 yards on the ground and 13 scores.

Pitt has also been quite effective through the air with Bill Stull under center. Since the Panthers? loss to N.C. State, Stull has completed 67 percent of his pass attempts for 1,369 yards and 10 touchdowns.

West Virginia (7-3 SU, 3-6 ATS) enters this contest with hopes of catching the Panthers in a ?look-ahead? spot for them. The Mountaineers have to feel somewhat upbeat for playing Cincy tight in their last game, a 24-21 defeat as 9 ?-point road pups.

Noel Devine has been a big part of the Mountaineers? attack, picking up 1,098 rushing yards and 10 scores this year. Devine, however, has been held to no scores in his last two games and just 144 yards rushing.

It would appear that West Virginia will need to take its offense to the air in order to have a chance in this game. That means Jarrett Brown will be looked to come up big. Brown has connected on 62 percent of his passes for 282 yards and two scores over his last two starts.

The betting shops believe this game is too close to call by posting this game as a pick ?em with a total of 49. Don?t bother on looking for value on the money line as both teams are listed minus-110 (risk $110 to win $100).

Pittsburgh and the ?Neers have split the last 10 meetings, but the Panthers have claimed bragging rights in five of the last nine games. The home team has been the better wager as they are 6-4 ATS in that stretch.

What might sway some gamblers is how West Virginia plays versus Big East foes in Morgantown. The Mountaineers are 15-4 SU over the last five years in conference games at home. However, they are just 5-14 ATS in those same matches. Pittsburgh is 6-2 SU and ATS in its last eight games on the road in Big East play.

Lumi · Nov 27, 2009

Cincinnati QB Pike expected back against Illinois

Cincinnati QB Pike expected back against Illinois

Cincinnati QB Pike expected back against Illinois
November 26, 2009

CINCINNATI (AP) -Tony Pike to Mardy Gilyard. One of the nation's top passing tandems is on the mend.

The strong-armed senior quarterback is expected to run Cincinnati's offense on Friday when the fifth-ranked Bearcats (10-0) play their final home game against Illinois (3-7). That could mean another big day for his elusive senior receiver.

They have something good together.

``The connection hasn't gone anywhere,'' said Gilyard, the Big East's leading receiver. ``All week we've been clicking. We've got our timing back. My man's back again. He's fully loaded and ready to throw.''

Pike's return will be the most intriguing element of an out-of-conference game for teams at the opposite ends of their leagues.

The Bearcats had one of the nation's top offenses when Pike got hurt at South Florida on Oct. 15. A helmet hit damaged a protective plate in his non-passing forearm, which had been broken last year. Pike had to have the plate replaced.

Sophomore backup Zach Collaros took over and kept the offense rolling for the next four games. The only thing he lacked: that connection with Gilyard. The receiver caught a touchdown pass in each of the first five games with Pike, a total of seven in all. Since then, he's caught only one.

Pike returned during a 24-21 win over West Virginia on Nov. 13, taking four snaps and throwing two touchdown passes. He spent the last two weeks - Cincinnati had a bye - running the offense and getting back into the flow with a protective cast on the left forearm.

Everyone on Cincinnati's side is waiting to see what happens the first time he gets hit.

``He tells me every day his arm feels good,'' said Gilyard, whose 22 career touchdown catches match the school record. ``My main concern is how he's going to feel when he gets hit and falls. He's like, 'Buddy, don't worry about it. We're good. We're going to go out here on senior day and take care of business.'''

Pike has thrown for 1,649 yards and 17 touchdowns with only three interceptions. Coach Brian Kelly said he looked close to form during practice this week.

``I felt like (Monday) was the first day really where there was a smooth continuity with Tony back out there,'' Kelly said. ``You could see the little things coming back to where he was before he got injured.''

Pike is still limited - he can't take a direct snap from center, for instance, so the Bearcats will work out of the shotgun while he's in there. Kelly expects Collaros to get into the game in some running situations, which best suit his style.

``He's more situational because he can do a little bit more in the running game for us and provide us with some things we may need to call on,'' Kelly said. ``If we don't need him at all, beautiful.''

The Illini are counting on seeing both of them.

``They have - I don't want to say two different offenses, but there are two different mindsets,'' coach Ron Zook said. ``We have to be very, very aware of who is in the game.

``Our defense has to understand we're not going to shut these guys out. We're going to have to contain them.''

Illinois also expects to have its starting quarterback. Senior Juice Williams hurt his left ankle during a 35-32 win over Minnesota on Nov. 7 and sat out a 21-16 loss to Northwestern. He's expected to start on Friday after looking good in practice during the week.

Williams is 22 yards shy of becoming the sixth player in Big Ten history to have 10,000 total yards in his career.

``Juice is fine,'' Zook said. ``I think what we did in not playing him in the last game has probably turned out to be the right thing to do.''

After its first-ever game against Cincinnati, Illinois finishes its season against Fresno State. For the Bearcats, the game on Friday is a chance to stay in the conversation about national title contenders - one of only six unbeaten teams - and get Pike ready for a Big East showdown.

Cincinnati plays at Pittsburgh on Dec. 5, a game that will likely determine the league champion. Cincinnati won it for the first time last season.

First, the seniors want to go out with a perfect home record. Cincinnati has won its last 16 regular-season games, including 11 straight at Nippert Stadium.

``We're trying to end it with a bang,'' Gilyard said. ``We're trying to end undefeated at the Nip. The last time we lost at the Nip was '07. We haven't looked back since, and we plan not to look back. The Nip is our palace, and we intend to keep it as clean as possible. By that I mean: No losses.''

Lumi · Nov 27, 2009

Cincinnati Bearcats (4-0) (1-0 H) vs Illinois Fighting Illini (1-4) (0-2 A)

Game Time: 3:30 p.m. EDT Friday, November 27

Stadium: Nippert Stadium Surface: Turf

RECORD ANALYSIS
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Illinois Fighting Illini HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL

Year-to-Date 2 - 4 1 - 3 3 - 7 1 - 4 2 - 2 3 - 6 1 - 4 1 - 3 2 - 7
Last 5 games 1 - 1 1 - 2 2 - 3 1 - 1 2 - 1 3 - 2 0 - 2 1 - 2 1 - 4
YTD vs. Conf. 1 - 3 1 - 3 2 - 6 1 - 3 2 - 2 3 - 5 1 - 3 1 - 3 2 - 6
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Cincinnati Bearcats HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL
Year-to-Date 5 - 0 5 - 0 10 - 0 1 - 3 4 - 1 5 - 4 1 - 3 2 - 3 3 - 6
Last 5 games 3 - 0 2 - 0 5 - 0 1 - 2 2 - 0 3 - 2 1 - 2 1 - 1 2 - 3
YTD vs. Conf. 3 - 0 3 - 0 6 - 0 1 - 2 3 - 0 4 - 2 1 - 2 2 - 1 3 - 3
AWAY VS. SPREAD HOME VS. SPREAD
Year-to-Date FAV DOG GRASS TURF FAV DOG GRASS TURF
Illinois Fighting Illini 0 - 1 2 - 1 1 - 2 1 - 0 0 - 2 1 - 2 0 - 0 1 - 4
Cincinnati Bearcats 3 - 1 1 - 0 1 - 1 3 - 0 1 - 3 0 - 0 0 - 0 1 - 3

TEAM LOGS/SCHEDULE:
( * = overtime)

Illinois Fighting Illini
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat MO 9 - 37 L -5.5 -7 L -35 61.0 59.0 U -13.0 T
09/12/09 Sat ILS 45 - 17 W -0 -0 W 28 NL NL T
09/26/09 Sat @OHST 0 - 30 L +15 +13.5 L -16.5 53.0 49.5 U -19.5 G
10/03/09 Sat PAST 17 - 35 L +4 +7.5 L -10.5 45.0 48.0 O +- 4.0 T
10/10/09 Sat MIST 14 - 24 L +4 +4 L -6 53.0 54.5 U -16.5 T
10/17/09 Sat @IN 14 - 27 L -2.5 -3.5 L -16.5 50.0 54.0 U -13.0 G
10/24/09 Sat @PUR 14 - 24 L +11 +10.5 W 0.5 52.0 55.5 U -17.5 G
10/31/09 Sat MI 38 - 13 W +8.5 +7 W 32 52.0 53.5 U -2.5 T
11/07/09 Sat @MN 35 - 32 W +4.5 +6.5 W 9.5 51.0 52.0 O +-15.0 T
11/14/09 Sat NW 16 - 21 L -5.5 -5.5 L -10.5 50.0 50.0 U -13.0 T

Cincinnati Bearcats
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/07/09 Mon @RUT 47 - 15 W +6.5 +4.5 W 36.5 49.0 47.5 O +-14.5 G
09/12/09 Sat SEM 70 - 3 W -0 -0 W 67 NL NL T
09/19/09 Sat @ORST 28 - 18 W +3.5 -1.5 W 8.5 54.0 57.0 U -11.0 T
09/26/09 Sat FRE 28 - 20 W -14 -17 L -9 59.0 63.0 U -15.0 T
10/03/09 Sat @MIAOH 37 - 13 W -26 -29 L -5 56.0 59.0 U -9.0 G
10/15/09 Thu @SFLA 34 - 17 W +1.5 -1.5 W 15.5 49.5 49.0 O +- 2.0 T
10/24/09 Sat LOU 41 - 10 W -17 -17 W 14 55.0 56.0 U -5.0 T
10/31/09 Sat @SYR 28 - 7 W -16 -15.5 W 5.5 51.0 52.5 U -17.5 T
11/07/09 Sat CT 47 - 45 W -12 -16.5 L -14.5 49.0 51.5 O +-40.5 T
11/13/09 Fri WV 24 - 21 W -8.5 -9.5 L -6.5 56.0 56.5 U -11.5 T

PREVIOUS MEETINGS:

LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY VIS SC HOM SC OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
NO PREVIOUS MEETINGS

STATISTICAL AVERAGES:

AWAY/HOME RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
IL (off) 15.8 18 39 140 3.6 30 17 0.6 182 6.1 322 1.0 1.0
CIN (def) 19.8 19 42 175 4.2 28 16 0.6 174 6.2 349 1.0 0.4
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
IL (def) 28.3 21 38 164 4.3 27 15 0.6 201 7.4 365 0.3 1.0
CIN (off) 42.0 21 32 183 5.7 30 22 0.7 328 10.9 511 0.2 0.2
ALL GAMES RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
IL (off) 20.2 19 40 191 4.8 28 15 0.5 179 6.4 370 1.0 0.7
CIN (def) 16.9 19 38 133 3.5 33 20 0.6 203 6.2 336 1.4 0.3
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
IL (def) 26.0 21 38 160 4.2 31 18 0.6 240 7.7 400 0.4 1.0
CIN (off) 38.4 21 31 164 5.3 34 23 0.7 314 9.2 478 0.5 0.1

SCORING AVERAGES:

Illinois Fighting Illini (away) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 5.3 5.3 10.6 1.8 3.5 0.0 5.3
POINTS ALLOWED 2.5 11.0 13.5 4.0 10.8 0.0 14.8

Cincinnati Bearcats (home) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 13.2 13.8 27 9.0 6.0 0.0 15
POINTS ALLOWED 4.0 6.2 10.2 3.4 6.2 0.0 9.6

Illinois Fighting Illini (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 4.2 4.0 8.2 4.2 7.8 0.0 12
POINTS ALLOWED 4.1 7.3 11.4 6.1 8.5 0.0 14.6

Cincinnati Bearcats (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 9.6 14.5 24.1 7.3 7.0 0.0 14.3
POINTS ALLOWED 4.7 4.3 9 3.7 4.2 0.0 7.9

VALUE INDEX COMPARISON TO LAS VEGAS LINE:

LV POINTSPREAD VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING LINE EDGE
Illinois Fighting Illini 43 12.5
Cincinnati Bearcats 43 -4.0
LV OVER/UNDER VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING EDGE
OVER/UNDER 50.5 UNKNOWN

Lumi · Nov 27, 2009

College Football Powers look to avoid Black Friday

College Football Powers look to avoid Black Friday

College Football Powers look to avoid Black Friday

In case you missed it, tomorrow is considered a big shopping day and virtually every store in the country has a deal, no really it its true, saw it on the news and online. It?s called Black Friday because of the frenzied pace of the day at these stores. Today in college football, several teams with high aspirations are looking to avoid the dark cloud that could ruin their dreams today. On this Black Friday, Temple, Cincinnati, Alabama and Pittsburgh all hope to sidestep and not come up empty like many people?s debit accounts at the end of the day. Lines from Sportsbook.com.

Temple (-2.5, 46.5) at Ohio 11:00E ESPNU

After being kicked out of the Big East, Temple (9-2, 8-2 ATS), in just its third season in the MAC, plays for Eastern Division crown at Ohio U. The Owls are strong in the trenches, a mark of a successful football team and will seek to embark their will on the Bobcats. In last three years, Temple is 23-10 ATS in all games. The Bobcats (8-3, 6-4 ATS) have kept the pressure on Temple all season with just one MAC defeat and can play for second conference crown in four years. Ohio U. has split their last 10 home finales of the season, but is 7-3 ATS, including three in a row. Since this series began, the home team is 2-0 SU and ATS. The winner moves on to face Central Michigan next Friday for the MAC championship.

Power Line ? Temple by 5
Outplay Factor ? Ohio covers

Illinois at Cincinnati (-21, 57.5) 12:00E ABC

Illinois (3-7, 2-7-1 ATS) evidently is the first Big Ten team to aggressively pursue playing games later in the year and not being caught having a month or more before playing a bowl game. Turns out it didn?t matter this year, besides the Illini are 2-15 ATS vs. passing teams like the Bearcats (314 YPG) averaging 275 or more passing yards game. Cincinnati (10-0, 6-4 ATS) finishes off the home portion of schedule and needs this win to set up colossal battle with Pittsburgh for Big East title and more. The Bearcats are off a bye and 14-4 ATS after two home games. This is first ever meeting between these teams and first Big Ten team at Nippert Stadium since 2001.

This game doesn?t directly affect Cincinnati as far as BCS bid goes, however should Texas be upset; the Bearcats want to be at the doorstep to possibly play for national championship. Bettors have a great deal of faith in Cincy, as they opened at -17.

Power Line ? Cincinnati by 17
Forecaster ? Cincinnati covers

Alabama (-10, 46.5) at Auburn 2:30E CBS

While Michigan State and Ohio State is known as the best college football rivalry, the amount of true hatred that divides the state of Alabama for this matchup is legendary. There is no game that has loyalties running deeper than Alabama and Auburn. This is a regionalized affair that is important to every Alabamian. In a state that has had a century-old love affair with college football, this one is about 60 minutes of football determining bragging rights in Alabama for the next 364 days.

The Crimson Tide (7-3 ATS) is in a precarious position, thinking about next week?s mega-matchup with Florida, while trying to get there having to visit a dangerous Auburn squad on the road. Alabama is 11-0 for the second straight year and appears to have regained offensive rhythm, with quarterback Greg McElroy back to previous form. The defense is relentless and it will be intriguing to see what Auburn?s offense does against the Crimson Tide. Alabama routed Chattanooga last week in tune-up 45-0 and is 13-4 ATS in road games after scoring 37 points or more in last game.

Auburn?s offensive firepower has been stymied in last six SEC games, averaging just 21.6 points per contest. Quarterback Chris Todd hasn?t been as effective against stronger competition and turnovers have manifested themselves as a part of the offense. The Tigers (7-4, 5-5 ATS) have started fast the last three games, which would help before crowd looking for blood after Auburn was shutout 36-0 last year in Tuscaloosa, the most lopsided game in 47 years. The Tigers are 2-8 ATS in last 10 contests off a loss.

The Tigers are 7-4 ATS in last 11 encounters with Alabama and the home team 4-1 against the number.

Power Line ? Alabama by 10
- Auburn covers

Pittsburgh (-1, 49) at West Virginia 7:00E ESPN2

This is known as the ?Backyard Brawl? and it has grown in stature nationally, with West Virginia (7-3, 3-6 ATS) being a national contender in recent years and Pittsburgh (9-1, 6-2-1 ATS) improving steadily. This year shows a changing of the guard, with the Panthers the high ranked team, playing for a BCS bowl berth. This places the Mountaineers in the enviable position of being the home underdog, as least perception wise and they will look to end two game losing streak to Pitt. West Virginia?s defense will have to prevent Dion Lewis from attacking the weak side like Cincinnati did (9.7 yards per carry) and get pressure on quarterback Bill Stull. The offensive line has to open up more running lanes for Noel Devine and QB Jarrett Brown needs to find the magic touch he had early in the year. The ?Teers are 2-6 ATS in home finales.

As much as this game means to Pittsburgh from emotional perspective, the matchup with Cincinnati offers even more with Big East title on the line and BCS bowl berth. Coach Dave Wannstedt won?t want his troops going to battle next week off a loss. Pittsburgh will try to use proven formula this season, have the defensive front four control the other teams offense and keep everything in front of them. On offense, stay balanced, moving the chains and hit enough big plays to surprise the opposing team. The Panthers are 3-8 ATS before their final home game.

This is the 102nd meeting between these bitter rivals and Pittsburgh hasn?t won three straight in 27 years. The Panthers are dismal 5-15 ATS in road games after a two-game home stand

Power Line ? Pittsburgh by 3
? Pittsburgh covers

Lumi · Nov 27, 2009

Lumi · Nov 27, 2009

REDSKIN · Nov 27, 2009

Hey Ill, just wanted to say thanks for all the info you post on a regular basis. It's all good stuff and it saves a'lot of time for the rest of us. Just want you to know it doesn't go unnoticed.

Lumi · Nov 27, 2009

Thank you Redskin,
It's nice to see that you are benefitting from the time.

I can send you the Links if you want them?

Lumi · Nov 27, 2009

College football Top 25 cheat sheet: Week 13

College football Top 25 cheat sheet: Week 13

College football Top 25 cheat sheet: Week 13

Illinois (3-7) at No. 5 Cincinnati (10-0): -20.5, 57

Why Illinois will cover:

The Fighting Illini are 3-1 ATS in their last four games and they haven't been 20-point underdogs since 2006. They were 20-point dogs four times that year and they covered each time. Also Juice Williams is expected to start after sitting out the last two games. The talented senior has had a disappointing season and will look to close out his career strong

Why Cincinnati will cover will cover

The Bearcats are the least talked about undefeated team (TCU and Boise State get more press) and they play in a BCS conference. With Pittsburgh on the schedule next week, Cincinnati, which is averaging 38.4 points a game and ranks third in total offense at 478 ppg, will look to make a statement to poll voters.

The teams are combined 6-13-1 over/under. Five of the last six Illinois games have gone under the total. Cincinnati games are averaging 58.1 points when its is favored by more than 10 points

No. 3 Alabama (11-0) at Auburn (7-4): +10, 46

Why Alabama will cover

Bama is the best cover team in the SEC at 7-4 ATS and it is beating teams this season by an average of 23.2 points. Last year's Iron Bowl was in Tuscaloosa and the Tide won 36-0. Their ground attack is averaging 225.6 yards per game and will be going up against a defense that 88th against the rush

Why Auburn will cover

Line opened at 12, but since then it has seen downward movement as low as 9.5 despite the fact that popular opinion is on Alabama to cover. Auburn has covered the last two games at home in this series. In the last seven games, the 2008 Iron Bowl was the only one where the point differential was greater than 10 points.

Iron Bowl games have gone under the total eight times in the last 10 and Alabama has the top-ranked defense in the country giving up only 225.2 yards per game. Auburn does however run an up-tempo offense and its games have gone 7-3-1 over/under this season

No. 23 Nebraska (8-3) at Colorado (3-8): +10.5, 40

Why Nebraska will cover

Nebrasaka is 7-4 ATS this season. The last three times that the Huskers have been favorites in this series, they have covered and by an average of 8.8 points. Colorado who ranks 108th in total offense this year could possibly have a tough time scoring points against a Nebraska team that is only giving up 10.3 points per game.

Why Colorado will cover

The Cornhuskers have been double-digit favorites four times this season in Big 12 play and they have failed to cover in each game. Colorado has been a double-digit underdog in three games this season and it has covered each time. The most reason being a close 31-28 loss to Oklahoma State where it was a 17-point dog. It?s been a short week for Nebraska and the Buffs will be more rested coming into this contest on eight-days rest.

This is an incredibly low number for this series as 71 points was scored in last year's game and 116 in 2007. However, Nebraska's tough D has made it one of the best under bets of the year as it is 2-9 over/under.

No. 9 Pittsburgh (9-1) at West Virginia (7-3): -1, 49

Why Pittsburgh will cover

The Panthers have been in fine form since their loss to North Carolina State in September, going 6-0 straight up and 4-2 ATS. Pitt has covered in the last two games in this series which included a 13-9 victory in 2007 where it was a 28.5 point underdog. That game also spoiled West Virginia's national title hopes.

Why West Virginia will cover

Game is basically a pick ?em and the Mountaineers have home field advantage. That will come into play in the second half where Pitt has collapsed against tough teams. In their loss to NC State, the Panthers blew a 31-17 lead and in their last game against Notre Dame, the Irish scored 19 points in the fourth and came within five points of an upset.

The total was off in the last two games in this series, with last year's number going under by 14 points and the 2007 game going under by 37. Pitt is 3-6 over/under this season but every WVU game that has been set under 50, has gone over.

Nevada (8-3) at No. 6 Boise State (11-0): -14, 70

Why Nevada will cover

After an 0-3 start to the season, the Wolf Pack and their pistol attack have won eight in a row and covered the spread six time during that streak. This will be the most complex offense that Boise State will face as Nevada leads the nation in rushing with 373.8 yards per game. Three players already have 1,000 yards rushing, including QB Colin Kaepernick who has 1,129 yards and 16 TDs on the ground.

Why Boise State will cover

A lot is a stake for the Broncos with a BCS bowl spot and the WAC title on the line in this battle of conference unbeatens. Boise State?s offense leads the NCAA in points scored at 44.4 per game and is a bit more balanced than Nevada, which should keep them honest. That could come into play large with a Wolf Pack secondary that ranks 119th giving up 286.3 yards per game in the air. Boise State is 8-3 ATS this season.

Nevada and Boise State are both averaging over 40 points a game but 70 is the highest number that they have had to deal with this year. The two games in which the Wolf Pack were dogs have gone under, but BSU?s last three games have gone over the total

No. 24 North Carolina (8-3) at North Carolina State (4-7): +5.5, 50.5

Why North Carolina will cover

The Tar Heels have covered the spread in their last four games and head coach Butch Davis has his best team in three years with UNC at 8-3. Their defense has been outstanding, forcing 28 turnovers. The offense doesn't have impressive stats but it has put up 30 plus point in their last two games.

Why will NC State cover

Butch Davis has had two shots at NC State and his Tar Heels lost in both games. Last year being a 41-10 blowout in Chapel Hill. At times, Russell Wilson shows flashes of brilliance. He has thrown for 2,768 yards and 27 TDs this season. There is added motivation for an upset with the tragic news of OC Dana Bible being diagnosed with leukemia

NC State's has been one of the best bets with the over this season at 9-2 over/under. However, that offense will be facing a UNC defense that ranks fifth in the NCAA giving up just 261.6 yards per game. UNC is 1-4 on totals when they are favorites.

No. 16 Clemson (8-3) at South Carolina (6-5): +3, 44

Why Clemson will cover

Clemson goes into this game with a six-game winning streak, while South Carolina is on a four-game losing streak. C.J. Spiller will look to have a big game against his in-state rivals and with an offense that is averaging 33 points a game - the second highest in the conference. The Tigers have also made their backers happy this season going 8-3 ATS.

Why South Carolina will cover

Honestly its tough to find a reason why the Gamecocks will cover but homefield advantage in a rivalry game is a plus. Future NFLer Eric Norton will be playing in his last game and he has the backing of secondary that ranks seventh in passing defense, which could be a key factor in keeping this game close.

South Carolina is 1-4 over/under in its last five while the last three Clemson games have gone over. Both teams rank within the Top 20 in defense.

No. 25 Ole Miss (8-2) at Mississippi State (4-7): +7.5, 49

Why Ole Miss will cover

A two-possession victory is a strong possibility as Ole Miss is simply the better team in every category and is coming off a three-game winning streak and the high of a victory over LSU. Last year, the Rebels dominated the Egg Bowl destroying the Bulldogs 45-0. Quarterback Jevan Snead had an outstanding game last year throwing four TDs.

Why Mississippi State will cover

The Rebels defense will have its focus on Bulldogs running back Anthony Dixon, who has 1,258 rushing yards and 11 TDs this year. The senior rushed for 176 yards and two TDs versus Arkansas last week and will look to close out his career strong. The home team has also won the game straight up in the last five meetings.

Ole Miss? SEC games have gone under nine times in the last 12, but its last three conference games have gone over. Six of the last seven Egg Bowl games have gone under the total.

No. 12 Oklahoma State (9-2) at Oklahoma (6-5): -8, 49

Why Oklahoma State will cover

The Cowboys have not won a game in this series since 2002, but at 9-2 this is one their best team in years. The line could be a bit inflated with the 6-5 Sooners having one of its worst seasons in recent memory. Oklahoma State?s rush defense has been solid this year, giving up only 82.6 yards a game.

Why Oklahoma will cover

Oklahoma State has been an underdog only once this season and it loss 41-14 to Texas as a 9-point pup. The Sooners have the talent to blowout this game and they have yet to lose in Norman this season, where they have beat teams by an average of 40.4 points per game

The Sooners are 2-9 over/under this season despite the fact that they are scoring 31.5 points per game. The total in this rivalry has gone over five times in the last seven games.

New Mexico (1-10) at No. 4 TCU (11-0): -45, 55.5

Why New Mexico will cover

With the spread at 45, this is the highest number that both teams will be dealing with this season and there is too many variables to consider if TCU is to cover. One has to figure out at what point coach Gary Patterson will pull his starters. Combine that with the fact that New Mexico is coming off an upset win over Colorado State

Why TCU will cover

TCU has covered the spread in six straight games and only one of those games (vs BYU) was the spread below 20 points. Also, New Mexico is simply one of the worst teams, ranking 111th in points scored and 108th in points allowed. That?s tough going up against a program that is in the Top 5 in offense and defense and is looking to make a statement to poll voters

The last three TCU games have gone over the total, but even if the Horned Frogs score 50, one has to factor whether or not the Lobos can get into the endzone against a team that is only giving up 12.6 points per game

No. 14 Virginia Tech (8-3) at Virginia (3-8): +16, 41.5

Why Virginia Tech will cover

The Hokies have covered the spread in their last three games, where they were double-digits favorites in all of those games. Virginia is one of the worst teams against the run which could lead to a big day from Virgnia Tech's freshman running back Ryan Williams. Last week against North Carolina State, Williams had four TDs on 120 yards. He has 1,355 yards and 14 TDs on the ground for the season.

Why Virginia will cover

Last year's contest was tight with Tech only winning by three points. The Cavaliers are at the bottom of the Coastal division but they kept their two most recent games against Clemson and Boston College close, the Atlantic Division's top two teams.

The last five Virginia Tech games have gone under the total, but their offense has been putting up points in their last two with 36 against Maryland and 38 versus NC State.

Florida State (6-5) at No. 1 Florida (11-0): -24, 56

Why Florida State will cover

The Gators are only 2-4 ATS in their last six games and with the SEC title game and back-to-back national titles on the horizon, Urban Meyer will look to protect the health of his starters. So even if an early blowout occurs, the Seminoles will have ample opportunity for a backdoor cover.

Why Florida will cover

The Florida offense has produced 45 points in both the 2007 and 2008 editions of this series, winning both those games by an average of 31.5 points. FSU will also have a tough time putting up points on the boards as the Gators have given up just 9.8 points per game this year.

The Gators have been a good under team this year going 3-7 over/under. Florida State is in the opposite direction hitting the over eight times this year.

Lumi · Nov 27, 2009

Where the action is: Friday's college football line moves

Where the action is: Friday's college football line moves

Where the action is: Friday's college football line moves

Check out Friday's biggest line moves:

Illinois at Cincinnati

The Bearcats opened as 17-point favorites, but saw the spread grow to 20.5 as of Thursday night. Surprisingly, people aren't buying into an Illinois squad that is 3-1 in their last four games and facing Cincinnati who is better on the road (4-1 ATS) than they are at home (2-3 ATS).

Northern Illinois at Central Michigan

The Chippewas have been destroying opponents at home this season, and a 3.5-point swing since the line opened shows bettors are on board. Central Michigan started as 9.5-point faves but are now listed at minus 13 largely due to that fact that they have outscored the opposition 208-57 at Kelly/Shorts Stadium.

Alabama at Auburn

Quarterback Greg McElroy's inconsistency in big games could be the reason Alabama has dropped three points at some books after opening favored by 12.5 points. The Tigers are also have the nation's 16th-ranked offense, averaging 441.5 yards per game which could help them stay close enough to Alabama to cover the spread.

Nebraska at Colorado

Originally listed as eight point dogs, Colorado has seen that rise to double digits since the line opened. The Cornhuskers stingy defense has people believing that the Buffaloes won't be able to muster enough offense to cover the now 11-point gap and with the way Colorado's running game has sputtered this season, they might be right.

Nevada at Boise State

There is something about that blue turf that has bettors banking on Boise State. The Broncos have become two touchdowns faves after opening at -10.5. They haven't lost a game at home since 2001 and are 8-3 ATS there this season. Nevada has had a history of failure against the Broncos going 1-7 ATS in their last eight meetings.

Lumi · Nov 27, 2009

AN EARLY LOOK FOR SATURDAY'S ACTION

AN EARLY LOOK FOR SATURDAY'S ACTION

Primetime NCAAF games

Saturday night's primetime games between Georgia and No. 7 Georgia Tech and Stanford and Notre Dame provide little for the regular college football fan to be excited about.

Thankfully there is this thing called sports gambling, which pretty much makes every game the Super Bowl as long as you have money on it.

Here are quick looks at both of these games for the bettor:

Georgia (6-5, 3-8 ATS) at Georgia Tech (10-1, 7-3 ATS)

The spread

The spread for the game sits between -7.5 to -8 in favor of Georgia Tech. There was odd movement in the middle of the week at the Las Vegas Hilton with the line jumping as high as -9.5. But since then it has settled back down to -8.

Why Georgia will cover

The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets have already clinched a spot in the ACC title game and the result of this game has little impact on whether or not they play in a BCS bowl game.

At 6-5 the Bulldogs have had a disappointing season but are treating this rivalry as a game that could turn their year into a positive.

Historically the Bulldogs have dominated this series, winning seven of the last eight meetings. That one loss came last year in a 45-42 heartbreaker in Athens, with both teams coming into the game ranked.

Also in Tech's four wins against teams with winning records, they have only won by more than a touchdown once (against North Carolina).

Why Georgia Tech will cover

The Yellow Jackets have an excellent record against the spread (ATS) at 7-3. They are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games.

Junior running back Jonathan Dwyer leads a rushing attack that is averaging 314.1 yards per game. That is an area that the Bulldogs had trouble with last year against the Yellow Jackets. Tech only completed one pass for 19 yards, but they rushed for 409 yards and 5 TDs.

The Bulldogs have had a tough time scoring points in the fourth quarter. In their last three defeats against Tennessee, Florida, and Kentucky, the Bulldogs could not put up a point in the final quarter. To make matters worse on offense, top target A.J. Green was listed as doubtful as of Friday morning and even if he plays, he won't be 100 percent with a shoulder injury.

The total

The total for the game opened at 60 and has since moved down to 58 at most sports books. Both teams are a combined 9-10-1 on the over under this season.

Why the game will go over

Last year's game saw 87 points scored and the total was listed at 49.5. Georgia Tech is averaging 36 points per game while Georgia is averaging 27.5.

Why the game will go under

Georgia has had the total set at 55 or more three times this year. Two of those games went over and the other was a push. The under is 1-3-1 on Tech totals over the past five games.

Notre Dame (6-5, 3-8 ATS) at Stanford (7-4, 7-4 ATS)

The spread

The line opened at -8 in favor of Stanford and has since seen a 2-point movement all the way up to -10. Last year's line was -5.5 in favor of Notre Dame and the Irish covered with a 28-21 victory.

Why Notre Dame will cover

Jimmy Clausen was punched by a fan late Saturday night following Notre Dame?s loss to Connecticut. Charlie Weis could be playing in his final regular season game. Frustrations could be taken out on the Cardinal and the Fighting Irish have the speed and talent to either pull off an upset or keep this game close.

Clausen has announced he?ll be declaring for the 2010 NFL draft and we could see him put in one last good performance for scouts. Statistically Clausen has had an outstanding year throwing for 3,382 yards, 23 TDs and only 4 INTs. Stanford has been vulnerable to the pass giving up 244 yards per game, which ranks 98th in the country.

Notre Dame has also been an underdog only twice this year (against USC and Pitt). They lost both games but covered the spread. None of Notre Dame?s five straight up losses were by more than a touchdown. Also it?s scientifically proven that Leprechauns would beat a tree in a fight on most days of the week

Why Stanford will cover

With three close losses and all the off-field distractions, the Irish may not have any more left in them to take on a surprising Stanford team.

QB Andrew Luck has put in an outstanding freshman year leading the team to wins over Oregon and USC. The 55-21 victory on the road versus USC was his most impressive.

Notre Dame ranks 78th in rush defense giving up 160.3 yards per game and the game could get out of reach if Stanford running back Toby Gerhart has a good start. The senior has rushed for 1,517 yards and 23 TDs this season. Ten of those TDs have come in the last three games against Cal, USC and Oregon.

The total

The over/under for the game sits between 62.5 and 63.5 at most sports books.

Why the game will go over

All signs point to offense in this game, with Notre Dame's defense ranked 80th in yards given up and Stanford ranked 81st. Stanford hit the over five times in its last six games.

Why the game will go under

Four of the last five Notre Dame games have gone under the total, with last week's game against UConn going over only because of a 23-point double overtime.

Lumi · Nov 27, 2009

Friday's college football weather report

Friday's college football weather report

Friday's college football weather report

Old Man Winter could rear his ugly head for this week's games. A developing storm along the Northeast should come into play and with heavy, wet snow due for parts of Pennsylvania and West Virginia, things could get interesting.

Pittsburgh at West Virginia (-1, 49)

Expect Mother Nature to throw everything she can at this matchup. The forecast is for 39 degree temperatures with rain and snow and strong winds gusting at 21 mph. Both teams have above average running games, and if the weather is as big a factor as it appears it could be, look for a battle along the ground as both team slug it out to try and control time of possession.

Rutgers at Louisville (+3, 44)

Expect Rutgers to employ a heavy does of Joe Martinek as they head to Louisville to battle the Cardinals along with winds gusting at 15-20 mph. Since 2008, Scarlet Knights are 2-0 in games featuring winds above 15 mph while the Cardinals have not played a game in such conditions during that same span.

Lumi · Nov 27, 2009

Preview:
Illinois at Cincinnati
When: 12:00 PM ET, Friday, November 27, 2009
Where: Nippert Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio

Quick Hits

Overall Team Offense

The Cincinnati Bearcats are ranked 3 on offense, averaging 478.0 yards per game. The Bearcats are averaging 163.8 yards rushing and 314.2 yards passing so far this season.

The Illinois Fighting Illini are ranked 65 on offense, averaging 369.8 yards per game. The Fighting Illini are averaging 190.5 yards rushing and 179.3 yards passing so far this season.

Home and Away

The Cincinnati Bearcats are 5-0 at home this season, 6-0 against conference opponents and 4-0 against non-conference opponents.

At home the Bearcats are averaging 42.0 scoring, and holding teams to 19.8 points scored on defense.

The Illinois Fighting Illini are 1-3 while on the road this season, 2-6 against conference opponents and 1-1 against non-conference opponents.

On the road, the Fighting Illini are averaging 15.8 scoring, and holding teams to 28.2 points scored on defense.

Lumi · Nov 27, 2009

Trends - Illinois at No. 5 Cincinnati

Trends - Illinois at No. 5 Cincinnati

Trends - Illinois at No. 5 Cincinnati

ATS Trends

Illinois

Fighting Illini are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Fighting Illini are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
Fighting Illini are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Fighting Illini are 16-35 ATS in their last 51 games following a S.U. loss.
Fighting Illini are 11-27 ATS in their last 38 games following a ATS loss.
Fighting Illini are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Fighting Illini are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Fighting Illini are 9-28 ATS in their last 37 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Fighting Illini are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
Fighting Illini are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
Fighting Illini are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Fighting Illini are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Fighting Illini are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.

Cincinnati

Bearcats are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bearcats are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week.
Bearcats are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bearcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Bearcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
Bearcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Bearcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
Bearcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

OU Trends

Illinois

Under is 4-0 in Fighting Illini last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
Under is 4-0 in Fighting Illini last 4 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 6-1 in Fighting Illini last 7 road games.
Under is 5-1 in Fighting Illini last 6 games overall.
Under is 5-1-1 in Fighting Illini last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 4-1 in Fighting Illini last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 7-2 in Fighting Illini last 9 games as a road underdog.
Under is 12-4 in Fighting Illini last 16 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Over is 6-2 in Fighting Illini last 8 games on turf.
Under is 17-6 in Fighting Illini last 23 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Under is 13-6 in Fighting Illini last 19 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Cincinnati

Over is 5-0 in Bearcats last 5 games following a bye week.
Under is 6-0 in Bearcats last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 4-0 in Bearcats last 4 non-conference games.
Under is 6-0 in Bearcats last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 5-1 in Bearcats last 6 games on turf.
Under is 4-1 in Bearcats last 5 vs. Big Ten.
Under is 4-1 in Bearcats last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Under is 6-2 in Bearcats last 8 games overall.
Under is 6-2 in Bearcats last 8 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 6-2 in Bearcats last 8 games as a favorite.
Under is 6-2-1 in Bearcats last 9 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 11-4 in Bearcats last 15 home games.
Under is 5-2 in Bearcats last 7 games as a home favorite.
Over is 10-4 in Bearcats last 14 games in November.

Head to Head

No trends available.

Lumi · Nov 27, 2009

Illinois (3-7) at (5) Cincinnati (10-0)

Illinois (3-7) at (5) Cincinnati (10-0)

Illinois (3-7) at (5) Cincinnati (10-0)

Friday, November 27th, 12:00 p.m. (et)

GAME NOTES: The fifth-ranked Cincinnati Bearcats host the Illinois Fighting Illini this Friday in the first-ever meeting between the two programs on the gridiron.

At 10-0, the Bearcats are off to their best start in school history and are obviously very much in the national title race. The team is coming off a bye after picking up a crucial 24-21 victory over West Virginia on November 13th.

"I always expect to be prepared to win every game we play," said head coach Brian Kelly. "I don't sit around and think about being 10 and 0. I'm not trying to be elusive, but I never think in those terms. We go to work every day and expect to win."

With six wins in as many Big East games, the Bearcats sit atop the standings, but they will face Pittsburgh, which is 5-0, next weekend for the league title and a berth in a BCS game. Cincinnati however, first must take care of business at Nippert Stadium, where it has won 11 straight decisions. That isn't the only streak on the line today for the Bearcats, as they have also won 16 consecutive regular season bouts.

As for Illinois, it too is coming off a bye, although unlike Cincinnati, it has little too play for thanks to a 21-16 loss to Northwestern on November 14th.

"I told our team that we didn't play well enough to win," stated head coach Ron Zook. "We had our chances to win and we didn't do it. They did it and that's why they won."

With the loss, the Illini was eliminated from postseason consideration at 3-7 and it will wrap up its disappointing campaign against Fresno State next weekend. Motivation could be a problem, as the team's schedule is set up rather oddly with two non-conference games following the end of its Big Ten slate.

Due to inconsistent play at quarterback, the Illini offense has faltered on many occasions and is averaging just 20.2 ppg for the season. Jacob Charest started in place of the injured Juice Williams against Northwestern, but he was benched at halftime in favor of Eddie McGee. The redshirt freshman, Charest, ended up returning and throwing a pair of fourth-quarter touchdowns to pull the Illini with five points. He, however, was picked on a controversial play that ended the team's comeback hopes in the final minute.

"He was off a little bit, but I'm proud of the way he gained his composure in the second half and played pretty well in the second half," said Zook. "He led some drives and did a nice job."

Charest could get the start again this weekend with Williams being listed as questionable with an ankle injury. Williams, however, is looking good and he surely wants to atone for what has been a poor season for his standards, with only six touchdown passes.

The Illini will surely hand Cincinnati a heavy dose of Mikel Leshoure and Jason Ford, who have helped the team rush for a healthy 190.5 ypg this season. Leshoure leads the team with 536 yards and Ford is next with 496 and they are both averaging over 6.0 yards per carry.

On defense is where Illinois has had some issues, as the unit is surrendering 400.3 total ypg on the year. The Illini has struggled against both the run (159.9 ypg) and pass (240.4 ypg) and has come up with only four interceptions.

Against Northwestern, the Illini was shredded for 444 total yards, with 305 of those yards coming through the air. The unit had no takeaways and just one sack, yet found away to keep the Wildcats to only 21 points.

On the season, Ian Thomas tops the roster in tackles with 79, while Clay Nurse has been the squad's most effective pass rusher, racking up 5.5 sacks and 10.5 TFLs.

For Cincinnati, it appears Tony Pike is set to make his first start since injuring his forearm on October 15th. The talented gunslinger saw his first action since suffering the injury last game and he threw two of his four passes for touchdowns in a win over WVU.

"We felt like we wanted to minimize his risk," said Kelly on his decision to bring Pike in a few plays last game. In a short field, there was about three to four percent area in that pressure based on film break-down. We knew we would get a lot more bracket coverage. Tony can fit it in."

Pike has completed 64.0 percent of his pass attempts with 17 touchdowns and just three picks and was considered a Heisman Trophy candidate prior to the injury. If for some reason Pike were to falter, Zach Collaros would once again step up. In Pike's absence, Collaros gained national headlines with his brilliant play and he completed an efficient 75 percent of his tosses with 10 scores and only two interceptions. He is also a threat with his legs, rushing for 332 yards and four touchdowns, and don't be surprised to see him get some reps even if Pike does end up starting.

Either quarterback has plenty of weapons at their disposal, namely Mardy Gilyard and Armon Binns. Gilyard is the more elusive receiver and leads the team with 68 catches for 930 yards, while Binns is a physical wideout with 44 receptions for 693 yards. Both players have hauled in eight touchdowns this season.

In the backfield, Isaiah Pead has given the team a legitimate threat on the ground and he has now rushed for 687 yards and eight scores. The sophomore back, who is averaging 6.8 yards per carry, is coming off a huge performance in which he went for 175 yards and a touchdown on just 18 carries in the win over WVU.

Cincinnati's defense played above expectations during the first eight games, but has shown some vulnerability over the last two. The unit has had an especially tough time against the run in recent weeks, surrendering over 400 yards on the ground between the last two games. The Bearcats, though, have thrived versus the pass thanks to 14 interceptions and 32 sacks.

In their games against WVU, the Bearcats had some issues, as they were torched for 202 yards on the ground and another 188 through the air. The defense had two sacks, but no takeaways, and also allowed WVU to complete 17-of-25 pass attempts. With all that said, the defense still only surrendered 21 points.

Andre Revels led the team in the win with 13 stops and he continues to pace the defense on the season, with 89 tackles.

The Bearcats' electric offense will be too much for Illinois to handle and they should run way with this one en route to a big showdown with Pitt next weekend.

Predicted Outcome: Cincinnati 38, Illinois 17

Lumi · Nov 27, 2009

College Football Matchup - Illinois at (5) Cincinnati

Illinois Fighting Illini (3-7) at (5) Cincinnati Bearcats (10-0)
Date: Friday, November 27th
Kickoff: 12 p.m. (et)
Site: Nippert Stadium (35,097) -- Cincinnati, Ohio
Surface: FieldTurf
Home Record: Illinois 2-3; Cincinnati 5-0
Away Record: Illinois 1-3; Cincinnati 5-0
Neutral Record: Illinois 0-1; Cincinnati 0-0
Versus Opposing Conference: Illinois vs. Big East (21-8)
Versus Opposing Conference: Cincinnati vs. Big Ten (8-38-2)
Current Road Win/Loss Streak: Illinois 1W
Current Home Win/Loss Streak: Cincinnati 11W
Television: ABC
Announcers: Dave Pasch, Bob Griese and Chris Spielman
All-Time Series: First meeting.

Season Schedule/Results
Illinois Fighting Illini
Sep 5 - L vs. Missouri, 9-37 (at St. Louis, MO)
Sep 12 - W vs. Illinois State, 45-17
Sep 19 - Open
Sep 26 - L at Ohio State, 0-30
Oct 3 - L vs. Penn State, 17-35
Oct 10 - L vs. Michigan State, 14-24
Oct 17 - L at Indiana, 14-27
Oct 24 - L at Purdue, 14-24
Oct 31 - W vs. Michigan, 38-13
Nov 7 - W at Minnesota, 35-32
Nov 14 - L vs. Northwestern, 16-21
Nov 21 - Open
Nov 27 - at Cincinnati, 12:00 PM
Dec 5 - vs. Fresno State, 12:30 PM
Cincinnati Bearcats
Sep 7 - W at Rutgers, 47-15
Sep 12 - W vs. SE Missouri St, 70-3
Sep 19 - W at Oregon State, 28-18
Sep 26 - W vs. Fresno State, 28-20
Oct 3 - W at Miami-Ohio, 37-13
Oct 10 - Open
Oct 15 - W at So Florida, 34-17
Oct 24 - W vs. Louisville, 41-10
Oct 31 - W at Syracuse, 28-7
Nov 7 - W vs. Connecticut, 47-45
Nov 13 - W vs. West Virginia, 24-21
Nov 21 - Open
Nov 27 - vs. Illinois, 12:00 PM
Dec 5 - at Pittsburgh, 12:00 PM

Lumi · Nov 27, 2009

Boise State a safe bet to pass test

Boise State a safe bet to pass test

Boise State a safe bet to pass test

If he lined up against the UNLV defense every week, Colin Kaepernick, UNR's Ostrich-legged quarterback, would be high stepping his way to the Heisman Trophy. He's not that lucky.

Kaepernick gets to humiliate the Rebels only once a year. The 6-foot-6-inch junior will play in a much bigger game tonight -- probably the biggest of his career -- when the Wolf Pack look to spoil Boise State's shot at the Bowl Championship Series.

UNR has won eight straight games since starting 0-3. It has three 1,000-yard rushers in Kaepernick, Luke Lippincott and Vai Taua. It has a coach, Chris Ault, who makes Joe Paterno look like a young pup.

The Wolf Pack also have a puncher's chance at upsetting the Broncos, who are favored by 131/2 to 14 points on their blue turf.

But for a variety of reasons, Vegas Sports Authority handicapper Jim Kruger recommends betting on Boise State, a business decision that pays off far more often than not.

"Where Boise holds an advantage over UNR is in the passing game," Kruger said, referring to Broncos quarterback Kellen Moore and the Wolf Pack's leaky secondary.

Moore, a sophomore left-hander, has posted mind-boggling numbers. He ranks No. 1 in the nation in passing efficiency, having thrown for 33 touchdowns with three interceptions. UNR ranks 119th in the nation in pass defense.

The Wolf Pack's running attack might make the Boise State-BCS debate a moot point. Kruger's counterpoint: The Broncos' defense is sturdy against the run, allowing an average of 115 yards per game, 29th best in the nation, and it held up extremely well in a season-opening victory over Oregon.

Kruger's case for Boise State is supported by what he calls a "very amazing record." If the Broncos are not laying more than 22 points at home in Western Athletic Conference play, they are 15-1 against the spread (ATS).

Boise State, 11-0 straight up and 8-2 ATS this season, finds ways to exceed high expectations and cover inflated point spreads.

Moore is a Peyton Manning-like 23-1 as the Broncos' starter, the lone loss a 17-16 setback to Texas Christian in last season's Poinsettia Bowl.

It's a shame college football boils down to such a BCS-induced circus of opinions and speculation. The Alabama-Florida winner obviously deserves a title shot, as does Texas. But Boise State, TCU and Cincinnati could be better teams, and we might never know.

Kaepernick has the legs to carry UNR to the upset. But this is when Boise State typically plays the bully and wins by blowout.

"This is really the last shot for the Broncos to move up in the BCS standings," Kruger said. "(UNR) has dropped nine straight in this series. Boise's passing attack and the blue turf will prove too much for the Wolf Pack."

The Gold Sheet handicapper Bruce Marshall won the Las Vegas Review-Journal College Challenge with a 48-36 record. Marshall's recommended plays today are Buffalo (-3) over Kent State, Tulsa (-16) over Memphis and Wyoming (+3) over Colorado State.

The Cowboys, 5-6 straight up and 7-3 ATS, can gain bowl eligibility with another strong performance from freshman quarterback Austyn Carta-Samuels, who also had a big day against the UNLV defense.

"Perhaps enduring hostilities versus a disliked border rival will bring out the best in Colorado State," Marshall said. "But I'm not sure what that means these days after the free-falling Rams, who have lost their last eight, plumbed new depths of ineptitude in last week's loss at New Mexico."

? UNPOPULAR FOOTBALL LEAGUE -- The United Football League Championship Game kicks off at noon today at Sam Boyd Stadium. The Florida Tuskers are 3-point favorites over the Las Vegas Locomotives.

Las Vegas Hilton sports book director Jay Kornegay said the UFL handle has been "very minimal" with the games averaging about only 20 betting tickets.

"It really hasn't received too much attention from the media, and that has hurt the interest. The UFL competing against all the other popular betting sports has also hurt the handle," Kornegay said. "I do believe the more years it survives, the more interest it will get at the betting windows."

? CLOSING NUMBERS -- I posted another mediocre 3-3 last week. Here are six college football plays for Saturday (home team in CAPS):

Clemson (-3) over SOUTH CAROLINA; OKLAHOMA (-8) over Oklahoma State; Georgia (+8) over GEORGIA TECH; Arizona (-3) over ARIZONA STATE; San Diego State (+61/2) over UNLV; Navy (-9) over HAWAII.

Lumi · Nov 27, 2009

DUNKEL INDEX

DUNKEL INDEX

NCAA Football Game Picks
Alabama at Auburn
The Crimson Tide look to build on their 6-0 ATS record in their last 6 games as a road favorite. Alabama is the pick (-10) according to Dunkel, which has Alabama favored by 17. Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-10). Here are all of this week's picks.

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 27
Time Posted: 10:00 p.m. EST (11/25)
Game 111-112: Pittsburgh at West Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 99.160; West Virginia 95.609
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 3 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 1; 49
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+1); Over
Game 113-114: Rutgers at Louisville
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 90.044; Louisville 83.879
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 6; 42
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 3; 44
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (-3); Under
Game 115-116: Eastern Michigan at Akron
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 55.968; Akron 75.983
Dunkel Line: Akron by 20; 56
Vegas Line: Akron by 16 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Akron (-16 1/2); Over
Game 117-118: Buffalo at Kent State
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 78.952; Kent State 73.946
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 5; 52
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 3; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-3); Over
Game 119-120: Wyoming at Colorado State
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 73.866; Colorado State 71.044
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 3; 45
Vegas Line: Colorado State by 3; 50
Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (+3); Under
Game 121-122: Temple at Ohio
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 83.818; Ohio 83.649
Dunkel Line: Even; 49
Vegas Line: Temple by 3; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (+3); Over
Game 123-124: Alabama at Auburn
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 110.637; Auburn 93.491
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 17; 44
Vegas Line: Alabama by 10; 47
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-10); Under
Game 125-126: Memphis at Tulsa
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 67.840; Tulsa 89.396
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 21 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 16 1/2; 58
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (-16 1/2); Over
Game 127-128: Illinois at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 85.991; Cincinnati 107.622
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 21 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 20; 57
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-20); Over
Game 129-130: Nebraska at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 101.123; Colorado 88.858
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 12 1/2; 35
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 10; 38
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (-10); Under
Game 131-132: Toledo at Bowling Green
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 70.536; Bowling Green 80.869
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 10 1/2; 67
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 7 1/2; 64 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (-7 1/2); Over
Game 133-134: Northern Illinois at Central Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 80.029; Central Michigan 95.044
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 15; 54
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 13; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (-13); Over
Game 135-136: Nevada at Boise State
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 92.833; Boise State 109.642
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 17; 82
Vegas Line: Boise State by 14; 71
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-14); Over

Lumi · Nov 27, 2009

Northern Illinois (7-4) at Central Michigan ()

Northern Illinois (7-4) at Central Michigan ()

Northern Illinois (7-4) at Central Michigan ()

DATE & TIME: Friday, November 27th, 1:00 p.m. (et)

FACTS & STATS: Site: Kelly/Shorts Stadium (30,255) -- Mount Pleasant, Michigan. Television: ESPN.360. Home Record: NIU 5-1, CMU 4-0. Away Record: NIU 2-3, CMU 5-2. Neutral Record: NIU 0-0, CMU 0-0. Conference Record: NIU 5-2, CMU 7-0. Series Record: Central Michigan leads, 23-20-1.

GAME NOTES: With the West Division already wrapped up, the Central Michigan Chippewas will close out their regular-season schedule this Friday against the Northern Illinois Huskies.

Up until this past Saturday the Huskies had a shot at claiming the West Division, but the team saw its four-game winning streak come to an end with a 38-31 loss to Ohio. The loss dropped NIU to just 5-2 in MAC play, eliminating the team's chances at winning the division.

With the loss for Northern Illinois, along with their 35-3 victory over Ball State, the Chippewas claimed their third division title in the last four seasons. Central Michigan comes into this matchup with a flawless 7-0 mark in league play, and also possess a perfect 4-0 mark at home.

With respect to the all-time series between the two schools, the Chippewas hold a slim, 23-20-1 advantage over Northern Illinois.

The Huskies' success this season is due to the team's play offensively, as NIU comes into this matchup averaging 210.4 ypg on the ground. Out of the 38 touchdowns scored by this unit, 26 have come via the run. Chad Spann has been amazing this season, as the tailback has rushed for 862 yards and 18 touchdowns on the year. Me'co Brown is currently second on the squad with 645 yards and has also rushed for four touchdowns. Due to the performance of the ground game the passing attack has been a secondary option, as Chandler Harnish has thrown for just 1,334 yards and nine touchdowns against three interceptions. Surprisingly however, the Huskies were bottled up on the ground in their recent loss to Ohio, as NIU rumbled for just 102 yards on 2.8 yards per carry. Spann scored two touchdowns in the contest, but the tailback rushed for just 32 yards on 12 attempts. The team relied heavily on Harnish and he put forth a solid effort, throwing for 307 yards and two scores on 24-of-35 passing.

The defense for Northern Illinois has been sensational throughout most of the season, as the team is limiting opponents to just 308.2 ypg and that has led to just 19.0 ppg. Stopping the run has been the main priority for Northern Illinois, as the team is holding opponents to just 108.2 ypg on a mere 3.5 yards per attempt. Forcing mistakes has been another specialty for this unit, as Northern Illinois has forced 27 turnovers (20 fumbles and seven interceptions) on the season. The last time the Huskies were in action the team limited Ohio to just 228 total yards, but still managed to allow 38 points en route to the loss. NIU only forced one turnover in the contest and held the Bobcats to just 4-of-13 on third down attempts, but did allow Ohio to convert on all three of its red zone chances.

The Chippewas have been one of the more balanced offensive units in the MAC this season, as the team is rushing for 168.6 ypg, while throwing for another 242.9 ypg. All that yardage has helped Central Michigan produce 33.3 ppg. The majority of the damage has been created by Dan LeFevour, as the quarterback has thrown for 2,533 yards and 22 touchdowns. The senior has only tossed five interceptions on the season and has completed an amazing 71.7 percent of his passes. On top of his impressive passing numbers, LeFevour is also pacing the team on the ground with 626 yards and 14 more scores. Carl Volny is second on the team with 341 rushing yards, while Antonio Brown has rumbled for 306 yards and two scores. Brown has also been the top target for LeFevour, as the wideout comes into this matchup with 80 receptions, 904 yards and nine touchdowns. The Chippewas were clearly too strong for Ball State in their last matchup, as CMU racked up 512 yards. LeFevour, who led the ground game with 59 yards and one score, threw for 344 yards and four touchdowns in the win. Brown was on the receiving end of one of those touchdowns and finished the game with 170 yards on 11 receptions.

The play of the offense gets all the attention in Mount Pleasant, but the defensive play should not be taken for granted. Central Michigan is limiting opponents to just 330.9 total ypg, and just 16.6 ppg. The defense has done a tremendous job against the run, holding teams to just 1197 ypg on 3.5 yards per attempt. It there is one issue with this unit it has been its inability to make many big plays, as Central Michigan has forced just 15 turnovers (Nine interceptions and six fumbles), while also collecting just 19 sacks. Central Michigan put forth one of its better showing on the season in the recent win over Ball State, as the Chippewas limited the Cardinals to just 231 total yards. Central Michigan allowed just 13 first downs in the contest and held the Cardinals to just 2-of-11 on third down attempts and just 1-of-3 on red zone chances.

The Huskies have a dangerous ground attack, but once the Chippewas grab a large enough lead NIU will need to rely on Harnish, and he will not be able to lead the Huskies past the Chippewas.

Predicted Outcome: Central Michigan 31, Northern Illinois14

Lumi · Nov 27, 2009

Central Michigan Chippewas (4-2) (1-0 H) vs Northern Illinois Huskies (3-1) (1-1 A)

Game Time: 8:00 p.m. EDT Friday, November 27

Stadium: Kelly-Shorts Stadium Surface: Turf

RECORD ANALYSIS
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Northern Illinois Huskies HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL

Year-to-Date 5 - 1 2 - 3 7 - 4 3 - 2 2 - 3 5 - 5 2 - 3 2 - 2 4 - 5
Last 5 games 3 - 0 1 - 1 4 - 1 2 - 1 0 - 2 2 - 3 1 - 2 2 - 0 3 - 2
YTD vs. Conf. 4 - 0 1 - 2 5 - 2 3 - 1 0 - 3 3 - 4 1 - 3 2 - 1 3 - 4
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Central Michigan Chippewas HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL
Year-to-Date 4 - 0 5 - 2 9 - 2 3 - 0 5 - 2 8 - 2 3 - 0 1 - 5 4 - 5
Last 5 games 1 - 0 3 - 1 4 - 1 1 - 0 3 - 1 4 - 1 1 - 0 0 - 4 1 - 4
YTD vs. Conf. 3 - 0 4 - 0 7 - 0 3 - 0 3 - 1 6 - 1 3 - 0 0 - 4 3 - 4
AWAY VS. SPREAD HOME VS. SPREAD
Year-to-Date FAV DOG GRASS TURF FAV DOG GRASS TURF
Northern Illinois Huskies 0 - 2 2 - 1 1 - 2 1 - 1 3 - 2 0 - 0 0 - 0 3 - 2
Central Michigan Chippewas 3 - 1 2 - 1 5 - 0 0 - 2 3 - 0 0 - 0 0 - 0 3 - 0

TEAM LOGS/SCHEDULE:
( * = overtime)

Northern Illinois Huskies
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat @WIS 20 - 28 L +13 +16 W 8 NL NL T
09/12/09 Sat WI 41 - 7 W -0 -0 W 34 NL NL T
09/19/09 Sat @PUR 28 - 21 W +14.5 +12.5 W 19.5 55.5 52.5 U -3.5 G
09/26/09 Sat ID 31 - 34 L -14.5 -15 L -18 51.0 53.5 O +-11.5 T
10/03/09 Sat WMI 38 - 3 W -6 -6.5 W 28.5 53.0 49.5 U -8.5 T
10/17/09 Sat @TOL 19 - 20 L -5 -7 L -8 59.5 61.0 U -22.0 T
10/24/09 Sat @MIAOH 27 - 22 W -13 -10 L -5 47.0 46.0 O +- 3.0 G
10/31/09 Sat AKR 27 - 10 W -11 -12 W 5 43.0 41.0 U -4.0 T
11/05/09 Thu EMI 50 - 6 W -19 -21.5 W 22.5 48.0 48.0 O +- 8.0 T
11/12/09 Thu BALLST 26 - 20 W -17 -16 L -10 47.0 46.5 U -0.5 T
11/21/09 Sat @OH 31 - 38 L -1 +1 L -6 45.0 45.0 O +-24.0 G

Central Michigan Chippewas
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat @AZ 6 - 19 L +12 +15 W 2 NL NL G
09/12/09 Sat @MIST 29 - 27 W +15 +14.5 W 16.5 53.0 50.0 O +- 6.0 G
09/19/09 Sat ALCORN 48 - 0 W -0 -0 W 48 NL NL T
09/26/09 Sat AKR 48 - 21 W -17 -15.5 W 11.5 53.0 54.5 O +-14.5 T
10/03/09 Sat @BUFF 20 - 13 W -8 -9.5 L -2.5 55.0 53.0 U -20.0 T
10/10/09 Sat EMI 56 - 8 W -24 -24 W 24 53.0 53.5 O +-10.5 T
10/17/09 Sat @WMI 34 - 23 W -7 -7 W 4 58.0 58.0 U -1.0 G
10/24/09 Sat @BG 24 - 10 W -7.5 -9.5 W 4.5 62.0 61.5 U -27.5 G
10/31/09 Sat @BC 10 - 31 L +3 +5 L -16 52.0 50.0 U -9.0 T
11/11/09 Wed TOL 56 - 28 W -17 -17.5 W 10.5 60.5 64.5 O +-19.5 T
11/18/09 Wed @BALLST 35 - 3 W -20 -14.5 W 17.5 50.0 51.0 U -13.0 G

PREVIOUS MEETINGS:

LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY VIS SC HOM SC OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
11/05/05 Sat NIL 31 CMI 28 +4 +3 PUSH NL NL O +-59 T
11/17/06 Fri CMI 10 NIL 31 +3 +3.5 NIL +24.5 49.0 48.0 U -7 T
09/29/07 Sat NIL 10 CMI 35 -5.5 -3.0 CMI +22 NL NL O +-45 T
11/12/08 Wed CMI 33 NIL 30 -4.0 -4.0 NIL --7 50.0 51.5 O +-11.5 T

STATISTICAL AVERAGES:

AWAY/HOME RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
NIL (off) 25.0 18 41 172 4.2 25 15 0.6 174 7.0 346 0.6 0.8
CMI (def) 14.3 14 37 91 2.5 25 15 0.6 144 5.8 235 1.0 0.8
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
NIL (def) 25.8 18 30 110 3.7 30 20 0.7 238 7.9 348 0.6 1.4
CMI (off) 52.0 26 44 218 5.0 28 21 0.8 249 8.9 467 0.3 0.0
ALL GAMES RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
NIL (off) 30.7 18 43 210 4.9 20 13 0.7 147 7.4 357 0.5 0.5
CMI (def) 16.6 18 34 120 3.5 32 19 0.6 211 6.6 331 0.8 0.5
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
NIL (def) 19.0 17 31 110 3.5 28 17 0.6 200 7.1 310 0.6 1.2
CMI (off) 33.3 23 37 170 4.6 31 22 0.7 243 7.8 413 0.5 0.5

SCORING AVERAGES:

Northern Illinois Huskies (away) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 5.4 7.4 12.8 4.2 8.0 0.0 12.2
POINTS ALLOWED 7.0 4.2 11.2 6.2 8.4 0.0 14.6

Central Michigan Chippewas (home) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 11.0 23.5 34.5 12.3 5.3 0.0 17.6
POINTS ALLOWED 1.8 3.5 5.3 1.8 7.3 0.0 9.1

Northern Illinois Huskies (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 8.2 8.6 16.8 5.2 8.7 0.0 13.9
POINTS ALLOWED 5.0 4.6 9.6 4.4 5.0 0.0 9.4

Central Michigan Chippewas (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 7.1 13.2 20.3 6.5 6.5 0.0 13
POINTS ALLOWED 2.4 6.2 8.6 3.3 4.8 0.0 8.1

VALUE INDEX COMPARISON TO LAS VEGAS LINE:

LV POINTSPREAD VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING LINE EDGE
Northern Illinois Huskies 53 -6.5 16.5
Central Michigan Chippewas 42.5
LV OVER/UNDER VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING EDGE
OVER/UNDER 51 UNKNOWN

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