Chiefs +13.5
Chargers will win this game and no im not basing this play at all on last weeks stunning win over the Steelers. Basically this play for me comes down to it being the second meeting between two division rivals with one team fighting for a division title and the other just trying to play spoiler. The Chiefs are 10-4 ATS in there last 14 divisional matchups and have won two in a row and covered three in a row. The Chargers have not beaten the Chiefs by more than 11 at home in 15 years. Gotta grab this large number in a divisional game.
Browns +13
Another classic case of division leader vs division rival trying to play spoiler. The Browns are a mess and that was only taken to another level in last weeks last second loss to the Lions. The Browns however have been much more competitive in there last two games including another division game vs the Ravens two weeks ago when they held them to just 16 points. The Bengals will again be without Cedrick Benson and a closer look shows us the Bengals have scored 18 or less points in five of there last 6 games. The first meeting was a 23-20 OT victory for Cincy and the Bengals are just 1-7 ATS in there last 8 when favored by more than a fg. Going with the Browns to cover here.
Redskins +10 (buy it)
Does anyone see a theme yet? Once again a division game with title contendor taking on bottom feeder. The first matchup was won comfortably by Philly but if you look closer and throw out two plays by Desean Jackson (1 on special teams) and a defensive TD, the Eagles really did nothing on offense to win this game and were actually out played in the 2nd half. The big question mark will be the status of Haynesworth, if hes out look for the Eagles to try to establish a run and take advantage of the middle of the field. the Redskins secondary has the ability to shut the Eagles passing game down and frustrate Reids pass happy ways. Campbell has played better recently and Rock Cartright at RB is actually not much of a downgrade from what they have had all year. Ill take 10 pts in this rivalry everytime.
Colts -3
I looked and looked for a reason to take the Texans here and there really isnt one other than to keep there playoff hopes alive and thats not enough for me. Houston has not played well at home going just 2-3 including the home loss on MNF to the Titans. A short week vs a team that historically has dominated the series doesnt bode well for Schaub and co. The Colts have not dominated games recently winning there last 4 by a total of 10 pts but they always find a way to come out on top and I dont see that changing Sunday. Colts by at least 3
Vikings -10 (buy 1/2 pt)
No reason the Vikes cant put a hurting on the helpless Bears. Cutler is a turnover machine, he will be pressured all day. Forte is having a bad season and it wont get any easier vs this Vikings defense. The Bears have lost 5 of 6 since there bye week with the lone win vs the Browns and are 2-8 ATS in there last 10 road games. I also like this little tidbit:
Lovie Smith is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games versus good
passing teams averaging seven or more passing yards/attempt as
the coach of CHICAGO. The average score was CHICAGO 15.4, OPPONENT
25.7
GL Studs
Chargers will win this game and no im not basing this play at all on last weeks stunning win over the Steelers. Basically this play for me comes down to it being the second meeting between two division rivals with one team fighting for a division title and the other just trying to play spoiler. The Chiefs are 10-4 ATS in there last 14 divisional matchups and have won two in a row and covered three in a row. The Chargers have not beaten the Chiefs by more than 11 at home in 15 years. Gotta grab this large number in a divisional game.
Browns +13
Another classic case of division leader vs division rival trying to play spoiler. The Browns are a mess and that was only taken to another level in last weeks last second loss to the Lions. The Browns however have been much more competitive in there last two games including another division game vs the Ravens two weeks ago when they held them to just 16 points. The Bengals will again be without Cedrick Benson and a closer look shows us the Bengals have scored 18 or less points in five of there last 6 games. The first meeting was a 23-20 OT victory for Cincy and the Bengals are just 1-7 ATS in there last 8 when favored by more than a fg. Going with the Browns to cover here.
Redskins +10 (buy it)
Does anyone see a theme yet? Once again a division game with title contendor taking on bottom feeder. The first matchup was won comfortably by Philly but if you look closer and throw out two plays by Desean Jackson (1 on special teams) and a defensive TD, the Eagles really did nothing on offense to win this game and were actually out played in the 2nd half. The big question mark will be the status of Haynesworth, if hes out look for the Eagles to try to establish a run and take advantage of the middle of the field. the Redskins secondary has the ability to shut the Eagles passing game down and frustrate Reids pass happy ways. Campbell has played better recently and Rock Cartright at RB is actually not much of a downgrade from what they have had all year. Ill take 10 pts in this rivalry everytime.
Colts -3
I looked and looked for a reason to take the Texans here and there really isnt one other than to keep there playoff hopes alive and thats not enough for me. Houston has not played well at home going just 2-3 including the home loss on MNF to the Titans. A short week vs a team that historically has dominated the series doesnt bode well for Schaub and co. The Colts have not dominated games recently winning there last 4 by a total of 10 pts but they always find a way to come out on top and I dont see that changing Sunday. Colts by at least 3
Vikings -10 (buy 1/2 pt)
No reason the Vikes cant put a hurting on the helpless Bears. Cutler is a turnover machine, he will be pressured all day. Forte is having a bad season and it wont get any easier vs this Vikings defense. The Bears have lost 5 of 6 since there bye week with the lone win vs the Browns and are 2-8 ATS in there last 10 road games. I also like this little tidbit:
Lovie Smith is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games versus good
passing teams averaging seven or more passing yards/attempt as
the coach of CHICAGO. The average score was CHICAGO 15.4, OPPONENT
25.7
GL Studs
