NFL Week 14...One Pounder and More!

[FirstnGoal]

2009 Regular Season NFL Record:
17-12

Breakdown:

Best Bets:
7-1

Big 3 Unit Plays:
2-0

Medium Size 2 Unit Plays:
4-3

Small 1 Unit Plays:
7-5

Very Small 1/2 Unit Plays:
3-3

Parlays (like throwing away Money)
3-5

Leans:
11-6-1

+9.1 Units


Off another winning week going 3-0 last week and only need the Chargers +13 to pick up another 1/2 unit after teasing them with the Ravens +13.5 and Over 33 Monday Night.

Very Small 1/2 Unit Play:
3 game 10 point teaser:
Baltimore Ravens +13.5 WINNER!
Balt/GB Over 33 WINNER!
Chargers +13 over Cowboys WINNER!

Selection #1
12/7/2009 8:35 PM - (EST)
Football NFL Game
Wager Type:Teaser Football-10pts
Baltimore Ravens
Spread +13? for Game

Selection #2
12/7/2009 8:35 PM - (EST) Football NFL Game
Wager Type:Teaser Football-10pts
Baltimore Ravens/Green Bay Packers
Total Points OVER 33 for Game

Selection #3
12/13/2009 4:15 PM - (EST)
Football NFL Game
Wager Type:Teaser Football-10pts
San Diego Chargers
Spread +13 for Game

CASH!! $$$

 

[FirstnGoal]

Medium Size 2 Unit Play:

Green Bay Packers -3 (-130)
Over Bears
The Packers beat the Bears 21-15 back in week one and will be looking for a sweep this weekend?both teams are banged up but the big difference in this game will be the way the Packers passing game matches up against a weak Bears secondary?Aaron Rodgers and the Packers passing game should be able to move the ball at will through the air?the weather could be a savior for the Bears? but?the forecast is calling for mostly cloudy skies with a Slight chance of light freezing drizzle in the morning...then a slight chance of light snow in the afternoon with Highs in the lower 30s which shouldn?t hamper the Packers passing attack?All in all?this is an intense rivalry?but the Packers are a much better team at this point?Trends ? The Packers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs. NFC North?17-7-1 ATS in their last 25 road games?3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall?4-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record?12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game?3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win?.and 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite?The Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record?and just 6-18-2 ATS in their last 26 games following a S.U. win.
Green Bay 27 Chicago 17

 

[FirstnGoal]

Medium Size 2 Unit Play:

Green Bay Packers -3 (-130)
Over Bears
The Packers beat the Bears 21-15 back in week one and will be looking for a sweep this weekend?both teams are banged up but the big difference in this game will be the way the Packers passing game matches up against a weak Bears secondary?Aaron Rodgers and the Packers passing game should be able to move the ball at will through the air?the weather could be a savior for the Bears? but?the forecast is calling for mostly cloudy skies with a Slight chance of light freezing drizzle in the morning...then a slight chance of light snow in the afternoon with Highs in the lower 30s which shouldn?t hamper the Packers passing attack?All in all?this is an intense rivalry?but the Packers are a much better team at this point?Trends ? The Packers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs. NFC North?17-7-1 ATS in their last 25 road games?3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall?4-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record?12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game?3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win?.and 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite?The Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record?and just 6-18-2 ATS in their last 26 games following a S.U. win.
Green Bay 27 Chicago 17

This line is going to move because Devin Hester (calf) is not expected to practice Friday and is unlikely to play Sunday against the Packers :00hour .
The Bears have not yet ruled Hester out, but it would surprising to see him play after missing three straight practices. Johnny Knox will likely move into the starting lineup, but Devin Aromashodu will also see increased snaps.

 

[FirstnGoal]

Lean:

Oakland Raiders +1 over Redskins
Redskins targeted the Saints last week as their Super Bowl game...huge letdown this week plus Haynesworth and Hall are OUT for Skins "D"...The Raiders are playing well with Gradkowski under center and are tough at home...I might upgrade this to a 1/2 unit play.
Oakland 23 Washington 17

Loss
Gradkowski gets hurt in first half..Enter Russell...Exit any chance at a win.

 

[BobbyBlueChip]

Medium Size 2 Unit Play:

Green Bay Packers -3 (-130)
Over Bears
The Packers beat the Bears 21-15 back in week one and will be looking for a sweep this weekend?both teams are banged up but the big difference in this game will be the way the Packers passing game matches up against a weak Bears secondary?Aaron Rodgers and the Packers passing game should be able to move the ball at will through the air?the weather could be a savior for the Bears? but?the forecast is calling for mostly cloudy skies with a Slight chance of light freezing drizzle in the morning...then a slight chance of light snow in the afternoon with Highs in the lower 30s which shouldn?t hamper the Packers passing attack?All in all?this is an intense rivalry?but the Packers are a much better team at this point?Trends ? The Packers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs. NFC North?17-7-1 ATS in their last 25 road games?3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall?4-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record?12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game?3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win?.and 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite?The Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record?and just 6-18-2 ATS in their last 26 games following a S.U. win.
Green Bay 27 Chicago 17

Cutler's been neutered, a running game that won't be able to help and a Soldier Field that just doesn't have its heart into it. Green Bay rolls.

 

[FirstnGoal]

Cutler's been neutered, a running game that won't be able to help and a Soldier Field that just doesn't have its heart into it. Green Bay rolls.

Totally agree...and I'll add this...their offensive line is lousy.

 

[FirstnGoal]

2009 Regular Season NFL Record:
17-12

Breakdown:

Best Bets:
7-1

Big 3 Unit Plays:
2-0

Medium Size 2 Unit Plays:
4-3

Small 1 Unit Plays:
7-5

Very Small 1/2 Unit Plays:
3-3

Parlays (like throwing away Money)
3-5

Leans:
11-6-1

+9.1 Units

My seasons record is 16-11 not the 17-12 that I have posted...I'm just learning to count.

 

[FirstnGoal]

Medium Size 2 Unit Play:

Green Bay Packers -3 (-130)
Over Bears
The Packers beat the Bears 21-15 back in week one and will be looking for a sweep this weekend?both teams are banged up but the big difference in this game will be the way the Packers passing game matches up against a weak Bears secondary?Aaron Rodgers and the Packers passing game should be able to move the ball at will through the air?the weather could be a savior for the Bears? but?the forecast is calling for mostly cloudy skies with a Slight chance of light freezing drizzle in the morning...then a slight chance of light snow in the afternoon with Highs in the lower 30s which shouldn?t hamper the Packers passing attack?All in all?this is an intense rivalry?but the Packers are a much better team at this point?Trends ? The Packers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs. NFC North?17-7-1 ATS in their last 25 road games?3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall?4-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record?12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game?3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win?.and 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite?The Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record?and just 6-18-2 ATS in their last 26 games following a S.U. win.
Green Bay 27 Chicago 17

I forgot to add that this is My Best Bet for the week.

 

[FirstnGoal]

Medium Size 2 Unit Play:

Green Bay Packers -3 (-130)
Over Bears
The Packers beat the Bears 21-15 back in week one and will be looking for a sweep this weekend?both teams are banged up but the big difference in this game will be the way the Packers passing game matches up against a weak Bears secondary?Aaron Rodgers and the Packers passing game should be able to move the ball at will through the air?the weather could be a savior for the Bears? but?the forecast is calling for mostly cloudy skies with a Slight chance of light freezing drizzle in the morning...then a slight chance of light snow in the afternoon with Highs in the lower 30s which shouldn?t hamper the Packers passing attack?All in all?this is an intense rivalry?but the Packers are a much better team at this point?Trends ? The Packers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs. NFC North?17-7-1 ATS in their last 25 road games?3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall?4-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record?12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game?3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win?.and 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite?The Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record?and just 6-18-2 ATS in their last 26 games following a S.U. win.
Green Bay 27 Chicago 17

CASH!!! $$$

 

[FirstnGoal]

A nice 2-0 week picking up 2.5 units in the process!


Looking over the MNF game.

 

[FirstnGoal]

Updated Record including record correction

2009 Regular Season NFL Record:
18-11

Breakdown:

Best Bets:
8-1

Big 3 Unit Plays:
2-0

Medium Size 2 Unit Plays:
5-3

Small 1 Unit Plays:
7-5

Very Small 1/2 Unit Plays:
4-3

Parlays (like throwing away Money)
3-5

Leans:
11-7-1

+11.6 Units

 

[FirstnGoal]

Monday Night:

Taking the $$$ and running kurby from this week!

Lean Only:

Arizona Cardinals -3 over Niners
The Niners beat the Cards in AZ 20-16 back in week #1 making this is a revenge game for the Birds...The Cards are 6-1 ATS the spread on the road in the last seven games and have won 6 of the last 7 meetings in the series...The 5-7 Niners
must run the table to have any chance at a playoff spot.
Arizona 26 San Francisco 20


LOSS
Last night's game was the exact reason why I didn't drop a penny on the game...it looked tooooo easy.

Leans are now 11-8-1 on the year. :shrug: