NBA MON 122109-Early Thoughts & Value Hunting
- Thread starter JBrilman
- Start date
Chi seems to be a heavy public favorite and up to -4.5 but I like the play, not sure of my final card yet, but will for sure play the UNDER in the bulls game. Leaning heavy on utah as well but the line movement back to 202 has me a little concerned.
I see most of the posts in the NFL forum across the street on the Skins tonight however I don't see them getting it done. Gmen still have some fight as evidenced the last 3 games I think they get it done tonight.
Just saw this accross the street, it may keep me off the play...
Since 2006 the OVER is a perfect 11-0 in Jazz are a regular season games where they tip off as an UNDERDOG when they had shot over 50% FGs in their previous game out.
This trend is 23-6 over all time in these situations, going over by an average 9.6 points per game.
Last time out the Jazz shot 53% FG against the Bobcats and tonight are getting in the roll of Underdog catching 7.5 versus Orlando.
Play the Jazz/Magic to go OVER 202.
Since 2006 the OVER is a perfect 11-0 in Jazz are a regular season games where they tip off as an UNDERDOG when they had shot over 50% FGs in their previous game out.
This trend is 23-6 over all time in these situations, going over by an average 9.6 points per game.
Last time out the Jazz shot 53% FG against the Bobcats and tonight are getting in the roll of Underdog catching 7.5 versus Orlando.
Play the Jazz/Magic to go OVER 202.
Plays
Plays
Just one play for me tonight guys
Bulls under 198
Had strong leans to Cavs at +2.5 and Spurs under, but don't think I will pull the trigger.
BOL gents. :mj06:
Plays
Just one play for me tonight guys
Bulls under 198
Had strong leans to Cavs at +2.5 and Spurs under, but don't think I will pull the trigger.
BOL gents. :mj06:
Not sure what their definition of all time means.
Going back to 1995 (limit of the database), I get the following (note the total as well as the over percentage)
team=Jazz and p:field goal percentage>50 and D
O/U: 67-34-1 (4.0) avg total: 193.8
regular season only
team=Jazz and p:field goal percentage>50 and D and playoffs=0
O/U: 65-32-1 (4.3) avg total: 193.5
for the one they quote
team=Jazz and season>=2006 and p:field goal percentage>50 and D
O/U: 21-8-0 (6.9) avg total: 202.7
regular season only
team=Jazz and season>=2006 and p:field goal percentage>50 and D and playoffs=0
O/U: 19-6-0 (8.7) avg total: 202.9
as an away dog
team=Jazz and season>=2006 and p:field goal percentage>50 and AD
O/U: 18-7-0 (8.2) avg total: 203.6
regular season only
team=Jazz and season>=2006 and p:field goal percentage>50 and AD and playoffs=0
O/U: 16-6-0 (9.1) avg total: 203.4
Here is this season
team=Jazz and season=2009 and p:field goal percentage>50 and D
O/U: 1-2-0 (-12.3) avg total: 201.3
Date Team Opp Site Final Rest FG% Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot
20091114 UTH CLE A 103-107 0&1 52-51 +13 +191 -4 9.0 19.0 14.0 5.0 L W O
20091209 UTH LAL A 77-101 1&2 33-46 +10' +206' -24 -13.5 -28.5 -21.0 -7.5 L L U
20091218 UTH ATL A 83-96 1&1 42-44 +6' +206' -13 -6.5 -27.5 -17.0 -10.5 L L U
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Im on Giants/over but for really really really small amounts, like $50 each lol.
I got my big wins yesterday and not pressing my luck, so Wash & Under should win
- Mar 18, 2009
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I also got an error message -- wasnt sure if my work was blocking it, but guess not
Personally, I'll take the plays of the people who posted the under vs. any trend.
I'm still on it, so hope it hits.
- Mar 18, 2009
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Ools, Lang has a 30 dime release on the G-Men. We all know about him. Also, across the street there is a Fade Friend thread going on for the year. Over 100,000 views. The FF picks the Giants which means take Washington. Check out that thread. Amazing to say the least. :mj07: Hope this helps you...:0corn
- Mar 18, 2009
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- Mar 18, 2009
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- Mar 18, 2009
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