Tuesday Night Hoops

Smitty

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Jan 5, 2005
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Upstate NY
just a couple tonight...

marshall (+13) 1 unit. doesn't this line seem low? north carolina, pissed off about getting beat down on national tv a few days ago... coming home to play lowly marshall? sure, marshall is 9-1, but they've only played 4 lined games, which says they've played a bunch of creampuffs. mmm... creampuffs. their wins in lined games were over troy, ohio, and middle tennessee. not exactly a murderer's row. shouldn't this line be closer to 20?

(southwest) missouri state (pk) 2 units. just like my mizzou st play on saturday... is this one too easy? arkansas is bad this year. they have only played 3 lined games, and lost all 3 games... by 20, 13, and 30 points. the bears, meanwhile, are 10-0. they are also 8-2 ATS, and they are 2-0 in the state of arkansas, with wins at arkansas st and arkansas LR. this really is just too easy... according to sagarin, mizzou st should be laying 11 points here. damn, that makes me nervous. betting on sports is never that easy. well, then i guess i'm falling into the trap, 'cause i love me some (southwest) missouri state.
 

hawkeye

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Jun 29, 2000
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Smitty-based on your reasoning for the UNC game it sounds like you are betting UNC but have listed it as Marshall +13??
 

Smitty

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Forum Member
Jan 5, 2005
7,321
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Upstate NY
hawkeye, no, marshall was my play. i'm a firm believer that vegas doesn't give out easy money too often. if something looks way too easy, it usually is. sadly, tonight was one of those rare occasions. oh well, if -3 units is my worst night this year, i'll be happy.
 
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