NBA TUE 122909 early thoughts - value hunting
- Thread starter Joe_Vienna
- Start date
The only play I'm looking at for tonight is the Cavs / Atla under 194 ...
Hope everyone is enjoying the Christmas / New Year break ... I'm about tired of it already and am anxious to get back to normal.
Hope everyone is enjoying the Christmas / New Year break ... I'm about tired of it already and am anxious to get back to normal.
I think Joe has quality plays up there Joe, really like the Det/NY U190.5.
Week 1 5-2
Week 2 4-3
Week 3 4-3
Week 4 3-4
Week 5 3-2-1
NCAA GEM OF THE DAY (19-14-1): Rhode Island -3.5. @ Drexel
Rhode Island plays up tempo, full court press style that will just wreck this Drexel team who is coming off a humiliating 44-88 loss for Kentucky's 2000th win.
Rhode Island is averaging more than 20 pts per game than Drexel. Drexel lacks any game from behind the arc and are just average from the FT line.
Other Lines I like today:
Texas Tech +8
Syracuse -3.5
Illinois St -1.5
Drake -1
N. Iowa +1.5
Purdue -12
Pacific/Ok St Over 131
Tol/Ill-Chi Under 130
Marquette +11.5
Long Beach State +23.5
Week 1 5-2
Week 2 4-3
Week 3 4-3
Week 4 3-4
Week 5 3-2-1
NCAA GEM OF THE DAY (19-14-1): Rhode Island -3.5. @ Drexel
Rhode Island plays up tempo, full court press style that will just wreck this Drexel team who is coming off a humiliating 44-88 loss for Kentucky's 2000th win.
Rhode Island is averaging more than 20 pts per game than Drexel. Drexel lacks any game from behind the arc and are just average from the FT line.
Other Lines I like today:
Texas Tech +8
Syracuse -3.5
Illinois St -1.5
Drake -1
N. Iowa +1.5
Purdue -12
Pacific/Ok St Over 131
Tol/Ill-Chi Under 130
Marquette +11.5
Long Beach State +23.5
Leans
Leans
I agree with Slicer that Joe has some good plays he's looking at. Games I'm looking at....
Leans
Atl -3 and over 192.5
Would like to hear why Chump likes under? Is it the fact the Cavs usually up the def intensity when playing elite teams?:shrug:
Wizz -1
NY-Det under 192
Pacers +7
Won't be back until later this afternoon.kurby Have a good day fellas.
Leans
I agree with Slicer that Joe has some good plays he's looking at. Games I'm looking at....
Leans
Atl -3 and over 192.5
Would like to hear why Chump likes under? Is it the fact the Cavs usually up the def intensity when playing elite teams?:shrug:
Wizz -1
NY-Det under 192
Pacers +7
Won't be back until later this afternoon.kurby Have a good day fellas.
Joe / Slicer ........ would suggest you take another look at that Detroit / NY under play ... :sadwave:
Going to make my 1st college hoop play tonight ... a 5 point even money teaser on Minnesota minus 8 and Purdue minus 7.5
Going to make my 1st college hoop play tonight ... a 5 point even money teaser on Minnesota minus 8 and Purdue minus 7.5
Billy ......... the Cavs and Atlanta are equally balance teams to this point in the season but the Cavs are trending up with recent fine play and West starting to contribute. I come up with 188 in this game ... and I see the Cavs as the favorite in this game although I don't play sides in the NBA. My opinion is against the grain ... but that's what I come up with. If AX was here today he would probably say that the under is the play but the number offers no value ... I don't think he would make this play ... but, it's the best under play of the night, in my opinion.
I wish you luck in whatever you decide to do ....
I wish you luck in whatever you decide to do ....
- Mar 18, 2009
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wrote down Rhode Island last night too -- also marquette. Air Force is now interesting at +21.5...UTEP appears to be another uptempo team they may be able to frustrate...AF is 3-0 in double digit lines this year:shrug:
I would agree, but I have a question sir
I would agree, but I have a question sir
I would lean Atlanta, but the Under has more value then you are saying. These two teams are in a home and home back to back, so they will not play a high scoring uptempo game.
My question Houston NOH Under seems to have value how did you cap that one.
I would agree, but I have a question sir
I would lean Atlanta, but the Under has more value then you are saying. These two teams are in a home and home back to back, so they will not play a high scoring uptempo game.
My question Houston NOH Under seems to have value how did you cap that one.
That NO / Houston game number is too tight for me ... the only other under number I like is the LA / GS game but I would like it a bunch more if Artest was playing ... will wait till starting lineups are posted to decide ... no sense forcing a play -- there are games everyday !!!
Good Luck with whatever you do !!!
Good Luck with whatever you do !!!
look at this!
team=Hawks and season=2009 and p:A and H
<table bgcolor="#ffffff"><tbody><tr><th align="right">Team:</th> <td align="center"> 30.2 </td><td align="center"> 31.3 </td><td align="center"> 29.8 </td><td align="center"> 28.0 </td><td align="center"> 119.3 :scared
</td></tr></tbody></table>
team=Cavaliers and season=2009 and p:H and A
<table bgcolor="#ffffff"><tbody><tr><th align="right">Team:</th> <td align="center"> 28.5 </td><td align="center"> 24.5 </td><td align="center"> 22.4 </td><td align="center"> 22.9 </td><td align="center"> 98.2</td></tr></tbody></table>
OK But look at this...
OK But look at this...
Those numbers look scary but I do not understand them really
A Chump likes them.
B The Public is all over the Over
C Solid POD
D They tip at 7 on NBA tv so we can all watch
E last my friend says that is why they play, if it were easy it would not be gambling.
Last, I like the under cus of the playoff feel it is going to have both teams know to win they have to play solid D. Limit the tempo
OK But look at this...
Those numbers look scary but I do not understand them really
A Chump likes them.
B The Public is all over the Over
C Solid POD
D They tip at 7 on NBA tv so we can all watch
E last my friend says that is why they play, if it were easy it would not be gambling.
Last, I like the under cus of the playoff feel it is going to have both teams know to win they have to play solid D. Limit the tempo
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Best discussion in a while
Best discussion in a while
Thanks for the help fellas, i hope we all end up on top:00hour.
Got to run may check back later, going to play Texas Hold'em with a bunch of kids, so I got to get ready.
I know it may sound bad but HS guys love this stuff just a chance to hang out teach how to play.
We are playing for pride and a 50 buck best buy gift card that was donated.:mj06:
Best discussion in a while
Thanks for the help fellas, i hope we all end up on top:00hour.
Got to run may check back later, going to play Texas Hold'em with a bunch of kids, so I got to get ready.
I know it may sound bad but HS guys love this stuff just a chance to hang out teach how to play.
We are playing for pride and a 50 buck best buy gift card that was donated.:mj06:
Hawks playing at home after playing away,
Cavs playing away after playing at home
that's the problem :142smilie
CLE
team=Cavaliers and season=2009 and p:site=home and site=away and rest=0
4 games
Team: 31.5 21.8 22.5 21.8 97.5
Opp: 24.0 25.0 23.8 27.5 100.2
*** today's subset
team=Cavaliers and season=2009 and p:site=home and site=away and rest=1
3 games
Team: 24.7 25.7 23.0 26.0 99.3
Opp: 23.7 22.7 22.3 23.7 92.3
team=Cavaliers and season=2009 and p:site=home and site=away and rest>=2
1 game
Team: 28.0 32.0 20.0 18.0 98.0
ATL
*** today's subset
team=Hawks and season=2009 and p:site=home and site=away and rest=0
4 games
Team: 25.2 18.5 23.2 23.0 91.5
Opp: 20.0 22.5 22.5 22.2 89.5
team=Hawks and season=2009 and p:site=home and site=away and rest=1
2 games
Team: 27.0 32.5 23.0 28.0 110.5
Opp: 27.0 29.0 28.5 19.0 103.5
team=Hawks and season=2009 and p:site=home and site=away and rest>=2
1 game
Team: 23.0 24.0 37.0 30.0 114.0
Opp: 25.0 29.0 23.0 24.0 101.0
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Hawks play at home, rest=2
it doesn't matter:
public all over the over and the line goes down?? -> no play for me :sadwave:
Final card
Warriors @ Lakers U220
Knicks @ Pistons U194
BOLTA :director:
Joe
Up to 194 now, so I am laying off, that is a big move from 189.5 earlier, thanks for insight Chump
No NBA tonight, nothing strikes my fancy, if College goes well I may throw a little action on LAL -10 or 11 for late night action.
Good luck tonight guys, may all your tickets cash :mj06:
Good luck tonight guys, may all your tickets cash :mj06:
- Mar 18, 2009
- 1,150
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Hey Chump I came out with the over in this game. Wow you came out with 188 and I came out with 200. Hey Chump please tell me why I should not make this over play tonight.
Also leaning
SA/Min Over 198
NYK + 5
