Duck and Cover

lostinamerica

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Oct 10, 2001
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Between Green Bay and Iowa City
2009-2010 Bowls: 5-6 (+0.37*)
NCAA Regular Season: 51-46 (-2.64*)
NFL YTD: 55-43 (+8.20*)
Top plays
(included above) 11-8 (+1.99*)

Very hard to prepare for Northwestern offense. They spread you out and keep attacking. Don't believe Auburn can suddenly get better on defense just becaause they had a month to prepare. Leopard/tiger can't change their spots. Missouri and Houston found that out. Another high scoring game but have to take the +8.5 with Northwesterns ability to score.

With my lousy Bowl record, it seemed pointless to offer any ANGLES or INFORMATION . . . Shleprock came closest to saying it for me. :box2: :toast:

Regardless of what my record would have been through December 31, I was committed to going ?all in? with a hugely motivated and underestimated Northwestern squad against a significant Bowl favorite that was 2-5 SU down the stretch. Most of the game felt as good as a trip to the dentist (Auburn?s ?non-defense? had allowed 41 scores in their opponent?s 43 red zone trips before today, but today they decided they had it in them to pick off Northwestern on their first two trips into the red zone, and took one back 100 yards to boot). I certainly wanted Northwestern to get the SU win, but I?m very appreciative of their play in delivering a sweep on my largest posted play(s) on a single game in over 8 years at Madjack?s, in fact almost double my largest wagers EVER on a single game. :mj06:

Oregon(-3) over Ohio State (1.5*) * * Top Play * *
- - Maybe I'll buy some back, but I doubt it.
"The Granddaddy of Them All":
http://www.madjacksports.com/forum/showthread.php?t=392084
I see Ohio State making a very good game of it, so I will buy a little piece back.
Ohio State(+4') over Oregon (0.50*)


Alabama(-4) over Texas (1.5*) * * Top Play * *

GL
 

lostinamerica

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Cincinnati(Ov21')(-115) vs Florida (1*)
Cincinnati(+13) over Florida (1*)
- - There are too many story lines to count that could play out in this one. For me it starts with my wagering against Pike and Co. in last year's Orange Bowl, and the slop they thankfully spewed in an ugly 7-20 loss to Virginia Tech. I expected to see the departure of HC Brian Kelly would not distract Cinci from their team wide mission to write a different story on the big stage this season, and I believe what I've been tracking that their focus on their task in December has been outstanding . . . Florida managed their season well given an obvious lack of explosiveness and a surprising lack of aggressiveness, but they always looked to me like they were destined to be derailed off the track heading to Pasadena. I don't see how the Alabama loss, Urban Meyer yo-yo and Tim Tebow farewell provide a synergy to the Gators Sugar Bowl preparations . . . Having said all that, it is far from an ideal matchup for Cinci on either side of the ball, but I fully expect Cinci to find the end zone (with some packages from QB Zach Collaros contributing) and I don't see Cinci getting roasted by anything like 3 scores.

GL
 

lostinamerica

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2009-2010 Bowls: 6-8 (-0.88*)

South Carolina(-3)(-125) over Connecticut (1*)
- - Every vibe about Spurrier's team is about 180 degrees different than it was 364 days ago, when my top Bowl play from last year was when it was obvious South Carolina had Z-E-R-O chance of beating Iowa. I rode UConn starting with the Cinci game, but I don't see how the Cocks are the right matchup for extending the magic that has enveloped the team in a storybook manner.

South Florida(-6') over Northern Illinois (1*)
- - http://www2.tbo.com/content/2010/jan/02/020056/sp-leavitt-focused-on-todays-game/sports-colleges-bulls/
It's feast or famine with USF, and ending the MAC's 0-13 run in Bowl games would be quite a development on that front.

GL
 

lostinamerica

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2009-2010 Bowls YTD (through 1/2/10): 8-10 (-1.23*)
NCAA Regular Season: 51-46 (-2.64*)
NFL YTD: 57-45 (+8.40*)
Top plays
(included above) 12-8 (+3.49*)


TCU(-7) over Boise State (1.5*) ** Top Play **
- - As noted elsewhere: Utah, BYU, Clemson, Wyoming, Air Force and SMU were 6-0 in their Bowl games, and outscored their opponents 229-118. TCU was 6-0 against those 6 teams (4 of those games as the visitor), and outscored those 6 Bowl champions by 211-86. I wouldn't think I'd see a pair of stats like that in two lifetimes.
- - In last year's Poinsettia Bowl, Boise State managed 28 yards rushing in 20 attempts, but TCU had to rally from a 0-13 deficit for a 17-16 victory.
- - I don't sense TCU is really stoked about earning this matchup, and I will never be surprised if Boise State is pesky in the first half, but IF TCU is not in front at the intermission, I will be very surprised if I don't see fit to add a play on TCU in the second half.


GL
 
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lostinamerica

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- - Simply put, while Boise State looked more or less exactly like the machine they do every time they line up for a game, TCU looked like a deer caught in the headlights and not ready to perform on the big stage . . . I'm always amazed when I read posts about someone going to bed because a team they wagered on was looking so bad, but I confess last night I fell asleep at halftime (after the late TCU score), and when I woke up after the fake punt and final touchdown, I saw an outcome that I thought I could have predicted after the first 5 minutes of the game . . . Congratulations to all the Boise State backers.

GL
 

lostinamerica

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Iowa(+5') over Georgia Tech (1*)

I'm a U of I grad and I love football and the Hawks, but I bleed the green and gold of the Green Bay Packers.

I know my share of Hawkeye fans that bleed black and gold, and in four words I can sum up the gold standard of success that has still not been achieved since the renaissance started by Hayden Fry in 1979: WIN THE ROSE BOWL.

The Orange Bowl is not the Rose Bowl and never will be, but it's a damn big game. You can't convince me a first since 1959 Rose Bowl win wouldn't be more satisfying than two or more other BCS Bowl wins, but an Orange Bowl win would mean more than two or more Capital One Bowl wins.

I trust these Hawkeyes know what stage they are on and what that patch on their uniform means and are prepared to fully embrace it. I don't think they are playing (this game, as it has been cast by most of the GT team) as a launching pad for "a shot at the real thing next year."

I'm thrilled at having a chance to invest my money in a live dog.

GO HAWKS!

bilde

Derrell Johnson-Koulianos mugs for the camera during the coaches' luncheon on Monday.

GL
 

lostinamerica

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IT'S GREAT TO BE A HAWKEYE!


2009-2010 Bowls YTD: 9-11 (-1.88*)

Central Michigan(-3)(+105) over Troy (1*)
- - This would be a Top Play IF Butch Jones was still dependably coaching on the sidelines . . . IMO CMU is certainly on the short list of the best MAC teams since Miami of Ohio in 2003 with Ben Roethlisberger. They have unfinished Bowl business of their own, and they are the right team to carry the MAC banner and end the 0-14 run by their conference in Bowl games.


GL
 

rocky mountain

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IT'S GREAT TO BE A HAWKEYE!


2009-2010 Bowls YTD: 9-11 (-1.88*)

Central Michigan(-3)(+105) over Troy (1*)
- - This would be a Top Play IF Butch Jones was still dependably coaching on the sidelines . . . IMO CMU is certainly on the short list of the best MAC teams since Miami of Ohio in 2003 with Ben Roethlisberger. They have unfinished Bowl business of their own, and they are the right team to carry the MAC banner and end the 0-14 run by their conference in Bowl games.


GL
I agree with you and have to think they will be up for this game after seeing and hearing about how bad the MAC conference has been. Lefevour is a winner, and will want to go out a winner, and their Defense is the best in the conference!
 

lostinamerica

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Alabama(-4) over Texas (2*) ** Top Play **
- - I began the season believing the best coach in the country had the best team under his saddle, and I?m not referring to Urban Meyer and Florida or Mack Brown and Texas, and that belief grew to a conviction before the season was half over, and nothing in the back half of the season has shown me different.
- - The storyline on the other side features a Texas program that Mack Brown had no problem convincing they were jobbed out of their opportunity to play for the title last year, and with it all on the line they came one lucky second away from coughing up their chance to play for the title this year. Now that they made it, the freshman who was holding the clipboard when Vince Young took down almighty USC is going to return to the Rose Bowl and write the final chapter in the winningest career in NCAA history. The fact Saban is no longer riding his team for failing to play a complete game means they have the phat and full ridge runners from Alabama right where they want them, and they?ll spread out that defense and rattle that undefeated junior signal caller, and it probably won't even be the type of physical/ball control/field position type of game tempo that Alabama thrives at, and Mack Brown's Longhorns will humbly own L.A. and the nation once again. Could be.
- - I still see what I?ve seen all year, which is an Alabama attack that can play the style of ball that wins big games against whatever matchups and schemes their given opponent presents, and I haven?t stumbled over the signs and indications Saban?s team will be underwhelming and tight and at a disadvantage in possessing the right playmakers in a close game.
- - I think the best coach in the country has under his saddle the best team in the country, a team that can play the style of ball that delivers in the biggest games. So there you have it, I've decided on which side I like in this game and convinced myself of it by framing an argument that supports that play.

Same time next year . . . :toast:


GL
 
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