SCOTTSDALE, Ariz. -Undefeated Boise State is a considerable underdog entering the Fiesta Bowl against a well-regarded opponent.
Sound familiar?
Boise State edged Oklahoma 43-42 in the 2007 Fiesta Bowl despite plenty of miscues. So perfection is not necessary for the Broncos to upset TCU, not by a long shot. But Boise State's hopes for victory could rest on these six things Monday night in University of Phoenix Stadium:
1. CONVERT IN THE RED ZONE
In last year's Poinsettia Bowl, the Broncos thrice settled for field goals while inside the TCU 20. The lack of touchdowns proved critical in the 17-16 loss. The problems extended into this season. In their first nine games, the Broncos had 28 touchdowns in 51 red-zone trips. In the final four games, however, Boise State was a blistering 20-for-24 in those situations. It is critical the Broncos keep that up and take advantage of their chances against the nation's No. 1 total defense.
"I still think it comes down to the red zone," TCU coach Gary Patterson said. "We were fortunate enough to be able to make them kick three field goals and we were able to score a couple touchdowns. It is one of those situations where you got to be ready to play."
And it is one area where wide receiver Austin Pettis could aid the Broncos. Pettis set a Boise State record with 14 touchdowns before injuring his left ankle. All 14 were from the 20-yard line and in.
2. CREATE A RUNNING GAME
Boise State rushed a paltry 20 times for 28 yards in last year's Poinsettia Bowl loss - and Ian Johnson had a 20-yard touchdown run in the first quarter.
"They were physical. They were tough to block up front. That obviously hurt the run game," offensive coordinator Bryan Harsin said. "And when you're not running the ball, you become one-dimensional and then you're stuck in that one-dimensional mode of throwing the ball. At some point, you've taken a major portion of your game plan out."
Boise State is averaging 194.5 yards per game on the ground behind running backs Jeremy Avery and Doug Martin. TCU is allowing a mere 80.5 rushing yards per game.
It is less about the total yards than establishing a consistent ground attack, something capable of putting Boise State in manageable down-and-distance situations and generating enough confidence to stick with it.
3. WIN SPECIAL TEAMS
Boise State dominated in special teams last year, a fact that both coaches mentioned during their final press conferences. The Broncos outgained TCU by 144 yards in special teams return yardage, one reason they stayed in the game.
Each team possesses game-changing return men - Titus Young and Kyle Wilson for Boise State and Jeremy Kerley and Greg McCoy for TCU - capable of turning a punt or kickoff into points. Boise State kicker/punter Kyle Brotzman could be one of the most important players on either team.
"You just make sure you don't kick it to him (Kerley). He's elusive and he's explosive," Brotzman said. "So my job is to kick it away from him and, if he does get it, to make sure our coverage team has enough time to get down there."
4. MATCH TCU'S PHYSICALITY ON DEFENSE
Much of the focus leading up to the game has been on Boise State's No. 1-ranked scoring offense against TCU's No. 1-ranked total defense.
But Boise State coaches are just as concerned about the TCU offense, which averages 40.7 yards per game. The Broncos' defense wore down late in last year's Poinsettia Bowl, one reason TCU overcame a 13-0 deficit for the victory. The Horned Frogs converted 9-of-18 third-down tries against a Boise State defense hampered by injuries along the line.
The Broncos are healthier now and eager to answer that physicality.
"TCU is a power team, there is no question about it. Every football coach in America would like to think of themselves as a power team, a physical football team and I think we are," Petersen said. "For us to be able to do what we want to do with these guys we will have to play physical football (Monday). If we don't, it won't be good for the Broncos."
5. HELP BRENEL MYERS
Myers, a 6-foot-2, 267-pound freshman from Houston, will get his first career start at offensive tackle in the Fiesta Bowl. (Myers made a start at guard earlier this year). That means he will draw the primary task of slowing down the Horned Frogs? All-American defensive end Jerry Hughes.
Hughes has 26.5 sacks in the last two seasons. Coming from quarterback Kellen Moore?s blindside, he could disrupt the Broncos? timing-based passing game.
?(Patterson) told me it was going to be ?three alligators.? And I guarantee it was a lot quicker than that with that D-line coming after Kellen,? Boise State coach Chris Petersen said.
But if the Broncos focus too much attention on Hughes ? in the form of running backs or tight ends ? it will create openings for other members of the Horned Frogs? defense, which is yielding 12.4 points per game.
The Broncos are the highest-scoring team in the nation at 44.2 points per game, but against elite competition like Oregon and TCU, points have been much harder to come by.
6. AVOID THE MISTAKE
It was an errant bounce on a punt that turned the 2007 Fiesta Bowl. This year?s Las Vegas Bowl turned on an Oregon State fumble and led to a BYU rout. This bowl season, kickers have suddenly lost their ability to make field goals and once-careful quarterbacks have handed out interceptions like candy on Halloween.
Boise State has committed a turnover in the last two minutes of their last five bowl games with a chance to take the lead or tie the game. The good news is that the Broncos have just 13 turnovers this season, the fewest in the WAC and seven fewer than TCU. Moore has thrown just three interceptions.
Sound familiar?
Boise State edged Oklahoma 43-42 in the 2007 Fiesta Bowl despite plenty of miscues. So perfection is not necessary for the Broncos to upset TCU, not by a long shot. But Boise State's hopes for victory could rest on these six things Monday night in University of Phoenix Stadium:
1. CONVERT IN THE RED ZONE
In last year's Poinsettia Bowl, the Broncos thrice settled for field goals while inside the TCU 20. The lack of touchdowns proved critical in the 17-16 loss. The problems extended into this season. In their first nine games, the Broncos had 28 touchdowns in 51 red-zone trips. In the final four games, however, Boise State was a blistering 20-for-24 in those situations. It is critical the Broncos keep that up and take advantage of their chances against the nation's No. 1 total defense.
"I still think it comes down to the red zone," TCU coach Gary Patterson said. "We were fortunate enough to be able to make them kick three field goals and we were able to score a couple touchdowns. It is one of those situations where you got to be ready to play."
And it is one area where wide receiver Austin Pettis could aid the Broncos. Pettis set a Boise State record with 14 touchdowns before injuring his left ankle. All 14 were from the 20-yard line and in.
2. CREATE A RUNNING GAME
Boise State rushed a paltry 20 times for 28 yards in last year's Poinsettia Bowl loss - and Ian Johnson had a 20-yard touchdown run in the first quarter.
"They were physical. They were tough to block up front. That obviously hurt the run game," offensive coordinator Bryan Harsin said. "And when you're not running the ball, you become one-dimensional and then you're stuck in that one-dimensional mode of throwing the ball. At some point, you've taken a major portion of your game plan out."
Boise State is averaging 194.5 yards per game on the ground behind running backs Jeremy Avery and Doug Martin. TCU is allowing a mere 80.5 rushing yards per game.
It is less about the total yards than establishing a consistent ground attack, something capable of putting Boise State in manageable down-and-distance situations and generating enough confidence to stick with it.
3. WIN SPECIAL TEAMS
Boise State dominated in special teams last year, a fact that both coaches mentioned during their final press conferences. The Broncos outgained TCU by 144 yards in special teams return yardage, one reason they stayed in the game.
Each team possesses game-changing return men - Titus Young and Kyle Wilson for Boise State and Jeremy Kerley and Greg McCoy for TCU - capable of turning a punt or kickoff into points. Boise State kicker/punter Kyle Brotzman could be one of the most important players on either team.
"You just make sure you don't kick it to him (Kerley). He's elusive and he's explosive," Brotzman said. "So my job is to kick it away from him and, if he does get it, to make sure our coverage team has enough time to get down there."
4. MATCH TCU'S PHYSICALITY ON DEFENSE
Much of the focus leading up to the game has been on Boise State's No. 1-ranked scoring offense against TCU's No. 1-ranked total defense.
But Boise State coaches are just as concerned about the TCU offense, which averages 40.7 yards per game. The Broncos' defense wore down late in last year's Poinsettia Bowl, one reason TCU overcame a 13-0 deficit for the victory. The Horned Frogs converted 9-of-18 third-down tries against a Boise State defense hampered by injuries along the line.
The Broncos are healthier now and eager to answer that physicality.
"TCU is a power team, there is no question about it. Every football coach in America would like to think of themselves as a power team, a physical football team and I think we are," Petersen said. "For us to be able to do what we want to do with these guys we will have to play physical football (Monday). If we don't, it won't be good for the Broncos."
5. HELP BRENEL MYERS
Myers, a 6-foot-2, 267-pound freshman from Houston, will get his first career start at offensive tackle in the Fiesta Bowl. (Myers made a start at guard earlier this year). That means he will draw the primary task of slowing down the Horned Frogs? All-American defensive end Jerry Hughes.
Hughes has 26.5 sacks in the last two seasons. Coming from quarterback Kellen Moore?s blindside, he could disrupt the Broncos? timing-based passing game.
?(Patterson) told me it was going to be ?three alligators.? And I guarantee it was a lot quicker than that with that D-line coming after Kellen,? Boise State coach Chris Petersen said.
But if the Broncos focus too much attention on Hughes ? in the form of running backs or tight ends ? it will create openings for other members of the Horned Frogs? defense, which is yielding 12.4 points per game.
The Broncos are the highest-scoring team in the nation at 44.2 points per game, but against elite competition like Oregon and TCU, points have been much harder to come by.
6. AVOID THE MISTAKE
It was an errant bounce on a punt that turned the 2007 Fiesta Bowl. This year?s Las Vegas Bowl turned on an Oregon State fumble and led to a BYU rout. This bowl season, kickers have suddenly lost their ability to make field goals and once-careful quarterbacks have handed out interceptions like candy on Halloween.
Boise State has committed a turnover in the last two minutes of their last five bowl games with a chance to take the lead or tie the game. The good news is that the Broncos have just 13 turnovers this season, the fewest in the WAC and seven fewer than TCU. Moore has thrown just three interceptions.
